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Impact of the Smoking Ban (The) - UK

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Dec. 1, 2007 - 73 Pages


Table of Contents


Issues in the Market


Main issues

Definition

Abbreviations



Market in Brief

I’m smoking a fag

Stubbing out

Although ban gets thumbs up…

…smokers are fuming

Smoke effect

I bet you smoke

A fag and a pint

Burning up the dance floor

But was it the ban?



Internal Market Environment

Key points

Lighting up legislation

Aim of the ban

Smoke from afar

At what cost?

Ireland one year on

Baby, it’s cold outside (and wet)

The importance of planning

Smoking statistics

Figure 1: Adults aged 16+ who have smoked cigarettes in the last 12 months, 2003-07

Quitting the habit

Figure 2: Giving up smoking, 2003-07

Overall three quarters support the ban…

Figure 3: Agreement with selected lifestyle statements, 2003-07

… but only a quarter of heavy smokers

Figure 4: Cigarette smoking, by agreement with selected lifestyle statements, 2007

Visiting gambling establishments

Figure 5: Cigarette smoking, by regular participation in selected activities, 2007

Visiting clubs

Figure 6: Cigarette smoking, by frequency of visiting nightclubs and other licensed clubs, 2007

Visiting pubs

Figure 7: Cigarette smoking, by frequency of visiting pubs/bars for a drink only, 2007

Figure 8: Cigarette smoking, by frequency of visiting pubs/bars for a meal, 2007



Broader Market Environment

Key points

Signs of an increasingly cautious approach to spending

Figure 9: Trends in PDI and consumer expenditure, 2002-12

Age trends largely favourable

Figure 10: Trends in the age structure of the UK population, by gender, 2002-12

Socio-economic trends hit bingo and other licensed venues

Figure 11: Forecast adult population trends, by socio-economic group, 2002-12



Competitive Context

Key points

General leisure spend

Figure 12: Consumer expenditure on selected leisure goods and activities, 2002-07

On- vs off-trade drinking

Figure 13: UK volume sales of alcoholic drinks, by distribution channel, 2001-06

Figure 14: UK value sales of alcoholic drinks, by distribution channel, 2001-06



Strengths and Weaknesses in the Market


Strengths

Weaknesses



Market Size and Forecast

Key points

Market overview

Gambling establishments

Eyes down, turnover down

Figure 15: The bingo market, 2002-12

Casino advantage holds for ban

Figure 16: Total expenditure in UK casinos, 2002/03-2012/13

Good odds for betting shops

Figure 17: Expenditure in UK betting shops, 2002-12

Figure 18: Attitudes towards UK betting shops with regards to the smoking ban, May 2007

Pub grub leads growth

Figure 19: UK pub market, 2002-12

There’s still fire in the disco

Figure 20: Trends in nightclub admissions and turnover, 2002-12



How are Operators Minimising the Negative Effects of the Smoking Ban?

Key points

The Rank Group

Gala Coral

Punch Taverns

JD Wetherspoon

Luminar plc

Ultimate Leisure



Smoking Habits

Key points

A quarter of UK adults regularly smoke

Figure 21: Smoking habits, August/September 2007

Less affluent people twice as likely to be smokers

Figure 22: Smoking habits, by detailed demographics, August/September 2007

Smokers tend to stick together

Figure 23: Smoking habits, August/September 2007

Smoking and eating out habits

Figure 24: Smoking habits, by attitudes towards eating out, August/September 2007



Licensed Venues Visited

Key points

Gambling visitors still in the minority

Figure 25: Venues visited, August/September 2007

Men prefer nightclubs and pubs…

Figure 26: Most popular venues visited, by detailed demographics, August/September 2007

…and other places you can get a drink

Figure 27: Next most popular venues visited, by detailed demographics, August/September 2007

Smokers more enthusiastic about nightclubs

Figure 28: Venues visited, by smoking habits, August/September 2007



Targeting Opportunities

Key points

AB women enjoy the ban the most

Figure 37: Consumers that enjoy going out more since the ban, August/September 2007

Smoking ban target groups

The Joyous (25% of 16+ adults or 12.3 million of the UK population)

The Unaffected (55% of 16+ adults or 27.2 million of the UK population)

The Reducers (9% of 16+ adults or 4.4 million of the UK population)

The Disrupted (11% of 16+ adults or 5.4 million of the UK population)

Not all smokers affected by ban

Figure 38: Smoking ban target groups, by smoking habits, August/September 2007

Results for venues largely positive

Figure 39: Smoking ban target groups, by venues visited, August/September 2007

Attitudes vary widely

Figure 40: Smoking ban target groups, by attitudes after the smoking ban, August/September 2007

Smoking ban target groups - detailed demographics

Figure 41: Smoking ban target groups, by detailed demographics, August/September 2007

Abstract

On 1 July 2007, the UK became the largest population of people, so far, to be affected by a smoking ban when England joined Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland in outlawing smoking in all indoor workplaces. The ban comes amidst a raft of other legislation; with the licensing trade still reeling from the 2003 Licensing Act and gambling establishments uncertain of the future heralded by the Gambling Act 2005. While the majority of the UK population thinks that the ban is a good idea, smokers have yet to be convinced and it is their patronage that venues often rely on.

Although still early days, some clear winners and losers are already being seen. Bingo has been hit particularly hard, for example, and it looks as though the industry will be changed irrevocably in the future. On the other hand, venues with a substantial food offer or extensive outside areas appear to be thriving. Unfortunately, summer 2007 was the wettest since 1766, which has added its own problems to the mix, and it is likely to be some time before the true picture is seen. This report provides a snapshot of the industry shortly after the ban went UK-wide and shows how operators are coping with the immediate aftermath.

This report covers three main areas of the leisure industry that are affected by the smoking ban:

  • Gambling establishments - bingo halls, casinos and betting shops.
  • Pubs - including traditional pubs, bars and wine bars.
  • Nightclubs (excluding those that are part of hotels).

It does not cover restaurants, licensed clubs (such as sports, social and members’ clubs), college bars or other leisure venues with a full on-licence.



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