China Energy Sector Analysis

Published by: RNCOS

Published: Apr. 1, 2007 - 60 Pages

Table of Contents

1. Analyst View

2. Research Overview

3. Global Energy Statistics

3.1 Energy Statistics by Region

3.2 Energy Statistics by Source

3.2.1 Petroleum

3.2.2 Coal

3.2.3 Natural Gas

3.2.4 Nuclear Energy

4. China Energy

4.1 Coal

4.2 Petroleum

4.3 Natural Gas

4.4 Photovoltaic Industry

4.5 Wind Industry

4.6 Biofuel

4.6.1 Ethanol

4.6.1.1 Raw Materials for Ethanol Production

4.6.2 Biodiesel

4.6.2.1 Raw Materials for Biodiesel Production

5. China Electricity Supply

6. Industry Analysis

6.1 Renewable Energy Demand Drivers

6.1.1 Continuous Economic Growth

6.1.2 Environmental Policies

6.1.3 Energy Security & Diversity

6.2 Opportunities

6.2.1 Energy Mix - Investing in Solutions

6.2.2 Potential Electricity Demand

6.2.3 Rise in Natural Gas Imports

6.3 Challenges

6.3.1 Carbon Emissions

6.3.2 Energy Efficiency

6.3.3 Competitiveness of Renewable Sources Compared with Coal at Consumption Level

6.4 Future Outlook (2007-2011)

6.4.1 Energy Consumption will Grow Steadily

6.4.2 China's Oil will Come from Imports

6.4.3 Increasing Importance of Gas

7. Key Players

7.1 PetroChina

7.2 Sinopec

7.3 CNOOC

7.4 SunTech

List of Figures:

Figure 3-1: Global - Energy Consumption (in Billion Tons of Oil Equivalent), 2002-2011F

Figure 3-2: Global - Energy Mix (%), 2004

Figure 4-1: China - Energy Consumption (in Million Tons of Oil Equivalent), 2001-2006E

Figure 4-2: China - Energy Mix (%), 2005

Figure 4-3: China - Coal Consumption (in Million Metric Tons), 2001-2006E

Figure 4-4: China - Petroleum Consumption (in Thousand Barrels/day) 2001-2006E

Figure 4-5: China - Natural Gas Consumption (in Million Cubic Meters), 2001-2006E

Figure 4-6: China - Solar Cell Production (in MWp), 2000-2005

Figure 4-7: China - Cumulative Installed Capacity of Wind Energy (in MW), 2000-2005

Figure 4-8: China - Ethanol Production (in Million Metric Tons), 2004, 2005 & 2010F

Figure 4-9: China - Livestock Statistics (in Million), 2004-2006

Figure 5-1: China - Electricity Consumption (in Billion Kwh), 2001-2006E

Figure 6-1: China - GDP Growth (%), 1990-2005

Figure 6-2: China - Oil Imports (in Million Tons), 2005 & 2006

Figure 6-3: China - Electricity Consumption Comparison with US & Japan (in kWh/Head), 2002-2006E

Figure 6-4: US & China - Projected Carbon Emissions (in Million Metric Tons Carbon), 1990 to 2030

Figure 6-5: China - Forecast for Carbon Emissions from Coal (in Million Metric Tons Carbon), 2010, 2015, 2020 & 2025

Figure 6-6: China - Forecast for Energy Consumption (in Million Tons of Oil Equivalent), 2007-2011

Figure 6-7: China - Forecast for Petroleum Consumption (in Thousand Barrels/day), 2007-2011

Figure 6-8: China - Forecast for Natural Gas Consumption (in Billion Cubic Meters), 2007-2011

List of Tables:

Table 3-1: Global - Energy Consumption by Region (in Million Tons of Oil Equivalent), 2002-2011F

Table 3-2: Global - Energy Consumption by Region (in Kg Oil Equivalent/Head), 2002-2011F

Table 3-3: Global - Petroleum Consumption by Region (in Barrel/day), 2002-2011F

Table 3-4: Global - Coal Consumption by Region (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2011F

Table 3-5: Global - Natural Gas Consumption by Region (in Billion Cubic Meters), 2002-2011F

Table 4-1: China - Supply & Demand of mc-Si (in Tons), 2004-2006E

Table 4-2: China - Production & Capacity of SG-Si Ingots (in Tons), 2005

Table 4-3: China - Solar Cell Production Capacity (in MW), 2005

Table 4-4: China - Solar Cell Manufacturing Capacity (in MW), 2006E

Table 4-5: China - Assembly Capacity of Solar Module (in MW), 2005

Table 4-6: China - Distribution of Wind Energy (in MW) & Number of Turbines, 2005

Table 4-7: China - Wind Turbine Market (in Million US$), 2003, 2004 & 2005

Table 4-8: China - Current & Future of Denatured Ethanol Production (in Million Tons/year), 2005 & 2007F

Table 4-9: China - Ethanol Import & Export (in Thousand Tons), 2001-2005

Table 4-10: China - Ethanol Export by Destination (in Thousand Liters), 2001-2005

Table 4-11: China - Ethanol Import by Destination (in Thousand Liters), 2001-2005

Table 4-12: China - Corn Statistics (Oct. 2001 to Oct. 2006)

Table 4-13: China - Sugar Statistics (in Thousand Metric Tons), Oct. 2001 to Oct. 2006

Table 4-14: China - Wheat Statistics (July 2001 to July 2006)

Table 4-15: China - Sorghum Statistics (July 2001 to July 2006)

Table 4-16: China - Rapeseed Statistics (Oct. 2001 to Oct. 2006E)

Table 7-1: PetroChina - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2005

Table 7-2: Sinopec - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2005

Table 7-3: CNOOC - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2005

Table 7-4: SunTech - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2005

Abstract

• Energy efficiency is the major issue for Chinese energy industry. E.g., if national commercial and residential codes are well enforced, they could reduce carbon emissions by 49 Million Tons in 2020, displacing the need for 23 large (1,000-megawatt) coal-fired power plants.
• Natural gas accounted only for 3% of China energy mix in year 2005. For this, Chinese government has see the target of 10% till the year 2010. With limited natural gas reserves, it is expected that to meet set target, China will emerge as big natural gas importer in near future.
• To ensure supply diversity, China aimed to reduce dependence upon oil & gas, which will offer immense opportunities for renewable energy source. Although China’s share of renewable energy will rise in future but coal is expected to be the major source for energy in near term.
• In China’s biodiesel industry, principal difficulty is the lack of eligible sources of production e.g. China is a net importer (in fact, it is the largest importer in the world) in all the major edible vegetable oils.
• China registered rapid growth in solar cell production. In only 2-3 years (roughly from 2003 to 2005), solar cell production share of the country increased from 1.07% to 8% with respect to the world, only after Japan and Europe. In wind energy, China's abundant inland and offshore wind energy resources provide potential for large-capacity in-grid wind farms.

• What are the opportunities in the China Energy Industry?
• China energy consumption by energy source.
• Why renewable energy sources are important for China?
• Key Drivers & challenges faced by China energy industry.
• Analysis of the major players in the industry.

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