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Stakeholder Insight: Prostate Cancer - Hormone-refractory patients still waiting for treatment breakthroughs

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Dec. 12, 2007 - 249 Pages


Table of Contents


ABOUT DATAMONITOR HEALTHCARE
About the Oncology pharmaceutical analysis team
CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Scope of the analysis
Datamonitor insight into the prostate cancer market
Contributing experts
Related reports
Upcoming reports
CHAPTER 2 INTRODUCTION AND SCOPE
Introduction
Coverage of the Stakeholder Insight Survey
Disease definition and epidemiology
Patient segmentation
Drug therapy for prostate cancer
Recurrent prostate cancer
Hormone-refractory prostate cancer
Pipeline products for hormone-refractory prostate cancer
CHAPTER 3 COUNTRY TREATMENT TREES
Introduction
Country treatment trees
US
Japan
France
Germany
Italy
Spain
UK
CHAPTER 4 DISEASE DEFINITION AND EPIDEMIOLOGY
Definition of prostate cancer
Prostate cancer
The most common cancer type and second leading cause of cancer-related death in males
Histology
The majority of prostate tumors are adenocarcinomas
Risk factors
Older age
Race
Family history
Hormones
Dietary factors
Symptoms
Symptoms frequently occur only at an advanced stage of prostate cancer
Screening and diagnosis
Measurement of PSA has proved fairly useful in the detection of prostate cancer, however, several issues need to be resolved
A widespread screening program exists in the US...
...however, in Europe, results from the ERSPC trial are necessary before screening programs can be considered
Though PSA screening has been shown useful in Japan, the practice is not widespread
Staging
Prostate cancer is staged using the TNM system and a histologically-based Gleason score
Epidemiology of prostate cancer
Incidence of prostate cancer
Prostate cancer is a tumor associated with older men, therefore incidence is rising in line with the ageing population
Mortality from prostate cancer
Potentially asymptomatic disease and a high rate of fatality from co-morbidities mean mortality from prostate cancer is not especially high
Prevalence of prostate cancer
Prevalence is high given the tendency for early diagnosis and low mortality
CHAPTER 5 PATIENT SEGMENTATION
Introduction
Staging of prostate cancer
Staging at diagnosis
Around half of all prostate cancer cases are diagnosed at a localized stage
Staging at the time of survey
A greater proportion have advanced-stage prostate cancer if patients at the time of survey are examined
One-quarter of all prostate cancer patients have hormone-refractory disease
Differences in staging
Urologists encounter more early-stage patients, while medical oncologists typically treat advanced disease...
...however, the difference is minimal in Japan due to its structure of medical practice
CHAPTER 6 INITIAL DRUG THERAPY FOR PROSTATE CANCER
Introduction
Overview of initial therapy for prostate cancer
Localized prostate cancer patients can undergo watchful waiting or radical prostatectomy
Initial treatment of locally advanced and metastatic prostate cancer constitutes androgen deprivation therapy
Initial treatment of prostate cancer
Initial use of drug therapy
As expected, use of initial drug therapy increases with an advancing stage of prostate cancer
However, a higher than expected proportion of localized stage patients appear to receive drug therapy
A lower proportion than average of locally advanced and metastatic prostate cancer patients receive initial drug therapy in the US
Specific initial drug therapy of prostate cancer
Across all stages of prostate cancer
LHRH agonist monotherapy and total androgen blockade are the favored drug regimens used in the initial treatment of prostate cancer
Localized prostate cancer
LHRH agonist monotherapy is generally sufficient given that an aggressive approach is not needed while the tumor is localized...
...however, in Spain and Japan, total androgen blockade is the favored initial treatment approach for localized prostate cancer
Anti-androgen monotherapy is the third most frequently used drug regimen for localized tumors due to its lower efficacy than medical castration
Use of cytotoxics with or without antihormonal therapy is very low in the initial treatment of localized prostate cancer
Locally advanced prostate cancer
On average, similar trends are seen in the initial treatment of locally advanced prostate cancer as for localized
More locally advanced patients receive TAB than localized patients, at the expense of use of anti-androgen monotherapy
Use of cytotoxics with or without antihormonal therapy is still low
Advanced prostate cancer
On average, the majority of advanced prostate cancer patients appear to receive the more aggressive total androgen blockade regimen as initial treatment, although this observation is deceptive
More advanced disease which may require more aggressive treatment means the combination of cytotoxics and antihormonal therapy is the third preferred initial regimen
Use of cytotoxics in the initial treatment of prostate cancer is relatively high across all stages in Germany
LHRH agonist monotherapy
Use of anti-androgens to counter testosterone flare
Use of anti-androgens to prevent testosterone flare from LHRH agonists increases with a more advanced stage of prostate cancer
Use of temporary anti-androgen therapy is, surprisingly, lowest in the US and Germany, and highest in the UK
Use of specific LHRH agonists as monotherapy
Leuprolide is the favored LHRH agonist for use as monotherapy across all stages of prostate cancer due to its availability in a variety of depot formulations
Goserelin is the second preferred LHRH agonist monotherapy across all stages of prostate cancer
Use of the various LHRH agonists varies greatly between countries, with use of leuprolide highest in the US and use of goserelin highest in the UK
Anti-androgen monotherapy
Use of specific anti-androgens as monotherapy
Bicalutamide, in varying dosing formulations, is the leading anti-androgen for use as monotherapy across all stage of prostate cancer
Despite being the only branded product in a heavily genericized market, Casodex (bicalutamide) remains the leader due to a number of advantages over its competition
Casodex is by far the preferred anti-androgen for use as monotherapy in each of the seven major pharmaceutical markets
Casodex 150mg has had a tumultuous regulatory pathway to date
The EPC trial showed that 150mg Casodex daily is suitable for treatment of locally advanced prostate cancer, but not localized disease
Casodex 150mg is still used in localized prostate cancer, according to surveyed physicians
In Japan, only 80mg Casodex is available, while in the US, only 50mg Casodex is available
In the EU, use of Casodex is more fragmented between the 50mg and 150mg formulations
Use of flutamide is highest in the US
Use of cyproterone and nilutamide are highest in the EU
Total androgen blockade
Use of specific total androgen blockade regimens
A combination of leuprolide and bicalutamide is the top TAB regimen across all stages of prostate cancer
No specific recommendations for TAB regimen are made, therefore the choice of agents is most likely due to physician preference or cost
In the US and Japan, the top three TAB regimens do not vary by stage, with the leading combination constituting leuprolide and bicalutamide
More variation is seen in the top three TAB regimens used in each of the five European countries, although leuprolide or goserelin with bicalutamide still emerge as the first or second preferred regimen in all markets
Use of specific formulations of LHRH agonists
Use of specific formulations as monotherapy or as part of combination regimens
On average across the seven major markets, the three-month depot version of leuprolide is the leading formulation of LHRH agonist
Three-month goserelin emerges as the second preferred formulation of LHRH agonist
Three-month formulations of LHRH agonist are deemed to offer the most convenience and flexibility to patients
In the US, use of alternative leuprolide formulations is favored
Triptorelin and buserelin formulations appear in the top three preferred LHRH agonist formulations only in four of the EU countries
CHAPTER 7 RECURRENT PROSTATE CANCER
Introduction
Overview of therapy for recurrent prostate cancer
Treatment of recurrent prostate cancer typically involves further lines of antihormonal therapy
Remission rates
Remission rates by stage of disease
Remission rates are surprisingly high in the more advanced stages of prostate cancer, indicating that systemic therapy may offer sufficient disease control
High use of TAB to treat localized disease in Japan may result in a significantly higher remission rate in these patients
Duration of remission
Duration of remission is longest in localized prostate cancer patients and shortest in advanced patients
A high proportion of localized patients are initially treated with drug therapy in Spain, thereby resulting in a higher duration of remission
Relapse rates
Patients who relapse following remission
As expected, relapse rates are highest among advanced prostate cancer patients and lowest in localized disease
Highest relapse rates in Spain, albeit for no apparent reason
Stage of disease present at relapse
Due to enhanced detection of rising PSA levels, relapsed disease can be identified while still at a localized stage
Hormone-refractory disease at relapse
Patients with more advanced disease may have more aggressive tumors, potentially placing them at a higher risk of developing hormone-refractory disease more quickly at relapse
Drug therapy for recurrent prostate cancer
Use of drug therapy for relapse
The majority of prostate cancer patients who relapse go on to receive further antihormonal and/or cytotoxic therapy
Surprisingly, drug therapy for relapsed disease is highest in the Japan and lowest in the US
Specific drug regimens used to treat recurrent prostate cancer
Drug therapy following LHRH agonist monotherapy
In accordance with treatment guidelines, the majority of patients receive TAB for relapsed disease after undergoing LHRH agonist monotherapy as initial therapy
Cytotoxic-based regimens are the second preference after LHRH agonist monotherapy, most likely for those patients with HRPC at relapse
Third choice varies between anti-androgen monotherapy or LHRH agonist monotherapy depending on the country
Drug therapy following anti-androgen monotherapy
TAB appears the favored regimen to follow initial anti-androgen monotherapy
On average, LHRH agonist monotherapy appears the second preferred treatment approach following initial anti-androgen monotherapy, although in some countries use is equivalent to that of cytotoxic-based regimens
The seven-market average dictates that cytotoxic-based regimens are the third preferred treatment option following initial anti-androgen monotherapy
Anti-androgen monotherapy in both the initial and second-line treatment settings has been clinically proven to offer few benefits
Drug therapy following total androgen blockade
Cytotoxic-based regimens are administered to the majority of patients who receive initial therapy with TAB
Continued TAB appears to be the second most popular approach following initial TAB therapy, possibly as part of an intermittent dosing regimen
On average, the third favored approach following initial TAB is LHRH agonist monotherapy, although significant differences occur between individual countries
Drug therapy following cytotoxic-based regimens with or without antihormonal therapy
Cytotoxic-based regimens are not typically used as initial therapy, therefore second-line treatment is highly fragmented between countries
CHAPTER 8 HORMONE-REFRACTORY PROSTATE CANCER
Introduction
Overview of therapy for hormone-refractory prostate cancer
Taxotere-based chemotherapy forms the first-line standard of care for HRPC patients
Bisphosphonates can be used to prevent the formation of bone metastases and to alleviate bone pain
Optimal second-line therapy for HRPC is yet to be defined
Progression to hormone-refractory prostate cancer
Patients who progress to hormone-refractory prostate cancer
Patients diagnosed with advanced prostate cancer are more likely to progress to HRPC than earlier-stage patients
Duration of antihormonal therapy prior to progression to HRPC
Localized patients undergo a longer duration of hormonal therapy prior to development of HRPC, while advanced patients progress more quickly
Drug therapy for hormone-refractory prostate cancer
Use of drug therapy for HRPC
Given the aggressive nature of HRPC, approximately three-quarters of patients receive drug therapy as treatment
Highest use of initial drug therapy for HRPC seen in Japan, lowest use seen in the US
First-line drug therapy
First-line drug regimens used to treat HRPC
Taxotere-based chemotherapy regimens are used heavily across all seven major pharmaceutical markets in the first-line treatment of HRPC
The leading seven-market first-line regimen is Taxotere and prednisone, which is expected given that this combination has regulatory approval for treatment of HRPC in the US and EU
Single-agent estramustine and single-agent Taxotere see equal use in the first-line treatment of HRPC when the seven-market average is examined despite a lack of robust supporting clinical data
Greater evidence exists supporting the first-line use of a Taxotere and estramustine combination in comparison to either agent as monotherapy
Use of secondary hormonal therapy as first-line treatment for HRPC may still be appropriate in those cases where androgen receptors are still active
Second-line drug therapy
Progression from first-line to second-line therapy
The majority of HRPC patients progress to second-line therapy, although variation is shown across the seven major markets
Second-line drug regimens used to treat HRPC
Use of Taxotere-based regimens is still high in the second-line treatment of HRPC, although mitoxantrone is also used frequently at this stage
The leading seven-market second-line regimens are single-agent mitoxantrone and a combination of Taxotere and prednisone, both administered to equal proportions of HRPC patients
Single-agent Taxotere is the third leading second-line regimen for the treatment of HRPC, most likely due to a lack of other approved agents
Use of single-agent estramustine is still high in the second-line treatment of HRPC in Japan, as well as in France, Italy and Spain
Continued use of a combination of Taxotere and estramustine is seen in the second-line treatment of HRPC in Japan
In Germany, a combination of vinorelbine and estramustine appears in the top three second-line regimens, most likely due to vinorelbine's milder toxicities
Secondary hormonal therapy is used in the second-line treatment of HRPC in Italy and the UK, which is somewhat surprising at this late stage
Key prescribing influences
Key prescribing influences for drug therapy of HRPC
The ability to improve overall survival, symptoms and quality of life are the leading two influences on prescribing for treatment of HRPC
The third leading prescribing influence concerns side-effect profiles, which is obviously of significance following improvements to survival and quality of life
The importance of remaining key prescribing influences vary depending on country-specific issues, with cost issues, method and frequency of administration and physician product familiarity more or less of similar weight
Relatively high importance of cost issues is expected in the more cost-conservative UK, but not in the US
Method of administration, frequency of dosing and physician product familiarity are all of similar relevance in each of the seven markets
Pharmaceutical company marketing and services appears to be the least important key prescribing influence across the seven major markets
CHAPTER 9 PIPELINE PRODUCTS FOR HORMONE-REFRACTORY PROSTATE CANCER
Introduction
Prostate cancer pipeline overview
Key pipeline product profiles
Abbott's Xinlay (atrasentan)
Spectrum Pharmaceuticals/GPC Biotech's Orplatna (satraplatin)
Dendreon's Provenge (sipuleucel-T)
Cell Genesys's GVAX
Novacea/Schering-Plough's Asentar (calcitriol, DN-101)
Northwest Biotherapeutics' DCVax-Prostate
Genentech/Roche's Avastin (bevacizumab)
Key attributes
Key attributes for HRPC pipeline products
As expected, the top desired attributes in a pipeline drug for HRPC is to prolong overall survival duration and improve quality of life
Superiority over the current first-line standard
Clinical improvements required for a pipeline drug to be used ahead of the current first-line standard, Taxotere plus prednisone
In order for a pipeline drug to be used in combination with Taxotere over the current first-line standard, relatively large improvements in clinical benefits would need to be shown
Acceptable price increase for a pipeline drug to be used in advance of the current first-line standard, Taxotere plus prednisone
Physicians speculate that payers are prepared to pay nearly 20% more for a pipeline drug if survival is increased, even at the expense of increased toxicity
Predicted performance of late-phase pipeline products
Pipeline drugs are predicted to have some advantages over the current standard
Taxotere-based regimens are ranked highest in terms of overall survival and symptom/quality of life improvements, which is expected given the solid clinical evidence available
In terms of side-effect profile, method of administration and frequency of dosing, pipeline products are all ranked ahead of the standard Taxotere-based regimen, which is ranked the lowest for each
Provenge is ranked highest in terms of side-effect profile
Xinlay is ranked highest in terms of method of administration and frequency of dosing
No difference is shown between pipeline products in terms of cost issues
Taxotere and Avastin are ranked higher in terms of pharmaceutical company services, most likely owing to the large and well-established nature of their manufacturers
Taxotere-based regimens and Avastin were ranked highest in terms of physician product/class familiarity, which is not surprising, given these two agents are formally approved for treatment of cancer
Brand mapping
Interpreting a brand map
The brand map confirms the observations made with respect to predicted performance of pipeline products for HRPC
APPENDIX A
Physician research methodology
Physician sample breakdown
US
Japan
France
Germany
Italy
Spain
UK
Supplementary data
Brand map interpretation
Key opinion leader interview transcripts
APPENDIX B
The survey questionnaire
1. Patient segmentation
2. Drug therapy for prostate cancer
3. Recurrent prostate cancer
4. Hormone-refractory prostate cancer
5. Pipeline drugs
APPENDIX C
Bibliography
List of Tables
List of Figures
List of abbreviations
About Datamonitor
About Datamonitor Healthcare
About the Oncology analysis team
Disclaimer


Abstract

Introduction

As a result of market dominance by agents such as leuprolide, and AstraZeneca’s Zoladex (goserelin) and Casodex (bicalutamide), there is little space in the antihormonal therapies market for new competition unless significant clinical superiority or a unique selling point is demonstrated. While Taxotere-based chemotherapy is the established first-line standard for hormone-refractory prostate cancer, many patients are still precluded from treatment due to toxicity concerns. This, coupled with a lack of second-line standard therapy, indicates a major gap in the market that could be potentially lucrative for drug developers. Enthusiasm has been shown by key opinion leaders regarding certain late-phase pipeline products, however, during the time of writing, publication of negative clinical trial data has meant a dampening of this optimism. It will therefore be some time before the high unmet needs in the hormone-refractory prostate cancer market are satisfied.

Scope

Identify key factors that influence prescribing patterns for systemic therapy of prostate cancer Examine the significant unmet needs in the prostate cancer market and identify opportunities for new product development Enhance commercial positioning by increasing understanding of current dynamics within the prostate cancer market

Highlights



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