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Streaming Subscription and Download Media 2003 - 2008

Published by: AccuStream iMedia Research

Published: Jul. 10, 2007 - 138 Pages


Table of Contents


Subscription and Download Media Revenue Rose 40% in 2006 to $1.9 Billion
Subscription and Download Media on Pace for Mid Double-Digit Growth in '07
Subscription and Download Media Market Revenue: 2003 - 2008
Subscription and Download Media Revenue Share: 2007
In the Music Category, the Relatively Small Size of Files, and Cheap Bandwidth Make Online Distribution Attractive
In the Movies and Television Categories, Bandwidth and Distribution Fees are a Much Larger Expense, Leading the Industry to Seek Alternative
Methods of Delivery, Including P2p



SECTION ONE
Subscription Streaming and Download Media Market Revenue: 2003 - 2008

Market Trends and Overview

Subscription Services Adjust to the Advertising Rebound

Converged Vantage Point: Hollywood Embraces Digital Distribution

Music Subscription and Download Services Pace the Market's Growth

Subscription and Download Media Revenue Rose 40% in 2006 to $1.9 Billion

Subscription and Download Media on Pace for Mid Double-Digit Growth in '07

Subscription and Download Media Market Revenue: 2003 - 2008

Streaming Subscription and Download Media Revenue by Category: 2007

Subscription and Download Media Revenue Share: 2007

Macro Market Growth Analysis: 2003 - 2008

Category Summary Analysis: 2003

Streaming Subscription and Download Media: 2003

Subscription Streaming Media Sites, Networks, Channels and Leagues

2004

Music Subscription and Download Media Jump to a 60.7% Total Market Share

Streaming Subscription and Download Media Revenue: 2004

Subscription Streaming Media Sites, Networks, Channels, Leagues and Download

Movie and Music Services

2005

Music Continued to Gain Market Share in 2005

Streaming Subscription and Download Media Revenue: 2005

Subscription and Download Media Market Revenue: 2005

Subscription Streaming Media Sites, Networks, Channels, Leagues and Download

Movie and Music Services

2006

Music Cashes In, and Closes in on a $2 Billion Year

Streaming Subscription and Download Media Revenue: 2006

Subscription And Download Media Revenue Share: 2006

Subscription Streaming Media Sites, Networks, Channels, Leagues and Download

Movie and Music Services

Forecasts and Analysis: 2007 - 2008

2007

Music Continues Forward Momentum, Forecast to Reach Sales of $2.2 Billion

Streaming Subscription and Download Media Revenue: 2007

Subscription and Download Media Revenue Share: 2007

Subscription Streaming Media Sites, Networks, Channels, Leagues and Download

Movie and Music Services

2008

Movies Forecast to Gain Share, News Lose Share, and Music to Turn in Big Numbers

Streaming Subscription and Download Media Revenue: 2008

Subscription and Download Media Revenue Share: 2008

Subscription Streaming Media Sites, Networks, Channels, Leagues and Download

Movie and Music Services

SECTION TWO
Macro Market: Double-Digit Growth Forecast: Subscription and Download Market Growing At 37% in '07

Subscription and Download Media Market Revenue: 2003 - 2008

Subscription and Download Media Market Revenue: 2003-2008:

Sports

Sports Subscription Revenue: 2003 - 2008

Sports Subscription and Download Media Market Revenue: 2003-2008:

Sports Subscription and Download Market Growth Trends Analysis: 2003 - 2008

Movies

Movie Download Market Revenue: 2003 - 2008

Subscription and Download Movie Media Market Revenue: 2003-2008:

Subscription and Download Movie Growth Trends Analysis: 2003 - 2008

Music

Music Subscription and Download Market Revenue: 2003 - 2008

Music Subscription and Download Media Market Revenue: 2003-2008:

Music Subscription and Download Market Growth Trends Analysis: 2003 - 2008

Music Subscription and Download Media Market Revenue Analysis: 2003 - 2008

Music Subscription and Download Media Market Revenue Comparison: 2003 - 2008

Music Subscription And Download Media Market Growth Comparison 2003-2008

News

News Subscription Services Market Revenue: 2003 - 2008

News Subscription Market Revenue Growth Trends Analysis: 2003-2008

Entertainment

Entertainment Subscription and Download Market Revenue: 2003 - 2008

Entertainment Subscription and Download Media Market Revenue: 2003 - 2008

Entertainment Subscription and Download Media Market Revenue Growth Trends:

2003 - 2008

Superpass

Real Networks' Superpass Video Service Revenue: 2003 - 2008

Real Networks' Superpass Video Service Revenue Trends Analysis: 2003-2008

SECTION THREE
Historical Subscriber Growth and Download Service Performance by Brand, Service, Provider and Category

Sports

NBA.com

NFL.com

Nascar.com

WWE.com PPV Events

Major League Baseball

Music

Emusic.Com

Napster

Itunes

Musicmatch/Yahoo Music

Musicnet/Musicnet on Aol/Musicnow on Aol

Real Networks' Rhapsody Music Services

Real Networks' Superpass Video

Real Networks' Goldpass/Realone/Superpass Video Service

Movies/Television

Adcritic.com

Itunes Video

Movieflix.com

Movielink.com

Cinemanow.com

Big Brother

Starzticket/Vongo

News

ABC/ABCnews

CNN.com Premium Content

SECTION FOUR
Q & A

iMesh Media/Bearshare

BitTorrent

Cinemanow.com

Liketelevision.com

Movielink.com

Nascar.com

Netflix

Vongo

World Wrestling Entertainment

SECTION FIVE
Distribution/Delivery Cost Analysis and Economics: Movies, Television, Long Form Content, Music Files

Basic CDN Pricing Models

Music

The Relatively Small Size of Files, and Cheap Bandwidth Make Online Distribution Attractive

Music Download Costs Analysis: CDN Delivery Pro Forma

Television/Movies

VHS and DVD Quality Content Reveal a Cost Effective Distribution Business Under Standard Gigabytes Transferred Pricing Models

HD Content File Sizes Create a Negatively Amortizing Distribution Business Under Standard Gigabytes Transferred Pricing Models

Movie/Television Show Download Costs Analysis: CDN Delivery Pro Forma

SECTION SIX
Streaming/Progressive Download Video: Market Category Growth Analysis and Correlation to Subscription and Download Revenue

Music and News Continue to Lead Category Ratings Share, but Internet TV and General Entertainment Made Solid Gains in 2006

Content Category Monthly Video Stream Average: 2006

Streaming Video Category Share: 2006

Streaming Video Category Share Shifts: 2003 - 2006

Category Share Trend Line Analysis: 2003 - 2006

Streaming Video Category Share Shifts: 2003 - 2006

Music Video and Film Categories Reveal Share Declines in 2006

Streaming Video Category Share Shifts: 2003 - 2006

Broadband Video Streams to Grow by 28.7% in 2007, Narrowband to Fall by 14.5%

Summary Forecast Analysis: 2000 - 2010

Video Streams Served by Content Category

Video Streams Served by Content Category

Abstract

This detailed research report breaks out audio, video subscription and download media revenue by music, news, sports, entertainment and aggregation service for the period 2003 - 2008. Music and movies are further analyzed by subscription and download revenue for brands and sites. Revenue by content category is presented in historical, current day and forecast analysis through 2008. Delivery costs (CDN) for music, movies (VHS to HD) are also analyzed.

Top line report findings and analysis:

The subscription and download media segment (including music, sports, entertainment, movies, TV and news) grew 40% in 2006 to $1.9 billion

Following a $630 million annual revenue year in 2004, up 131.9% over 2003, the market grew by another triple-digit mark in 2005 to $1.4 billion

The market is forecast to grow by 39% in 2007 to $2.6 billion

The market is forecast to grow by 37.3% in 2008 to $3.7 billion

Music (on the strength of vibrant audio download and streaming subscription growth) is forecast to capture close to 85% of total revenue

Sports is forecast 5.4%

Movies 2.2%

News 1.2%

Entertainment (including cross platform shows) is forecast at 3.4%

Real Networks' SuperPass video service 4.1%

An average music file is approximately 4 megabytes

At $0.25 per gigabyte transferred, that's equal to 1/10th of $0.01

The average size of a television show (VHS or DVD quality) is approximately 500 megabytes

The average download cost per show is estimated at $0.13, or about 12.6% of net revenue (after licensing fees, and before operating expenses)

The average cost to deliver a DVD quality movie is $0.75, or 37.6% of net revenue (after licensing fees, and before operating expenses). The high costs for HD movies suggest delivery alternatives (i.e. P2P) will gain traction

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