European Bioethanol and Feedstock Markets Analysis

Published by: Frost & Sullivan

Published: Aug. 9, 2007 - 217 Pages

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1. Introduction

1. Market Overview

2. Summary of Key Findings

1. European Bioethanol Market Findings

2. Feedstock Analysis Findings

3. Conclusions

1. Conclusions

4. Frost & Sullivan's Research Proposition

1. Our Research Proposition

2. European Legislation and Market Dynamics

1. Global and European Commission Legislation

1. Global Legislation

2. European Union Legislation

3. Incentivisation Models

2. Biofuels Legislation by Country

1. Austrian Legislation

2. Belgian Legislation

3. Cypriot Legislation

4. Czech Republic Legislation

5. Danish Legislation

6. Estonian Legislation

7. Finnish Legislation

8. French Legislation

9. German Legislation

10. Greek Legislation

11. Hungarian Legislation

12. Irish Legislation

13. Italian Legislation

14. Latvian Legislation

15. Lithuanian Legislation

16. Luxembourg Legislation

17. Maltese Legislation

18. The Netherlands Legislation

19. Polish Legislation

20. Portuguese Legislation

21. Slovakian Legislation

22. Slovenian Legislation

23. Spanish legislation

24. Swedish Legislation

25. United Kingdom Legislation

3. Total Biofuel Market Drivers and Restraints

1. Total Biofuel Market Drivers

2. Total Biofuel Market Restraints

3. Industry Challenges

1. Challenges Facing the European Biofuels Industry

1. Industry Challenges

4. European Bioethanol Market

1. Total European Bioethanol Market

1. Market Overview

2. Market Engineering Measurements

3. Market Drivers

a. Blends of Bioethanol and ETBE Can be Produced With Gasoline and Low Level Blends Used With No Need for Engine Modifications

b. Existing Fuel Specifications Allow Blending of Bioethanol and ETBE in Gasoline

c. European Bioethanol Industry Supports Failing Industrial Sectors

d. Public Concern of MTBE Opens the Way for Bioethanol and Bio-ETBE

e. Feedstock Potential is Very Diverse Allowing Production in All Climates

f. Broad Range of Feedstocks Means Supply is Plentiful and Costs are Kept Low

g. ETBE Can be Produced Using Existing Infrastructure

h. Flexi-fuel Cars Give End Users the Option to Use Bioethanol Without Having to Commit Fully to a Specific Fuel

i. Increased Power Output of Bioethanol Blends can be Used to Market the Fuel

4. Market Restraints

a. Bioethanol and Blends of Bioethanol Require Careful Storage and Handling

b. Low Blends of Bioethanol Raise the Vapour Pressure of Gasoline Making the Passing of Emissions Specifications Difficult and Puts Bioethanol Out of Favour With Fuel Producers and Vehicle Manufacturers

c. Oil Majors Do Not Want to Blend Ethanol Due to Losing a Share of the Fuel Market

d. Fuel Specification Cap on Ethanol Puts a Limit on the Market

e. Use of High Blends of Bioethanol Requires Engine Alterations or Flexi-fuel Cars

5. Market Structure

6. Pricing Analysis and Plant Costs

7. Supply Analysis

8. Demand Analysis

2. Belgian Bioethanol Market Analysis

1. Supply Analysis

2. Demand Analysis

3. French Bioethanol Market Analysis

1. Supply Analysis

2. Demand Analysis

4. German Bioethanol Market Analysis

1. Supply Analysis

2. Demand Analysis

5. Hungarian Bioethanol Market Analysis

1. Supply Analysis

2. Demand Analysis

6. Italian Bioethanol Market Analysis

1. Supply Analysis

2. Demand Analysis

7. The Netherlands Bioethanol Market Analysis

1. Supply Analysis

2. Demand Analysis

8. Polish Bioethanol Market Analysis

1. Supply Analysis

2. Demand Analysis

9. Spanish Bioethanol Market Analysis

1. Supply Analysis

2. Demand Analysis

10. Swedish Bioethanol Market Analysis

1. Supply Analysis

2. Demand Analysis

11. United Kingdom Bioethanol Market Analysis

1. Supply Analysis

2. Demand Analysis

12. Developing Bioethanol Market Analysis

1. Austrian Bioethanol Market Analysis

2. Cypriot Bioethanol Market Analysis

3. Czech Republic Bioethanol Market Analysis

4. Danish Bioethanol Market Analysis

5. Estonian Bioethanol Market Analysis

6. Finnish Bioethanol Market Analysis

7. Greek Bioethanol Market Analysis

8. Irish Bioethanol Market Analysis

9. Latvian Bioethanol Market Analysis

10. Lithuanian Bioethanol Market Analysis

11. Luxembourg Bioethanol Market Analysis

12. Maltese Bioethanol Market Analysis

13. Portuguese Bioethanol Market Analysis

14. Slovakian Bioethanol Market Analysis

15. Slovenian Bioethanol Market Analysis

5. Bioethanol Feedstock Analysis

1. Introduction to Feedstocks

1. Feedstock Overview

2. Legislation and Inscentives

1. Sugar Regime Review

2. Energy Crop Subsidies

3. Farming Analysis

1. Farming Overview and Decision Processes

2. The Role of Merchants

3. Cereal Production and European Union Land Availability

4. Sugar Production

4. Market Dynamics and Pricing Analysis

1. Feedstock Demand by Sector

2. Pricing Structure

6. Strategic Recommendations

1. Recommendations for Market Participants

1. Market Recommendations

2. Biofuels Market Conclusions

7. Database of Key Industry Participants

1. Key Market Participants

1. Bioethanol Producers

2. Retailers and Distributors

3. Industry and Government Organisations

4. Technology and Plant Suppliers

8. Appendix

1. Abbreviations

1. List of Abbreviations and Acronyms

Abstract

This Frost & Sullivan research service titled European Bioethanol and Feedstock Market Analysis provides detailed market metrics and includes the key drivers and restraints influencing the market. The study also includes country-wise capacity details, plant costs and revenue forecasts. In this research, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts thoroughly examine the Belgian, French, German, Hungarian, Italian, Netherlands, Polish, Spanish, Swedish and the United Kingdom bioethanol markets.

This analysis is available through our Chemicals and Materials Growth Partnership Services program. With this program, clients receive industry-leading market research such as this, along with technical and econometric data and many interactive features including Analyst Inquiry Time and Client Councils.

Market Sectors

Expert Frost & Sullivan analysts thoroughly examine the following market sectors in this research:

By Geographic Location:

• Belgium
• France
• Germany
• Hungary
• Italy
• The Netherlands
• Poland
• Spain
• Sweden
• The United Kingdom

Market Overview

Government Mandates Drive Growth in the European Bioethanol Market

With the European biodiesel market reaching maturity, the bioethanol market is becoming the focus for growth in the biofuels sector. The introduction of blending mandates in many EU member states is compelling oil companies to use ethanol as a gasoline blend. Besides, the operating capacity is presently well below the EU directive requirements and accordingly, significant opportunities for growth exist. With new plant projects and higher feedstock growth, the market is set to benefit significantly.

"The European biofuels market has enjoyed excellent European Commission support by way of the Kyoto agreement as well as Directives 2003/30/EC and 2003/96/EC, which specifically aim to promote the increased use of biofuels and set indicative targets for their use in the transport industry," notes the analyst of this research service. "As a result of this EU legislation, individual member states have implemented their own legislation, such as tax relief, renewable transport fuel obligations (RTFOs) and blending mandates in order to encourage the use of biofuels and make them cost competitive with mineral fuels."

Need for Domestic Energy Self-sufficiency Propels Demand for Biofuels

Political instability in the Middle East and failures at pumping stations have had a significant impact on the fuel industry since 2000, highlighting the fact that fossil fuels are a finite commodity and supply can be precarious. "This has rekindled interest in alternative fuels and has helped propel favourable legislation," states the analyst. "In this context, biofuels offer the attraction of self sufficiency and less reliance on oil producing countries."

In addition to the above, the change in the sugar regime is driving sugar companies to build ethanol plants for out-of-quota sugar beet. Bioethanol greatly supports EU sugar producers who have lost a large portion of their market due to agricultural policy changes.

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