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U.S. & EU HLS Communications Interoperability Markets & Technology Forecast - 2008-2012

Published by: Homeland Security Research Corporation

Published: Dec. 1, 2007 - 165 Pages


Table of Contents


1. Administration

1.1. Scope of This Report

1.2. Methodology

1.3. Basic Scenario Assumptions



2. Executive Summary

2.1. The Interoperability Challenge

2.2. Advantages of Interoperable Communications

2.3. Main Conclusions

2.4. Additional Findings

2.5. Additional Conclusions

2.6. U.S. and Europe - Consolidated 2007 Market

2.7. U.S. and Europe - Consolidated Market Forecast - 2008-2012

2.8. U.S. and Europe - System Sales Market Forecast - 2008-2012

2.9. U.S. and Europe - Service and Upgrade Market Forecast - 2008-2012



3. U.S. - 2007 Systems Market



4. Europe - 2007 Systems Market



5. U.S. Systems Market Forecast - 2008-2012



6. European Systems Market Forecast - 2008-2012



7. Service and Upgrade Market Forecast - 2008-2012

7.1. U.S. Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Market Forecast - 2008-2012

7.2. European Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Market Forecast - 2008-2012



8. Drivers



9. Inhibitors



10. Business Opportunities

10.1.

10.2.

10.15.



11. The Future of HLS / First Responders Interoperable Communications

11.1. Cellular Interoperable First Responder Networks

11.1.1.

11.1.2.

11.2. Fourth Generation (4G) Interoperable Wireless Networks

11.2.1.

11.2.2.

11.3. IP-Based Solutions for First Responders’ Interoperable Networks

11.3.1.

11.3.2.

11.4. Mobile Mesh Networks

11.5. Ultra Wide Band (UWB)

11.5.1.

11.5.2.

11.6. Satellite for Emergency Communications

11.6.1.

11.6.2.

11.6.3.



12. U.S. - Interoperability Sector - Funding, Public & Private Industry Programs and Pending Legislation

12.1. The Numbers

12.2. Funding

12.2.1. U.S. Interoperability Grants and Funding Resources

12.3. U.S. Federal Funding

12.3.1.

12.3.2.

12.3.3.

12.3.4.

12.3.5.

12.4. State-Based Interoperability Funding In The U.S.

12.4.1. How much does it cost? Examples of Interoperability Projects

12.5. Private Industry Initiatives

12.5.1. The National Public Safety Telecommunications Council (NPSTC)

12.5.2. Cyren Call - The Public Safety Broadband Trust

12.5.3. The First Response Coalition (FRC)

12.5.4. Frontline Wireless

12.6. Relevant Legislation - Existing and Pending

12.6.1.

12.6.2.

12.6.15.

12.7. State-Federal Interoperability Problems

12.8. Consideration of a U.S.-Wide Interoperable Communications System



13. Europe - Interoperability Industry - Programs, Technology & Market Evolution

13.1. Europe - General Layout

13.2. The European Interoperable Communications Landscape

13.3. Differences Between Wireless Broadband Applications for Public Safety and Public Works in Europe and the U.S.

13.4. Barriers to Municipal Wireless Broadband Deployments in Europe

13.5. Funding

13.6. Challenges for European Interoperability

13.7. Technology Choice in Europe

13.8. Broadband Challenges in Europe

13.8.1. The Basic Premise

13.8.2. Current Global Status

13.8.3. Challenges for Europe

13.9. Frequency and Standards in Europe

13.9.1. The Narrowband to Broadband Trend

13.10. Availability of Wideband PMR Spectrum

13.11. IP-Based Public Safety Communication

13.12. Pan- European Satellite Telecom Adaptor

13.13. TETRA

13.13.1. TETRA International Presence

13.13.2. The Story of Airwave Contract

13.13.3. Alleged Airwave Problems

13.13.4. TETRA 2 - The Future of TETRA

13.14. TETRAPOL

13.14.1. TETRAPOL International Presence

13.15. TETRA vs. TETRAPOL

13.16. The NARTUS Project (EU Harmonization in Public Safety Communication and Information Systems)

13.17. Future European Potential Activity/Markets

13.18. Project MESA - Broadband Mobility for Emergency and Safety Applications

13.19. U-2010 - European Cooperation Initiative



14. Vendors/Products

14.1. Project 25 - Vendors

14.2. TETRA System - Vendors

14.3. SDR (Software Defined Radio) System Vendors

14.4. Mesh Networks System Vendors

14.5. IP and SW Vendors for Public Radio Interoperability

14.6. Additional Vendors



15. Making Interoperability Cost-Effective

15.1. Handset Market (U.S. and Europe)



16. Standards

16.1. U.S. Project 25

16.1.1. P25 - History

16.1.2. P25 - Vision and Practice

16.1.3. P25 - Standards Status

16.2. Relevant Standards

16.3. Europe - ETSI



17. Interoperability - Impetus, Problems and Solutions

17.1. The Impetus for Interoperable Communications

17.2. Who is Guiding Interoperable Communications?

17.3. Types of Interoperability

17.4. Interoperability Levels

17.4.1. Level One - Swap Radios

17.4.2. Level Two - Talkaround or “Directed Net”

17.4.3. Level Three - Mutual Aid

17.4.4. Level Four - Gateway (Console Patch)

17.4.5. Level Five - System-Specific-Roaming (Trunked & Conventional)

17.4.6. Level Six - Standards Based Shared Systems (Trunked & Conventional)

17.5. Why is Interoperability Important?

17.6. Interoperability Problems

17.6.1. 800 MHz Misconceptions

17.6.2. Limitations of 800 MHz Systems at Large Scenes

17.7. Trunked vs. Untrunked Networks

17.8. The Difference Between Mobile Cellular and Professional Mobile Radio(PMR)

17.9. Potential Interoperability Solutions

17.10. Interoperability - Available Spectrum

17.10.1. Status in U.S./Asia

17.10.2. Status in Europe

17.11. U.S. Public Safety Spectrum Band



18. Glossary



List of Figures



2. Executive Summary
Figure 1 - Topology of Interoperable Communications Network

Figure 2 - Consolidated U.S. and Europe Interoperable Communications - 2007 Market Share by [%]

Figure 3 - U.S. and Europe Interoperable Communications Consolidated Market Forecast by [$B] - 2008-2012
Figure 4 - U.S. and Europe Interoperable Communications System Sales Market Forecast by Market Segment by [$B] - 2008-2012

Figure 5 - U.S. and Europe - Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Forecast by [$M] - 2008-2012

Figure 6 - U.S. and Europe - Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Forecast - 2008, 2010 & 2012



3. U.S. - 2007 Systems Market

Figure 7 - U.S. Interoperable Communications - Market Share by Segments by [%] - 2007



4. Europe - 2007 Systems Market

Figure 8 - Europe Interoperable Communications - Market Share by Segments by [%] - 2007

Figure 9 - TETRA and TETRAPOL - European Public Safety Network Deployment - 2007



5. U.S. Systems Market Forecast - 2008-2012

Figure 10 - U.S. Interoperable Communications Systems Market Forecast by Market Segment [$B] - 2008-2012

Figure 11 - U.S. Interoperable Communications Systems Market Forecast by Market Segment [%] - 2008, 2010 & 2012



6. European Systems Market Forecast - 2008-2012

Figure 12 - European Interoperable Communications Systems Market Forecast by Market Segment [$B] - 2008-2012

Figure 13 - European Systems Market Forecast by Market Segment [$B] - 2008, 2010 & 2012



7. Service and Upgrade Market Forecast - 2008-2012

Figure 14 - U.S. Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Market Forecast by [$B] - 2008-2012

Figure 15 - U.S. Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Market Forecast Share - 2008, 2010 & 2012

Figure 16 - European Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Market Forecast by [$B] - 2008-2012

Figure 17 - European Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Market Forecast Share - 2008, 2010 & 2012



9. Inhibitors

Figure 18 - Obstacles to Interoperable Communications



11. The Future of HLS / First Responders Interoperable Communications

Figure 19 - IP-Based Concentric Network Architecture Model

Figure 20 - Comparison of narrowband (NB), spread spectrum (SS), and ultra-wideband (UWB) signal concepts



12. U.S. - Interoperability Sector - Funding, Public & Private Industry Programs and Pending Legislation

Figure 21 - SAFECOM Structure

Figure 22 - Interoperability Continuum

Figure 23 - SAFECOM - Interoperability Baseline Project Phases



13. Europe - Interoperability Industry - Programs, Technology & Market Evolution

Figure 24 - European Union - 2007

Figure 25 - TETRA Worldwide Contracts - 2007

Figure 26 - TETRA Worldwide Deployment Chart

Figure 27 - Public Safety Part of TETRA’s Worldwide Deployment

Figure 28 - TETRA’s European Public Safety Network - 2007



16. Standards

Figure 29 - Project 25 Interfaces



17. Interoperability - Impetus, Problems and Solutions

Figure 30 - Interoperability Model - Interactions Between Technical and Organizational Components

Figure 31 - Interfaces Needed to Access Emergency Services

Figure 32 - Gateway/Console Patch Interoperable Network

Figure 33 - System - Specific Roaming

Figure 34 - Standard Based Shared Systems

Figure 35 - U.S. Public Safety Spectrum Bands



List of Tables



2. Executive Summary

Table 1 - Communication Systems in a Typical Metropolitan City

Table 2 - Consolidated U.S. and Europe Interoperable Communications - 2007 Market by [$M]

Table 3 - U.S. and Europe Interoperable Communications Consolidated Market Forecast by [$B] - 2008-2012

Table 4 - U.S. and Europe Interoperable Communications Consolidated Market Forecast Share by [%] - 2008-2012

Table 5 - U.S. and Europe Interoperable Communications System Sales Market Forecast by Market Segment by [$B] - 2008-2012

Table 6 - U.S. and Europe Interoperable Communications System Sales Market Forecast Share by Market Segment by [%] - 2008-2012

Table 7 - U.S. and Europe - Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Market Forecast by [$B] - 2008-2012

Table 8 - U.S. and Europe - Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Market Forecast Share by [%] - 2008-2012



3. U.S. - 2007 Systems Market

Table 9 - U.S. Interoperable Communications - System Sales Market Share by Segments by [$M] - 2007



4. Europe - 2007 Systems Market

Table 10 - Europe Interoperable Communications - Market Share by Segments by [$M] - 2007



5. U.S. Systems Market Forecast - 2008-2012

Table 11 - U.S. Interoperable Communications Systems Market Forecast by Market Segment [$B] - 2008-2012

Table 12 - U.S. Interoperable Communications Systems Market Forecast by Market Segment by [%] - 2008-2012



6. European Systems Market Forecast - 2008-2012

Table 13 - European Interoperable Communications Systems Market Forecast by Market Segment by [$B] - 2008-2012

Table 14 - European Interoperable Communications Systems Market Forecast by Market Segment by [%] - 2008-2012



7. Service and Upgrade Market Forecast - 2008-2012

Table 15 - U.S. Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Market Forecast by [$B] - 2008-2012

Table 16 - U.S. Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Market Forecast by [%] - 2008-2012

Table 17 - European Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Market Forecast by [$B] - 2008-2012

Table 18 - European Interoperable Communications - Service & Upgrade Market Forecast by [%] - 2008-2012

Table 19 - Challenges with Available/Incoming Radio Spectrum



11. The Future of HLS / First Responders Interoperable Communications

Table 20 - “Traditional” Safety Network Comparison to Cellular Networks - Network and Handset Features



12. U.S. - Interoperability Sector - Funding, Public & Private Industry Programs and Pending Legislation

Table 21 - First Responders Figures in the U.S.

Table 22 - U.S. Non-First Responders Communications Interoperability Users

Table 23 - PSIC State/Territory Allocation



13. Europe - Interoperability Industry - Programs, Technology & Market Evolution

Table 24 - First Responders Figures in Europe

Table 25 - TETRAPOL Public Safety and Emergency Services Networks Worldwide

Table 26 - Project 25 System Vendors & Products

Table 27 - TETRA System - Vendors & Products

Table 28 - SDR (Software Defined Radio) System Vendors & Products



14. Vendors/Products

Table 29 - Mesh Networks System Vendors & Products

Table 30 - IP and SW Vendors & Products for Public Radio Interoperability



16. Standards

Table 31 - Status of Project 25 Interfaces



17. Interoperability - Impetus, Problems and Solutions

Table 32 - Interoerability Levels, Level One - Swap Radios. Advantages & Disadvantages

Table 33 - Interoperability Levels, Level Two - Talkaround or “Directed Net”. Advantages & Disadvantages

Table 34 - Interoperability Levels, Level Three - Mutual Aid. Advantages & Disadvantages

Table 35 - Interoperability Levels, Level Four - Gateway (Console Patch). Advantages & Disadvantages

Table 36 - Interoperability Levels, Level Five - System-Specific-Roaming (Trunked & Conventional). Advantages & Disadvantages

Table 37 - Interoperability Levels, Level Six - Standards Based Shared Systems (Trunked & Conventional). Advantages & Disadvantages

Table 38 - U.S. Interoperability Communications - Bandwidths, Spectrums and Technologies

Table 39 - Europe - Interoperability Communications - Bandwidths, Spectrums and Technologies

Abstract

This new report analyzes the evolution of interoperable communications markets and technologies in the Homeland Security and Public Safety sectors.

$73B is the overall 2008-2012 cumulative interoperable communications market in the U.S. and EU, including systems, maintenance and upgrades, National Guard and cellular user fees (in the U.S.) With a combined U.S. and EU CAGR of 18.6% from 2008-2012, this market promises to become one of the fastest growing sectors in homeland security.

This growth reflects a combination of simultaneously maturing technologies, growing understanding of needs and advantages, a growing sense of urgency and a willingness by governments and private industry to allocate the funding.

Among other subjects, the new research report covers the following:

  1. 2008-2012 EU & US Services and Upgrades Market forecasts - (2008-2012 aggregate market exceeding $28B)
  2. 2008-2012 EU & US Systems Market Forecasts - (2008-2012 aggregate market exceeding $43B)
  3. Business Opportunities - The report outlines 15 distinct business opportunities, attractive to new as well as established players.
  4. Analysis and Forecast of Current and Evolving Technologies - With several new technologies maturing simultaneously, the report provides a roadmap to the transition from existing to upcoming solutions - what will drive them and how, and what might inhibit the transition.



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