Brazil Biofuel Market Outlook (2007-2010)

Published by: RNCOS

Published: Jun. 1, 2007 - 70 Pages

Table of Contents

1. Analyst View

2. Research Overview

3. Industry Overview

3.1 Biofuel

3.1.1 Ethanol

3.1.1.1 Production & Trade Forecast (2007-2010)

3.1.2 Biodiesel

3.1.2.1 Production Forecast (2007-2010)

3.2 Production Cost

3.3 Government Policies

3.3.1 European Union

3.3.2 United States

3.3.3 Brazil

3.3.4 Canada

4. Brazil - Industry Performance

4.1 Ethanol

4.1.1 Production

4.1.2 Consumption

4.1.3 Import & Export

4.1.3.1 Hydrous Ethanol

4.1.3.2 Anhydrous Ethanol

4.1.4 Government Policies

4.2 Biodiesel

4.2.1 Production & Consumption

4.2.2 Import & Export

4.2.3 Government Policies

4.3 Energy Consumption Pattern

4.4 Production Cost

4.4.1 Ethanol

4.4.2 Biodiesel

5. Industry Analysis

5.1 Driving Forces

5.1.1 Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions

5.1.2 Energy Diversification

5.1.3 Cost of Production

5.1.4 Sugarcane Production

5.1.5 Ethanol Demand

5.1.6 High Efficiency

5.1.7 Geographical & Climatic Benefits

5.2 Opportunities

5.2.1 Increasing Diesel Sales

5.2.2 Flex Fuel Vehicles Sales

5.2.3 Cellulosic Ethanol

5.2.4 Employment

5.2.5 Biotechnology

5.3 Challenges

5.3.1 Deforestation

5.3.2 Agricultural Issues

5.3.3 Sugar Industry

5.3.4 Other Issues

5.4 Future Outlook (2007-2010)

5.4.1 Ethanol Production Forecast (2007-2010)

5.4.2 Biodiesel Demand Forecast (2007-2015)

6. Major Market Players

6.1 Copersucar

6.2 COSAN

6.3 Petrobras

6.4 São Martinho S.A

6.5 Crystalsev

6.6 ARALCO

List of Figures:

Figure 3-1: Global - Biofuel Production (in Billion Liter), 2004 & 2005

Figure 3-2: Global - Ethanol Production (in Billion Liter), 2004 & 2005

Figure 3-3: Global - Share of Countries in Ethanol Production (%), 2005

Figure 3-4: Global - Forecast of Ethanol Production (in Billion Liter), 2007-2010

Figure 3-5: Global - Forecast of Ethanol Trade (in Billion Liter), 2007-2010

Figure 3-6: Global - Biodiesel Production (in Billion Liter), 2004 & 2005

Figure 3-7: Global - Share of Countries in Biodiesel Production (%), 2005

Figure 3-8: Global - Forecast of Biodiesel Production (in Billion Liter), 2007-2010

Figure 4-1: Brazil - Ethanol Production (in Billion Liter), 2004 & 2005

Figure 4-2: Brazil - Ethanol Production by Region (%), 2005

Figure 4-3: Brazil - Ethanol Production from Sugarcane & Corn (in Liter/Hectare), 2005-06

Figure 4-4: Brazil - Ethanol Consumption (in Thousand Meter Cube), 2000-01 to 2005-06

Figure 4-5: Brazil - Anhydrous & Hydrated Ethanol Consumption (%), 2000-01 to 2005-06

Figure 4-6: Brazil - Ethanol Imports & Exports (in Thousand Liter), 2001-2005

Figure 4-7: Brazil - Biodiesel Imports & Exports (in Metric Tons), 2001-2005 & Q12006

Figure 4-8: Brazil - Energy Consumption Pattern (%), 2005

Figure 4-9: Brazil - Transportation Fuel Matrix (%), 2005

Figure 5-1: Global - Biofuel Production Cost (in US$/ Liter), 2004

Figure 5-2: Brazil - Forecast of Sugarcane Production (in Thousand Metric Tons), 2007-2010

Figure 5-3: Global - Ethanol Demand (in Million Liter), 1997-2005

Figure 5-4: Brazil - Flex Fuel & Ethanol Compatible Vehicle Production (in Units), 2004-2006

Figure 5-5: Brazil - Number of Employment Generation in Ethanol & Other Fuel Industry, 2005

Figure 5-6: Brazil - Causes of Deforestation in Amazon (%), 2005

Figure 5-7: Global - Sugar Price (in Cents/Pound), Jan. 2004 to Jan. 2006

Figure 5-8: Brazil - Forecast of Ethanol Production (in Thousand Barrel/Day), 2007-2010

Figure 5-9: Brazil - Forecast of Biodiesel Demand (in Thousand Meter Cube/Year), 2007-2015

List of Tables:

Table 3-1: Global - Biofuel Production by Top Countries (in Billion Liter), 2004 & 2005

Table 3-2: Global - Feedstock for Biofuel & their Typical Use, 2005

Table 3-3: EU, US & Brazil - Biofuel Production Cost (in US$/ Liter), 2004

Table 4-1: Brazil - Ethanol Production by State (in Thousand Meter Cube), 2004 & 2005

Table 4-2: Brazil - Raw Material Productivity for Ethanol Production (2005-06)

Table 4-3: Brazil - Ethanol Productivity from Sugarcane (2000-01 to 2005-06)

Table 4-4: Brazil - Ethanol Consumption by Types (in Thousand Meter Cube), 2000-01 to 2005-06

Table 4-5: Brazil - Ethanol Import & Export (in Thousand Liter), 2001-2005 & Q1 2006

Table 4-6: Brazil - Hydrous Ethanol Export by Country (2003-2005)

Table 4-7: Brazil - Anhydrous Ethanol Export by Country (2003-2005)

Table 4-8: Brazil - Bidding Quantity, Production & Consumption of Biodiesel (in Meter Cube), Nov. 2005 to Jul. 2006

Table 4-9: Brazil - Biodiesel Production Capacity (in Million Liter), 2005

Table 4-10: Brazil - Biodiesel Production Capacity by Region (in Million Liter), 2007

Table 4-11: Brazil - Biodiesel Production by Various Crops (in Meter Cube/Year), 2005

Table 4-12: Brazil - Characteristics of Different Crops

Table 4-13: Brazil - Tax Incentives for Biodiesel, 2005

Table 4-14: Global - Ethanol Production Cost in Top Countries by Raw Material (in US$/Liter), 2004

Table 4-15: Global - Biodiesel Production Cost in Top Countries (in US$/Liter), 2004

Table 5-1: Brazil - Ethanol Efficiency Ratio from Different Raw Materials, 2005

Table 5-2: Brazil - Diesel Sales by Region (in Thousand Meter Cube), 2001-2005

Table 5-3: Comparison of Different Mode of Ethanol Sources, 2007

Table 6-1: Copersucar - Financial Performance (2001-02 to 2005-06)

Table 6-2: COSAN - Financial Performance (2003-2006)

Table 6-3: Petrobras - Financial Performance (in Million US$), 2003-2005

Table 6-4: São Martinho - Financial Performance (in Million R$), 2004-2006

Table 6-5: São Martinho - Production Statistics (2005-06)

Table 6-6: Crystalsev - Sugar & Alcohol Production (2005-06)

Table 6-7: ARALCO - Ethanol Production (in Meter Cube), 1999-2000 to 2005-06

Abstract

• Environmental (climate change), along with diversity & security of energy supply, remain the primary driving forces for Brazil’s biofuel industry.
• Growth of ethanol production in Brazil during 2007-2010 is likely to attain CAGR of 8.48%.
• Growing Brazil biofuel industry has the potential to create new opportunities for sustainable rural development in agricultural sector.
• Cost analysis of Brazil ethanol production.

• Energy consumption pattern in Brazilian energy market.
• Reasons for tremendous growth in ethanol market in Brazil and potential challenges for the future growth of sugarcane-based ethanol production.
• Performance of Brazilian biofuel industry in transportation and power sector.
• Other sources of ethanol production.
• Trade of hydrous and anhydrous ethanol.
• Opportunities in Brazil biofuel industry.
• Future production of biofuel in Brazil.
• Challenging factors for the growth of biofuel industry in Brazil.

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