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Digital Cinema: Global and European Roll-Out, Business Models and Forecasts to 2012

Published by: Screen Digest

Published: Dec. 1, 2007 - 176 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary

Global overview of digital cinema

Global Overview of Digital Cinema

The evolving business model

The Evolving Business Model for Digital Cinema

Developing the European DC market

Developing the European Market for Digital Cinema

D-Cinema: The numbers

D-cinema overview

D-cinema screens by region

Leading d-cinema territories

Total d-cinema screens as a proportion of total screens Total d-cinema screens by site

Leading d-cinema locations

Leading exhibitors by number of d-screens

D-cinema projector resolution

Projector manufacturers

Projector territories

Projector Market Values

Leading Third Party Operators

Server Manufacturers

D-screen forecasts

D-cinema content and releases

Overview

Theatrical distribution in a digital age

Value proposition of digital cinema for distributors

Cinema exhibition in a digital world

Value Proposition for the exhibitor

Exhibitor profiles

Exhibitor Profiles

Carmike

Regal

Cinemark

Rave Motion Pictures

Odeon

Kinepolis

Utopolis

Cinecitta MultiplexKino

Lotte Cinema

Warner Mycal

Driver territories

USA

UK

Germany

France

Belgium

Norway

Ireland

China

Korea

India

Digital delivery of movies

1. Physical Transportation of Media

2. Wireless delivery

3. Wireline delivery

4. Hybrid Solution

Hollywood and digital cinema

Hollywood and Digital Cinema

Determining Screen Widths

Obstacles facing Digital Cinema roll-out

Key challenges remaining for 2008 and onwards

Technical

Economic

Logistical

Profiles - Projector Manufacturers

DLP Technology

LCoS Technology

Profiles - Server Manufacturers

DTS

GDC Technology

QuVis

Dolby

Doremi

Kodak

Qube

IntoPix

Profiles - Third party operators

AccessIT

Technicolor Digital Cinema

Digital Cinema Implementation Partners (DCIP)

Cinema Buying Group-NATO

Digeserv

Arts Alliance Media (AAM)

XDC

Digital Cinema Limited

Unique Digital

Ymagis

FHP

D-Cinema Korea

China Film Group

B>Profiles - Digital 3D cinema

RealD

NuVision

Dolby Digital 3D

D-Cinema timeline




TABLES AND CHARTS

Executive Summary

Global overview of digital cinema

D-cinema deployments curve worldwide

D-Cinema deployments by region

The evolving business model

VPF example

Developing the European DC market

Digital Cinema Conversion Index for Europe

DCCI

Range for data measures in Europe

Time Fee tariff

VPF model

Box office per print: France

D-Cinema: The numbers

Global d-cinema screen growth

D-Cinema screens per territory

D-Cinema Screens per region

D-Cinema sites

D-Cinema sites per screen

Leading d-cinema territories ranked

D-screens by US State

D-screens as a proportion of total screens

Leading d-cinema territories by penetration of total screens

D-screens by site

Leading world cities by d-screens H1 2007

Leading exhibitors by d-screens 2005

D-cinema projectors by resolution overview

D-cinema projectors by resolution detailed

Market share of projector units by manufacturer %

Manufacturer market shares: Europe

Manufacturer market shares:North America

Manufacturer market shares: Latin America

Manufacturer market shares: Asia

Manufacturer market shares: Australasia

Manufacturer market shares: Africa Total

Projector Market Values $000s

Leading third party operators 2007

Total units deployed by server manufacturer H1 2007

D-cinema screen forecasts by territory

Forecast d-screens

Forecast d-screens

Forecast d-screens (Global)

D-cinema content and releases

Number of films released in high-end digital format

Global digital releases

Widest high-end digital releases: 2006

US Distributors digital slates 2005

US Distributors digital slates 2006

Films released in digital

Distributors releasing in digital

Proportion of overall films released in digital UK

Proportion of distributors releasing in digital UK

Distributors releasing digitally 2005 UK

US Distributors digital slates 2006 UK

Proportion of overall films released in digital

Proportion of distributors releasing in digital

Distributors releasing digitally 2005 Germany

Distributors releasing digitally 2006 Germany

Proportion of overall films released in digital

Proportion of distributors releasing in digital

Number of 3D releases by year

Past and upcoming digital 3D releases by distributor

Theatrical distribution in a digital age

Release Widths for feature films

Print market sizes

Print Market Regional Summary

Release Width Regional Summary

Front loading of revenues in Germany and UK

Cinema exhibition in a digital world

Box Office per Screen results 3D vs 2D

Exhibitor profiles

Exhibitor digital penetration US

Exhibitor digital penetration UK

Exhibitor digital penetration Europe

Driver territories

US facilitator plans

Digital delivery of movies

Hollywood and digital cinema

D-cinema screen growth

Determining Screen Widths

D-cinema projectors and target screen size

CST, France (in metres)

AAM, UK (in metres)

Average seats per auditorium in Western Europe

Seat and Screen size distribution

Seat and screen size distribution (continued)

Average seats per metre

Obstacles facing Digital Cinema roll-out

2005 listing of challenges facing the industry and advances made

Profiles - Projector Manufacturers


Profiles - Server Manufacturers

Profiles - Third party operators

Planned deployments in USA

XDC screen network as at November 2007

Profiles - Digital 3D cinema

D-Cinema timeline

Abstract

Cinema is in the process of converting all the world’s screens to digital projection equipment. However, since the development began in earnest in 1999, numerous problems have been encountered in replacing its longstanding analogue forerunner, not least who is going to pay for this conversion and how and by whom will it be undertaken.

The publication of technical specifications by a joint US studio led grouping in 2005 proved a catalyst for a US-wide first phase roll-out and this territory has taken a significant advance over much of the world. We are now at a stage where the foundations have been laid for a European-wide mainstream deployment to begin, and this report analyses the business models being developed, the value proposition for both exhibitors and distributors, the remaining challenges for deployment companies, the forecasted speeds of adoption by all territories and key driver territories and companies.

Key findings:
  • At the end of 2007, 5.5 per cent of the world’s modern screens are converted to digital and we predict that by 2012 this will rise to 48 per cent.
  • The dominant business model for digital conversion is the Virtual Print Fee, but there may be other models entering the market
  • The driver market is the USA, but significant government involvement is pushing other countries, such as China, UK and Norway.
  • Despite almost full digital provision of studio movies in the USA, a key obstacle to overcome in Europe, outside of the business model, is the provision of arthouse and European content.
  • The main financial beneficiaries, certainly in the short-term, are distributors but digital 3D and alternative content are forming the beginnings of a persuasive business case for the exhibitor
  • The digital conversion will cost an approximate $10bn worldwide over the next ten years
In the report:
  • Forecasts of digital cinema screen growth by territory to 2012 Overview of the current state of the market; globally, regionally and for key driver territories
  • Analysis of the current business models, focusing on the Virtual Print Fee but also exploring others in the global and European market
  • Analysis of the European digital cinema market and the obstacles blocking growth
  • The digital cinema value proposition for the distributor, including an evaluation of print costs and distributor benefits
  • The digital cinema value proposition for the exhibitor, including digital 3D, alternative content, and theatre management systems
  • Full datasets for digital screen growth and penetration, projector manufacturer sales and market shares, projector market sizes, server manufacturer market shares and digital content.
  • Analysis of the key challenges remaining to resolve before full market roll-out can be achieved
  • Analysis of the progress made towards the digital delivery of movies by satellite or other means
  • Analysis of the role that Hollywood has played in the move towards digital conversion
  • Full company profiles for all key digital cinema players (exhibitors, projector manufacturers, server manufacturers, third-party facilitators, digital 3D system manufacturers
  • Digital cinema progress timeline from 1999 to 2007


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