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Cable and Other Program Distribution in the US - Industry Risk Rating Report

Published by: IBISWorld

Published: Jan. 19, 2008 - 17 Pages


Table of Contents


RISK OVERVIEW

Industry Definition & Activities
Industry Risk Score
Risk Rating Analysis

STRUCTURAL RISK

Barriers to Entry
Basis of Competition
Domestic and International Markets
Industry Assistance
Life Cycle
Industry Volatility

GROWTH RISK

Recent Growth Analysis
Forecast Growth Analysis

SENSITIVITY RISK

Real GDP Growth
Legislative Compliance Requirements - Cable and Other Program Distribution
Competition from Substitutes - Satellite Telecommunications - Cable and Other Program Distribution
Technology - Cable TV Viewers

INDUSTRY RISK AND INDUSTRY RISK SCORING METHODOLOGY

What is Industry Risk?
The Industry Risk Scoring Methodology
Risk Rating Score Definition

Abstract

Industry Risk Ratings Synopsis

This Industry Risk Ratings report from IBISWorld evaluates the inherent risks associated with the Cable and Other Program Distribution in the US industry. Industry Risk is assumed to be 'the difficulty, or otherwise, of the business operating environment'.

The report looks at the operational risk associated with this industry. Three types of risk are recognized in our analysis. These are: risk arising from within the industry itself (structural risk), risks arising from the expected future performance of the industry (growth risk) and risk arising from forces external to the industry (external sensitivity risk).

This approach is new in that it analyses non-financial information surrounding each industry. Industries are scored on a 9-point scale, where 1 represents the lowest risk and 9 the highest. The Industry Risk score measures expected Industry Risk over the coming 12-18 months.

Industry Definition

This industry comprises establishments primarily engaged as third-party distribution systems for broadcast programming. The establishments of this industry deliver visual, aural, or textual programming received from cable networks, local television stations, or radio networks to consumers via cable or direct-to-home satellite systems on a subscription or fee basis. These establishments do not generally originate programming material. The industry includes the distribution of the above services by satellite.According to the FCC, cable television is a video delivery service provided by a cable operator to subscribers via a coaxial cable or fiber optics. Satellite delivery is an alternate method of distribution. A cable television system operator is any person, or group of persons, who provide cable services over a cable system, and directly, or through one or more affiliates, owns a significant interest in such cable system, or who otherwise controls or is responsible for, through any arrangement, the management and operation of such a cable system. Cable service is the transmission to subscribers of video programming, or other programming service. This definition includes any subscriber selection required in choosing video programming or other programming service. Satellite services are also included.There are three types of cable service: basic service, which is the lowest level of cable service a subscriber can buy. It includes, at a minimum, all over-the-air television broadcast signals carried pursuant to the must-carry requirements of the Communications Act, and any public, educational, or government access channels required by the system's franchise agreement. It may include additional signals chosen by the operator. Basic service is generally regulated by the local franchising authority (the local or state entity empowered by Federal, State, or local law to grant a franchise to a cable company to operate in a given area);cable programming service, includes all program channels on the cable system that are not included in basic service, but are not separately offered as per-channel or per-program services. There may be one or more tiers of cable programming service; and per-channel or per-program (sometimes called pay-per-view or pay-TV) service which includes those cable services that are provided as single-channel tiers by the cable operator, and individual programs for which the cable operator charges a separate rate. These latter services are currently not regulated.

Report Contents

Risk Overview

The Risk Overview chapter includes sections on Industry Definition and Activities, Industry Risk Score and Risk Rating Analysis. The Industry Definition and Activities section provides a detailed definition of the activities carried out by operators in this industry as defined in NAICS. A list of the primary activities of the industry is also included. The Industry Risk Score section provides the Overall Industry Risk Score as well as the Risk Scores for each of the three types of risk covered that combine to form the Overall Industry Risk Score. These three types of risk are Structural Risk, Growth Risk and External Sensitivity Risk. The Risk Rating Analysis section discusses the underlying factors contributing to the Overall Industry Risk Score.

Structural Risk

The Structural Risk chapter looks at risk arising from within the industry itself and provides a detailed discussion of the industry’s level of exposure to seven key indicators. These key indicators are Barriers to Entry, Competition, Industry Exports, Industry Imports, Level of Assistance, Life Cycle Stage and Volatility of Industry. The Overall Structural Risk Score is a weighted aggregation of these seven key indicators. Each of the key indicators is discussed in detail in this section.

Growth Risk

The Growth Risk chapter looks at risks arising from the expected future performance of the industry. The Overall Growth Risk Score is determined by amalgamating the scores for Recent Industry Growth and Forecast Industry Growth. Detailed analysis is provided discussing the reasons for the growth scores of both.

Sensitivity Risk

The Sensitivity Risk chapter looks at risks arising from forces (sensitivities) external to the industry. The Overall External Sensitivity Risk Score is determined by identifying the most significant (up to 6) external factors and weighting them to represent how significant each sensitivity is to the performance of the industry. Examples of External Sensitivities are Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, Commodity Prices and Government Regulations. There is also a detailed analysis of the affect each of the sensitivities has on the industry, including charts and data tables where appropriate.

Industry Risk and Industry Risk Scoring Methodology

This chapter provides an overview of how IBISWorld defines Industry Risk and discusses the methodology used to arrive at an Industry Risk Score. There is also a table that provides a definition of the seven levels of Industry Risk.


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