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China Genetically Modified Crops Market

Published by: GCiS China Services

Published: Oct. 19, 2006 - 192 Pages


Table of Contents



Ch.1 Introduction & Methodology

Methodology Used in this Study

Sampling

Figure 1.1: Total Sampling (No. Interviews)

Figure 1.2: Supplier & Distributor Segmentation by Type

Research Process

Figure 1.3: GCiS Research Process

Specific Issues for this Project

Definitions

Key English-Chinese Translations

Ch. 2 Total Analysis

I. Total Market

Market in Sum

Notable Findings

Select Total Market Figures

Figure 2.1: Total Cultivated Area of GM Crops (2000-2004)

Figure 2.2: Total Cultivated Area of GM Crops (2000-2004)

Figure 2.3: Total Output of GM Crops (Cotton)

Figure 2.4: Total Output of GM Crops (Cotton)

Figure 2.5: Summary of GM Crops Being Researched in China

Figure 2.6: GM Crops Being Researched in China

Figure 2.7: GM Crops Approved for Commercial Production

Figure 2.8: Total Sown Area of Farm Crops in China

Opportunities

Figure 2.9: Opportunities for Sale of Select GM Crops

II. Market for GM Cotton Seeds

Key Points

Market Size

Figure 2.10: Market Size Calculation

Market Growth

Figure 2.11: Total Cultivated Area of GM Crops (2002-2004)

Figure 2.12: Cultivated Area of Cotton

Figure 2.13: Cultivated Area of GM Cotton

Figure 2.14: Growth in Cultivated Area of GM Cotton - Chart

Market Forecasts

Figure 2.15: Market Forecasts (2005-2009)

Figure 2.16: Market Forecasts (2005-2009) - Chart

Market Shares

Figure 2.17: GM Cotton Seeds Market Shares

Figure 2.18: GM Cotton Market Shares

Market Development

Figure 2.19: Total Cultivated Land of Traditional and GM Cotton

Figure 2.20: Costs Comparison between GM and Non-GM Cotton Crops in 2004

Figure 2.21: Savings with GM Cotton Crops per Family and Laborer in 2004

Figure 2.22: Avg Land Area in China per Family, Laborer by Main Agri. Provinces

Figure 2.23: Average Land Area in China per Family, Laborer - Chart

Figure 2.24: Total Cotton Cultivated Land in China (1995-2004)

Figure 2.25: GM Cotton Cultivated Land in China (2001-2004)

Figure 2.26: China GM Cotton Cultivated Land Forecasts (2005-2010)

Figure 2.27: China GM Cotton Cultivated Land Forecasts (2005-2010) - Chart

III. Market for Other GM Crops

GM Rice - Summary

Figure 2.28: Total Sown Area of Grain Crops in China (000 Hectares)

Figure 2.29: Total Sown Area of Rice in China

Market Development - GM Rice

Figure 2.30: Equal Costs of GM and Non-GM Rice Crops Price Estimation

Figure 2.31: Rice Yield Statistics and Forecasts (1996-2010)

Figure 2.32: Annual Profit from Rice Yield per Family and Laborer at Equal GM and Non-GM Crops Costs

Figure 2.33: Lower Costs (20%) of GM Rice Crops Price Estimation

Figure 2.34: Savings with GM Rice Crops per Family, Laborer at 20% Lower Costs

Figure 2.35: Total Rice Cultivated Land in China (1996-2004)

Figure 2.36: Estimated GM Rice Cultivated Land in China (2006-2015)

Figure 2.37: China GM Rice Cultivated Land Forecasts (2005-2010) - Chart

GM Wheat - Summary

Figure 2.38: Total Sown Area of Grain Crops in China (000 Hectares)

Figure 2.39: Sown Area of Wheat in China

Market Development - GM Wheat

Figure 2.40: Equal Costs of GM and Non-GM Wheat Crops Price Estimation

Figure 2.41: Wheat Yield Statistics and Forecasts (1996-2010)

Figure 2.42: Annual Profit from Wheat Yield per Family and Laborer at Equal GM and Non-GM Crops Costs

Figure 2.43: Lower Costs (20%) of GM Wheat Crops Price Estimation

Figure 2.44: Savings with GM Wheat Crops per Family & Laborer at 20%

Lower Costs

Figure 2.45: Total Wheat Cultivated Land in China (1996-2004)

Figure 2.46: Estimated GM Wheat Cultivated Land in China (2006-2015)

Figure 2.47: China GM Wheat Cultivated Land Forecasts (2006-2015) - Chart

Market Development - GM Corn

Figure 2.48: Equal Costs of GM and Non-GM Corn Crops Price Estimation

Figure 2.49: Corn Yield Statistics and Forecasts (1996-2010)

Figure 2.50: Annual Profit from Corn Yield per Family and Laborer at Equal GM and Non-GM Crops Costs

Figure 2.51: Lower Costs (20%) of GM Corn Crops Price Estimation

Figure 2.52: Savings with GM Corn Crops per Family & Laborer at 20%

Lower Costs

Figure 2.53: Total Corn Cultivated Land in China (1996-2004)

Figure 2.54: Estimated GM Corn Cultivated Land in China (2006-2015)

Figure 2.55: China GM Corn Cultivated Land Forecasts (2007-2015) - Chart

GM Tomatoes

GM Rapeseed

Figure 2.56: Total Sown Area of Oil-bearing Crops in China

Figure 2.57: Growth in Sown Area of Rapeseed

Figure 2.58: Sown Area of Rapeseed

GM Tobacco

Figure 2.59: Total Sown Area of Tobacco in China

Figure 2.60: Sown Area of Tobacco in China - Chart

GM Pepper

Figure 2.61: Total Sown Area of Vegetables in China

Figure 2.62: Total Sown Area of Vegetables in China - Chart

GM Soybeans

Figure 2.63: Imports of Soybeans

Figure 2.64: Exports of Soybeans

Figure 2.65: Imports and Exports of Soybeans

Figure 2.66: Domestic Production of Soybeans

Figure 2.67: Domestic Output of Soybeans

Other

IV. Government Regulation of the Industry

Key Points

Approval Process

Figure 2.68: Current Stages of GM Crops

Figure 2.69: GM Bio-safety Approval Flow Chart

Applicable Rules & Regulations

V. Market Characteristics

Market Trends

Market Drivers

Market Inhibitors

VI. Additional Information

Market Entry

Challenges for Foreign Suppliers

Suggestions for Foreign Suppliers

Ch. 3 Supplier & Distributor Analysis

I. Background on Suppliers & Distributors

Figure 3.1: Background on Suppliers & Distributors Interviewed

Figure 3.2: Ownership of Suppliers Interviewed

Figure 3.3: Type of Companies Interviewed

Figure 3.4: Seeds Produced/Sold by Suppliers & Distributors Interviewed

Figure 3.5: Average Number of Employees by Company Type

Figure 3.6: Average Revenues by Company Type (2004)

Figure 3.7: Average Revenues (2004)

Figure 3.8: Average Percent Revenues from GM Crops by Company Type

Figure 3.9: Average Percent Revenues from GM Crops by Company Type

Figure 3.10: Percent Suppliers Exporting

II. Sales Information

Key Points

Output

Figure 3.11: Average Annual Output of Insect Resistant Cotton by Company Type

Figure 3.12: Average Annual Output of Insect Resistant Cotton by Company Size

Figure 3.13: Average Annual Output of Insect Resistant Cotton by Ownership

Figure 3.14: Average Annual Output of Insect Resistant Cotton

Sales

Figure 3.15: Average Sales of Insect Resistant Cotton Seeds by Company Type

Figure 3.16: Sales of Insect Resistant Cotton by Company Size (2004)

Figure 3.17: Sales of Insect Resistant Cotton by Ownership (2004)

Figure 3.18: Average Percent Total Sales for GM Crops

Figure 3.19: Average Percent Total Sales for GM Crops by Company Size

Figure 3.20: Average Percent Total Sales for GM Crops by Ownership

Sales Growth Rates

Figure 3.21: Average Sales Growth Rate

Figure 3.22: Average Sales Growth Rate by Company Type

Figure 3.23: Average Sales Growth Rate by Company Size

Figure 3.24: Average Sales Growth Rate by Ownership

Figure 3.25: Average Sales Growth Rates

Figure 3.26: Current Sales Growth Rates

Pricing Information

Figure 3.27: Insect Resistant Cotton Prices - Actual Market Prices

Figure 3.28: Average Price Charged for Insect Resistant Cotton

Figure 3.29: Prices Charged for Insect Resistant Cotton

Figure 3.30: Average Price Charged for Insect Resistant Cotton by Company Type

Figure 3.31: Average Price Charged for Insect Resistant Cotton by Company Size

Figure 3.32: Average Price Charged for Insect Resistant Cotton by Ownership

Figure 3.33: Average Prices Charged for Insect Resistant Cotton

Figure 3.34: Assessment of Current Pricing Trends

Figure 3.35: Assessment of Current Pricing Trends

Main Customers

Figure 3.36: Main Customers for GM Crops

Sales Channels Used

Figure 3.37: Sales Channels Used

Figure 3.38: Sales Channels Used

Figure 3.39: Sales Channels Used by Company Size

Figure 3.40: Sales Channels Used by Ownership

Figure 3.41: Sales Channels Used by Company Type

Figure 3.42: Sales Channels Used

Figure 3.43: Average Percent Sales by Channel (Overall)

Figure 3.44: Average Percent Sales by Channel (Suppliers)

Figure 3.45: Average Percent Sales by Channel (Distributors)

Figure 3.46: Flow of Goods in GM Crops Market

Distribution Analysis

Figure 3.47: Average Number of Distributors by Tier

Figure 3.48: Number of Distributors by Tier

Figure 3.49: Number of Tier 1 Distributors by Company Size

Figure 3.50: Number of Tier 1 Distributors by Ownership

Figure 3.51: Average Number of Tier 1 Distributors

Figure 3.52: Number of Distributors by Tier (Suppliers)

Figure 3.53: Number of Distributors by Tier (Distributors)

Figure 3.54: Suppliers Providing Technical, Sales Support to Distributors

Figure 3.55: Suppliers Providing Support to Distributors by Company Type

Figure 3.56: Suppliers Providing Support to Distributors by Company Size

Figure 3.57: Suppliers Providing Support to Distributors by Ownership

Figure 3.58: Suppliers Providing Support to Distributors

Sales Offices

Figure 3.59: Average Number of Sales Offices

Figure 3.60: Average Number of Sales Offices

Figure 3.61: Average Number of Sales Offices by Company Type

Figure 3.62: Average Number of Sales Offices by Company Size

Figure 3.63: Average Number of Sales Offices by Ownership

Figure 3.64: Average Number of Sales Offices

III. Competitive Analysis

Key Points

Competitive Situation

Figure 3.65: Assessment of Competition

Figure 3.66: Assessment of Competition

Figure 3.67: Assessment of Competition by Company Size

Figure 3.68: Assessment of Competition by Company Type

Top Suppliers

Figure 3.69: Top GM Crop Suppliers

Figure 3.70: Assessment of Strengths & Weaknesses of Monsanto

Figure 3.71: Assessment of Strengths & Weaknesses of Andai Cotton

Figure 3.72: Assessment of Strengths & Weaknesses of Hebei Chuangshiji

Feedback on Suppliers

Figure 3.73: Awareness of Select Suppliers

Figure 3.74: Awareness of Select Suppliers

Figure 3.75: Assessment of Supplier Market Positions

Figure 3.76: Self-Assessment of Market Share

IV. Market Assessment

Key Points

Opportunities

Figure 3.77: Assessment of Opportunities for Sale of Insect Resistant Cotton

Figure 3.78: Assessment of Opportunities by Company Size

Figure 3.79: Assessment of Opportunities by Ownership

Figure 3.80: Assessment of Opportunities by Ownership, Company Size

Demand for GM Cotton

Figure 3.81: Assessment of Demand for GM Cotton Seeds

Figure 3.82: Assessment of Demand for GM Cotton Seeds

Figure 3.83: Assessment of Demand for GM Cotton Seeds by Company Size

Figure 3.84: Assessment of Demand for GM Cotton Seeds by Ownership

Figure 3.85: Assessment of Demand for GM Cotton Seeds by Ownership, Size

Market Growth

Figure 3.86: Assessment of Consumption Growth Rate of GM Cotton Seeds

Future of the Market

Additional Comments

V. Supplier & Distributor Profiles

List of Contacts

Abstract

One of the key sectors in China is agriculture. China has been doing extensive research and development on its own GM crops in order to build up a competitive place in this market as it develops throughout the world. In the recent past, GM cotton was approved in China and is doing quite well in the market, although still a new market. Recently the Chinese government held a meeting that could prove to be the most important GM crop related meeting to happen in the world: a meeting to approve commercial production of GM rice, a very important crop in China. Assuming GM rice is approved as expected, China has potential to become the largest market for GM crops in the world in the not so distant future. This report is based on over 70 primary interviews, and significant secondary research, all conducted in China.

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