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Dining Out Review: Quick Service Restaurants - US

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: May. 1, 2007


Table of Contents



SCOPE AND THEMES

What you need to know

Definition

Figure 1: Largest U.S. QSR chains, by segment

Abbreviations and terms

Abbreviations

Terms

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The bottom line—strong 2000-06; strong 2006-11

Driving forces led by healthier fare balancing (not replacing) core offerings

QSR remains dominated by burgers

Industry leaders

The core consumer gets lots of attention, but most of the big changes are aimed at broadening the

consumer base

Future trends

Sales per square foot: Is QSR worth it?

How many more QSRs can fit into America?

Rigid market segmentation will continue to erode

Mass customization

MARKET DRIVERS

Fitness and fatness—a delicate balance

Affinity products and branding

Bold advertising, marketing tie-ins

Winning share by breaking down barriers

Breakfast and value wars

Demographics: Who is actually eating fast food?

QSRs are for kids…but there are fewer kids

Figure 2: Population, by age, 2002-12

Future trend

QSRs and kids

The differing impact of race/ethnicity on fast food

Figure 3: Population by race and Hispanic origin, 2002-12

Figure 4: Graph: Black, Hispanic, and Asian shares of U.S. population, 2002-12

Income and gender

MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS

MARKET SIZE

Figure 5: Total U.S. retail sales at QSRs, at current and constant prices, 2000-06

MARKET TRENDS

MARKET SEGMENTATION

Introduction

Figure 6: U.S. QSR sales, by restaurant type, 2004 and 2006

Burgers and beef

Figure 7: U.S. sales of QSR burger restaurants, at current and constant prices, 2004-06

Chicken

Figure 8: U.S. sales of QSR chicken restaurants, at current and constant prices, 2004-06

Sandwich

Figure 9: U.S. sales of QSR sandwich restaurants, at current and constant prices, 2004-06

Mexican

Figure 10: U.S. sales of QSR Mexican restaurants, at current and constant prices, 2004-06

Other

Figure 11: U.S. sales of QSR “other” restaurants, at current and constant prices, 2004-06


SUPPLY STRUCTURE

Overview

Companies and brands

Figure 12: U.S. sales of leading QSR chains, 2004 and 2006

Figure 13: Franchise and company units of leading QSR chains, 2004 and 2006

Figure 14: Sales per unit at leading QSR chains, 2004-06

ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION

Introduction

McDonald’s

Figure 15: McDonald’s Monopoly, 2006

Figure 16: McDonald’s Snack Wrap, 2006

Figure 17: McDonald’s American Idol Happy Meal, 2007

Burger King

Figure 18: Burger King Chicken Fries, 2006

Figure 19: Burger King, Earl the Burger King Broiler, 2006

Figure 20: Burger King, Sponge Bob Square Pants, 2007

Wendy’s

Figure 21: Wendy’s Kids’ Meals, 2006

Subway

Figure 22: Subway Champions, 2006

Taco Bell

Figure 23: Taco Bell’s Steak Grilled Taquitos, 2007

KFC

Figure 24: KFC Boneless Variety Bucket, 2007

Arby’s

Figure 25: Arby’s Pick 5 for $5.95, 2007

THE QSR CONSUMER—WHO EATS AND HOW OFTEN

Introduction

Summary

How many visit QSRS

Figure 26: Whether fast food/drive in restaurants are visited, by age, 2000-06

Figure 27: Frequency of eating out at fast food restaurants in past 30 days, 2000-01 vs. 2006

Figure 28: General attitudes and opinions, QSR visitors vs. non-visitors, January-September 2006

Incidence and frequency of QSR dining

Figure 29: Incidence and frequency of QSR dining in the past week, by gender, April 2007

Figure 30: Incidence and frequency of QSR dining in the past week, by age, April 2007

Figure 31: Incidence and frequency of QSR dining in the past week, by income, April 2007

Figure 32: Incidence and frequency of QSR dining in the past week, by race/ethnicity, April 2007

Figure 33: Incidence and frequency of QSR dining in the past week, by number of children in the household, April

2007

Figure 34: Incidence and frequency of QSR dining in the past week, by region, April 2007

Figure 35: Incidence and frequency of QSR dining in the past week, by QSR brand, April 2007

THE CONSUMER—FAVORITE QSR AND THE APPEAL OF SPECIAL OFFERINGS

Favorite fast food restaurant

Figure 36: Favorite fast food restaurant compared to share of sales, April 2007

Figure 37: Favorite fast food restaurant compared to share of sales, April 2007

Figure 38: Favorite fast food restaurant, by gender, April 2007

Figure 39: Favorite fast food restaurant, by age, April 2007

Figure 40: Favorite fast food restaurant, by number of children in the household, April 2007

Attitudes towards fast food restaurants

Figure 41: Attitudes towards fast food restaurants, by age, April 2007

Special offerings at QSRs

Figure 42: Special offerings at QSRs, April 2007

Figure 43: Special offerings at QSRs—on-site Internet access, by demographic groups, April 2007

Figure 44: Special offerings at QSRs—music and entertainment products, by demographic groups, April 2007

Figure 45: Special offerings at QSRs—burgers made with Angus beef, by demographic groups, April 2007

Figure 46: Special offerings at QSRs—gourmet coffee, by demographic groups, April 2007

Figure 47: Special offerings at QSRs—all-day breakfast options, by demographic groups, April 2007

How consumers choose which QSR to visit

Figure 48: Selection criteria for which QSR to visit, April 2007

THE QSR CONSUMER—WHAT THEY EAT AND WHY

Most frequently ordered items

Figure 49: Most frequently ordered items, April 2007

Figure 50: Most frequently ordered items by frequency of visits to QSRs, by age and gender, April 2007

Figure 51: Most frequently ordered items by frequency of visits to qsrs, April 2007

Most frequently ordered side dishes

Figure 52: Most frequently ordered side dishes, April 2007

Figure 53: Most frequently ordered side dishes, by age and gender, April 2007

Figure 54: Most frequently ordered side dishes, by income, April 2007

What ingredients or food options would you like to see added at QSRs

Figure 55: Most desired food options to add at QSRs, April 2007

Figure 56: Most desired food options to add at QSRs, b y age and gender, April 2007

Most frequently eaten QSR meal

Figure 57: Most frequently eaten QSR meal, April 2007

Figure 58: Time of day of QSR meals, January-September 2006

Attitudes towards the QSR experience

Figure 59: Attitudes towards the QSR experience, by gender of parents, April 2007

Figure 60: Attitudes towards the QSR experience, by age of parents, April 2007

Figure 61: Attitudes towards the QSR experience, by numebr of children in household, April 2007

How fast food compares to other types of dining out

Figure 62: QSR versus other restaurant channels, by number of people in party during last visit, April 2007

Figure 63: QSR versus other restaurant channels, by visitation frequency, April 2007

Figure 64: QSR versus other restaurant channels, by amount spent, April 2007

Figure 65: QSRs versus other restaurant channels, by dining behavior, April 2007

FUTURE AND FORECAST

FUTURE TRENDS

Sales per square foot: Is QSR worth it?

How many more QSRs can fit in America?

Rigid market segmentation will continue to erode

The threat of regulation of marketing activities towards youth

Mass customization

MARKET FORECAST

Quick service restaurants

Figure 66: Forecast of total U.S. sales at quick service restaurants, at current and constant prices, 2006-11

Forecast factors

APPENDIX: TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

Abstract

This report examines quick service (or fast food) commercial chain dining in the United States. Quick service restaurants (QSR), sometimes referred to as limited-service restaurants or fast-food restaurants, provide inexpensive food and quick service, defined by the absence of table service. Food is typically ordered and paid for at the counter or drive-through window.

This report tells the whole, balanced story about this complex industry and where it is headed, including:
  • Mintel’s unique market size of the 26 leading QSR chains (more than 95% of all QSR sales), using franchise-wide sales and accounting for both franchise and company-owned units
  • Analysis that digs into why such a large market is growing so quickly—it has been adding stores and growing same-store sales, while beating out other foodservice channels
  • A look at the various types of leading QSRs, which ones are leading growth, and how they are all likely to evolve (specializing in just one thing is the way of the past)
  • In-depth analysis of QSR marketing and promotion—some of the best in the business at reaching the core audience of young men, but occasionally succeeding in reaching out to others
  • Consumer analysis from every angle—who, what, where, why, how much spent, with whom, excitement (or not) over new offerings, and comparison with other types of dining out
  • Forecast of where the QSR market is heading
This report does not analyze pizza, coffee, fast casual restaurants, donut and ice cream/yogurt shops, and other specialty restaurants, except as the topic relates directly to QSRs.

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