IPTV and the Future of Satellite Content Distribution

Published by: Freesky Research

Published: Aug. 29, 2007 - 25 Pages

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 - The Service

1.1 Why Content is Not King

Exhibit 1.1 No Content, No Problem!

1.2 Stealing Competitors' Customers vs. Stealing Music

1.3 Will IPTV be the next WebTV?

1.4 Why it all Starts with Sports

1.5 Mobile TV or Mobile Video?

Chapter 2 - The Technologies

2.1 IGMP/RFC 2236/RFC 3376

2.2 Telco Transport Running Way Ahead of Compression Technologies

Exhibit 2.1 RBOC Remote Terminals with DSL Cards

2.3 Remote DSL, FTTC, and PONs

Chapter 3 - The Economics

3.1 Super Headends Could Get Even Cheaper

3.2 IPTV in 2007, Similar to DSL in 1999

3.3 Rising Costs Preventing Price Wars

3.4 Satellite Providers and Middleware

3.5 Wholesale vs. Retail

Chapter 4 The Markets

4.1 Customers Served from Central Offices

Exhibit 4.1 - Homes passed by ADSL circuits provisioned from Central Office DSLAMs

Exhibit 4.2 - Homes passed by ADSL2+ circuits provisioned from Central Office DSLAMs

4.2 Customers Served from Remote Terminals

Exhibit 4.3 Homes passed by ADSL circuits provisioned from Remote DSLAMs

Exhibit 4.4 Homes passed by ADSL2+ circuits provisioned from Remote DSLAMs

Exhibit 4.5 Homes passed by VDSL circuits provisioned from Remote DSLAMs

4.3 Customers Served by Fiber-to-the-Premise Networks

Exhibit 4.6 Homes passed by FTTP cables

Exhibit 4.7 VDSL2 homes passed on Fiber-to-the-Curb networks

4.4 Addressable Markets for Telco TV Services

Exhibit 4.8 Ratio of DSL and FTTH lines which can provision Standard Definition and High Definition TV

Exhibit 4.9 Number of DSL lines and FTTH connections that can support SDTV

Exhibit 4.10 Number of DSL lines and FTTH connections that can support HDTV

4.5 Addressable Markets for DSL and FTTH Access Technology

Exhibit 4.11 SDTV - Addressable Market by Technology, 2007

Exhibit 4.12 HDTV - Addressable Market by Technology, 2007

Exhibit 4.13 SDTV - Addressable Market by Technology, 2010

Exhibit 4.14 HDTV - Addressable Market by Technology, 2010

Exhibit 4.15 HDTV Addressable Market 2007-2010 - Total Homes Passed by Telcos

Exhibit 4.16 Acronyms

Abstract

Since the mid-90s, there has been tremendous hype about telco TV services, much of it never fulfilled. However, with the major carriers now bringing fiber into homes, and VDSL2 services into neighborhoods, the addressable market for HDTV over copper and fiber phone lines is growing close to 30% per year. But as the distribution network for video undergoes dramatic change :

• Will satellite providers take bolder action to counter terrestrial CDNs?
• How will telcos determine the capacity needs for their access services?
• How many homes in each carrier’s service region will be able to order HDTV video service?

In addition to HDTV and SDTV homes passed forecasts, this report looks at how declining broadcast TV viewership is impacting the market for content distribution, and quantifies the impact of the widely divergent strategies used to deliver telco TV services.

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