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Estate Agents & Services

Published by: Key Note Publications Ltd

Published: Sep. 1, 2007 - 178 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary

1. Introduction

OVERVIEW

DEFINITION

2. Strategic Overview

MARKET DYNAMICS

Setting the Scene

HIP Hopping

Four Main Categories

Changing Structure

Table 1: Leading Groups of Residential Estate Agents in the UK (number and %), 2004, 2006 and 2007

International Agents

Savills

Knight Frank

Hamptons International

Humberts Group

Harrods Estates

Substantial Provincial Chains

Arun Estate Agencies

Kinleigh Folkard & Hayward

Andrews Estate Agents

Chancellors Estate Agents

Selling Prestige Homes

Jackson-Stops & Staff

Strutt & Parker

Lane Fox

Foxtons

Smiths Gore

Agencies Important In Their Regions

Bradleys

Townends

Farrell Heyworth

Acorn Group

Keith Pattinson

Jump Estate Agency Group

Peter Alan

O'Riordan Bond

Goadsby

The Venmore Partnership

Burchell Edwards

Rook Matthews Sayer

Dacre Son & Hartley

Lettings Specialists

Leaders

Belvoir

Jordans

Association of Residential Letting Agents

Affinity Groups

movewithus

Home Sale Network

HomeLink Network

Others

Franchising

RE/MAX

Xperience

Townends

Winkworth

Hunters

Others

A RESILIENT MARKET

Figure 1: Changes in the UK Interest Rate (%), July 2003-July 2007

No Simple Answer

Table 2: Number of Housing Transactions in England and Wales (000 and index 1978=100), 1978-2006

Figure 2: Number of Housing Transactions in England and Wales (000), 2002-2006

Figure 3: Number of Housing Transactions in England and Wales and Average UK House Prices (000 and £), 1996-2006

THE HEALTH OF ESTATE AGENCY

2002

2004 and 2005

2006 and 2007

ADVERTISING

CONSUMER RESEARCH

KEY POINTS

3. Marketing Trends

PROPERTY PORTALS

Rightmove

ESPC (UK)

Primelocation

Table 3: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Online Estate Agents/Move Services by Principal Advertisers (£000 and %), Year Ending March 2007

Findaproperty

Propertyfinder

Other Portals

Look4aProperty/look4ahouse

Fish4 Homes

Halfapercent

Casualties

RESIDENTIAL ESTATE AGENTS

Table 4: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Residential Estate Agents in the UK by Principal Advertisers (£000 and %), Year Ending March 2007

OVERSEAS PROPERTY COMPANIES

Table 5: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Overseas Property Companies by Principal Advertisers (£000 and %), Year Ending March 2007

HOUSEBUILDERS AND PROPERTY DEVELOPERS

Table 6: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Housebuilders and Property Developers by Principal Advertisers (£000 and %), Year Ending March 2007

BYPASSING THE AGENT

KEY POINTS

4. An International Perspective

NEGATIVE AMORTISATION

SPANISH WOBBLE

LOOK EAST?

AN INTERNATIONAL MARKET

KEY POINTS

5. PEST Analysis

POLITICAL FACTORS

Stamp Duty — An Onerous Tax

Table 7: Credit and Loans Outstanding to Individuals and Housing Associations in the UK (£m and index 2000=100), Years Ending 31st March 2000-2007

Questions of Zero Carbon

Homes for First-Time Buyers?

ECONOMIC FACTORS

Return of the Long-Term Tenant

The Spread of Unaffordability

Table 8: Income Distribution in the UK (% and £), 1999/2000 and 2004/2005

SOCIAL FACTORS

TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS

KEY POINTS

6. Consumer Dynamics

INTRODUCTION

Table 9: Summary of Results (% of respondents), 2007

HOME INFORMATION PACKS

Table 10: Attitudes Towards Home Information Packs (% of respondents), 2007

BUYING AND SELLING PROPERTY THROUGH AN ESTATE AGENT

Table 11: Buying and Selling Through an Estate Agent at Least Once in the Past 7 Years by Social Grade (% of respondents), 2007

Table 12: Buying and Selling Through an Estate Agent at Least Once in the Past 7 Years (% of respondents), 2007

LETTING OUT AND RENTING PROPERTY THROUGH AN ESTATE AGENT

Table 13: Letting Out and Renting Property Through An Estate Agent at Least Once in the Past 7 Years by Age (% of respondents), 2007

Table 14: Letting Out and Renting Property Through An Estate Agent at Least Once in the Past 7 Years by Social Grade (% of respondents), 2007

Table 15: Letting Out and Renting Property Through An Estate Agent at Least Once in the Past 7 Years (% of respondents), 2007

A MOBILE NATION

Table 16: Those Who Have Moved Home at Least Once in the Past 7 Years (% of respondents), 2007

VISITING AN ESTATE AGENT'S OFFICE AND SEARCHING THE INTERNET FOR PROPERTIES

Table 17: Visiting an Estate Agent's Office and Searching the Internet for Properties (% of respondents), 2007

RENTING OUT PROPERTY

Table 18: Renting Out Property (% of respondents), 2007

HOLIDAY HOME OWNERSHIP

Table 19: Holiday Home Ownership (% of respondents), 2007

ATTITUDES TOWARDS ESTATE AGENTS

Table 20: Attitudes Towards Estate Agents — Those Who Agree That Estate Agents are Trustworthy and Properly Regulated (% of respondents), 2007

Table 21: Attitudes Towards Estate Agents — Those Who Agree That Estate Agents are Qualified Professional People and Give Good Value for Money (% of respondents), 2007

KEY POINTS

7. Company Profiles

INTRODUCTION

COUNTRYWIDE

Corporate Strategy

Advertising and Distribution

Profitability

Table 22: Financial Results for Countrywide PLC (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006

Table 23: Turnover and Operating Profit for Countrywide PLC by Sector (£m and %), Year Ending 31st December 2006

Future Developments

CONNELLS

Corporate Strategy

Advertising and Distribution

Profitability

Table 24: Financial Results for Connells Ltd (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2003-2005

Future Developments

LSL PROPERTY SERVICES

Corporate Strategy

Advertising and Distribution

Profitability

Table 25: Financial Results for LSL Property Services PLC (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006

Table 26: Financial Results for your-move.co.uk ltd (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006

Table 27: Financial Results for Reeds Rains Ltd (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006

Future Developments

HALIFAX ESTATE AGENCIES

Corporate Strategy

Advertising and Distribution

Profitability

Table 28: Financial Results for Halifax Estate Agencies Ltd (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2003-2005

Table 29: Financial Results for HBOS PLC (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006

Future Developments

SPICERHAART

Corporate Strategy

Advertising and Distribution

Profitability

Table 30: Financial Results for Spicerhaart Group Ltd (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2003-2005

Future Developments

ARUN ESTATE AGENCIES

Corporate Strategy

Advertising and Distribution

Profitability

Table 31: Financial Results for Arun Estate Agencies Ltd (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st March 2005-2007

Future Developments

RIGHTMOVE

Corporate Strategy

Advertising and Distribution

Profitability

Table 32: Financial Results for Rightmove PLC (£000, number, % and £), Years Ending 31st December 2004-2006

Future Developments

KEY POINTS

8. The Future

SOCIAL GAPS

The Home-Owning Elderly

The Wealthy Investors

The Young

LONG-TERM RENTING

THE BRITISH OBSESSION

Property as a Cash Cow for Government

Paying for Long-Term Care

Table 33: Trends in Life Expectancy and Healthy Life Expectancy at Birth in the UK by Sex (years and %), 1981 and 2001

Figure 4: Trends in Life Expectancy and Healthy Life Expectancy at Birth in the UK by Sex (years), 1981 and 2001

Table 34: Projected UK Population by Age (000), 2007-2017

The Asset Management Business

THE STRUCTURE OF ESTATE AGENCY

Diversification — Where Do Estate Agencies Go Next?

Franchising 142

The Entry of Mass-Market Retailers?

KEY POINTS

10. Consumer Confidence

METHODOLOGY

KEY FINDINGS THIS QUARTER

THE WILLINGNESS TO BORROW

Confidence Improves

Table A: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices (£ and £bn), February 2006-2007

Willingness to Borrow Slips Slightly

Table B: The Number of Adults Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items (000 and %), February 2006-2007

SPENDING FROM SAVINGS

Slight Increase in Spending from Savings

Table C: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Spend from Savings in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices (£ and £bn), February 2006-2007

Saving Grows in Relative Importance

Table D: The Average Amounts Adults Are Confident Spending to Purchase Expensive Items (£ and %), February 2006-2007

11. Further Sources

Associations

Estate Agencies

Publications

Government and Official Sources

General Sources

Other Sources

Bisnode Sources

Abstract

There are four main circuits of UK estate agents selling residential property: international agents for prestige properties; mass-market national agents; regional agents; and independents with local to regional coverage. Scotland has few estate agents, because solicitors sell most property in the country. The leading mass-market estate agencies in the UK are Countrywide; Connells; LSL Property Services, with YOUR MOVE and Reeds Rains; Halifax Property Services; and the independent Spicerhaart. The leading international agents are Savills, Knight Frank and Dubai-owned Hamptons International. In 2005, the total estate agency sector, including all real-estate activities on a fee or contract basis, covering national, international, commercial and domestic subsectors, recorded a total turnover of £12.07bn. The five largest residential estate agency firms, by number of offices, had a combined turnover of around £1.05bn.

Demand for private rented accommodation is rising. Specialist lettings agencies include Leaders, Belvoir and Jordans. The importance of residential lettings in modern estate agency is clear from the merger of the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) with the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA), which took effect in July 2007. Among young adults, fading aspirations to home ownership boost the rental market. There are more people renting than letting property through agents, pointing to a core of landlords who own two or more properties to let. The demographic profile of landlords highlights the asset gap between the most and least affluent social grades (this gap also applies to holiday homes).

Estate agency was more profitable in 2006 than in 2005 and many firms returned their best-ever figures. Income from residential sales in 2006 reached £4.5bn, with a further £2.8bn from other operations, making a total of around £7.3bn. Affinity groups help independents to compete with the large chains. The advance of franchising of fascia brands within Countrywide and LSL Property Services also enables independents to buy a stake within estate agency.

The property market remained robust in spring 2007, despite higher interest rates, but began to cool in the summer. Demand from investors and recent immigrants, and property shortages in popular areas, underpinned the market.

Important points raised from Key Note's exclusive consumer research included an alarming lack of awareness about Home Information Packs (HIPs) — which eventually began a phased introduction in August 2007 — with nearly half of respondents (47.8%) saying that they have not heard of HIPs. Interestingly, fewer than a quarter of respondents (24.3%) thought that the packs would make home purchase easier, although this was the rationale behind their intended introduction.

Private sales bypassing agents have not caught on: estate agents, helped by effective marketing, have consolidated their position. Key Note's research shows that 19.7% of respondents have used an estate agent to sell a property at least once in the past 7 years and 19.8% have used one to buy a property at least once over the same period. More than eight in ten respondents said that they would visit an estate agent's office if they wanted to move home and almost six in ten agreed that they would search the Internet for properties if they wanted to move home. Fewer than half of respondents thought that estate agents are trustworthy, but more than half agreed that they are qualified professional people.

In 2007, estate agents are experiencing a downturn in the US and in Spain, while those selling properties in Eastern Europe are benefiting from booming interest. International property sales to the mass market have soared since the mid-1990s, but will suffer in future from costlier energy, making travel, heating and cooling more expensive. While long-haul purchases will continue to make sense for many major investors who can employ local staff and draw economies of scale, this is not so for personal buyers, who risk making unwise and unprofitable purchases.

Politicians are not yet planning clearly enough for sustainable housing within sustainable communities, a policy portfolio to which estate agents, with their local knowledge, could make a real contribution.

The expansion of private rentals should continue, as more potential first-time buyers are priced out of home ownership and as investors treat residential property more as an asset class than as a social necessity. The advance of residential property as an investment class requires estate agents to become knowledgeable about raising finance, investment prospects and taxation structures. A growing rentals sector has implications for Housing Benefit and Local Housing Allowance, which is costing the state more than £15.5bn in 2007/2008.

The Internet, an international medium, has contributed to rising property prices by enabling even the smallest, cheapest properties to be advertised globally at low cost, therefore vastly increasing the number of potential buyers.

Countrywide, the largest national chain of estate agents, was bought for £1.05bn by US private-equity firm Apollo Management in 2007. Countrywide is expanding through selling franchises for the Bairstow Eves fascia. Connells, the largest seller of new homes in the UK, and part of the group including the Skipton Building Society, continues to develop partnerships with housebuilders, and has expanded into selling new properties overseas. YOUR MOVE and Reeds Rains, the agency groups within LSL Property Services, are growing through franchising, as well as through financial services, many of them from Norwich Union, whose parent Aviva owned YOUR MOVE until 2004. Halifax Estate Agencies provides a distribution channel for the HBOS banking group. As with Countrywide and YOUR MOVE, growth in branch numbers is primarily through franchising, which Halifax terms as licensing. The independent Spicerhaart, the fifth-largest national chain by outlet numbers, has found growth difficult. Financial services are a priority in 2007, as part of a one-stop-shop approach to property.

Rightmove has won the contest of the property portals, because the website is well designed, fast and easy to use, and contains vast amounts of information. The success of Rightmove benefits the major shareholders Connells, Countrywide and Halifax Estate Agencies.

International investors favour land and property in the UK for reasons of stability and security, as much as for immediate profit potential, but the inflow of funds is pushing prices up rapidly. The international market is divorced from the national market, in which the strata are becoming separate, rather than a fluid continuum, owing to greater concentration of wealth, widening gaps between high and average earners, and personal taxation that hits the middle sections of society hardest.

First-time buyers may be overstating their incomes to obtain a mortgage, with the risk that they will not be able to maintain loan repayments. The affordability gap is boosting the private rentals sector, which is also supported by Housing Benefit. Calls for convergence between the private and social rented sectors are increasing. Private rentals are expected to grow by around 50% between 2007 and 2017, creating a need for estate agencies to let and manage much larger numbers of rental properties. By 2030, more than half of the UK's households could be in rented homes.

Estate agency is transforming from a retail service for occasional customers to an asset-management service for continuing clients. In future, more of the mass market will be devoted to lettings, and the trend towards enhanced professionalism, financial services and integrated property services in estate agency will continue. Tesco's entry into the estate agency market in summer 2007, as an additional shop window, should benefit the property market overall.



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