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Cancer Vaccine Developments to 2013

Published by: Espicom Healthcare Intelligence

Published: Sep. 3, 2007 - 184 Pages


Table of Contents


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY



INTRODUCTION

What is a cancer vaccine?

Figure 1. Potential advantages of therapeutic vaccines for cancer

Prophylactic vaccines

overview

Table 1. Infectious agents involved in cancer

Limitations

Therapeutic vaccines

overview

Figure 2. Vaccines in Phase II/III development by vaccine type

ag/adjuvant vaccines

Whole cell tumour vaccines

dendritic cell vaccines

viral vectors and dna vaccines

DNA vaccines

Vector-based vaccines

idiotype vaccines

Antigens

Carcinoembryonic antigen

Ganglioside molecules

Heat shock proteins

MART-1

MUC1

NY-ESO-1

Prostate specific antigen

Sialyl Tn

Telomerase

Tyrosinase

Adjuvants

AS04

Bacillus Calmette Guerin

Interleukins

Granulocyte monocyte-colony stimulating factor

Incomplete Freund's adjuvant

Keyhole limpet hemocyanin

Montanide ISA-51

QS-21

Monitoring the immune response

Proliferation

Peptide-major histocompatibility complex multimers

ELispot

intracellular cytokine assays

Challenges of developing vaccines

General challenges

Antigen selection

Adjuvants

Generating the correct immune response

Long-term immune memory

cancer-vaccine specific challenges

Function of thymus

Heterogeneity in immune responses

Evasion of immune system

Tumour-induced immunosuppression

Induction of autoimmunity

Product standardisation and characterisation



MARKET FUTURE

Potential targets

tumour types

Figure 3. Vaccines in Phase II/III development by indication

disease incidence

Figure 4. US cancer statistics

disease settings

Combination therapy

Figure 5. Potential combination therapy with cancer vaccines

Clinical trial designs

Proposed clinical trial design

Table 2. Proposed clinical trial designs for cancer vaccines

Endpoints

Patient selection

Survival

Other time-to-event endpoints

Response rate

Endpoint modifications

Patient-reported outcomes and quality-of-life endpoints

Biologic markers

Regulatory challenges

Market leaders

Figure 6. Vaccines in Phase II/III development by company

Figure 7. Factors faced by vaccines from their competitors

Cost effectiveness

Market growth

Potential market size

Figure 8. Growth drivers and resistors in the therapeutic cancer vaccine market

competition

Cervical cancer vaccines: novel challenges

Figure 9. Issues faced by human papillomavirus vaccines

HPv vaccines

Gardasil

Cervarix

vaccination population

Australia

Canada

Europe

Belgium

France

Switzerland

US

vaccine cost

US Government immunisation schemes

European reimbursement

Sweden

UK

Less developed countries

safety issues

screening

future research



MAJOR AGREEMENTS

The advantage of collaboration

Figure 10. The benefits of collaboration

Table 3. Agreements that could shape the cancer vaccine market

The Biomira and Merck KGaA story

stimuvax

The Geron and Merck & Co story

Grnvac1

The GSK and Ludwig Institute for Cancer Research story

maGE-a3

The Oxford BioMedica and sanofi-aventis story

trovax

The Roche and Transgene story

tG4001

Terminated agreements: big pharma burns its fingers

Table 4. Terminated agreements between biotech companies and big pharma

canvaxin

CancerVax and Serono

The.agreement

Why.did.the.agreement.end?

melacine

Corixa and Schering-Plough

The.agreement

Why.did.the.agreement.end?

Gmk vaccine

Progenics Pharmaceuticals and Bristol-Myers Squibb

The.agreement

Why.did.the.agreement.end?

insegia

Aphton and sanofi pasteur

The.agreement

Why.did.the.agreement.end?

theratope

Biomira and Merck KGaA

The.agreement

Why.did.the.agreement.end?



FAILED CANCER VACCINES

Figure 11. Reasons why cancer vaccines may have failed in clinical trials

cancer vaccines that have failed in Phase ii/iii development

Table 5. Major cancer vaccine failures

Canvaxin failure leads to CancerVax merger

Product history

Why did the vaccine fail?

GMK Vaccine loses BMS backing following inferior results

Product history

Why did the vaccine fail?

GVAX highlights limits of patient-specific vaccines

Product history

Why did the vaccine fail?

Insegia problems force Aphton's bankruptcy

Product history

Why did the vaccine fail?

Table 6. Insegia Phase III results showing survival by Ab response

Melacine; launched and disappeared

Product history

Why did the vaccine fail?

PANVAC-VF failure forces liquidation of Therion

Product history

Why did the vaccine fail?

Early Reniale data still waiting for confirmation

Product history

Why did the vaccine fail?

Theratope disappointment wards off Merck

Product history

Why did the vaccine fail?



LAUNCHED PRODUCTS

Vaccines currently on the market

Table 7. Vaccines currently on the market

oncovax

Intracel

The.market(s)

The.technology

Results.to.date

m-vax

AVAX Technologies

The.market(s)

The.technology

Results.to.date

Gardasil

Sanofi Pasteur MSD

The.market(s)

The.technology

Results.to.date

cervarix

GlaxoSmithKline

The.market(s)

The.technology

Results.to.date

Estimated sales

Gardasil

Sanofi Pasteur MSD (sanofi-aventis’ joint venture with Merck & Co)

Sales.forecasts.and.assumptions

Table 8. Sales forecast for Gardasil

cervarix

GlaxoSmithKline

Sales.forecasts.and.assumptions

Table 9. Sales forecast for Cervarix



VACCINES IN DEVELOPMENT

Table 10. Who's developing what in Phase II/III?

Key launches

Table 11. Key vaccine launches to 2013

Figure 12. Key vaccine launches by indication

Figure 13. Key vaccine launches by vaccine type



BREAST CANCER

Overview

Figure 14. Development phase breakdown for breast cancer

Figure 15. Vaccine type breakdown for breast cancer

Why is vaccine therapy being explored for breast cancer?

vaccines in Phase ii development

Table 12. Vaccines in Phase II development for breast cancer

vaccines in Phase i development

Table 13. Vaccines in Phase I development for breast cancer

Vaccines of interest

aE37

dHEr2 vaccine

neuvax



HAEMATOLOGICAL CANCER

Overview

Figure 16. Development phase breakdown for haematological cancer

Figure 17. Vaccine type breakdown for haematological cancer

Why is vaccine therapy being explored for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma?

Why is vaccine therapy being explored for leukaemia?

vaccines in Phase iii development

Table 14. Vaccines in Phase III development for haematological cancers

vaccines in Phase ii development

Table 15. Vaccines in Phase II development for haematological cancers

vaccines in Phase i development

Table 16. Vaccines in Phase I development for haematological cancers

BiovaxID

Biovest international (accentia Biopharmaceuticals)

The technology

Figure 18. The process involved in manufacturing BiovaxID

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Agreements

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

FavId

favrille

The technology

Figure 19. The process involved in manufacturing FavId

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Agreements

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

MyVax

Genitope

The technology

Figure 20. The process involved in manufacturing MyVax

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

PR1 vaccine

the vaccine company

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

Other vaccines of interest

oncophage



LUNG CANCER

Overview

Figure 21. Development phase breakdown for lung cancer

Figure 22. Vaccine type breakdown for lung cancer

Why is vaccine therapy being explored for lung cancer?

vaccines in Phase iii development

Table 17. Vaccines in Phase III development for lung cancer

vaccines in Phase ii development

Table 18. Vaccines in Phase II development for lung cancer

vaccines in Phase i development

Table 19. Vaccines in Phase I development for lung cancer

Lucanix

novarx

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Agreements

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

MAGE-A3

Glaxosmithkline

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Agreements

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

Stimuvax

Biomira/merck kGaa

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Agreements

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

Other vaccines of interest

idm-2101

inGn 225



GENITO-URINARY CANCER

Overview

Figure 23. Development phase breakdown for genito-urinary cancer

Figure 24. Vaccine type breakdown for genito-urinary cancer

Why is vaccine therapy being explored for prostate cancer?

Why is vaccine therapy being explored for renal cell carcinoma?

vaccines in Phase iii development

Table 20. Vaccines in Phase III development for genito-urinary cancers

vaccines in Phase ii development

Table 21. Vaccines in Phase II development for genito-urinary cancers

vaccines in Phase i development

Table 22. Vaccines in Phase I development for genito-urinary cancers

DCVax-Prostate

northwest Biotherapeutics

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

GVAX vaccine

cell Genesys

The technology

Pivotal trials

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Agreements

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

Oncophage

antigenics

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

Provenge

dendreon

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

TroVax

oxford Biomedica/sanofi-aventis

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Agreements

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

Other vaccines of interest

Grnvac1

onyvax-P

reniale



GYNAECOLOGICAL CANCER

Overview

Figure 25. Development phase breakdown for gynaecological cancer

Figure 26. Vaccine type breakdown for gynaecological cancer

Why is vaccine therapy being explored for ovarian cancer?

vaccines in Phase iii development

Table 23. Vaccines in Phase III development for gynaecological cancers

vaccines in Phase ii development

Table 24. Vaccines in Phase II development for gynaecological cancers

vaccines in Phase i development

Table 25. Vaccines in Phase I development for gynaecological cancers

Amolimogene

mGi Pharma

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

TG4001

transgene/roche

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Agreements

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

Other vaccines of interest

cvac

HspE7



GASTROINTESTINAL CANCER

Overview

Figure 27. Development phase breakdown for gastrointestinal cancer

Figure 28. Vaccine type breakdown for gastrointestinal cancer

Why is vaccine therapy being explored for pancreatic cancer?

Why is vaccine therapy being explored for colorectal cancer?

vaccines in Phase iii development

Table 26. Vaccines in Phase III development for gastrointestinal cancers

vaccines in Phase ii development

Table 27. Vaccines in Phase II development for gastrointestinal cancers

vaccines in Phase i development

Table 28. Vaccines in Phase I development for gastrointestinal cancers

GV1001

Pharmexa

The technology

Pivotal trials

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

OncoVAX

intracel

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

TroVax

oxford Biomedica/sanofi-aventis

The technology

Other important trials

Results to date

Phase.II.results.of.TroVax.plus.CT.in.CRC

Phase.II.results.of.TroVax.adjuvant.therapy.in.CRC

Next major event/milestone

Agreements

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

Other vaccines of interest

avicine

Gastrimmune

oncophage



BRAIN CANCER

Overview

Figure 29. Development phase breakdown for brain cancer

Figure 30. Vaccine type breakdown for brain cancer

Why is vaccine therapy being explored for brain cancer?

vaccines in Phase ii development

Table 29. Vaccines in Phase II development for brain cancer

vaccines in Phase i development

Table 30. Vaccines in Phase I development for brain cancer

CDX-110

celldex therapeutics

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

DCVax-Brain

northwest Biotherapeutics

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

Other vaccines of interest

oncophage



MELANOMA/SARCOMA

Overview

Figure 31. Development phase breakdown for melanoma/sarcoma

Figure 32. Vaccine type breakdown for melanoma/sarcoma

Why is vaccine therapy being explored for melanoma?

vaccines in Phase iii development

Table 31. Vaccines in Phase III development for melanoma/sarcoma

vaccines in Phase ii development

Table 32. Vaccines in Phase II development for melanoma/sarcoma

vaccines in Phase i development

Table 33. Vaccines in Phase I development for melanoma/sarcoma

Allovectin-7

vical

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Agreements

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

MDX-1379

medarex/Bristol-myers squibb

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Agreements

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

M-Vax

avax technologies

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

Oncophage

antigenics

The technology

Pivotal trial

Other important trials

Results to date

Next major event/milestone

Market size

Competitors

Analysis

Strengths

Weaknesses

Other vaccines of interest

uvidem



OTHER VACCINES

Overview

vaccines in Phase ii development

Table 34. Vaccines in Phase II development for other cancers

vaccines in Phase i development

Table 35. Vaccines in Phase I development for other cancers



SOURCES

Espicom sources

Others

Abstract

Who are the players and products in the race to launch? This report critically assesses the candidates in their wider market context, providing a complete review of the market and its likely development to 2013.

The launch of Sanofi Pasteur MSD's Gardasil and GSK’s Cervarix has propelled cancer vaccines from research obscurity to a key area of commercial and clinical interest. But can the sector capitalise on these gains and really fulfil its promise?

By 2010, the global cancer market is expected to generate sales in excess of US$60 billion due to growth in the sales of existing innovative products and the launch of nearly 60 new products which will account for around 30% of total drug launches.

But where do cancer vaccines fit into this outlook? At present, prophylactic vaccines dominate the cancer vaccine sector following the recent launches of Sanofi Pasteur MSD's Gardasil and GlaxoSmithKline's Cervarix. We expect that sales of these vaccines will break through US$4 billion by 2011. While there is no therapeutic vaccine market, so to speak of, at present, it has the potential to mirror the growth seen in the monoclonal antibody market, and reach sales in excess of US$5 billion by 2012. This prediction may be optimistic and is highly dependent on vaccines being approved for major cancer indications - no small challenge taking the development history of the sector.

While no new therapeutic cancer vaccine has been approved recently the product pipeline has changed substantially, shifting from one filled with vaccines at the Phase I and II stage, to a more mature pipeline reflecting a shift in development towards the later stages. This is a consequence, not only of the age of the pipeline, but of the difficulties and pitfalls that therapeutic cancer vaccine development faces. Many vaccines have fallen by the wayside for one reason or another. Indeed the rush to join this area of research has waned slightly with the realisation that products are harder to bring to market than first anticipated.

Cancers covered

  • Brain
  • Breast
  • Gastrointestinal
  • Genito-urinary
  • Gynaecological
  • Haematological
  • Lung
  • Melanoma/Sarcoma

Types of cancer vaccine

  • Antigen/adjuvant vaccines
  • Whole-cell tumour vaccines
  • Dendritic cell vaccines
  • Viral vectors and DNA vaccines
  • Idiotype vaccines.



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