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Strategic Analysis of the Indian Biofuels Market

Published by: Frost & Sullivan

Published: Sep. 30, 2007 - 64 Pages


Table of Contents


1. Executive Summary

1. Frost & Sullivan’s Analysis of the Indian Biofuels Sector

1. Why Biofuels?




2. Indian Biodiesel Market

1. Preface

1. A Hard Fact

2. Biodiesel Basics

3. Why Biodiesel?

4. Is Biodiesel Carbon Neutral?

5. India Calling - Is there an Opportunity for Biodiesel in India?

6. The Solution So Far

2. Manufacturing Economics

1. How is Biodiesel Manufactured?

2. The Principles of Production

3. Biodiesel Production Economics - What are the Risks?

3. Indian Biodiesel Market - Where are we Today?

1. A Status Check

2. Why are we Still Lagging as Compared to our European Counterparts?

3. If not for Commercial Manufacture What Kind of Activities have been Happening?

4. What has Happened on the Regulation Front?

5. What could have been?

6. Export Market Opportunities

4. Feedstock Analysis

1. Feedstock Options - Global Outlook

2. How does the Issue of Feedstock Impact a Biodiesel Manufacturer’s Business Model?

3. But Why Jatropha?

4. What is the Opportunity For Jatropha Plantations in India?

5. What Has the Indian Government Done to Promote Jatropha?

6. The Jatropha Movement - Is this Enough?

5. Market Dyanamics

1. Industry Challenges

2. Market Drivers

a. Export Markets Provides Stimulus for Biodiesel Investments

b. Volatile Oil Prices

c. Increasing Importance of Alternate Clean Fuels

d. Compatibility with Existing Fuel Infrastructure

e. Cost Competitiveness

f. Government Uptake of Biodiesel

g. Government Driven Incentives for Biodiesel

h. Growing Penetration of Diesel-powered Cars

3. Market Restraints

a. Regional Competition

b. Inadequate Domestic Demand

c. Pricing Issues

d. Unresolved Performance Issues

e. Uncertainty about Jatropha

6. Frost & Sullivan’s Suggestions on the Way Forward

1. What can the Government do to Support the Industry?

2. How can the Farmer be Protected?

3. How to Address the Concerns of the Private Sector?

4. What can the Indian Government do to Promote Jatropha?

5. What should the National Biofuels Policy Address?

7. Frost & Sullivan’s Opinion on Key Concerns

1. Recommendations

2. Can the Indian Manufacturer be Cost Competitive Globally?

3. Precursors to a Good Strategy!




3. Indian Bioethanol Market

1. Preface

1. Bioethanol Basics

2. What is Happening Around the World?

3. Bioethanol Value Chain

2. Indian Bioethanol Market - Where are we Today?

1. The Rationale

2. The Sugar and Alcohol Link

3. What is the Current Status?

4. What is the Demand for Fuel Ethanol?

5. What has been the Government’s Role So Far?

6. Roadblocks Hampering the Implementation of the Ethanol Blending Program

3. Frost & Sullivan’s Analysis - What Could Be?

1. Potential Demand for Fuel Ethanol

2. Can Current Capacities Sustain Potential Demand?

3. Is the Production Enough to Cater to the Fuel Ethanol Demand?

4. The Problem in Directly Manufacturing Fuel Ethanol from Sugarcane Juice

4. Feedstock Analysis

1. Feedstock Options - Global Outlook

2. What are India’s Options?

3. Why Look at Alternate Feedstock?

4. Why Sweet Sorghum?

5. Cellulosic Ethanol as an Alternative Feedstock

6. Technologies Currently Being Studied to Produce Cellulosic Ethanol

7. What Kind of Research is Currently Being Carried Out in this Regard?

5. On the Process Technology Front

1. How is Ethanol Currently Produced?

2. What is the Main Focus of Technological Advancement in the Area of Bioethanol?

3. Globally Emerging Technologies

6. Market Dyanamics

1. Market Drivers

2. Market Restraints

7. Frost & Sullivan’s Suggestions on Key Concerns

1. Recommendations




4. Looking Forward

1. Conclusion

1. Conclusion




List of Figures




Chapter 2

Biodiesel Market: Output/Input Energy Ratios in the Lifecycle Energy Balance for Biodiesel Produced from Different Feedstocks (India), 2007-2013

Biodiesel Market: Potential Biodiesel Demand at Various Blending Levels (India), 2006-2012

Biodiesel Market: Supply-demand for Vegetable Oils (India), 2002-2006

Biodiesel Market: Key Feedstock Characteristics (India), 2007-2013

Biodiesel Market: Current Jatropha Plantations (India), 2006

Biodiesel Market: Industry Challenges (India), 2007-2013

Biodiesel Market: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (India), 2007-2013

Biodiesel Market: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (India), 2007-2013

Biodiesel Market: Comparison of Biodiesel Prices (EU, India and Malaysia), 2007

Biodiesel Market: Theoretical Cost of Jatropha Based Biodiesel for a Manufacturer (India), 2007




Chapter 3

Bioethanol Market: Total Alcohol Production (India), 2006

Bioethanol Market: Key Alcohol Manufacturers (India), 2006

Bioethanol Market: Ethanol Demand Split (India), 2005-2008

Bioethanol Market: Demand for Fuel Ethanol (India), 2006-2012

Bioethanol Market: Demand-Capacity Comparison for Ethanol (India), 2006

Bioethanol Market: Theoretical Production of Ethanol Case 1 (India), 2006-2007

Bioethanol Market: Theoretical Production of Ethanol Case 2 (India), 2006-2007

Bioethanol Market: Theoretical Production of Ethanol Case 3 (India), 2006-2007

Bioethanol Market: Availability of Alternate Biomass Feedstock (India), 2006

Bioethanol Market: Theoretical Yield per Dry Ton for Various Biomass Feedstock (India), 2006

Bioethanol Market: Hydrolysis Technologies to Produce Cellulosic Ethanol (India), 2006

Bioethanol Market: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (India), 2007-2013

Bioethanol Market: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (India), 2007-2013

Bioethanol Market: Comparison of Key Bioethanol Feedstock (India), 2006

Abstract

Research Overview

This Frost & Sullivan research service titled Strategic Analysis of the Indian Biofuels Market provides an overview of the current and future markets for biodiesels in India. It also provides feedstock analysis, market drivers, restraints, and future strategies for the industry. In this research, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts thoroughly examine the biodiesel and bioethanol markets.

Market Sectors

Expert Frost & Sullivan analysts thoroughly examine the following market sectors in this research:
  • Biodiesel
  • Bioethanol
Market Overview

Greater Government Involvement Needed to Improve Feedstock Production in the Indian Biofuels Market

Held back by the lack of large-scale availability of feedstock, the Indian biodiesel market trails its global counterparts by a long way. It is likely to take a while for biodiesel to be established as an effective biofuel, since Jatropha plantations in the country are still in the initial stages of development. Three to four years and many plantations later, the country may have the feedstock necessary for the large-scale production of Jatropha oil for use in biodiesel. The absence of a clear Government policy on Jatropha oil production has inhibited several biofuel manufacturers from entering this market. Hence, Indian manufacturers are considering importing palm oil to produce biodiesel.

The better-developed Indian bioethanol market is also grappling with similar availability issues, as ethanol is primarily manufactured from molasses - a by-product of sugar. Since sugarcane production is cyclical, the availability and cost of production of bioethanol will vary depending on sugarcane crop yields. India’s ethanol-blending program could not be implemented during 2003-2004 due to a low sugarcane output and the second phase of this program was announced in September 2006 only after a recovery in sugarcane production. Overall, the Government and industry have to show greater initiatives toward the Jatropha program to help biodiesel manufacturers save costs. Meanwhile, in the bioethanol sector, further research is necessary to aid in the development of alternate feedstock and improvement in production efficiency.

Biofuels Ride High on the Demand from the Indian Transport Sector

A strong economy, rising incomes, and a vibrant market have given a huge boost to the transport sector in India, which is the fastest growing energy-consuming sector in the country. This sector’s energy demand is expected to grow by 6 to 8 percent per annum during the 11th five-year plan period (2007-2012). With more than 80 percent of passengers and 60 percent of freight being transported by road, it is obvious that the dependence of personal modes of transport, such cars and two-wheelers, has increased drastically. "The automotive vehicle population is growing by 12 to 15 percent per annum and this will, in turn, impact the transport sector’s energy demand," says the analyst of this research. "Diesel and gasoline (petrol) contribute to 98 percent of the energy consumed in the transport sector."

India’s crude oil and petroleum products supplies are largely import-dependant. With oil import expenditure increasing by more than six times in the last 25 years due to escalation in global demand and prices, biofuels are likely to be pressed into service. This alternate form of fuel will be critical in reducing the dependence on fossil fuels, achieving greater energy security, and reducing noxious emissions. "The Government is currently implementing an ethanol-blending program, while it is also considering initiatives in the form of mandates for biodiesel," notes the analyst. "Due to these mandates, the rising population, and the growing energy demand from the transport sector, biofuels will be assured of a significant market in India."

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