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Published by: Datamonitor
Published: Mar. 30, 2007 - 374 Pages
Table of Contents
- CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- Scope of the analysis
- Datamonitor insight into the hematological malignancies market
- Key metrics
- Datamonitor pipeline assessment summary
- CHAPTER 2 PIPELINE OVERVIEW AND DYNAMICS
- Pipeline overview
- Products in late-phase development for hematological malignancies
- Products in Phase II development for hematological malignancies
- Products in Phase I development for hematological malignancies
- Pipeline by developmental phase and class
- There are 180 different products in the clinical developmental pipeline for hematological malignancies
- Segmentation of products by developmental phase reflects high attrition rate in oncology drug development
- Segmentation of products by class reflects shift in oncology drug development away from cytotoxics
- Pipeline by indication
- Over 50% of the pipeline products are being investigated in leukemia
- The 22 late-phase pipeline products target eight different hematological malignancies
- Pipeline by company
- Developmental pipeline dominated by small pharma/biotech players
- Only 17 (12%) companies/institutes have more than two candidates in the developmental pipeline for hematological malignancies
- Novartis has six candidates in clinical development
- Biogen Idec draws on the success of Rituxan
- CHAPTER 3 HEMATOLOGICAL MALIGNANCIES - MARKET POTENTIAL
- A diverse range of disease subtypes
- Genetic basis of cancer evolution
- Tumorigenesis is the result of co-operative accumulated mutations
- Existing pharmacotherapy approaches provide limited treatment benefit
- Cytotoxic drugs lack specificity
- Hormonal or endocrine therapy provides incremental benefit in selected tumors
- Optimizing current treatment strategies is paramount
- The emergence of targeted treatment heralds a revolution in cancer pharmacotherapy
- Dynamic cancer market offers significant commercial opportunity
- Ongoing sales growth drives the market
- Intensive R&D produces a rich developmental pipeline
- Epidemiology - Hematological Malignancies
- Cancer epidemiology - an expanding patient base
- Leukemia
- Lymphoma
- Multiple myeloma
- Myelodysplastic syndrome
- Disproportionate increase in prevalence results from improvements in diagnosis and treatment
- Significant areas of unmet need persist
- The need for more sophisticated pharmacotherapy
- Long-term control of advanced tumors is suboptimal
- Novel strategies required to reduce relapse rates in early-stage disease
- Toxicity of existing treatments jeopardizes quality of life and rates of treatment uptake
- Improvements in diagnostics and prognostic analysis will enhance cost-effectiveness of treatment
- Enhanced preventative strategies will ease the disease burden
- Clinical and strategic threats to the commercialization of cancer drugs
- Progressively rising R&D costs threaten industry productivity
- High attrition rates can be mitigated by improved strategic decision-making
- Lengthening drug approval process - a consequence of increased regulatory demands
- Pharmacoeconomic pressures drive payers to implement restrictive pricing and reimbursement policies
- Therapeutic and generic competition reduces periods of market exclusivity
- Segmentation of market will require changes in clinical trial methodology
- CHAPTER 4 R&D APPROACH
- Classification of pipeline products
- Molecular targeted therapies
- Angiogenesis inhibitors
- Single-target signal transduction inhibitors
- Multi-targeted inhibitors
- Cell cycle and apoptosis targeted inhibitors
- Epigenetic modulators
- Cytotoxic Therapies
- Antimetabolites
- Mitotic inhibitors
- DNA-interactive chemotherapeutic agents
- Immunotherapeutic agents
- Antibody-based technologies are an effective anticancer approach
- Active, specific immunotherapy
- Evolution in oncology clinical trial design
- Patient selection is increasingly significant in the era of targeted treatment
- Clinical trials must have sufficient follow-up to establish true clinical benefit
- Diversity of targeted treatments will require an evolution in clinical trial design
- Most oncology clinical trials designate multiple endpoints
- Survival
- Quality of life
- Tumor response rates
- Toxicity
- Time to tumor progression
- Modification of accelerated approval process may impact significantly on approval times for hematologic oncology drugs
- CHAPTER 5 MOLECULAR TARGETED THERAPIES ANALYSIS AND FORECASTS
- Overview of molecular targeted therapies for hematological malignancies
- Pipeline summary
- Late-phase pipeline of molecular targeted therapies
- Phase II pipeline of molecular targeted therapies
- Phase I pipeline of molecular targeted therapies
- Comparative forecasts
- Definition of current comparator therapy
- Novartis's Gleevec/Glivec (imatinib)
- Tasigna (Nilotinib, AMN-107; Novartis)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Tasigna enters preregistration in the US and EU for Gleevec-resistant CML
- Promising Phase II interim data reported
- Tasigna appears effective in CML patients who have failed or are intolerant to both Gleevec and Sprycel
- Only one BCR-ABL mutation is insensitive to Tasigna
- Datamonitor comments
- Tasigna ready to challenge Bristol-Myers Squibb's already approved Sprycel
- Novartis looking to expand its leading role in the CML therapy market
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Ceflatonin (Myelostat; ChemGenex Pharmaceuticals)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Ceflatonin receives Fast Track status for chronic myeloid leukemia
- Ceflatonin aims to restore Gleevec sensitivity in CML patients
- ChemGenex looking to expand Ceflatonin into the AML/APL market
- Datamonitor comments
- Despite convincing clinical benefit, Ceflatonin will face strong competition from Bristol-Myers Squibb's Sprycel and Novartis's Tasigna
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Sarasar (Lonafarnib; Schering-Plough)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Main focus of Sarasar development in MDS, where greatest antitumor activity is shown
- Farnesyl transferase inhibitors predominately in hematological disorders
- Mild toxicity in the majority of patients, although grade 3 events do occur
- Datamonitor comments
- Sarasar's chances for approval will be delayed beyond 2007
- Sarasar racing against Johnson & Johnson's Zarnestra as the first farnesyl transferase inhibitor to reach the market
- Presence in oncology market will aid commercialization of Sarasar
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Torisel (Temsirolimus; Wyeth)
- Drug overview
- Torisel inhibits a key pathway in tumor cell proliferation
- Clinical trial data
- Torisel showing promise in mantle cell lymphoma
- Torisel also making headway in other NHL subtypes
- Datamonitor comments
- Torisel will have to face Velcade in the MCL market
- Prior commercialization of Mylotarg and Neumega will provide Wyeth with valuable insight into the oncology market
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Zarnestra (Tipifarnib; Janssen/Johnson & Johnson)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Following rejection of NDA, the FDA requires Phase III data for Zarnestra in AML before regulatory approval can be considered
- Results from Phase III studies have yet to be announced
- Zarnestra has demonstrated a favorable profile in a variety of Phase II studies
- Single-agent Zarnestra demonstrates antitumor activity in relapsed/refractory aggressive NHL
- Zarnestra holding promise in juvenile myelomonocytic leukemia
- Initiation of Phase II trials in large granular lymphocyte leukemia and multiple myeloma
- Mild toxicity is particularly significant since Zarnestra's main indication is for elderly AML patients where quality of life is a major issue
- Datamonitor comments
- Schering-Plough's Sarasar catching up with Zarnestra as the first farnesyl transferase inhibitor to reach the market
- Johnson & Johnson limiting Zarnestra's target population in the short term
- Johnson & Johnson's experience will be invaluable to Zarnestra
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Alvocidib (Flavopiridol; Sanofi-Aventis)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Continuous infusion dosing schedules fail to demonstrate clinical activity
- Modified dosing regimen drives further development in CLL
- Datamonitor comments
- Given alvocidib's checkered history, Sanofi-Aventis may face an uphill struggle communicating the drug's potential
- Alvocidib may show more promise as part of a combination regimen
- Presence in oncology field will aid commercialization of alvocidib
- Enzastaurin (LY317615; Eli Lilly)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Enzastaurin looking to make its mark in the B-Cell Lymphoma market
- Enzastaurin holding promise as a maintenance therapy in mantle cell lymphoma
- Datamonitor comments
- Eli Lilly adopt a risky stragtegy for enzastaurin in DLBCL
- Termination of Phase III trial for enzastaurin in glioma may hamper its potential in other indications
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Lestaurtinib (CEP-701; Cephalon)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Lestaurtinib emerging as a promising agent for AML patients harboring Flt-3 activating mutations
- Datamonitor comments
- Lestaurtinib may be the first in its class to reach the market
- Cephalon's recent acquisition of Trisenox will provide invaluable experience of the leukemia market
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Genasense (Oblimersen; Genta)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- FDA reject Genasense for use in combination with chemotherapy in CLL
- Early-phase benefits of Genasense in AML require confirmation in Phase III clinical trial
- Disappointing Phase III trial results in multiple myeloma means status of further development is unclear
- Promise shown in combination with Rituxan in NHL, but randomized trials have yet to be initiated
- Datamonitor comments
- Approval of Genasense is looking increasingly unlikely
- Termination of agreement with Sanofi-Aventis is a major setback for Genta
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- CHAPTER 6 CYTOTOXIC THERAPIES ANALYSIS AND FORECASTS
- Overview of cytotoxic therapies for hematological malignancies
- Pipeline summary
- Late-phase pipeline of cytotoxic therapies
- Phase II pipeline of cytotoxic therapies
- Phase I pipeline of cytotoxic therapies
- Comparative forecasts
- Clolar/Evoltra (Clofarabine; Genzyme/Bioenvision)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- FDA and EMEA approve Clolar for ALL but further data in AML are required
- Clolar and cytarabine appears to be an active and well tolerated regimen for elderly AML patients for which a Phase III trial has recently been initiated
- Single-agent Clolar may provide an important treatment option for AML patients with adverse cytogenetics who are unsuitable for standard chemotherapy
- Despite further data now required for approval, Clolar demonstrates activity in pediatric AML
- Datamonitor comments
- While approval in AML will significantly broaden Clolar's label, increased economic constraints on healthcare systems may restrict its uptake
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Dacogen (decitabine; MGI Pharma)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Elderly AML is an attractive indication for horizontal expansion of Dacogen
- Dacogen as a maintenance therapy in AML
- Dacogen plus Zolinza may be an effective combination 227
- Datamonitor comments
- Dacogen would fulfill a high unmet need in unfavorable risk AML
- Dacogen may face competition from Vidaza, another approved DNA demethylating agent in development for AML
- Dacogen will compete with Mylotarg in the relapsed elderly AML market
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Cloretazine (VNP40101M; Vion Pharmaceuticals)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Cloretazine will enjoy the advantages of Orphan Drug and Fast Track status for AML
- Cloretazine and cytarabine appears a feasible combination for second-line AML
- Single agent Cloretazine appears effective in elderly poor risk AML
- High-risk MDS patients may also benefit from Cloretazine monotherapy
- Cloretazine and Temodar in hematological malignancies appears to be a rational combination
- Vion discontinues Cloretazine development in CLL to focus on AML
- Datamonitor comments
- Given persistent high unmet needs and the lack of a gold-standard in relapsed/refractory AML, Cloretazine demonstrates promise
- Vion should seek a collaborative agreement with a more experienced oncology partner
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Pixantrone (BBR-2778; Cell Therapeutics)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Use of pixantrone for aggressive NHL
- Use of pixantrone for indolent NHL
- Datamonitor comments
- Problems associated with trying to replace genericized drugs must be overcome
- Patient recruitment to trials and physician awareness may be an uphill struggle
- Pixantrone set to benefit from co-licensing agreement with Novartis
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Marqibo (Sphingosomal vincristine; Hana Biosciences)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Despite an FDA non-approvable letter and recommendation to initiate a Phase III study in NHL, to date no such trial has been initiated
- Relapsed aggressive NHL
- Marqibo as a replacement for vincristine in the R-CHOP regimen for first-line NHL appears to be a promising possibility
- Marqibo is a potential candidate for the treatment of relapsed/refractory Hodgkin's disease
- Trials in ALL may hold promise for Marqibo
- Datamonitor comments
- Hana Biosciences face a difficult strategic development plan for Marqibo in NHL and shifting the focus to ALL may offer a quicker route to market
- CHAPTER 7 IMMUNOTHERAPEUTIC AGENTS ANALYSIS AND FORECASTS
- Overview of immunotherapeutic agents for hematological malignancies
- Pipeline summary
- Late-phase pipeline of immunotherapeutic agents
- Phase II pipeline of immunotherapeutic agents
- Phase I pipeline of immunotherapeutic agents
- Comparative forecasts
- Definition of current comparator therapy
- Biogen Idec/Genentech/Roche's Rituxan/MabThera (rituximab)
- Ceplene (Histamine dihydrochloride; Epicept)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Ceplene enters preregistration in Europe as a maintenance therapy in first remission in patients with AML
- Ceplene plus IL-2 prolongs leukemia-free survival but no significant difference in overall survival observed
- Datamonitor comments
- FDA requests additional Phase III trial despite primary endpoints being met
- EpiCept's lack of oncology experience may hamper Ceplene's market success
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Galiximab (Anti-CD80 MAb; Biogen Idec)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Randomized Phase III trial will compare survival of galiximab plus Rituxan with Rituxan alone in relapsed/refractory follicular NHL patients
- Phase II results show galiximab and Rituxan can be safely combined and can produce promising response rates in follicular NHL patients
- Datamonitor comments
- Biogen Idec in a strong position to successfully market galiximab alone
- Biogen-Idec will need to effectively demonstrate the value of a combination of galiximab and Rituxan to payers
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Lumiliximab (Anti-CD23 MAb; Biogen Idec)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Lumiliximab receives Fast Track and Orphan Drug designation for relapsed CLL
- The addition of lumiliximab to the FCR regimen may produce a higher response rate without additional toxicity
- Datamonitor comments
- Lumiliximab on course to become an established addition to the standard treatment for CLL
- Biogen Idec should look to investigate Lumiliximab as a maintenance therapy
- Cluster of Differentiation (CD) drugs have become Biogen Idec's specialty
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Ofatumumab (HuMax-CD20; Genmab/GlaxoSmithKline)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Genmab hoping ofatumumab will demonstrate a preferred efficacy profile over Rituxan in the clinic
- Ofatumumab receives Fast Track status for CLL and enters a Phase III trial
- Genmab initiate a pivotal Phase III trial in follicular NHL
- Datamonitor comments
- Ofatumumab may offer hope for Rituxan-insensitive patients
- Approval of other MAbs being developed by Biogen Idec for NHL and CLL may restrict ofatumumab's potential even further
- GlaxoSmithKline will offer invaluable experience to Genmab and aid commercialization of ofatumumab
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Zanolimumab (HuMax-CD4; Merck Serono/Genmab)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- Zanolimumab's Orphan Drug and Fast Track status reflects the high unmet needs in CTCL
- Zanolimumab may also hold promise for PTCL patients
- Datamonitor comments
- The T-cell lymphoma market offers zanolimumab a limited commercial potential
- Depletion of CD4+ T-cells by zanolimumab may render the patient susceptible to opportunistic infections
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- BIOVAXID (Accentia Biopharmaceuticals)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- BIOVAXID inches closer to approval in the US and European markets for follicular NHL
- Phase III trial initiated in February 2000 is ongoing and continues to show favorable survival benefits of BIOVAXID
- Possible association between a specific negative chromasomal translocation following vaccination and disease free survival in follicular NHL
- Phase II results of BIOVAXID in mantle cell lymphoma are promising
- Datamonitor comments
- BIOVAXID competing with FavId and MyVax for first-to-market status
- BIOVAXID's price-tag should reflect the anticipated competition and current treatment costs
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- FavId (Id-KLH; Favrille)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- FavId receives Fast Track status by the FDA for follicular NHL
- Single-agent FavId demonstrates an objective response in indolent B-cell NHL
- Favrille initiates FavId Phase III trial in DLBCL NHL
- Datamonitor comments
- FavId competing with BIOVAXID and MyVax to reach the market first
- Favrille's lack of commercial experience will be a barrier to optimizing market penetration
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- MyVax (GTOP-99; Genitope)
- Drug overview
- Clinical trial data
- MyVax received Fast Track status for follicular NHL while Phase III clinical trial approaches completion
- Phase II clinical trials show greater number of immune responses among previously untreated patients
- Genitope initiates Phase I/II trial for MyVax in chronic lymphocytic leukemia
- Follow-up Phase II data of MyVax in mantle cell and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma warrants further investigation
- Datamonitor comments
- Despite competition from BIOVAXID and FavId, MyVax increases its commercial potential by targeting an earlier stage treatment
- With trials ongoing in CLL, MyVax may ultimately emerge as the most adaptable anti-idiotype vaccine
- Forecasts to 2016
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Comparison of anti-idiotype vaccines
- APPENDIX
- List of tables
- List of figures
- Methodology
- Datamonitor forecast methodology
- Datamonitor drug assessment summary
- Abbreviations
- Contributing experts
- Key opinion leader interview transcripts
- Bibliography
- About Datamonitor
- About Datamonitor Healthcare
- Datamonitor Healthcare's therapy area capabilities
- About the Disease analysis team
- Disclaimer
AbstractIntroduction
Unmet needs across the hematological malignancies remain high, with most traditional therapies conferring low levels of specificity and high toxicity. Pipeline candidates classified as molecular targeted therapies, cytotoxic therapies and immunotherapeutic agents, may offer attractive therapeutic additions and Datamonitor's insight into their clinical and commercial potential is provided.
Scope
Research and analysis of the hematological malignancies pipeline with in-depth clinical and commercial assessment of Phase III candidates Seven major pharmaceutical market sales forecasts to 2016 for key pipeline candidates incorporating product specific assumptions and events Segmentation and examination of product pipeline by developmental phase, class, indication and developer Insight and analysis of the hematological malignancies market potential including commercial opportunity and disease epidemiology
Highlights
180 different pipeline candidates have been identified of which 22 are in late-phase development. These existing candidates have a forecast sales potential of up to $3.61 billion in the seven major pharmaceutical markets by 2016. Agents holding strong commercial potential include Novartis' Gleevec-follow-on, Tasigna (nilotinib), and Genzyme's already approved purine analog Clolar (clofarabine) which is in development for acute myeloid leukemia. Other notable candidates include the anti-idiotype therapeutic vaccines and Biogen Idec's anti-CD23 MAb, lumiliximab. Over 50% of the products are being investigated in acute and/or chronic leukemia. However, as an individual hematological subtype, NHL attracts the greatest attention from developers with 53 (29%) products in the pipeline despite the malignancy being comparatively well served by existing treatment regimens.
Reasons to Purchase
Acquire a detailed appreciation and impartial perspective of the entire hematological malignancies developmental pipeline Identify the key products in late-phase development based on sales forecasts to 2016 and Datamonitor's drug assessment methodology Consider, assess and react to opportunities and risks influencing the future potential of products in the hematological malignancies pipeline
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