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Published by: RNCOS
Published: Sep. 1, 2007 - 60 Pages
Table of Contents
- 1. Analyst View
- 2. South East Asia Automobile Industry
- 3. Vietnam Automobile Industry Performance
- 3.1 Production
- 3.1.1 Automobiles
- 3.1.1.1 Passenger Cars
- 3.1.1.2 Light Commercial Vehicles (LCV)
- 3.1.2 Motorcycles
- 3.2 Sale
- 3.2.1 Automobiles
- 3.2.1.1 Passenger Cars
- 3.2.1.2 Multi Purpose Vehicles (MPV)
- 3.2.1.3 Sports Utility Vehicles (SUV)
- 3.2.2 Motorcycles
- 3.3 Import & Export
- 3.3.1 Automobiles
- 3.3.2 Motorcycles
- 3.4 Tax & Duties
- 3.4.1 Special Consumption Tax
- 3.4.2 Custom Fees
- 3.4.3 Import Tax
- 3.4.3.1 On Components
- 3.4.3.2 On Completely Built Units
- 4. Industry Analysis
- 4.1 Driving Forces
- 4.1.1 Economic Development
- 4.1.2 Labor Cost
- 4.1.3 Disposable Income & Auto Loan Flexibilities
- 4.1.4 Expenditure on Automobiles
- 4.1.5 Demographics
- 4.1.6 Talent Pool
- 4.2 Opportunities
- 4.2.1 Demand for Motorcycles & Passenger Cars
- 4.2.2 Imported Luxury Cars
- 4.2.3 Green Motorcycles
- 4.2.4 Biofuel Vehicles
- 4.2.5 CCTV
- 4.3 Challenges
- 4.3.1 Localization Failure
- 4.3.2 Poor Vertical Industry
- 4.3.3 Lack of Coordination among Manufacturers
- 4.3.4 Investment Plans of Local Manufacturers
- 4.3.5 Chinese Automobiles
- 5. Future Outlook
- 5.1 Automobiles Sale Forecast (2007-2010)
- 5.1.1 Passenger Cars Sale Forecast (2007-2010)
- 5.1.2 Multi Purpose Vehicles Sale Forecast (2007-2010)
- 5.1.3 Sports Utility Vehicles Sale Forecast (2007-2010)
- 5.2 Motorcycles
- 5.2.1 Motorcycles in Circulation (2010, 2015 & 2020)
- 5.2.1.1 Motorcycles Circulating in Urban Areas (2010, 2015 & 2020)
- 5.2.1.2 Motorcycles Circulating in Rural Areas (2010, 2015 & 2020)
- 5.2.2 Motorcycles Export Forecast (2007-2010)
- 6. Key Players
- 6.1 Toyota Motor Corporation
- 6.2 Honda Motor Co.
- 6.3 DaimlerChrysler AG
- 6.4 Vietnam Motors Corporation
- 6.5 Suzuki Motor Corporation
- 6.6 Saigon Transportation Mechanical Corporation
- 6.7 XuanKien Private Enterprise - VINAXUKI
- 6.8 Vietnam Daewoo Motor Co. Ltd (VIDAMCO)
- 6.9 Vietnam Engine And Agricultural Machinery Corporation
- 6.10 Vina Star Motors Corporation (Vinastar)
- List of Figures:
- Figure 2-1: South-East Asia - Automobiles Sales Growth in Major Countries (%), 2006
- Figure 2-2: Vietnam - Stock to Sale Ratio Comparison of Motorcycles with Major Asian Countries, 2005
- Figure 3-1: Vietnam - Production of Automobiles (in Units), 1998-2006
- Figure 3-2: Vietnam - Production of Joint Venture Automobiles (in Units), 1998-2006
- Figure 3-3: Vietnam - Production of Domestic Automobiles (in Units), 1998-2006
- Figure 3-4: Vietnam - Production of Passenger Cars (in Units), 2004-2006
- Figure 3-5: Vietnam - Production of Light Commercial Vehicles (in Units), 2004-2006
- Figure 3-6: Vietnam - Production of Motorcycles (in '000 Units), 2001-2006
- Figure 3-7: Vietnam - Production of Manual Transmitted Motorcycles (in '000 Units), 2001-2005
- Figure 3-8: Vietnam - Production of Scooters (in '000 Units), 2001-2005
- Figure 3-9: Vietnam - Sale of Automobiles (in Units), 2000-2007*
- Figure 3-10: Vietnam - Sale of Passenger Cars (in Units), Jul-06 to Jun-07
- Figure 3-11: Vietnam - Sale of Multi Purpose Vehicles (in Units), Jul-06 to Jun-07
- Figure 3-12: Vietnam - Sale of Sports Utility Vehicles (in Units), Jul-06 to Jun-07
- Figure 3-13: Vietnam - Sale of Mini Buses (in Units), Jul-06 to Jun-07
- Figure 3-14: Vietnam - Sale of Motorcycles (in Million Units), 2000-2006
- Figure 3-15: Vietnam - Sale of Scooters (in '000 Units), 2000-2005
- Figure 3-16: Vietnam - Sale of Motorcycles by Manufacturer (in '000 Units), 2000-2005
- Figure 3-17: Vietnam - Import of Automobiles (in Units), 2001-2006
- Figure 3-18: Vietnam - Import of Automobiles by Type (in Units), 2006
- Figure 3-19: Vietnam - Import of Motorcycles (in Billion US$), 2000-2006
- Figure 3-20: Vietnam - Import of CBU Motorcycles (in Million US$), 2000-2005
- Figure 3-21: Vietnam - Import of Motorcycle Parts (in Million US$), 2000-2005
- Figure 3-22: Vietnam - Export of Motorcycles (in Million US$), 2000-2006E
- Figure 3-23: Vietnam - Export of CBU Motorcycles (in Million US$), 2002-2006E
- Figure 3-24: Vietnam - Export of Motorcycle Parts (in Million US$), 2002-2006E
- Figure 3-25: Vietnam - Special Consumption Tax (%), 2006
- Figure 3-26: Vietnam - Custom Fees (in VND), 2006
- Figure 3-27: Vietnam - Import Tax on Auto Components (%), 2007
- Figure 4-1: Vietnam - GDP Growth in Comparison to Emerging East Asia (%), 2004-2007*
- Figure 4-2: Vietnam - Labor Cost Change in Comparison to Other Countries (%), 2001 & 2006
- Figure 4-3: Vietnam - Disposable Income (in Million US$), 2001-2006E
- Figure 4-4: Vietnam - Expenditure on Purchasing Automobiles (in Trillion VND), 2001-2006
- Figure 4-5: Vietnam - Spending on Buses, Coaches & Taxis (in Trillion VND), 2001-2006
- Figure 4-6: Vietnam - Population of Studying Age Group (in '000), 2000 & 2005
- Figure 4-7: Vietnam - Population of Age Group 30-59 (in '000), 2000 & 2005
- Figure 4-8: Vietnam - Forecast for Population of Middle Age & Studying Age Group (in '000), 2010 & 2015
- Figure 4-9: Vietnam - Projected Biofuel Production Plan (in Million Liter), 2006-2010 & 2011-2020
- Figure 5-1: Vietnam - Forecast for Automobiles Sale (in Units), 2007-2010
- Figure 5-2: Vietnam - Forecast for Passenger Cars Sale (in Units), 2007-2010
- Figure 5-3: Vietnam - Forecast for Multi Purpose Vehicles Sale (in Units), 2007-2010
- Figure 5-4: Vietnam - Forecast for Sports Utility Vehicles Sale (in Units), 2007-2010
- Figure 5-5: Vietnam - Forecast for Number of Motorcycles in Circulation (in Million Units), 2010, 2015 & 2020
- Figure 5-6: Vietnam - Forecast for Number of Motorcycles Circulating in Urban Areas (in Million Units), 2010, 2015 & 2020
- Figure 5-7: Vietnam - Forecast for Number of Motorcycles Circulating in Rural Areas (in Million Units), 2010, 2015 & 2020
- Figure 5-8: Vietnam - Forecast for Motorcycles Export (in Million US$), 2007-2010
- List of Tables:
- Table 3-1: Vietnam - Automobiles Sale by Company (in Units), 2006
- Table 6-1: Toyota Motor Corporation - Key Financials (in Million Yen), 2005-06 & 2006-07
- Table 6-2: Honda Motor Co. - Key Financials (in Billion Yen), 2005-06 & 2006-07
- Table 6-3: DaimlerChrysler AG - Key Financials (in Million Euro), 2004-2006
- Table 6-4: Mazda Motor Corporation - Key Financials (in Million Yen), 2005-06 & 2006-07
- Table 6-5: Suzuki Motor Corporation - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2004-05 & 2005-06
AbstractThe RNCOS report “Vietnam Automobile Industry Forecast (2007-2010)” highlights the present scenario of Vietnam automobile in context of the South-East Asia automobile industry. The Vietnam automobile industry’s production, sales, and import statistics have been covered to figure out the past and future trends, supplemented with forecasting of overall automobiles sales by segment, where motorcycle segment is taken separately due to its large size. The report has rationally analyzed the key driving factors, opportunities, and challenges for the Vietnam automobile industry.
Vietnam Automobile Industry
Worldwide automobile industry is growing at a rapid pace as many countries are going through the phase of economic development. And the same scenario is applicable for Vietnam too in South-East Asia.
Vietnam automobile industry was loosing track till 2005 but it recovered in the year 2006 and posted a good growth rate in South-East Asian countries. Changing lifestyle and rising spending in automobile-related parts in Vietnam has propelled the growth of automobile industry in the country. Apart from that, Vietnam’s entry to WTO has made the conditions favorable for foreign manufactures as the Vietnamese government has reduced the auto-component import tax in 2006. Though Vietnam was more of a motorcycle-oriented country in past years, its passenger car segment witnessed a good growth after Vietnam joined WTO. Rising income and flexible bank loan structure has incited the growth in passenger car segment.
Increased disposable income has increased the purchasing power of Vietnamese and flexible car loan is considered to be a good supporter of passenger car sales in future (2007-2010). Till 2006, spending on buses, coaches, and taxis had increased and it is showing high demand for road transportation. In this scenario, cost effective and low cost passenger cars may see a healthy future ahead.
Key Findings
- Sports Utility Vehicles (SUVs) will grow at a faster rate than Multi Utility Vehicles (MUVs) in terms of sales during the forecasted period (2007-2010). However, passenger car sales will lead the fleet through 2010.
- Motorcycles in Vietnam dominate the overall mode of travel, but due to decreasing number of young people, growth rate of motorcycle sales is likely to decline during 2015 to 2020.
- Number of motorcycles in urban Vietnam will see a declination during 2015-2020, whereas rural areas will witness a growth in number of motorcycles during 2010-2020.
- Biofuel vehicles are likely to see a good opportunity with the rising concern of environment in Vietnam.
Key Issues and Facts Analyzed
- What was the automobile sales trend in past in Vietnam automobile industry and how will the industry march ahead in future?
- Which factors are thrusting the Vietnam automobile industry?
- What are the opportunities and challenges for the automobile manufacturers in Vietnam?
Research Methodology Used
Information Sources
The information has been taken from authentic and reliable sources like books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and access to more than 3000 paid databases.
Analysis Method
Methods like historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis have been used in the report for rational analysis.
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