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The Future of Itanium: Goat or Game-Changer

Published by: Ovum Plc

Published: Jul. 7, 2006 - 23 Pages


Table of Contents


Section 1: A Brief History of Itanium—From Mainstream Designate to Mainframe Wannabe
Section 2: Itanium's Two Front Chip War—
The RISC Challengers
Section 3: Itanium's Second Front—
Challenges from Below
Section 4: In Search of Scale Economies
Section 5: Building the Itanium Systems Ecosystem
Section 6: Putting Software Meat on the Itanium Ecosystem Bones
Section 7: Divining Itanium's Future—
Steady-State Scenarios
Section 8: Can Intel Still Change the Rules?

Figure 1: Intel's 2006 Itanium Plans
Figure 2: Intel's Multicore Roadmap
Figure 3: IBM's Power vs. Itanium Benchmarks
Figure 4: Scale-Up Processors by the Numbers
Figure 5: Comparing the Scale-Up Processor Ecosystems
Figure 6: Growth of the Itanium Applications Portfolio
Figure 7: Steady-State Itanium Scenarios

Abstract

When Intel and HP first announced plans for Itanium, the chip appeared likely to reshape the entire microprocessor industry. But after continual Intel delays and missteps, it is questionable whether the processor can ever establish a position beyond the niche that Hewlett-Packard has worked so tirelessly to create—especially now that AMD has effectively trumped Intel's mainstream Xeon processor and forced Intel to focus on salvaging its Xeon business.

This report profiles the strengths, limitations and prospects of Itanium relative to competitive offerings and assesses whether HP and the rest of the Itanium ecosystem can muster sufficient momentum to compensate for Intel's errors.

Read this Report to Learn:

The forces that will shape Itanium's future in its two-front war against Power and SPARC at the high end and against Xeon, Opteron and the wild card "scale-out" computing trend at the low end;
The depth of HP's multi-faceted commitment to Itanium and the more tentative support of other key system and software partners; and
The five "steady-state" scenarios for Itanium's future and the breakaway scenario that Intel appears to be secretly following.


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