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Stakeholder Insight: Diabetes

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Dec. 26, 2007 - 185 Pages


Table of Contents


ABOUT DATAMONITOR HEALTHCARE
About the Cardiovascular pharmaceutical analysis team
CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Key Findings
CHAPTER 2 INTRODUCTION AND SCOPE
Scope of the analysis
Related reports
Common abbreviations used throughout this report:
CHAPTER 3 COUNTRY TREATMENT ALGORITHMS
Introduction
US
Japan
France
Germany
Italy
Spain
UK
5 European Markets Summary Algorithms
CHAPTER 4 DISEASE DEFINITION AND OVERVIEW
Definition of diabetes
Segmentation of diabetes
Type 1 diabetes
Type 1.5 diabetes
Type 2 diabetes
Etiology and Risk factors
Mechanisms of development of diabetes
Genetic or acquired causes
Risk factors
Obesity
T2 diabetes epidemic hand-in-hand with obesity epidemic
Race
T2 diabetes more prevalent in Hispanics and African Americans than in Caucasians
Family history
T2 diabetes in first-degree relatives is a strong prognostic indicator
Advanced age
Gender and other factors
Gestational diabetes mellitus
CHAPTER 5 EPIDEMIOLOGY OF DIABETES
Epidemiology of diabetes
Diabetes presents a worldwide public health problem
Current prevalence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes
Increasing prevalence of type 2 diabetes
Increase in prevalence to epidemic proportion
Datamonitor epidemiology forecast
Methodology
Epidemic rise in incidence of T2 diabetes
CHAPTER 6 DIAGNOSIS AND PATIENT MANAGEMENT
Patient management
The majority of diabetics are diagnosed and managed by primary care practitioners
Referral to a specialist
Diagnosis rates in type 2 diabetes
Reasons for the poor diagnosis rate
Insidious nature of the disease
Lack of screening
Awareness of guidelines
Validity of diagnostic tests
Misdiagnosis of T2 and T1 diabetes
Strategies to increase diagnosis rates
The need for a targeted screening program
Late stage of diagnosis
Disease indicators at presentation
CHAPTER 7 DIABETIC COMPLICATIONS
Complications of type 2 diabetes
Microvascular complications
Nephropathy
Retinopathy
Neuropathy
Macrovascular complications
Effect of macrovascular complications on type 2 diabetes treatment
End-stage disease considerations
Co-morbidities
Obesity
Effect of obesity on type 2 diabetes treatment
Hypertension
Dyslipidemia
CHAPTER 8 TREATMENT OPTIONS FOR TYPE 2 DIABETES
Treatment guidelines for type 2 diabetes
Clinical practice guidelines from the ADA/EASD
The AACE clinical practice guidelines
Lifestyle management for type 2 diabetes
Pharmacological treatment for type 2 diabetes
Oral antidiabetic (OAD) agents
Biguanides (metformin)
Sulfonylureas
Prandial glucose regulators (PGRs)
Thiazolidinediones
Alpha-glucosidase inhibitors (AGIs)
Incretin Mimetics
Glucagon-like peptide-1 agonists (GLP-1s)
Dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4s)
Insulins
Lantus
Levemir
Humalog
Novolog
NovoLin
Humulin
Apidra
CHAPTER 9 FIRST-LINE PHARMACOTHERAPY
Overview
First-line monotherapy
First-line combination therapy
CHAPTER 10 SECOND-LINE PHARMACOTHERAPY
Overview
Second-line monotherapy
Second-line combination therapy
CHAPTER 11 THIRD-LINE PHARMACOTHERAPY
Overview
Third-line monotherapy
Third-line combination therapy
CHAPTER 12 TRANSITION TO INSULIN THERAPY
History of insulin therapy
Indications for insulin use in type 2 diabetes
Time of initiation of insulin therapy
Drivers for insulin uptake
Improved of glycemic control
Earlier initiation of insulin therapy
Restraints for uptake of insulin
Weight gain
Risk of hypoglycemia
Patient education and compliance with subcutaneous injections
Cost and reimbursement issues
Use of insulin
Overall usage of insulin
Changes to insulin prescribing habits
Past, present and future use
Usage of different types of insulin
Physician perception of different types of insulin
Brand map overview
Interpreting a brand map
Long-acting insulins: Lantus (Glargine) and Levemir (Detemir)
Short-acting insulins: Humalog (Lispro) and Apidra (Glulisine)
Failure of inhaled insulin
CHAPTER 13 PRESCRIBING TRENDS IN THE TREATMENT OF TYPE 2 DIABETES
The evolution of the treatment regimen
Factors determining the alteration to a treatment regimen
Patient empowerment
Uptake of single-pill combination (SPC) therapies
The evolution of the treatment algorithm
Sulfonylureas and Metformin
Loss of confidence in TZDS
PGRs and AGIs
Insulin shifted down treatment algorithm by new classes of incretin mimetic
CHAPTER 14 PRESCRIBING INFLUENCES IN THE TREATMENT OF TYPE 2 DIABETES
Factors influencing prescribing decisions in T2 diabetes
Efficacy is the major prescribing influence in type 2 diabetes
Safety is also an important prescribing influence
Cost issues possibly not as important as for other indications
Beta cell salvage and time to secondary failure
Mode of administration
Dosing frequency
Physician perception of existing therapies in type 2 diabetes
Brand map overview
Interpreting a brand map
Physician perception of established classes of antidiabetic drugs
Physician perception of novel classes of antidiabetic drugs
CHAPTER 15 UNMET NEEDS IN TYPE 2 DIABETES
Overview
Each unmet need is ordered by relative importance, and discussed in more detail below:
Insulin response variability
Poor diagnosis
Routine screening programs to improve poor diagnosis rate
Guideline awareness
Non-invasive blood glucose measurement (BMG)
Tolerability
Incidence of hypoglycemic events
Delivery-related complications
Weight gain
Mode of administration (MoA)
Reluctance to self-inject
Patient compliance
Insulin secretion patterns
Patient awareness
Efficacy
APPENDIX A
Bibliography
APPENDIX B
Physician research methodology
Physician sample breakdown
US
Japan
France
Germany
Italy
Spain
UK
APPENDIX C
The survey questionnaire
List of Tables
Table 1: Prevalence of diabetes mellitus is forecast to increase by the International Diabetes Foundation (IDF), 2003-2025
Table 2: Prevalence rate of type 1 and type 2 diabetes in the seven major markets (%), 2006-2015
Table 3: Estimated absolute prevalence of diabetes in the seven major markets (millions), 2007-2017
Table 4: Framingham Heart Study data on lipid levels in men and women with and without diabetes
Table 5: ADA evidence grading system for clinical practice guidelines
Table 6: Comparator Insulins by onset of action, 2006
Table 7: US physician sample breakdown, 2007
Table 8: Japan physician sample breakdown, 2007
Table 9: France physician sample breakdown, 2007
Table 10: Germany physician sample breakdown, 2007
Table 11: Italy physician sample breakdown, 2007
Table 12: Spain physician sample breakdown, 2007
Table 13: UK physician sample breakdown, 2007
List of Figures
Figure 1: Population demographic for diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients in the US, 2007
Figure 2: Population, treatment and treatment outcome data for type 2 diabetic patients in US, 2007
Figure 3: Population demographic for diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients in Japan, 2007
Figure 4: Population, treatment and treatment outcome data for type 2 diabetic patients in Japan, 2007
Figure 5: Population demographic for diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients in France, 2007
Figure 6: Population, treatment and treatment outcome data for type 2 diabetic patients in France, 2007
Figure 7: Population demographic for diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients in Germany, 2007
Figure 8: Population, treatment and treatment outcome data for type 2 diabetic patients in Germany, 2007
Figure 9: Population demographic for diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients in Italy, 2007
Figure 10: Population, treatment and treatment outcome data for type 2 diabetic patients in Germany, 2007
Figure 11: Population demographic for diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients in Spain, 2007
Figure 12: Population, treatment and treatment outcome data for type 2 diabetic patients in Italy, 2007
Figure 13: Population demographic for diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients in the UK, 2007
Figure 14: Population, treatment and treatment outcome data for type 2 diabetic patients in the UK, 2007
Figure 15: Population, treatment and treatment outcome data for RCC in the 5EU, 2007 (continued)
Figure 16: Population, treatment and treatment outcome data for type 2 diabetic patients in the 5EU, 2007
Figure 17: Specialty of physician diagnosing and managing diabetic patients.
Figure 18: Estimated percentage of diagnosed type 2 diabetics in the seven major markets
Figure 19: Estimated percentage of diagnosed type 2 diabetics who are classified as either overweight or obese.
Figure 20: Estimated percentage of diagnosed type 2 diabetics who are classified as prehypertensive or hypertensive.
Figure 21: Estimated percentage of diagnosed type 2 diabetics with each degree of plasma cholesterol elevation
Figure 22: Proportion of type 2 diabetics in the seven major markets with complications
Figure 23: Proportion of type 2 diabetics with complications that suffer from microvascular and/or macrovascular complications in the seven major markets
Figure 24: Proportion of type 2 diabetics with different stages of nephropathy in the seven major markets
Figure 25: Average time from the diagnosis of diabetes required for the development of different stages of diabetic nephropathy in the seven major markets, 2007.
Figure 26: Proportion of type 2 diabetics with retinopathy in the seven major markets
Figure 27: Average time required for the development of diabetic retinopathy in the seven major markets
Figure 28: Proportion of type 2 diabetics with neuropathy in the seven major markets
Figure 29: Average time required for the development of diabetic neuropathy in the seven major markets
Figure 30: Proportion of type 2 diabetics with macrovascular complications in the seven major markets
Figure 31: Average time for the development of macrovascular complications in the seven major markets
Figure 32: Proportion of type 2 diabetics with serious complications (e.g. ESRD, acute MI, amputation)
Figure 33: Treatment algorithm for type 2 diabetes, recommended by the 2006 ADA/EASD clinical practice guidelines.
Figure 34: Percentage of diagnosed type 2 patients receiving drug therapy and/or lifestyle management in the seven major markets
Figure 35: Breakdown of patients by line of treatment in the seven major markets
Figure 36: Mechanism of action of sulfonylureas and prandial glucose regulators
Figure 37: Percentage of patients on monotherapy versus. combination therapy at first-line therapy, 2007.
Figure 38: Breakdown of overall drug class usage in patients on first-line therapy in the seven major markets
Figure 39: Breakdown of combination therapy at first-line in the seven major markets
Figure 40: Percentage of patients in monotherapy vs. combination therapy in second-line therapy
Figure 41: Breakdown of drug class use in patients on second-line monotherapy in the seven major markets
Figure 42: Breakdown of drug class use in patients on second-line monotherapy in the seven major markets
Figure 43: Percentage of patients on monotherapy versus combination therapy in third-line therapy, 2007.
Figure 44: Breakdown of drug class use in patients on third-line monotherapy in the seven major markets, 2007.
Figure 45: Breakdown of drug regimen use in patients on third-line combination therapy in the seven major markets
Figure 46: Common insulin regimens
Figure 47: When to start insulin therapy in type 2 diabetes?
Figure 48: Time to the inititation of insulin therapy
Figure 49: Specialists' rankings of the factors influencing insulin prescribing in the seven major markets (1 = most influencing, 5 = least influencing)
Figure 50: Uptake of insulin across the seven major markets, 2007.
Figure 51: Proportion of drug-treated type 2 diabetes patients prescribed insulin either alone or in combination therapy, by line of therapy, across the seven major markets, 2007
Figure 52: Comparison of current (2007) insulin prescription pattern with that in 2004, and 2010.
Figure 53: Brand map for the different types of insulin
Figure 54: Factors influencing therapy changes, 2007
Figure 55: Therapy changes across the seven major markets, 2007
Figure 56: Factors influencing the uptake of SPCs across the seven major markets, 2007
Figure 57: Uptake of SPCs across the seven major markets, 2007
Figure 58: Physicians' changing prescribing trends 2004-2010
Figure 59: Evolution of the treatment algorithm
Figure 60: Evolution of the treatment algorithm
Figure 61: Evolution of the treatment algorithm
Figure 62: Relative weighting given to each prescribing influence for type 2 diabetes drug therapy across the seven major markets, 2007
Figure 63: Brand map of established antidiabetic drugs in 7MM, 2007
Figure 64: Brand map of novel classes of antidiabetic drugs in 7MM, 2007
Figure 65: Unmet need for antidiabetic drugs in 7MM, 2007
Figure 66: Unmet need in blood glucose measurement (BMG)


Abstract

Introduction

Type 2 diabetes is an emerging epidemic driven by the escalating prevalence of obesity and by an ageing population. Diagnosis rates will continue to increase as improved awareness raises the public profile of the disease. Despite several established classes of oral anti-diabetic agents an unmet need for a safe, efficacious agent which can halt or reverse long-term disease progression remains.

Scope

Survey of 180 PCPs, medical diabetologists and endocrinologists conducted in the seven major markets Comparison of physician survey with recent clinical developments, clinical trial results and current clinical guidelines Investigation of clinical unmet needs

Highlights

Type 2 diabetes is an emerging epidemic with an estimated 55 million people affected by the condition in the seven major markets. Despite the raise profile of the disease physician research reveals that only approximately 50% of patients are diagnosed and of those around 80% receive treatment Novel classes of incretin mimetics, GLP-1 agonist and DDP-IV inhibitors, have the potential to improve time to secondary failure and are likely to be adopted by international guidelines in the near future. Despite the launch of these new products significant unmet needs remain in drug efficacy, safety and disease progression. Long-term safety data is expected to become increasingly important following safety issues raised by recent meta-analyses of rosiglitazone over ischemic events. This will raise the safety bar for new products and is likely to lead to new classes requiring a long safety record before they are recommended as 1st- or 2nd- line therapies

Reasons to Purchase

Assess how changes in diagnosis rates will influence the type 2 diabetes market Identify the changes in physician prescription habits and the changes in complication rates and analyze the impact of changes in treatment decisions Benchmark brand awareness and perceptions surrounding product positioning in order to formulate competitive lifecycle management strategies.


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