Generic Competition 2007 to 2011: The impact of patent expiries on sales of major drugs : Market Research Report

Generic Competition 2007 to 2011: The impact of patent expiries on sales of major drugs

Published: Feb. 1, 2007 - 130 Pages

Executive Summary
Chapter 1: The Impact of Patent Expiries, 2007-11: Introduction; Patent expiry by date; Major generics companies; Overview; Europe; North America; Asia
Chapter 2: Historical and Legal Context of Generic Drugs: Impact of generics on revenue; National factors; Prozac; Plavix; Patent regulations; Europe; US
Chapter 3: Generic Biotechnology Products (Biosimilars): Introduction; Biosimilars; Entry barriers; Major legal cases; Potential biogenerics by 2011; Legal status
Chapter 4: Major Generic Opportunities: Overview; Plavix; Advair; Lipitor
Chapter 5: Impact of Patent Expiry on Key Ethical Pharma Companies: Introduction; Abbott; Amgen; Astellas; AstraZeneca; Bayer-Schering; Boehringer Ingelheim; Bristol-Myers Squibb; Daiichi Sankyo; Eli Lilly; GlaxoSmithKline; Johnson & Johnson; Merck & Co.; Merck KGaA; Novartis; Pfizer; Roche; Sanofi-Aventis; Schering-Plough; Takeda; Wyeth
Chapter 6: Patent Expiries in 2007: Overview; Major patent expiries in Europe; Major patent expiries in the US; Potential revenue loss; Review of drugs with 2007 US patent expiries
Chapter 7: Patent Expiries in 2008 Overview: Major patent expiries in Europe; Major patent expiries in the US; Potential revenue loss; Review of drugs with 2008 US patent expiries
Chapter 8: Patent Expiries in 2009 Overview: Major patent expiries in Europe; Major patent expiries in the US; Potential revenue loss; Review of drugs with 2009 US patent expiries
Chapter 9: Patent Expiries in 2010: Overview; Major patent expiries in Europe; Major patent expiries in the US; Potential revenue loss; Review of drugs with 2010 US patent expiries
Chapter 10: Patent Expiries in 2011: Overview; Major patent expiries in Europe; Major patent expiries in the US; Potential revenue loss; Review of drugs with 2011 US patent expiries
List of Figures: Figure 1.1 2005 revenues in the US for drugs going off patent in the year indicated; Figure 1.2 Number of potential generic market entries in the US, 2007-11; Figure 1.3 Number of potential generics market entries in France, Germany and the UK, 2007-11; Figure 2.1 European generics industry showing respective market shares by value and volume in each of the five major European markets; Figure 2.2 US sales of Prozac and generic fluoxetine, 2000-05; Figure 2.3 Quarterly US sales of Plavix, 2004-06 (the figure for Q4 2006 is estimated); Figure 5.1 Potential exposure of the 20 leading pharmaceutical companies’ revenues to generic competition, 2007-11; Figure 5.2 Potential exposure of the US revenues of the 20 leading pharmaceutical companies to generic competition by year in the period 2007-11; Figure 5.3 Expiry dates of key US drug patents by year in the period 2007-11 for the 20 leading pharmaceutical companies; Figure 6.1 US revenues at risk from patent expirations during 2007; Figure 7.1 US revenues at risk from patent expirations during 2008; Figure 8.1 US revenues at risk from patent expirations during 2009; Figure 9.1 US revenues at risk from patent expirations during 2010; Figure 10.1 US revenues at risk from patent expirations during 2011
List of Tables: Table 1.1 Leading generics companies, 2005 pro forma revenues allowing for recent acquisitions; Table 3.1 Leading biotechnology therapeutics showing reported global sales for 2004 and 2005; Table 4.1 The world’s best-selling drugs in 2005; Table 5.1 AstraZeneca products facing generic threats, 2007-11; Table 5.2 Eli Lilly products facing generic threats, 2007-11; Table 5.3 GlaxoSmithKline products facing generic threats, 2007-11; Table 5.4 Johnson & Johnson products facing generic threats, 2007-11; Table 5.5 Merck products facing generic threats, 2007-11; Table 5.6 Novartis products facing generic threats, 2007-11; Table 5.7 Pfizer products facing generic threats, 2007-11; Table 6.1 Major drugs whose patents expire in France, Germany and/or the UK in 2007; Table 6.2 Major drugs whose patent protection and marketing exclusivity expires in the US in 2007; Table 7.1 Major drugs whose patents expire in France, Germany and/or the UK in 2008; Table 7.2 Major drugs whose patent protection and marketing exclusivity expires in the US in 2008; Table 8.1 Significant drugs whose patents will expire in France, Germany and/or the UK in 2009; Table 8.2 Significant drugs whose patent protection and marketing exclusivity will expire in the US in 2009; Table 9.1 Significant drugs whose patents will expire in France, Germany and/or the UK in 2010; Table 9.2 Significant drugs whose patent protection and marketing exclusivity will expire in the US in 2010; Table 10.1 Significant drugs whose patents will expire in France, Germany and/or the UK in 2011; Table 10.2 Significant drugs whose patent protection and marketing exclusivity will expire in the US in 2011

Abstract

New generics in the period 2007 to 2011 threaten $100 billion of revenues generated in the United States and Europe. The most dramatic change in this period will arise in the period 2010 to 2012 as the patents covering Lipitor expire.

The loss of revenues to generic substitutes is a major influence on the financial performance of ethical R&D companies. Conversely the successful identification and exploitation of the opportunities afforded by patent expirations provides a major growth driver for the pharmaceutical companies who focus their business on the provision of generic therapeutics.

Generic Competition 2007 to 2011: The impact of patent expiries on sales of major drugs is a 50,000 word report that provides the valuable market data and insight that both ethical and generic pharmaceutical companies will find useful in their business.

This unique report will describe in detail which major selling drugs will be affected by patent expiry and the likely financial effect on the producer company. The following information for each drug is provided:

Indication
Manufacturer
Revenues ($m) for 2001-06 (total and US)
% of company’s 2005 revenues
Share of market segment
Key competitors
Patent Status in US, France, Germany, Italy and UK
Patenting activity by generics companies
Generic regulatory filing activity
Pending litigation issues
Share of market segment
Impact of generic substitutes:
- Directly on distributor
- Indirectly on competitors
- On market segment
- Distributor(s)
- Franchise defence strategies

Key features of this report

Reviews of over 50 major drugs that will come off patent between 2007 and 2011
Listing of generic regulatory filing activity
Solid overview of market for generic drugs over the next four years
Global product sales figures for years 2001-2005 with share by company revenue & market segment

Use this report to:

Forecast the market share that will be lost to generic competition
Understand which global companies are under pressure from generics
Consider the effect of expiry on the patent holder’s competitors
See whether there are any outstanding litigation issues
Learn which generic companies are active in filing

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Generic Competition 2007 to 2011: The impact of patent expiries on sales of major drugs

Table of Contents

Abstract