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2007 Intel Microprocessor Manufacturing & Die Cost Analysis

Published by: In-Stat

Published: May. 18, 2007 - 36 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary

Introduction

Microprocessor Manufacturing Capacity

Wafer Capacity

Chip Capacity

Process Transitions

Manufacturing Technology

Process Challenges

Process Nodes

New Technologies

Microprocessor Manufacturing Costs

The Cost Model

Process Parameters

Microprocessor Packaging

Yield Issues

Microprocessor Cost Estimates

Cost Trends

Average Manufacturing Cost

Capacity Effects

Competition

Summary

Methodology

Fab Model

Microprocessor Model

Caveats and Uncertainties

Glossary

List of Tables

Table 1. Intel Fab Capacity (Current and Under Construction)

Table 2. Intel Test and Assembly Facilities

Table 3. Intel Annual Capital Expenditures and R&D (US$ in Billions)

Table 4. Intel Microprocessor Wafer Capacity (200mm Equivalents in Thousands)

Table 5. Intel Microprocessor Capacity in Pentium 4 Willamette on a 0.13µm Equivalent Process Forecast (Units in Millions) 14

Table 6. Intel Manufacturing Process Nodes

Table 7. Parameters of Present and Future Intel Microprocessors

Table 8. Manufacturing Cost Estimates by Microprocessor (US$)

Table 9. Estimated Cost at Maturity by Microprocessor Generation (US$)

List of Figures

Figure 1. Microprocessor Total Wafer Capacity (200mm Equivalents, in Thousands)

Figure 2. Average Manufacturing Cost of All Intel Processors (US$)

Figure 3. Intel Annual Capital Expenditures and R&D (US$ in Billions)

Figure 4. Intel Microprocessor Wafer Capacity Forecast (200mm Equivalents in Thousands)

Figure 5. Intel Microprocessor Total Wafer Capacity Forecast (200mm Equivalents in Thousands)

Figure 6. Intel Microprocessor Capacity in Pentium 4 Willamette Die on a 0.13µm Equivalent Process Forecast (Units in Millions)

Figure 7. Percent of Wafer Production by Process Node

Figure 8. Ramp Rate by Process Node

Figure 9. Three Pillars of Semiconductor Innovation

Figure 10. Estimated Cost at Maturity by Microprocessor Generation (US$)

Figure 11. Intel’s Average Manufacturing Cost (US$) and Die Size (mm2) per Chip

Abstract

As the world’s largest and most profitable semiconductor manufacturer, Intel can account for close to a third of all capital equipment purchases in a given year to supply the three to four mega fabs it constructs or retrofits to support each new process node. Intel also invested an average of $US5 billion per year over the past several years on R&D. Much of this went into the development of new microprocessor and process technologies. As a result, Intel is a driver in the direction of semiconductor manufacturing as much as it is in future microprocessors and related technologies.

This report analyzes Intel manufacturing strategy for capacity and technology, and how this strategy will affect Intel’s manufacturing costs for current and future microprocessors.

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