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Trends in Leisure Activities Market Assessment 2007

Published by: Key Note Publications Ltd

Published: May. 1, 2007 - 236 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary


1. Introduction


REPORT COVERAGE


DEFINITION


COICOP HEADINGS


COICOP Heading 9 (Recreation and Culture)


Audio-Visual, Photographic and Information-Processing Equipment


Audio-Visual Equipment (Equipment for the Reception, Recording and

Reproduction of Sound and Pictures) — DG


Photographic and Optical Equipment (Photographic and Cinematographic Equipment and Optical Instruments) — DG


Information-Processing Equipment — DG


Recording Media — SDG


Repairs of Audio-Visual Equipment (Repair of Audio-Visual, Photographic and Information-Processing Equipment) — SER


Other Major Durables for Recreation and Culture


Major Durables for Outdoor Recreation — DG


Musical Instruments and Major Durables for Indoor Recreation — DG


Maintenance of Other Major Durables (Maintenance and Repair of Other

Major Durables for Recreation and Culture) — SER


Other Recreational Items and Equipment, Gardens and Pets


Games, Toys and Hobbies — SDG


Sports, Camping and Open-Air Recreation Equipment — SDG


Gardens, Plants and Flowers — NDG


Pets and Related Products — NDG


Veterinary and Other Services (Veterinary and Other Services for Pets) — SER


Recreational and Cultural Services


Recreational and Sporting Services — SER


Cultural Services — SER


Games of Chance — SER


Newspapers, Books and Stationery


Books — SDG


Newspapers and Periodicals — NDG


Miscellaneous Printed Matter — NDG


Stationery and Drawing Materials — NDG


COICOP Heading 11 (Restaurants and Hotels)


Restaurants and Hotels


Restaurants, Cafés, etc. — SER


ACTIVITIES NOT COVERED IN THIS REPORT


2. Strategic Overview


MARKET DYNAMICS AND SEGMENTATION


Introduction


Socio-Economic Background


MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS


Table 1: UK Household Consumer Spending on

Leisure Activities by Sector — Current Prices

(£m and %), 2001-2006


Table 2: UK Household Consumer Spending on Leisure Activities by Sector — Chained Volume Measures,

Reference Year 2003 (£m and %), 2001-2006


Figure 1: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Leisure Activities — Current Prices and Chained Volume Measures, Reference Year 2003 (£m), 2001-2006


COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE


Audio-Visual, Photographic and Information-Processing

Equipment


Audio-Visual Equipment (Equipment for the Reception, Recording and Reproduction of Sound and Pictures)


Photographic and Optical Equipment (Photographic and Cinematographic Equipment and Optical Instruments)


Information-Processing Equipment


Recording Media


Other Major Durables for Recreation and Culture


Major Durables for Outdoor Recreation


Musical Instruments and Major Durables for Indoor Recreation


Other Recreational Items and Equipment, Gardens and Pets


Games, Toys and Hobbies


Sports, Camping and Open-Air Recreation Equipment


Gardens, Plants and Flowers


Pets and Related Products


Recreational and Cultural Services


Recreational and Sporting Services


Cultural Services


Games of Chance


Newspapers, Books and Stationery


Books


Newspapers and Periodicals


Miscellaneous Printed Matter


Stationery and Drawing Materials


Restaurants and Hotels


Restaurants, Cafés, etc.


ADVERTISING


Table 3: Total Main Media Advertising Expenditure

on Leisure Goods and Services by Sector (£000),

Years Ending December 2005 and 2006


Table 4: Main Media Advertising Expenditure

on Leisure Goods and Services by Sector

by Leading Advertiser (£000 and %),

Year Ending December 2006


THE CONSUMER


Table 5: Summary of Consumer Participation

in Selected Leisure Activities (% of adults), 2005/2006


MARKET FORECASTS


Table 6: Forecast UK Household Consumer Spending

on Leisure Activities — Current Prices

(£m and %), 2007-2010


Table 7: Forecast UK Household Consumer Spending

on Leisure Activities — Chained Volume Measures,

Reference Year 2003 (£m), 2007-2010


3. Audio-Visual Equipment, etc.


BACKGROUND


MARKET SIZE


Table 8: UK Household Consumer Spending on Audio-Visual, Photographic and Information-Processing Equipment

by Subsector — Current Prices (£m and %), 2001-2006


Table 9: UK Household Consumer Spending on Audio-Visual, Photographic and Information-Processing Equipment

by Subsector — Chained Volume Measures,

Reference Year 2003 (£m and %), 2001-2006


Figure 2: UK Household Consumer Spending on Audio-Visual, Photographic and Information-Processing Equipment

— Current Prices and Chained Volume Measures,

Reference Year 2003 (£m), 2001-2006


CONSUMER TRENDS


Use of the Internet


MARKETING ACTIVITY


ADVERTISING


Table 10: Main Media Advertising Expenditure

on Audio-Visual, Photographic and

Information-Processing Equipment by Subsector (£000),

Years Ending December 2005 and 2006


DISTRIBUTION


4. Leisure Equipment, Gardening and Pets


BACKGROUND


MARKET SIZE


Other Major Durables for Recreation and Culture


Table 11: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Other Major Durables for Recreation and Culture

by Subsector — Current Prices (£m and %), 2001-2006


Table 12: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Other Major Durables for Recreation and Culture

by Subsector — Chained Volume Measures,

Reference Year 2003 (£m and %), 2001-2006


Figure 3: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Other Major Durables for Recreation and Culture

— Current Prices and Chained Volume Measures,

Reference Year 2003 (£m), 2001-2006


Other Recreational Items and Equipment, Gardens and Pets


Table 13: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Other Recreational Items and Equipment,

Gardens and Pets by Subsector — Current Prices

(£m and %), 2001-2006


Table 14: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Other Recreational Items and Equipment,

Gardens and Pets by Subsector — Chained Volume Measures, Reference Year 2003 (£m and %), 2001-2006


Figure 4: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Other Recreational Items and Equipment,

Gardens and Pets — Current Prices and Chained Volume Measures, Reference Year 2003 (£m), 2001-2006


CONSUMER TRENDS


Video/PC Games


Gardening


Sports/Camping


MARKETING ACTIVITY


ADVERTISING


Table 15: Main Media Advertising Expenditure

on Other Major Durables for Recreation and Culture

by Subsector (£000), Years Ending December 2005 and 2006


Table 16: Main Media Advertising Expenditure

on Other Recreational Items and Equipment,

Gardens and Pets by Subsector (£000),

Years Ending December 2005 and 2006


DISTRIBUTION


5. Recreational and Cultural Services


BACKGROUND


Recreational and Sporting Services


Cultural Services and Attractions


MARKET SIZE


Table 17: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Recreational and Cultural Services by Subsector

— Current Prices (£m and %), 2001-2006


Table 18: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Recreational and Cultural Services by Subsector

— Chained Volume Measures, Reference Year 2003

(£m and %), 2001-2006


Figure 5: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Recreational and Cultural Services

— Current Prices and Chained Volume Measures,

Reference Year 2003 (£m), 2001-2006


CONSUMER TRENDS


Private Health Clubs and Gymnasia


Licensed Clubs


Pop and Rock Concerts


Theatre


Art Galleries


MARKETING ACTIVITY


ADVERTISING


Table 19: Main Media Advertising Expenditure

on Recreational and Cultural Services by Subsector (£000), Years Ending December 2005 and 2006


DISTRIBUTION


6. Newspapers, Books and Stationery


BACKGROUND


MARKET SIZE


Table 20: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Newspapers, Books and Stationery by Subsector

— Current Prices (£m and %), 2001-2006


Table 21: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Newspapers, Books and Stationery by Subsector

— Chained Volume Measures, Reference Year 2003

(£m and %), 2001-2006


Figure 6: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Newspapers, Books and Stationery

— Current Prices and Chained Volume Measures,

Reference Year 2003 (£m), 2001-2006


CONSUMER TRENDS


MARKETING ACTIVITY


ADVERTISING


Table 22: Main Media Advertising Expenditure

on Newspapers, Books and Stationery by Subsector

(£000), Years Ending December 2005 and 2006


DISTRIBUTION


7. Restaurants, Cafés, etc.


BACKGROUND


MARKET SIZE


Table 23: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Restaurants, Cafés, etc. — Current Prices

(£m and %), 2001-2006


Table 24: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Restaurants, Cafés, etc. — Chained Volume Measures, Reference Year 2003 (£m and %), 2001-2006


Figure 7: UK Household Consumer Spending

on Restaurants, Cafés, etc. — Current Prices

and Chained Volume Measures,

Reference Year 2003 (£m), 2001-2006


CONSUMER TRENDS


Restaurants


MARKETING ACTIVITY


ADVERTISING


Table 25: Main Media Advertising Expenditure

on Restaurants, Cafés, etc. (£000),

Years Ending December 2005 and 2006


DISTRIBUTION


8. An International Perspective


INTRODUCTION


THE AUDIO-VISUAL SECTOR


THE EU


9. PEST Analysis


POLITICAL FACTORS


Government Investment in Culture and the Arts


Department for Culture, Media and Sport Targets for 2007


The 2012 Olympic Games


ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL FACTORS


Gross Domestic Product


Table 26: Forecast UK Growth in Gross Domestic Product

in Real Terms (%), 2007-2011


Population


Table 27: The UK Population by Age and Sex

(000), 1971-2021


Marriage and Divorce Trends


Table 28: Marital Status of Men and Women

in Great Britain (%), 2004/2005


Table 29: Marital Status of the Population of Great Britain

(%, 000 and number), 2004/2005


TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS


10. Consumer Dynamics


OVERVIEW


Table 30: Summary of Consumer Participation

in Selected Leisure Activities (% of adults), 2005/2006


AUDIO-VISUAL ENTERTAINMENT


Purchasing of CDs and DVDs


Table 31: Purchasing of Pre-Recorded CD Albums

in the Previous 12 Months (% of adults), 2005/2006


Table 32: Purchasing of Pre-Recorded DVDs

in the Previous 12 Months (% of adults), 2005/2006


Purchasing of Video/PC Games


Table 33: Purchasing of Consoles and Games

in the Previous 12 Months (% of adults), 2005/2006


GARDENING


Table 34: Visits to Garden Centres

in the Previous 12 Months (% of adults), 2005/2006


SPORTS AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES


Table 35: Experience of Camping

in the Previous 12 Months (% of adults), 2005/2006


OTHER RECREATIONAL, SPORTING AND CULTURAL ACTIVITIES


Private Health Clubs and Gymnasia


Table 36: Visits to Health Clubs

in the Previous 12 Months (% of adults), 2005/2006


Table 37: Visits to Gymnasia in the Previous 12 Months

(% of adults), 2005/2006


Licensed Clubs


Table 38: Visits to Licensed Clubs (Excluding Nightclubs)

Once a Week (% of adults), 2005/2006


Pop and Rock Concerts


Table 39: Attendance at Pop or Rock Concerts

(% of adults), 2005/2006


Theatre


Table 40: Visits to the Theatre Once Every 2 to 3 Months

(% of adults), 2005/2006


Art Galleries


Table 41: Visits to Art Galleries or Art Exhibitions

(% of adults), 2005/2006


PURCHASING OF BOOKS


Hardback Books


Table 42: Purchasing of Hardback Books

in the Previous 12 Months (% of adults), 2005/2006


Paperback Books


Table 43: Purchasing of Paperback Books

in the Previous 12 Months (% of adults), 2005/2006


EATING OUT AT RESTAURANTS


Table 44: Eating Out in a Restaurant (in the Evening)

in the Previous 12 Months (% of adults), 2005/2006


USE OF THE INTERNET


Table 45: Internet Access in the Previous 12 Months

(% of adults), 2006


11. Company Profiles


BRITISH SKY BROADCASTING GROUP PLC


Corporate Strategy


Strengths and Weaknesses


Product Development


Brand Development


Innovations


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 46: Financial Results for British Sky Broadcasting

Group PLC (£000 and %), Years Ending 30th June 2004-2006


Future Company Developments


CAMELOT GROUP PLC


Corporate Strategy


Strengths and Weaknesses


Product Development


Brand Developments


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 47: Financial Results for Camelot Group PLC

(£000 and %), Years Ending 31st March 2004-2006


Future Company Developments


DSG INTERNATIONAL PLC


Corporate Strategy


Strengths and Weaknesses


Product Development


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 48: Financial Results for DSG International PLC

(£000 and %), Years Ending 1st May 2004,

30th April 2005 and 29th April 2006


Future Company Developments


EIDOS INTERACTIVE LTD (SCI ENTERTAINMENT GROUP PLC)


Corporate Strategy


Brand Development


Strengths and Weaknesses


Product Development


Innovations


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 49: Financial Results for SCi Entertainment Group PLC (£000 and %), Year Ending 30th September 2004,

39 Weeks Ending 30th June 2005 and

Year Ending 30th June 2006


Future Company Developments


EMAP PLC


Corporate Strategy


Strengths and Weaknesses


Product Development


Brand Development


Innovations


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 50: Financial Results for Emap PLC (£000 and %),

Years Ending 31st March 2004-2006


Future Company Developments


HMV GROUP PLC


Corporate Strategy


Strengths and Weaknesses


Product Development


Brand Development


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 51: Financial Results for HMV Group PLC (£000 and %),

Year Ending 24th April 2004, 53 Weeks Ending

30th April 2005 and Year Ending 29th April 2006


Future Company Developments


JJB SPORTS PLC


Corporate Strategy


Strengths and Weaknesses


Brand Development


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 52: Financial Results for JJB Sports PLC (£000 and %),

51 Weeks Ending 25th January 2004, 53 Weeks Ending

30th January 2005 and Year Ending 29th January 2006


Future Company Developments


MANCHESTER UNITED LTD


Corporate Strategy


Strengths and Weaknesses


Brand/Product Development


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 53: Financial Results for Manchester United Ltd

(£000 and %), Year Ending 31st July 2004, 48 Weeks Ending 30th June 2005 and Year Ending 30th June 2006


Future Company Developments


THE RANK GROUP PLC


Corporate Strategy


Strengths and Weaknesses


Product Development


Brand Development


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 54: Financial Results for The Rank Group PLC

(£000 and %), Years Ending 31st December 2003-2005


Future Company Developments


VIRGIN ACTIVE/HOLMES PLACE


Corporate Strategy


Strengths and Weaknesses


Brand Development


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 55: Financial Results for Holmes Place Health Clubs Ltd

(£000 and %), Years Ending 31st December 2003-2005


Future Company Developments


WHITBREAD GROUP PLC


Corporate Strategy


Brand Development


Strengths and Weaknesses


Product Development


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 56: Financial Results for Whitbread Group PLC

(£000 and %), 53 Weeks Ending 4th March 2004,

Year Ending 3rd March 2005 and

Year Ending 2nd March 2006


Future Company Developments


WH SMITH PLC


Corporate Strategy


Strengths and Weaknesses


Brand Development


Product Development


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 57: Financial Results for WH Smith PLC (£000 and %),

Years Ending 31st August 2005 and 2006


Future Company Developments


WYEVALE GARDEN CENTRES LTD


Corporate Strategy


Strengths and Weaknesses


Brand/Product Development


Advertising


Distribution


Profitability


Table 58: Financial Results for Wyevale Garden Centres Ltd (£000 and %), Year Ending 28th December 2003,

53 Weeks Ending 2nd January 2005 and

Year Ending 1st January 2006


Future Company Developments


12. The Future


INTRODUCTION


Figure 8: Forecast UK Household Consumer Spending

on Leisure Activities — Current Prices and Chained Volume Measures, Reference Year 2003 (£m), 2007-2010


AUDIO-VISUAL, PHOTOGRAPHIC AND

INFORMATION-PROCESSING EQUIPMENT


Overview


Table 59: Forecast UK Household Consumer Spending

on Audio-Visual, Photographic and Information-Processing Equipment — Current Prices (£m and %), 2007-2010


Audio-Visual Equipment


LEISURE EQUIPMENT, GARDENING AND PETS


Overview


Other Major Durables for Recreation and Culture


Table 60: Forecast UK Household Consumer Spending

on Other Major Durables for Recreation and Culture

— Current Prices (£m and %), 2007-2010


Other Recreational Items and Equipment, Gardens and Pets


Table 61: Forecast UK Household Consumer Spending

on Other Recreational Items and Equipment,

Gardens and Pets — Current Prices (£m and %), 2007-2010


Games, Toys and Hobbies


RECREATIONAL AND CULTURAL SERVICES


Overview


Table 62: Forecast UK Household Consumer Spending

on Recreational and Cultural Services

— Current Prices (£m and %), 2007-2010


Recreational and Sporting Services


Cultural Services


Games of Chance


NEWSPAPERS, BOOKS AND STATIONERY


Overview


Table 63: Forecast UK Household Consumer Spending

on Newspapers, Books and Stationery

— Current Prices (£m and %), 2007-2010


Newspapers


Books


Stationery


RESTAURANTS, CAFÉS, ETC.


Overview


Table 64: Forecast UK Household Consumer Spending

on Restaurants, Cafés, etc. — Current Prices

(£m and %), 2007-2010


Takeaways


13. Consumer Confidence


METHODOLOGY


KEY FINDINGS THIS QUARTER


THE WILLINGNESS TO BORROW


Confidence Improves


Table A: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing

to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items

at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices

(£ and £bn), February 2006-2007


Willingness to Borrow Slips Slightly


Table B: The Number of Adults Willing to Borrow in Order

to Purchase Expensive Items (000 and %), February 2006-2007


SPENDING FROM SAVINGS


Slight Increase in Spending from Savings


Table C: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Spend from Savings in Order to Purchase Expensive Items

at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices

(£ and £bn), February 2006-2007


Saving Grows in Relative Importance


Table D: The Average Amounts Adults Are Confident Spending to Purchase Expensive Items (£ and %), February 2006-2007


14. Further Sources


General Sources


Government Publications


Other Sources


Bisnode Sources

Abstract

Leisure time is becoming increasingly important to consumers — if only because people are living in a time-poor society in which high employment levels leave little time for genuine relaxation.

The industry for leisure services and goods is highly geared towards maximising revenue from these more affluent, working consumers.

Many young people have high levels of personal disposable income (PDI), and falling birth rates also mean that the middle-aged have more money to dedicate to the leisure interests of fewer children. These two factors have had an impact on sales of toys and gadgets, in particular.

As well as the games market, this Market Assessment report reviews the sector for audio-visual, photographic and information-processing goods, which have thrived on account of strong consumer interest in the developing technology. The report examines the market for leisure services, including football, cinema, gardening and gambling. The company profile sections provide a close-up of developments in these sectors through analysis of the performance by such operators as Manchester United, Rank and Wyevale.

A trend across the review period — for a higher percentage of overall household expenditure to be dedicated towards leisure — is notable and ongoing. This has been underpinned by factors such as high employment levels, while the strength of the UK economy over the review period has supported consumer confidence to no small extent. In 2005, the boom period in terms of consumer spending came to an end, and an atmosphere of caution has now set in. This has affected some sectors of the leisure industry — for example, the audio-visual sector, in which consumers have deferred purchases of large-ticket items such as wide-screen television sets.

However, sectors that are thriving include recreational, sporting and cultural services. Whereas the audio-visual sector has seen strong price deflation, some price rises have been notable across the services sector, but this has not dissuaded many consumers from participation in such events as cinema, theatre, football and other sports. The book market is still on a healthy upward trend, with sales of such blockbusters as the Harry Potter series significantly driving up volumes. UK consumers are also inclined to eat out; in fact, the biggest sector in the leisure industry (as analysed in this report) is the restaurants sector.

Other sectors have been hit by shifts in technology use. The capacity for consumers to access information and entertainment via an increasing variety of channels is slowing growth in sectors such as newspapers and magazines. In terms of technology, increasing penetration of broadband Internet access across UK households, as well as more sophisticated mobile capability, is determining the way many media companies are now planning their future strategies. Many are keen to exploit the growing use of electronic media.

The outlook for future growth in the leisure sector is still one in which a growing percentage of household expenditure will be dedicated to leisure. There is much stimulation, in the form of technological advancements, to entice consumers to trade up in terms of personal electronics and games. Leisure spending in other areas — such as football, cinema, restaurants and outings — is also likely to remain priority.

This report also looks at consumer involvement in a number of leisure activities through analysis of Target Group Index (TGI) survey data, produced by BMRB International. The most popular leisure activities analysed included eating out in restaurants, visiting garden centres, and buying compact discs (CDs) and digital versatile discs (DVDs). With regard to sport, the most popular activity was walking or rambling. There are also a plethora of other sports that involve consumers, including more adventurous activities such as windsurfing and sailing. The leisure industry has been affected to some extent by the growth in cheap travel. More consumers are undertaking foreign adventure-style holidays, which can encourage them to invest in equipment, or further participation, at home. Restaurants are also gearing up towards more sophisticated provision, as the demand for more exotic cuisines — inspired through travel — becomes more apparent.

Many of the UK's major leisure companies continue to perform extremely strongly. Manchester United, the UK's leading football club, looks set for a strong future with the imminent expansion of broadcasting rights.

Media operators such as British Sky Broadcasting (BSkyB) are also consolidating a very robust position within the leisure industry.

Other companies are currently feeling the pressure of increased competition. The supermarkets' aggressive performance in terms of marketing leisure goods has recently had an impact on the sales of both HMV and WH Smith, among the leading high-street retailers for music and entertainment goods. Another major retail player, DSG International PLC, has also responded to competition by converting its Dixons high-street operation into an online business.

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