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Organics - Germany

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Nov. 1, 2007 - 77 Pages


Table of Contents


ISSUES IN THE MARKET

Definition

Consumer research

ABBREVIATIONS

MARKET IN BRIEF

Double-digit growth rates continue

Taste, functionality and convenience gain importance

Imports account for the bulk of fresh produce

Organic manufacturers are joined by conventional suppliers and discounters

INTERNAL MARKET ENVIRONMENT

Key points

High number of outlets providing organic foods

Increased interest in healthy eating boosts the market

The less affluent East Germans are less willing to pay a premium for organics

Local fresh produce in demand

New EU seal may help imports further

Many organic shoppers are vegetarian

Government support waning

Area dedicated to organic farming expands at a slower rate

More support needed

BROADER MARKET ENVIRONMENT

Key points

Ageing population is an important driving force

Figure 1: Trends in German population, by age, 2002-12

Economic uncertainty has driven demand for affordable organic products

Figure 2: Trends in German PDI, consumer expenditure and GDP, at current prices, 2002-12

WHO’S INNOVATING?

Key points

Germany sees the largest number of new launches

Figure 3: New organic product launches, by country, 2006

Dairy remains dominant sector, but ready meals becoming more important

Figure 4: New organic product launches in Germany, by category, 2006

MARKET SIZE AND FORECAST

Key points

Continued growth attributable to a variety of factors

Figure 5: German retail value sales of organic food and non-alcoholic drinks, 2002-07

Figure 6: Spend per adult on organic food and non-alcoholic drinks, by country, 2002-07

Figure 7: Indexed growth in sales of organic food, by country, 2002-07

Non-alcoholic drinks see the best growth

Figure 8: German retail value sales of organic food and non-alcoholic drinks, by type, 2005-07

Further potential exists, but so do supply problems

Rationalisation continues

Product range to be extended and gaps to be filled

Increasing sophistication

Large grocery stores to gain market share at the expense of smaller outlets

Polarisation and flexibility to grow

Synergies with other markets may help growth

FORECAST

Figure 9: Forecast of German retail value sales of organic food and non-alcoholic drinks, at current and

constant prices, 2007-12

Promising economic conditions will drive growth

Market value set to double by 2011

Factors used in the forecast

SEGMENT PERFORMANCE

Key points

Potatoes, fruit and vegetables

Figure 10: German retail value sales of organic potatoes, fruit and vegetables, by type, 2005-07

Bread and other cereal products

Figure 11: German retail value sales of organic bread and other cereal products, by type, 2005-07

Dairy products

Figure 12: German retail value sales of organic dairy products, by type, 2005-07

Meat and poultry

Baby food and formula

Figure 13: German retail value sales of organic baby food and milk, by type, 2005-07

Eggs

Other foods

Non-alcoholic drinks

Figure 14: German retail value sales of organic non-alcoholic drinks, by type, 2005-07

MARKET SHARE

Key points

Few large organic manufacturers

Fresh food suppliers

Figure 15: Supply chain for organic potatoes, fruit and vegetables, 2007

Processed food suppliers

Top brands small, own-labels strong

Quality seals are important

COMPANIES AND PRODUCTS

Alnatura

Bioland

De-Vau-Ge

Hipp

Rapunzel

CHANNELS TO MARKET

Key points

Grocery outlets and specialists go fifty-fifty

Figure 16: German retail value sales of organic food and non-alcoholic drinks, by outlet type, 2003-07

Own-labels support growth through discounters

Grocery stores offer an expanding product range

Chain reaction

Mixed fortunes for smaller distributors

Sales by category

Figure 17: German retail value sales of selected types of organic foods, by outlet type, 2007

Figure 18: German retail value sales of dairy foods, by outlet type, 2007

THE CONSUMER - PAN-EUROPEAN OVERVIEW

Key points

Fruit and vegetables are most widely bought

Figure 19: Types of organic foods purchased in the last 12 months, by country, September 2007

Health considerations drive organic sales

Figure 20: Reasons for buying organic foods, by country, September 2007

Three in ten are loyal to German organic producers

Figure 21: Attitudes towards organic vs non-organic foods, by country, September 2007

Price is the key deterrent

Figure 22: Reasons for not buying organic foods, by country, September 2007

THE CONSUMER - PURCHASING AND ATTITUDES

Key points

Who buys organic food

Figure 23: Purchasing of organic food in last 12 months, by type, September 2007

Figure 24: Types of organic foods bought in last 12 months, by gender, age, income and presence of

children, Germany, September 2007

Reasons for buying organic - health in prime position

Figure 25: Reasons for buying organic foods, September 2007

Figure 26: Reasons for buying organic foods, by gender, age, income and presence of children, Germany,

September 2007

Organic vs food miles

Figure 27: Attitudes towards organic vs mon-organic foods, September 2007

Figure 28: Attitudes towards organic vs non-organic foods, by gender, age, income and presence of

children, Germany, September 2007

Reasons for not buying organic foods - price is the barrier

Figure 29: Reasons for not buying organic foods, September 2007

Figure 30: Reasons for not buying organic foods, by gender, age, income and presence of children,

Germany, September 2007

Repertoire - how many products do people buy

Figure 31: Organic repertoire, September 2007

Figure 32: Repertoires, by demographic sub-group, Germany, September 2007

Figure 33: Repertoire by number of products bought, Germany, September 2007

Attitude groups

Evangelicals (18% of Internet users)

Foodies (26% of Internet users)

Well-beings (21% of Internet users)

Pushed (36% of Internet users)

Figure 34: Attitude groups by country, September 2007

Figure 35: Attitude groups, by demographic sub-group, Germany, September 2007

Figure 36: Number of food categories where organics are bought, by attitude groups, Germany, September

2007

THE CONSUMER - FURTHER ATTITUDES TOWARDS ORGANICS

Key points

Germans are the most reluctant to pay a premium for organics

Figure 37: Attitudes towards organic, additive-free and free-range food, by country, 2006

Purse strings kept even tighter

Figure 38: Trends in attitudes towards organic, additive-free and free-range food, Germany, 2002-06

Women, older consumers and high earners form core target audience

APPENDIX: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

Abstract

The German organic food and drinks market continues to grow at double digit rates; in 2007, overall sales are estimated to reach €5.2 billion, up 12% on 2006. The growth, which comes despite falling prices, can be attributed to several factors: the increasing presence of conventional grocery stores, which now take half of value sales; the spread of organic supermarkets; an expanding product range addressing contemporary consumer needs, such as convenience, taste and functionality; and a growing number of middle-aged and elderly Germans, who tend to favour organics. The large dairy and small drinks sectors have performed best since 2005, growing by 52% and 71%, respectively. The market is expected to evolve further: the currently still high price premium is likely to diminish, and products will become ever more sophisticated and varied.

This report covers the retail market for organic food and non-alcoholic drinks, produced according to organic principles and standards. This includes fruit and vegetables, meat and poultry, dairy products, fish and seafood, eggs, prepared foods and groceries, cereal products, baby and toddler foods, infant formula, soft drinks, and beverages such as tea and coffee. It includes organic foods that are fresh, frozen or ambient.

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