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Full-line Vending - US

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Dec. 1, 2007 - 87 Pages


Table of Contents


Scope and Themes

What you need to know

Definition

Abbreviations and terms

Abbreviations

Terms

The Consumer



Executive Summary

Summary of the Summary

Executive Summary

State of the Industry

Operators slow to adapt to changing workplace

Generation Plastic affects cashless sales

Challenges from c-stores and quick service restaurants grow

Bans on junk food at schools begin to take effect

Inflation rises faster than sales

Cold beverages and snacks/candy/pastry/confections are majority of market

Vend food slows while milk and ice cream grow

Hot beverage sales decline even as Americans savor premium coffees

Considerable consolidation of operators, suppliers, and equipment manufacturers in 2006

Counterintuitive retail trends

Respondents lack exposure to vending in daily life

Stated desire for healthier products may not translate into actual purchases

Results reflect Generation P desire for cashless systems

Why respondents use vending machines

Interest in non-traditional products that could be sold through vending

Adapting to the new economy is key



Market Drivers

Introduction

Employment shift away from manufacturing leads market to college students and urban professionals

Figure 1: Manufacturing employment, not seasonally adjusted, 1997-2006

Figure 2: Number of establishments, by sector, 2003-04

Growing number of younger consumers

Figure 3: Frequency of use of vending machines, by age, October 2007

Figure 4: Population aged 18 or older, 2002-07

Generation Plastic

Figure 5: Share of dollars spent using credit/debit cards, by age, august 2006

Federal regulations make cashless vending more feasible to vendors

Figure 6: Preferred payment options consumers used for various types of purchases, 2006

Increasing numbers of students positive for the market

Figure 7: Predicted number of students enrolled in u.s. schools, millions, 2004-07

Schools regulations ban junk food, creating new challenges

Competitive landscape changing

Figure 8: Convenience store merchandise and foodservice sales, 2002-06



Market Size and Trends

Market size

Figure 9: U.S. sales via vending machines, full line operators, at current and constant prices, 2002-07

Market trends

Continued shift to bottles rather than canned beverages

Figure 10: Projected sales of cold beverages by full-line vending operators, by type of container, 2003-06

Demand for premium coffee products driving innovation

Soda sales sag, but energy drinks and new age beverages offer hope



Market Segmentation

Overview

Figure 11: U.S. vending sales, segmented by type of product, full-line operators, 2005 and 2007

Cold beverages

Figure 12: Sales of cold beverages via vending machines, at current and constant prices, 2002-07

Figure 13: Cold beverage machines among full-line operators, by type, 2002, 2004, and 2006

Candy/snacks/confections/pastry

Figure 14: Sales of candy/snacks/confections/pastry via vending machines, at current and constant prices, 2002-07

Figure 15: Sales of candy/snack/confections/pastry via vending machines, by type of product, 2005-06

Vended food

Figure 16: Sales of food via vending machines, at current and constant prices, 2002-07

Figure 17: Number of vend food machines, by type, 2003-06

Figure 18: Sales of food via vending machines, by type, 2004 and 2006

Hot beverages

Figure 19: Sales of hot beverages via vending machines, at current and constant prices, 2002-07

Figure 20: Sales of hot beverages via vending mahcines, by type, 2004 and 2006

Milk

Figure 21: Sales of milk via vending machines, at current and constant prices, 2002-07

Figure 22: Sales of milk via vending machines, by machine type, 2004 and 2006

Ice cream

Figure 23: Sales of ice cream via vending machines, at current and constant prices, 2002-07

Figure 24: Sales of ice cream via vending machines, by machine type, 2004 and 2006



Supply Structure

Consolidation among operators continues

Food service, office coffee service, and vending operators

Food producers for vending

Equipment manufacturers

Overlap with OCS and manual foodservice

Full-line operators by size

Figure 25: Operator sales of vending products in the U.S., by size of organization based on annual revenues, 2004 & 2006

Most popular brands in candy/snacks/confections/pastry

Figure 26: Top 20 candy/snacks/confection items sold through vending machines, by brand and size, ranking by dollar sales, 2006

Most popular brands in frozen food

Figure 27: Top 20 frozen food products sold through vending machines, by manufacturer and brand, ranking by dollar sales, 2006

Most popular brands in refrigerated food products

Figure 28: Top 20 refrigerated food products sold through vending machines, by manufacturer and brand, ranking by dollar sales, 2006



Distribution/Location

Introduction

Locations of vending machines

Figure 29: U.S. sales of vending products among full-line vending operators, by location, 2005 and 2006



The Consumer

Summary

Use of vending machines

Frequency of use of vending machines

Figure 30: Frequency of use of vending machines, October 2007

Figure 31: Frequency of use of vending machines, by age, October 2007

Figure 32: Frequency of use of vending machines, by race/ethnicity, October 2007

Figure 33: Frequency of use of vending machines, by marital status, October 2007

Figure 34: Frequency of use of vending machines, by employment status, October 2007

Opinions regarding vending machines and the products sold

Figure 35: Opinions regarding vending machines and vended products, agree summary, October 2007

Figure 36: Opinions regarding vending machines and vended products, agree summary, by age, October 2007

Figure 37: Opinions regarding vending machines and vended products, agree summary, by presence and number of children under age 18 in household, October 2007

Figure 38: Opinions regarding vending machines and vended products, agree summary, by employment status, October 2007



Attitudes and Opinions Regarding Vending Machines

Summary

Reasons for using vending machines

Figure 39: Reasons for using machines, October 2007

Figure 40: Reasons for using machines, by race/ethnicity, October 2007

Figure 41: Reasons for using machines, by employment status, October 2007

Interest in expanded product offerings

Figure 42: Interest in expanded vending product offerings, October 2007

Figure 43: Interest in expanded vending product offerings, by age, October 2007

Figure 44: Interest in expanded vending product offerings, by race/ethnicity, October 2007

Figure 45: Interest in expanded vending product offerings, by presence and number of children under age 18 in household, October 2007

Figure 46: Interest in expanded vending product offerings, by level of education obtained, October 2007

Price respondent is willing to pay for vended snack foods

Figure 47: Price respondent is willing to pay for vended snack foods, October 2007

Figure 48: Price respondent willing to pay for vended snack foods, by age, October 2007

Figure 49: Price respondent willing to pay for vended snack foods, by employment status, October 2007

Attributes that influence choice of vending machine

Figure 50: Attributes that influence choice of vending machine, October 2007

Figure 51: Attributes that influence choice of vending machine, by age, October 2007

Figure 52: Attributes that influence choice of vending machine, by race/ethnicity, October 2007

Figure 53: Attributes that influence choice of vending machine, by employment status, October 2007



Future and Forecast

Future trends

Becoming more relevant for smaller workplaces

Passive revenue opportunities

Cashless payment technology may utilize cellphones/PDAs

New technologies and “on demand” lifestyles

Less face time is often a preferred method of purchase

Introducing more Hispanic and Southwestern flavors to snacks and foods

Figure 54: Population by race and Hispanic origin, 2002-12

Market forecast

Full line vending market

Figure 55: Forecast of total U.S. sales via vending machines of full line operators, at current and constant prices, 2007-12

Figure 56: Forecast of sales via vending machines of full line operators, at current and constant prices, 2007-12

Cold beverages

Figure 57: Forecast of U.S. sales of cold beverages via vending machines, at current and constant prices, 2007-12

Candy/snacks/confections/pastry

Figure 58: Forecast of U.S. sales of candy/snacks/confections/pastry via vending machines, at current and constant prices, 2007-12

Vended food

Figure 59: Forecast of U.S. sales of food via vending machines, at current and constant prices, 2007-12

Hot beverages

Figure 60: Forecast of U.S. sales of hot beverages via vending machines, at current and constant prices, 2007-12

Milk

Figure 61: Forecast of U.S. sales of milk via vending machines, at current and constant prices, 2007-12

Ice cream

Figure 62: Forecast of U.S. sales of ice cream via vending machines, at current and constant prices, 2007-12

Forecast factors



Appendix: Trade Associations

Abstract

The $15 billion full-line vending market has faced continued challenges as manufacturing locations have declined in size and quantity. Mintel’s report utilizes primary and secondary research to provide insights into the challenges facing the market, and the opportunities that will meet the needs of a new economy.

Insights include:

  • How is the cold beverage segment responding to declining demand?
  • How can dark chocolate, large candy bars, and Hispanic/Southwestern food reinvigorate sales?
  • How has the emergence of ice cream vending affected frozen food sales?
  • What is needed for vending to become more relevant in smaller workplaces, including passive revenue streams and diversification into office coffee service?
  • How do age, race/ethnicity, and work status affect use of vending machines?
  • Why will cashless payment systems appeal to the same group most likely to pay more for snack food?
Combining sales data for full-line vending, sales of vending by machine location, and exclusive consumer survey results, Mintel’s analysis highlights the opportunities and challenges full-line vending operators face in today’s market.

This report investigates the distribution of goods in the US by vending machines, including hot and cold drinks, cigarettes, candy, snacks, confectionery, meal items, sanitary protection, and condoms.



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