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Cereal Bars - US

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Dec. 1, 2007 - 81 Pages


Table of Contents


Scope and Themes

What you need to know

Definition

Resources used for The Consumer sections

Abbreviations and terms

Abbreviations

Terms



Executive Summary

The bottom line

Opportunities summary

Cereal bars aren’t the only healthy snacks on the shelf

Despite slowing growth from leading manufacturers, market poised to climb higher

Top three manufacturers account for seven out of ten sales

Retail channel preferences

Cereal bar consumers

Usage and type summary

Eating occasions

Reasons for eating



Market Drivers

Teens and children drive growth

Figure 1: Households with children under age 18 present, 2001-06

Figure 2: U.S. population projections, by age, 2002 and 2007

Consumers express a desire to eat healthier

Figure 3: Attitudes regarding healthy eating, 2002-06

“Healthy” more often means “organic”

Figure 4: Number of new snack/cereal/energy bar introductions using organic or all-natural positioning, 2002-07

Not all cereal bars are created equal

Better-for-you chips and cheese snacks compete with cereal bars

Cereal bars make a place for themselves in breakfast foods market

Cereal bars face competition from fast food…

..and lose out on weekends



Market Size and Trends

Market size

Figure 5: Total U.S. sales of cereal bars, at current and constant prices, 2002-07

Wal-Mart estimate

Market trends

New product introductions

Figure 6: Snack/cereal/energy bar new product introductions, 2002-07

Top product positioning claims

Figure 7: Top positioning claims for new snack/cereal/energy bars, 2007*

Kosher

Figure 8: Number of new snack/cereal/energy bar introductions with kosher positioning claims, 2002-07

More products featuring wholegrain

Figure 9: Number of new snack/cereal/energy bar introductions with wholegrain positioning claims, 2002-07

Fruit plays a more important role

Figure 10: Nabisco Fig Newtons Minis television ads, 2007



Market Segmentation

Overview

Figure 11: FDM sales of cereal bars, by type, 2005 and 2007

Granola bars

Figure 12: FDM sales of granola bars, at current and constant prices, 2002-07

Breakfast/cereal/snack bars

Figure 13: FDM sales of breakfast/cereal/snack bars, at current and constant prices, 2002-07



Supply Structure

Overview

Companies and brands

Figure 14: FDM sales of cereal bars, by manufacturer, 2004 and 2006

Kellogg’s

General Mills

Quaker Oats

Kraft Foods

Private label

Granola bars

Figure 15: FDM sales of granola bars, by manufacturer and brand, 2004 and 2006

Breakfast/cereal/snack bars

Figure 16: FDM sales of breakfast/cereal/snack bars, by manufacturer and brand, 2004 and 2006



Advertising and Promotion


Kraft

Figure 17: South Beach Diet Snack Bars television ad, 2007

Figure 18: Nabisco 100 Calorie Packs granola bars television ad, 2007

General Mills

Figure 19: Nature Valley Oats ‘n Honey Bars television ad, 2007

Figure 20: Nature Valley Granola Bars television ad, 2007

Kellogg’s

Figure 21: Special K Honey Nut bars television ad, 2007

Figure 22: Special K Protein Meal bars television ads, 2007

Pepsi/Quaker

Figure 23: Quaker Chewy Granola Bars television ad, 2007



Retail Distribution

Overview

Figure 24: Retail sales of cereal bars, by channel, 2005 and 2007

Supermarkets

Figure 25: U.S. supermarket sales of cereal bars, at current and constant prices, 2002-07

Mass merchandisers

Figure 26: Mass merchandiser sales of cereal bars, at current and constant prices, 2002-07

Other channels



The Consumer—Who Eats Cereal/Granola/Energy Bars?

Summary

Adult consumption of cereal/granola/energy bars

Figure 27: Incidence of adult consumption of cereal/granola/energy bars, by gender, age, household income, race/ethnicity and presence of children, September 2007

Trends in personal consumption

Figure 28: Incidence of cereal/granola bar consumption, 2002-06

Types of bars eaten

Figure 29: Types of bars eaten—cereal/granola/energy bars, September 2007

Figure 30: Types of bars eaten—cereal/granola/energy bars, by gender, September 2007

Figure 31: Types of bars eaten—cereal/granola/energy bars, by age, September 2007

Figure 32: Types of bars eaten—cereal/granola/energy bars, by household income, September 2007

Figure 33: Types of bars eaten—cereal/granola/energy bars, by race/ethnicity, September 2007

Key user cohort analysis

Figure 34: Consumption of cereal/granola bars, by key user cohorts, January-October 2006

Brands eaten

Figure 35: Brands of cereal/granola bars eaten, January-October 2006

Figure 36: Brands of cereal/granola bars eaten, by age, January-October 2006

Figure 37: Brands of cereal/granola bars eaten, by key user cohorts, January-October 2006

Volume of cereal bars eaten

Figure 38: Volume of cereal/granola bars eaten, by brand, January-October 2006

Teen consumption of cereal bars

Figure 39: Teen consumption of cereal/granola bars, by gender and age, January-October 2006

Figure 40: Teen consumption of cereal/granola bars, by race/ethnicity, January-October 2006

Figure 41: Teen consumption of cereal/granola bars, by brand and by gender, January-October 2006

Kids’ occasions for eating bars

Figure 42: Kids’ occasions for eating any type of bars, September 2007

Figure 43: Kids’ occasions for eating any type of bars, by race/ethnicity, September 2007



The Consumer—Consumption Behaviors

Summary

When bars are eaten

Figure 44: Eating occasions for cereal/granola/energy bars, summary, September 2007

Why bars are eaten

Figure 45: Why cereal/granola/energy bars are eaten, summary by type of bar, September 2007

Considerations when purchasing bars

Figure 46: Purchase considerations for cereal/granola/energy bars, September 2007

Granola bars

Figure 47: Granola bar purchase considerations, by gender, September 2007

Figure 48: Granola bar purchase considerations, by age, September 2007

Cereal/breakfast bars

Figure 49: Cereal/breakfast bar purchase considerations, by age, September 2007

Energy/protein bars

Figure 50: Energy bar purchase considerations, by gender, September 2007

Figure 51: Energy/protein bar purchase considerations, by age, September 2007



Future and Forecast

Future trends

Shrinking teen population may hamper growth…

Figure 52: Population, by age, 2007 and 2012

…but products that appeal to Baby Boomers may spark stronger growth

Lifestyle and wellness bars growing

Figure 53: U.S. natural channel sales of bars, by type, 2004 and 2006

Opportunities to expand the market

Leveraging the brand

Figure 54: Kellogg’s Special K product line extensions, 2002-07

Co-branding

Be allergen free

Market forecast

Cereal bars market

Figure 55: Forecast of total FDM sales of cereal bars, at current and constant prices, 2007-12

Figure 56: Forecast of sales of cereal bars, at current and constant prices, 2007-12

Granola bars

Figure 57: Forecast of FDM sales of granola bars, at current and constant prices, 2007-12

Breakfast/cereal/snack bars

Figure 58: Forecast of FDM sales of breakfast/cereal/snack bars, at current and constant prices, 2007-12

Forecast factors



Appendix: Trade Associations

Abstract

Mintel expects the cereal bars market to remain dynamic based on significant strides made during 2002-07. These products will especially remain relevant because they have carved out a durable niche serving consumers looking for on-the-go foods with nutritional benefits.

This report provides in-depth information that can help in positioning marketing messages, the development of new products, and retail strategies to invigorate sales in the market. Issues addressed include the following:

  • Products that are experiencing an increase in sales and why
  • How women, adults aged 18-34, Hispanics, and households with children are shaping the market
  • Innovations that are driving the market in the short term, and opportunities that lie ahead
  • New product trends that resonate with consumers
  • Retail outlets that are growing in importance
  • What product positioning themes are boosting sales
  • How eating occasions affect product selection
This report includes breakfast, cereal, and granola bars. Nutritional/intrinsic health bars such as Clif Bar and PowerBar, and rice snack squares, are not included.

This report contains US IRI InfoScan data.



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