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Exchange Traded Funds - US

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Feb. 1, 2007 - 95 Pages


Table of Contents


Scope of this Report

What you need to know

Introduction and scope of this report

Abbreviations and terms

Abbreviations

Terms



Executive Summary

Overview

Fast facts on ETFs

New products and future trends



Market Drivers—Current Conditions

Proliferation of product creating an overcrowded market space

Challenges to ETF market entry

Challenges to ETF asset growth

Structured notes may challenge as new flavor of the month

Mutual funds may alter their shape

General public still unfamiliar with ETFs

Industry providing information for investors to evaluate ETFs

Ratings agencies furnishing analyses of ETFs

Morningstar Ratings

Standard & Poor’s Ratings

Lipper Ratings

AltaVista Ratings

Buyside Research

TrimTabs Investment Research

Regulatory activity

Focus on fees

Financial intermediaries are paying more attention to ETFs

Figure 1: Independent advisor comparative product average allocation, 2003 and 2005

Financial advisor survey results

Figure 2: Clients’ level of interest in alternative investments, November 2006

Services to help advisors evaluate ETFs

International and commodity ETFs

Rollover dollars a possibility

IRAs may be lucrative marketplace for ETFs

Deferred compensation plans a largely untapped market

ETFs designed as lifecycle funds

Figure 3: Default investment options offered by plans, by size, 2006

Health Savings Accounts may gain ground



Market Drivers—New Opportunities

New ETF strategies are competing with mutual funds

Financial advisors changing product mix

Figure 4: Channel comparison—advisor product mix, 2004 and 2005

SMA growth opening doors for ETFs

UMAs beginning to take shape

Qualified plan market opportunities

ETFs in the 401(k) plan: the next generation

Case study—Invest n Retire

Case study—401(k) Retirement Solutions

ETFs and small business 401(k)s

Case study—ShareBuilder

Online brokerages and ETF investors

Institutional investors and hedge funds focusing on ETFs

Actively managed strategies for ETFs

ETFs used within variable annuities

ETFs in 529 college savings plans

European and emerging markets ETFs



Market Size and Segmentation

Overview

Figure 5: ETF assets, 1995-2006

Figure 6: ETF assets, by investment type, 2005 and 2006

Figure 7: Number of ETFs, by category and expense ratios, 2006

Figure 8: Number of ETFs and percentage with more than $5 billion under management, 1995-2006

Figure 9: ETF assets and compound average growth rate versus mutual funds, 2000-06

Figure 10: Net cash inflows to mutual funds & ETFs, 1999-2006



Competitive Landscape

Major players

Figure 11: ETF sponsors by assets under management, May 2006

Figure 12: Mutual fund company issued ETFs, 2005

Competitive landscape by sector

Commodities ETFs

Oil ETFs

Gold and silver ETFs

Fixed income ETFs

Socially responsible ETFs

Financially-based ETFs

Dividend ETFs

Sector ETFs

Niche market ETFs

ETF options

Health Care ETFs

International ETFs

ETFs with tactical strategies

Exchange Traded Notes

Real Estate ETFs



Advertising and Promotion

ETF Advertisements

Figure 13: Print advertisement for Mid-Cap SPDRs, 2006

Figure 14: Print advertisement for Amex Diamonds, 2006

Figure 15: Print advertisement for Fidelity ONEQ, 2006

Figure 16: Print advertisement for Integrity annuity ETFs, 2006

Figure 17: Print advertisement for Integrity annuity ETFs, 2006

Figure 18: Direct mail advertisement for Integrity PortfolioNavigators, 2006

Figure 19: Direct mail advertisement for Integrity AnnuiChoice variable annuity with ETFs, 2006

Figure 20: Direct mail advertisement for BGI’s iShares, 2006

Figure 21: Direct mail advertisement for BGI’s iShares, 2006

Figure 22: Print advertisement for Nuveen Investments, 2006

Figure 23: Print advertisement for Seligman Target Horizon ETF Portfolios, 2006



The Consumer

Summary of consumer findings

Overview of advisors and ETFs

Figure 24: Proportion of advisors who invest for individuals, institutions and retirement accounts, December 2006

Figure 25: Assets under management for those who recommend ETFs, December 2006

ETFs and other investments

Figure 26: Percentage of advisors with client assets invested in ETFs, by advisor age, December 2006

Figure 27: Mean percentage of assets under management invested, by investment type, December 2006

Figure 28: Mean percentage of assets under management in mutual funds and ETFs, by advisors with individual and institutional clients, December 2006

Figure 29: Mean percentage of assets under management in mutual funds and ETFs, by advisors whose accounts are primarily retirement accounts, December 2006

Proportion of clients and portfolio size

Figure 30: Proportion of clients to whom ETFs are recommended as an investment, December 2006

Figure 31: Average size of a portfolio advisor would manage for a client to whom they would recommend ETFs, December 2006

Figure 32: Proportion of clients to whom ETFs are recommended as an investment, December 2006

Figure 33: Average size of portfolio for which ETFs would be recommended, for financial advisors advising on tax-deferred retirement accounts, December 2006

Advantages and disadvantages of ETFs

Figure 34: Advantages of ETFs over other investments, December 2006

Figure 35: Advantages of ETFs as investments for clients over other investments, by advisor age and income, December 2006

Figure 36: Reasons for using alternative investments, November 2006

Figure 37: Reasons retiree clients are reluctant to invest in alternative investments, November 2006

Reasons for not recommending ETFs

Figure 38: Reasons for not recommending ETFs, by gender, December 2006

Figure 39: Reasons for not recommending ETFs, by advisor age and income, December 2006

Plans to increase allocations to ETFs

Figure 40: Intentions to increase the proportion of client assets allocated to ETFs, by gender, December 2006

Figure 41: Percentage of advisors who plan to increase the proportion of client assets allocated to ETFs, by advisor age and income, December 2006

Types of ETFs recommended

Figure 42: Types of ETFs recommended to clients, for advisors who recommend ETFs, by gender, December 2006

Figure 43: Type of ETFs recommended to clients, by advisor age and income, December 2006

Level of knowledge about ETFs

Figure 44: Level of clients’ knowledge about ETFs, by gender, December 2006

Figure 45: Level of clients’ knowledge about ETFs, by advisor age and income, December 2006

Figure 46: Level of advisor knowledge about ETFs, by gender, December 2006

Figure 47: Level of advisor knowledge about ETFs, by advisor age and income, December 2006

Attractive target segments for ETFs

Options investors

Mutual fund investors may be interested in ETFs

Retirees may be interested in ETFs



Market Forecast

Figure 48: Forecast of total U.S. exchange traded funds assets, at current and constant prices, 2006-11



Appendix: Trade Associations

Abstract

How can exchange traded funds (ETFs) make further inroads in creating new investment opportunities, and how successful will these products be in broadening their appeal to the average investor? This report examines the current marketplace for ETFs and the potential for capturing significant market share in the increasingly robust retirement market.

The market for ETFs has grown exponentially in the past decade. Once linked primarily to broad market indices, ETFs are increasingly expanding their scope to more narrowly focused sectors. At the same time, the products are slowly beginning to encroach on the qualified plan market previously dominated by mutual funds.

ETFs have grown both in total asset size as well as in the number of total instruments, experiencing unprecedented growth during 2006. This year could see even more activity. Moreover, providers are intensifying their efforts to enable ETFs to be more accessible to qualified retirement plans, creating another venue for growth.

With the entry of smaller firms into the ETF market, the industry’s landscape is already dramatically different from that of 2005. At the end of 2005, four key players sponsored the majority of ETFs on the market—Barclays Global Investors, State Street Global Advisors, Vanguard Group and PowerShares Capital Management. Most of the products were designed to track the broad stock market or a specific sector. Now, smaller firms are launching ETFs and offering funds that either track alternative asset classes or serve narrow niches.

ETF providers are capitalizing on the products’ ability to provide individuals with access to investments that have traditionally been restricted to large investors such as pension plans and hedge funds, including foreign markets, oil and commodities. Although active ETFs are not yet a reality in the marketplace, new incarnations of the product have taken on a “semi-active” approach, further blurring the differences between indexed and actively managed strategies.

Multiple distribution channels are likely to continue to expedite ETF growth, as firms are beginning to offer the products more widely, and mutual-fund wraps and SMAs are including them as well. The trend for financial advisors to provide services for a fee rather than a sales commission has also helped level the playing field for low-cost ETFs versus the mutual fund universe.

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