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Discount Retailing

Published by: Key Note Publications Ltd

Published: Jul. 1, 2007 - 130 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary

1. Market Definition

REPORT COVERAGE

MARKET SECTORS

Discount Grocery Retailers

Discount Non-Grocery Retailers

MARKET TRENDS

Discount Grocery Retailers

Europeans Still Lead the Way in Discount Grocery Sector Success

Discount Non-Grocery Retailers

Convergence on the High Street

Fast Fashion

Factory and Designer Outlets

ECONOMIC TRENDS

Inflation

Table 1: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2002-2006

Gross Domestic Product

Table 2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Chain-Linked Prices (£m), 2002-2006

Household Disposable Income

Table 3: UK Household Disposable Income Per Capita (£), 2002-2006

Population

Table 4: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2002-2006

Unemployment

Table 5: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2002-2006

MARKET POSITION

The UK

Table 6: Trends in UK Retail Sales and Discount Retail Sales at Current Prices (£m and %), 2002-2006

Figure 1: Trends in UK Retail Sales and Discount Retail Sales at Current Prices (£m and %), 2002-2006

Table 7: Trends in UK Food Retail Sales and Discount Grocery Retail Sales by Value at Current Prices (£m and %), 2002-2006

Table 8: Trends in UK Clothing and Footwear Retail Sales and Discount Non-Grocery Retail Sales by Value at Current Prices (£m and %), 2002-2006

Overseas

2. Market Size

THE TOTAL MARKET

Table 9: The Total UK Discount Retailing Market by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2002-2006

Figure 2: The Total UK Discount Retailing Market by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2002-2006

BY MARKET SECTOR

Discount Grocery Retailers

Table 10: The UK Discount Grocery Retailing Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2002-2006

Discount Non-Grocery Retailers

Table 11: The UK Discount Non-Grocery Retailing Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp and %), 2002-2006

OVERSEAS TRADE

Table 12: UK Imports and Exports of Food, Beverages and Tobacco by Value (£m), 2002-2006

Table 13: UK Imports and Exports of Clothing and Footwear by Value (£m), 2002-2006

3. Industry Background

RECENT HISTORY

NUMER OF COMPANIES

EMPLOYMENT

REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE

Discount Grocery Retailers

Discount Non-Grocery Retailers

DISTRIBUTION

HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?

LEGISLATION

Planning Issues

Employee Rights

Sunday Trading

KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

British Council of Shopping Centres

British Retail Consortium

4. Competitor Analysis

THE MARKETPLACE

Table 14: Selected UK Discount Retailers by Turnover (£000), 2005/2006

Market Leaders — DISCOUNT GROCERY RETAILERS

Aldi Stores Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Costco Wholesale UK Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Kwik Save Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Lidl Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Makro Self Service Wholesalers Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Netto Foodstores Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Market LEaders — DISCOUNT NON-GROCERY RETAILERS

ASDA Group Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Instore PLC

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Matalan Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

New Look Group Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

The Peacock Group PLC

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Poundland Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Primark Stores Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

Tesco PLC

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

TJ Hughes Ltd

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

TK Maxx

Company Structure

Current and Future Developments

Financial Results

OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS

MARKETING ACTIVITY

Main Media Advertising Expenditure

Table 15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Selected Discount Retailers (£000), Years Ending December 2005 and 2006

5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats

Strengths

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

6. Buying Behaviour

CONSUMER PENETRATION

Grocery Shopping

Preferred Day

Table 16: Preferred Day for Regular Main Grocery Shop (% of adults), 2006

Distance Travelled

Table 17: Distance Travelled by Consumers for Regular Major Grocery Shop (% of adults), 2001 and 2006

Frequency of Shopping

Table 18: Frequency of Regular Major Grocery Shopping (% of adults), 2001 and 2006

Mode of Transport

Table 19: Mode of Transport Used for Regular Major Grocery Shop (% of adults), 2001 and 2006

Expenditure Levels

Table 20: Expenditure on Groceries in the Last Week (% of adults), 2006

7. Current Issues

INDUSTRY ISSUES

Competition Enquiry Goes Local

Corporate Accountability of the Retail Giants

CORPORATE DEVELOPMENTS

ASDA Concentrates on the Non-Food Sector

Kwik Save's Problems Continue

Matalan Finds Conditions Still Tough

8. The Global Market

GLOBAL TRENDS

The Global Trend of Grocery Retailing

Discounters Continued Expansion Into Europe

The US

China and the Far East

9. Forecasts

INTRODUCTION

The Economy

Gross Domestic Product

Table 21: Forecast UK Growth in Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2007-2011

Inflation

Table 22: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2007-2011

Unemployment

Table 23: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2007-2011

Population

Table 24: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2007-2011

FORECASTS 2007 to 2011

Table 25: The Forecast Total UK Market for Discount Retailing by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2007-2011

Market Growth

Figure 3: Discount Retailing Market Growth by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2002-2011

FUTURE TRENDS

Demographics

Table 26: Projected UK Population by Age (000), 2002, 2006 and 2011

Market Segmentation

Product Development

Competitor Forecasts

10. Company Profiles

Aldi Stores Ltd

ASDA Group Ltd

Costco Wholesale Uk Ltd

Instore Plc

Lidl Ltd

Makro Self Service Wholesalers Ltd

Matalan Ltd

Netto Foodstores Ltd

New Look Group Ltd

The Peacock Group Plc

Poundland Ltd

Primark Stores Ltd

TEsco Plc

TJ Hughes Ltd

TK Maxx

11. Consumer Confidence

METHODOLOGY

KEY FINDINGS THIS QUARTER

THE WILLINGNESS TO BORROW

Confidence Improves

Table A: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices (£ and £bn), February 2006-2007

Willingness to Borrow Slips Slightly

Table B: The Number of Adults Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items (000 and %), February 2006-2007

SPENDING FROM SAVINGS

Slight Increase in Spending from Savings

Table C: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Spend from Savings in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices (£ and £bn), February 2006-2007

Saving Grows in Relative Importance

Table D: The Average Amounts Adults Are Confident Spending to Purchase Expensive Items (£ and %), February 2006-2007

12. Further Sources

Associations

Publications

Government Publications

General Sources

Other Sources

Bisnode Sources

Abstract

The discount retailing market can be broadly divided into two categories: discount grocery retailers, which include companies such as Aldi Stores Ltd, Lidl Ltd and Netto Foodstores Ltd; and non-grocery discount retailers, which include ASDA Group Ltd, Matalan Ltd, The Peacock Group PLC, Primark Stores Ltd and Tesco PLC.

Both sectors of the industry follow a similar business model of ensuring all business costs are kept to the bare minimum, by buying large quantities of a small range of often own-label goods.

The grocery sector is dominated by foreign-owned companies which have seen considerable success in their own countries. The two market leaders Aldi Stores Ltd and Lidl Ltd are both German owned, and in their home country have an estimated 50% combined share of the total grocery market. In comparison, however, in the UK, the discount grocery retailers are estimated to make up only around 3.5% of the total food retail sales.

The discount grocery retailers launched in the UK in the 1990s and, while the market did not develop as quickly as it had done in other parts of Europe, it has seen dramatic increases over the past 5 years. The main factors behind the slower rate of adoption in the UK have been due to logistical problems in terms of restrictive planning controls making entry into the country for new companies very difficult, plus the fierce competition that these stores have received at the hands of the major supermarkets. The UK consumer has also been slow to warm to the discount grocery stores, unaccustomed to their small range of predominantly own-branded, dry, grocery goods. This has led many discount retailers to adapt their offering in the UK to suit their new audience, introducing wider product ranges, including fresh produce, healthy-eating, organic and fair-trade products.

The non-grocery discount retailers focus predominantly on clothing and footwear, and have also enjoyed a period of strong sales over the last 5 years. The companies have capitalised on the growth of sales within the clothing sector, especially women's clothing, plus the growth of the manufacturing industry in China. The value sector of the clothing industry is expanding rapidly, fuelled by the import of cheap clothes from China and the Far East, plus the advent of the `fast fashion' phenomena. Consumers' attitudes in respect to buying clothes have changed over recent years. Clothes have become a disposable commodity, with consumers updating their wardrobes on a much more frequent basis, and often wearing new items of clothing only once or twice.

The outlook for the discount retailing market in the UK is extremely promising over the next 5-year period, with sales increases estimated across both sectors. Both sets of retailers are undergoing dramatic expansion plans, with a large number of new stores and refurbishments planned within the coming years. Attitudes towards the discount retailing business are becoming more favourable, with an increasing proportion of consumers seeking low-cost, value alternatives to their purchases. Key Note believes that the market for discount retailers will expand at between three and four times the rate of inflation over the next 5 years (2007 to 2011).

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