The Biofuels Market Outlook: Market Drivers, Growth Opportunities And Regulatory Change

Published by: Business Insights

Published: Oct. 1, 2007 - 107 Pages

Table of Contents

The Biofuels Market Outlook

Executive Summary

What is biofuel?

Industry forecasts for biofuels

Biofuels market drivers and inhibitors

The biofuel economy

Biofuels market size and forecast

Regulations and policies

Chapter 1 Introduction

Audience

How to read this report

Chapter 2 What is biofuel?

Summary

World energy demand

Climate change

Renewable energy

Biomass

What is biomass?

Population, energy consumption and biomass

What is biofuel?

Solid biofuels

Liquid biofuels

Gas biofuels

Biofuels in current use

Ethanol

Distribution, storage and blending

End-use

Biodiesel

Distribution, storage, blending

End-use

Advanced biofuels

Chapter 3 Industry forecasts for biofuels

Summary

Introduction

Economic competitiveness of biofuels and biomass

Biofuel technology development

Biofuel drivers and inhibitors

Conclusions

Chapter 4 Biofuel drivers and inhibitors

Summary

Market background

Drivers of the biofuels market

Greenhouse gases and environmental concerns

Regulatory incentives/pressure

Concern about energy security

Rising cost of existing fuel supplies

Consumer pressure

Inhibitors of the biofuels market

The biofuel economy

Sustainability concerns and the rising price of food crops

Limited biofuels infrastructure

Biomass and land availability

Chapter 5 The biofuel economy

Summary

Introduction

The biofuel economy

Production costs

Cost of distribution

Cost at filling station

Car costs and fuel efficiency

Conclusions

Chapter 6 Biofuels market size and forecasts

Summary

Worldwide energy demand

Biofuels market sizing

Worldwide

Ethanol

Biodiesel

Europe

Ethanol

Biodiesel

The US

Ethanol production

Biodiesel

Brazil

Ethanol

India

Ethanol

Biodiesel

China

Chapter 7 Biofuels policies and regulations

Summary

Introduction

Policy frameworks

Renewable energy targets

Kyoto Protocol

European Union

The United States

Developing nations

Biofuels targets

Biofuels policy overview by region

The European Union

Biofuels Directive

Directive 2003/96/EC

Incentives for biofuels

Tax incentives

The United States

US Energy Policy Act 2005

Brazil

Proalcool Program

India

National Biodiesel Mission

China

National Biomass Ethanol Gasoline Project

The Renewable Energy Law of the People’s Republic of China

Conclusions

References

Index

List of Figures

Figure 3.1: Relative competitiveness of alternative energies in five years

Figure 3.2: Relative economic competitiveness of biofuels now and in the next five years

Figure 3.3: What proportion of world fuel/demand will biofuels and biomass account for by 2017?

Figure 3.4: Within how long will biofuels account for 50% of global fuel/energy production?

Figure 3.5: Which regions will lead the development of biofuels over the next five years?

Figure 3.6: How important will the following factors be in driving the biofuels market over thenext five years?

Figure 3.7: How important will the following factors be in inhibiting the biofuels market over thenext five years?

Figure 3.8: What impact will biofuels production have on the global price of food crops?

Figure 4.9: Projected worldwide oil consumption

Figure 4.10: Opting for green energy is one behavioural aspect of rising environmental attitudes

Figure 4.11: The potential biomass availability of EU15, AC10 and/or Europe according to fivestudies (left part of the figure)

Figure 5.12: Cost of distribution and dispensation of various fuels from a central production facilityto a filling station (€/GJ)

Figure 5.13: Costs of various biofuels at the filling station using existing technology (2004)

Figure 5.14: Car costs (€) and fuel efficiencies (km/GJ of fuel) of passenger cars by fuel and enginesystem

Figure 6.15: Top 10 global ethanol producers, 2005

Figure 7.16: Mechanisms to incentivize renewable energy generation

Figure 7.17: Renewable electricity production in Germany and UK, 1995-2005

Figure 7.18: Renewable fuels targets in the US (gallons bn), 2006-2012

List of Tables

Table 2.1: World Renewable Energy 2005

Table 2.2: Population, energy consumption and biomass contribution in selected regions

Table 2.3: Typical oil extraction from 100kg of oil seeds

Table 2.4: Comparison of first-generation versus ‘advanced’ biofuels

Table 4.5: Projected world energy demand to 2030

Table 4.6: Growth in energy demand by region (2000-2030)

Table 4.7: Projected worldwide oil consumption (million barrels / day), 2005-2025

Table 4.8: CO2 equivalent emissions savings from biofuels

Table 4.9: Average annual oil price (US$ per barrel)

Table 4.10: Key barriers for biofuels

Table 5.11: Production costs of biofuels from various crops

Table 5.12: Cost of distribution and dispensation of various fuels from a central production facilityto a filling station (€/GJ)

Table 5.13: Costs of various biofuels at the filling station using existing technology (2004)

Table 5.14: Cost comparison of biofuels with petroleum fossil fuels

Table 5.15: Cost estimates of various biofuels at the filling station using future technology, post-2010

Table 5.16: Car costs (€) and fuel efficiencies (km/GJ of fuel) of passenger cars by fuel and enginesystem

Table 6.17: Comparison of worldwide fuel production from hydrocarbon sources versus biomasssources, 2005

Table 6.18: Amounts of raw materials to meet worldwide fuel demand, 2005

Table 6.19: Top 10 global ethanol producers, 2005

Table 6.20: Worldwide ethanol supply and demand, 2005 and 2010 (m3) for selected countries

Table 6.21: Top European ethanol producers 2005 (millions of gallons)

Table 6.22: EU market share of biodiesel production in 2005

Table 6.23: Projected US ethanol production, 2006-2012

Table 6.24: US ethanol market revenue forecast, 2006-2012

Table 6.25: Ethanol profile comparison of the US and Brazil (2006)

Table 6.26: Projected demand and supply of ethanol in India for 5% blend with gasoline

Table 6.27: Projected demand for gasoline and diesel in India to 2012

Table 6.28: Diesel and biodiesel demand in India using Jatropha

Table 7.29: Biofuels infrastructure profiles Q107

Table 7.30: Renewable fuels targets in the US (gallons bn), 2006-2012

Table 7.31: Biofuels energy targets

Table 7.32: Biofuel policy overview of selected countries

Abstract

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