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World Motorcycles

Published by: Freedonia Group Inc

Published: Oct. 1, 2007


Table of Contents


INTRODUCTION

I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT

General

World Economic Overview

World Demographic Outlook

World Population Outlook

World Urban Population Outlook

Households

World Consumer Spending Outlook

World Light Vehicle Overview

Light Vehicle Production

Light Vehicle Sales

Motorcycle Industry Trends

Environmental & Regulatory Factors

Motorcycle Emissions

Motorcycle Safety

Pricing Trends

Technological Trends

Ongoing Shift from 2-Stroke to 4-Stroke Engines

Arrival of Electric Motorbikes

III. WORLD OVERVIEW

General

Two Market Models: Developed Versus Emerging

Historical Context: Japan in the 1950s

Forecast Model Inputs

Income Distribution

Age & Demographics

Climate

Safety

Other Factors

Model Fit & Implementation

Demand by Region

Demand by Type

Production by Region

Foreign Trade in Motorcycles

IV. NORTH AMERICA

General

Motorcycle Demand by Type

United States

Canada

Mexico

V. WESTERN EUROPE

General

Motorcycle Demand by Type

Italy

France

Germany

Spain

United Kingdom

Other Western Europe

VI. ASIA/PACIFIC

General

Motorcycle Demand by Type

China

India

Indonesia

Vietnam

Thailand

Japan

Taiwan

South Korea

Australia

Other Asia/Pacific

VII. OTHER REGIONS

General

Motorcycle Demand by Type

Latin America

Brazil

Other Latin America

Eastern Europe

Africa/Mideast

VIII. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

General

Industry Composition

Market Share

Industry Restructuring

Cooperative Agreements

Marketing & Distribution

Research & Product Development

Manufacturing

Competitive Strategies

Industry Globalization Trends

Company Profiles

American IronHorse Motorcycle Company

Bajaj Auto Limited

Bayerische Motoren Werke AG

Big Dog Motorcycles LLC

Bimota SpA

Buell Motorcycle Company LLC, see Harley-Davidson

China Jialing Industrial Company Limited

Chongqing Lifan Industry Group Company Limited

Dachangjiang Group Company Limited

Daelim Industrial Company Limited

Ducati Motor Holding SpA

Eicher Motors Limited

Geely International Corporation

Harley-Davidson Incorporated

Hero Honda, see Honda Motor Company

Honda Motor Company Limited

Hong Leong Industries Berhad

JAWA Moto spol sro

Jianshe Industry Group Limited

Kawasaki Heavy Industries Limited

KTM Power Sports AG

MV Agusta Motor SpA

Peugeot SA

Piaggio & Company SpA

Polaris Industries Incorporated

Qianjiang Group Company Limited

Royal Enfield, see Eicher Motors

Segway Incorporated

Suzuki Motor Corporation

Triumph Motorcycles Limited

Yamaha Motor Company Limited

ZAP

Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle Company Limited

Zongshen Industrial Group

Other Companies in the World Motorcycle Industry

LIST OF TABLES

SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Summary Table

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT

1 World Gross Domestic Product by Region

2 World Population by Region

3 World Urban Population

4 World Households by Region

5 World Personal Consumption Expenditures

6 World Light Vehicle Production

7 World Light Vehicle Sales

8 Sales-Weighted Motorcycle Manufacturer Pricing

9 World Motorcycle Engine Type

SECTION III -- WORLD OVERVIEW

1 World Motorcycle Demand by Region

2 World Motorcycle Demand by Type

3 World Motorcycle Production by Region

4 World Motorcycle Net Exports by Region

SECTION IV -- NORTH AMERICA

1 North America Motorcycle Supply & Demand

2 North America Motorcycle Demand by Type

3 United States Motorcycle Supply & Demand

4 United States Motorcycle Demand by Type

5 Canada Motorcycle Supply & Demand

6 Canada Motorcycle Demand by Type

7 Mexico Motorcycle Supply & Demand

8 Mexico Motorcycle Demand by Type

SECTION V -- WESTERN EUROPE

1 Western Europe Motorcycle Supply & Demand

2 Western Europe Motorcycle Demand by Type

3 Italy Motorcycle Supply & Demand

4 Italy Motorcycle Demand by Type

5 France Motorcycle Supply & Demand

6 France Motorcycle Demand by Type

7 Germany Motorcycle Supply & Demand

8 Germany Motorcycle Demand by Type

9 Spain Motorcycle Supply & Demand

10 Spain Motorcycle Demand by Type

11 United Kingdom Motorcycle Supply & Demand

12 United Kingdom Motorcycle Demand by Type

13 Other Western Europe Motorcycle Supply & Demand

14 Other Western Europe Motorcycle Demand by Type

SECTION VI -- ASIA/PACIFIC

1 Asia/Pacific Motorcycle Supply & Demand

2 Asia/Pacific Motorcycle Demand by Type

3 China Motorcycle Supply & Demand

4 China Motorcycle Demand by Type

5 India Motorcycle Supply & Demand

6 India Motorcycle Demand by Type

7 Indonesia Motorcycle Supply & Demand

8 Indonesia Motorcycle Demand by Type

9 Vietnam Motorcycle Supply & Demand

10 Vietnam Motorcycle Demand by Type

11 Thailand Motorcycle Supply & Demand

12 Thailand Motorcycle Demand by Type

13 Japan Motorcycle Supply & Demand

14 Japan Motorcycle Demand by Type

15 Taiwan Motorcycle Supply & Demand

16 Taiwan Motorcycle Demand by Type

17 South Korea Motorcycle Supply & Demand

18 South Korea Motorcycle Demand by Type

19 Australia Motorcycle Supply & Demand

20 Australia Motorcycle Demand by Type

21 Other Asia/Pacific Motorcycle Supply & Demand

22 Other Asia/Pacific Motorcycle Demand by Type

SECTION VII -- OTHER REGIONS

1 Other Regions Motorcycle Supply & Demand

2 Other Regions Motorcycle Demand by Type

3 Latin America Motorcycle Supply & Demand

4 Latin America Motorcycle Demand by Type

5 Brazil Motorcycle Supply & Demand

6 Brazil Motorcycle Demand by Type

7 Other Latin America Motorcycle Supply & Demand

8 Other Latin America Motorcycle Demand by Type

9 Eastern Europe Motorcycle Supply & Demand

10 Eastern Europe Motorcycle Demand by Type

11 Africa/Mideast Motorcycle Supply & Demand

12 Africa/Mideast Motorcycle Demand by Type

SECTION VIII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

1 Sales of Selected Motorcycle Producers, 2006

2 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures

3 Selected Cooperative Agreements

LIST OF CHARTS

SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1 World Motorcycle Industry Breakdown by Units, Sales & Profits, 2006

SECTION III -- WORLD OVERVIEW

1 Motorcycle Versus Passenger Car Sales Trend -- Japan, 1950 to 2000

2 Ratio of Motorcycle to Passenger Car Sales -- Japan, 1950 to 2000

3 Relationship of GDP per Capita to Relative Motorcycle Sales Dominance -- Japan, 1950 to 1970

4 Relationship of Income Distribution to GDP per Capita, 2006

5 Median Age Level in Selected Countries, 2006

6 US Motorcycle Accident Fatality Rates, 1994 to 2006

7 US Motorcyclist Traffic Fatalities by Age Group, 1995 &

8 Comparison of GDP per Capita & Motorcycle Dominance, 2002 to 2006

9 Typical Motorcycle Market Transition Point -- Selected Countries, 2006

10 World Motorcycle Demand by Region, 2006

11 World Motorcycle Demand by Type, 2006

12 World Motorcycle Production by Region, 2006

SECTION VIII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

1 World Motorcycle Market Share, 2006

2 Honda Motorcycle Production Globalization Timeline

3 Global Motorcycle Industry Minimum Efficient Scale Analysis, 2006

4 Profitability Trends -- Global Versus Regional Players, 1998 to 2006

5 Globalization Levels in Units Versus Dollars, 2006

6 Honda Global Sales Distribution, 2006

7 World Motorcycle Industry Breakdown by Units, Sales & Profits, 2006

Abstract

Global demand to rise 5.4% annually through 2011
Demand for motorcycles worldwide will rise 5.4 percent annually to 55.7 million units in 2011, with growth emanating from a mix of developed market incremental improvements and emerging market expansions. Demand for all categories of motorcycles is expected to remain healthy, despite the anticipated slowdown in key markets. China, for example, the largest motorcycle market and producer in unit terms, is rapidly transitioning away from motorcycles toward cars, and in the process flooding the world market with motorcycle exports. In contrast, rising fuel prices and increasing restrictions on car use are favoring motorcycles in developed markets. The market for large and expensive high displacement motorcycles will remain strong through 2011, but concerns regarding demand have emerged due to the aging of the customer base and rising insurance costs, especially in the US and Western Europe.

Higher value products dominate Triad market
Two separate motorcycle markets exist. The first is centered in the industrialized Triad (i.e., the US, Japan and Western Europe), where motorcycles are seen as pleasure vehicles by consumers who already have one or more automobiles. These motorcycles on average tend to be larger, more powerful machines which cost on average about $5,000 to $6,500 (in the US and Europe), and somewhat less in Japan. The other, much larger market in unit terms, is found in the emerging economies of the Asia/Pacific, Latin America and Africa/Mideast regions, where motorcycles are seen as primary family and work vehicles. These vehicles are cheaper, smaller and less powerful than Triad motorcycles.

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