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Nigeria Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report Q4 2006

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 1, 2007 - 57 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Nigeria Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Industry SWOT
Nigeria: Business Environment Ranking
Table: Business Environment Ranking: Middle East & Africa
Business Environment Ranking
Economics - Long-Term Risk
Politics - Long-Term Risk
Regulatory Barriers
Domestic Sector Threat
Market Growth Potential
Market Size Ranking
Market Summary
Regulatory Regime
Intellectual Property
Pricing and Reimbursement Issues
Industry Developments
Healthcare Sector
Response To Major Disease Threats
Pharmaceutical Sector Developments
Regional Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
Key Growth Factors - Industry
Table: Drug Market Expenditure Forecasts
Key Growth Factors - Macroeconomic
Table: Nigeria - Macroeconomic Forecasts
Prescription Market Forecast
Table: Prescription Market Data Forecasts
OTC Market Forecast
Table: OTC Market Data Forecasts
Generics Market Forecast
Table: Generics Market Data Forecasts
Export/Import Market Forecasts
Healthcare Data Forecasts
Table: Nigerian Pharmaceutical Market - Historical Data & Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
Overview
Company Profiles
Nigeria-German Chemicals PLC (NGC)
Pfizer
BMI Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Pharmaceutical Industry
Sources
Appendix: Regional Demographic Data
The Long View: Data Over The Economic Cycle (2000-2007)
Population
Household Spending Per Capita, US$
Private Consumption Per Capita, US$ PPP
Market Size, GDP, US$bn
Country Snapshot: Nigeria Demographic Data
Section 1: Population:
Table: Demographic Indicators (2005)
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown
Section 2: Education & Healthcare
Table: Education
Table: Healthcare: Vital Statistics
Table: Healthcare: Expenditure
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Consumption and Stratification

Abstract

Nigeria’s pharmaceutical market continues to punch below its weight, with the country’s large and rapidly expanding population failing to act as a fulcrum to sector development. Yet, BMI remains cautiously optimistic about the market’s potential. Nigeria is the dominant economy in western Africa, with a strong entrepreneurial ethic, and the country could have a strong impact on the surrounding region, much in the same way that South Africa has had in its immediate vicinity. However, BMI expects growth to be sluggish over the next five years, with market value reaching only US$298mn in 2010, representing per capita expenditure of approximately US$2.

The key challenge for Nigeria is the scourge of counterfeit drugs, which are endemic in the market, accounting for more than half of all drug sales. Unsafe medicines kill thousands of people each year, undermine the local manufacturing sector and deter multinationals. However, the National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control (NAFDAC) is fighting to stem the illicit trade, conducting 13,897 raids between 2001 and 2002 alone. Although this has had an impact, the trade continues unabated due to high demand for affordable treatments.

Meanwhile, the country’s disease burden is also a reason for concern. Conservative estimates place the number of HIV/AIDS sufferers at more than 3mn, while only an estimated 13,000 are receiving antiretrovirals. Yet, the government hopes that the local drug-manufacturing sector will take an increasingly prominent role in the fight against infectious disease. This certainly seems to be happening with domestic player Emzor, an example of a company that is now active in producing both artemisinin combination therapies (ACTs) to treat malaria as well as ARVs to slow the progression of HIV/AIDS.

BMI’s adjusted Business Environment Rankings for the Middle East and Africa region reveal that Nigeria is in 13th place, ahead only of Zimbabwe. This is primarily due to forecasts of low growth coupled with the lack of any working intellectual property (IP) regime. The country’s uncertain economic and political outlook also acts as a barrier to investment.

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