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Mexico Autos Report Q3 2006

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Oct. 1, 2006 - 69 Pages


Table of Contents


Chapter 1 - SWOT Analysis

Mexico Auto Industry SWOT

Mexico Economic SWOT

Mexico Business Environment SWOT

Chapter 2 - Latin America Regional Overview

Table: Latin America Autos Production - Historical Data & Forecasts (CBUs unless otherwise stated)

Table: Latin America Autos Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts (CBUs unless otherwise stated)

Chapter 3 - Business Environment Rankings

Table: Latin America Business Environment Ranking

Economics - Long-term Risk

Politics - Long-term Risk

CBU Output Growth

Vehicle Ownership/Penetration Potential

Regulation

Competitive Environment

Chapter 4 - Industry Forecast Scenario

Production And Sales

Table: Mexico Autos Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (CBUs unless otherwise stated)

Trade

Table: Mexico Autos Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (CBUs unless otherwise stated)

Economic Contribution

Table: Mexico Autos Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (CBUs unless otherwise stated)

Chapter 5 - Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario

Table: Economic Activity Indicators

Country Snapshot: Mexico Demographic Data

Section 1: Population:

Table: Demographic Indicators (2005)

Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown

Section 2: Education & Healthcare

Table: Education

Table: Healthcare: Vital Statistics

Table: Healthcare: Expenditure

Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power

Table: Employment Indicators

Table: Consumption And Stratification

Table: Wages Per Year

LATIN AMERICA: Automotive Focus Report On Premium Cars

Regional Overview

Table: Competitive landscape: Regional Comparison

Table: Prospects for growth in Latin America's premium car markets

Country Landscape: Mexico

Market Size & Opportunities for Growth

Table: MEXICO - Proportion Of Premium Cars Relative To Mexico Car Market, 2002-2005

Table: Sales By Light Truck Market Niche

Customer Profil

Key Players

Table: Mexico - 2002-2005 Sales By Premium Brand

SWOT of Mexican premium car market

Chapter 6 - Special Focus: Commercial Vehicles

Table: Mexico Commercial Vehicle Market By Vehicle Type (2000-2005)

Table: Mexico Commercial Vehicle Production By Vehicle Type (2000-2005)

Light Commercial Vehicles

Table: LCV Sales By Manufacturer

Heavy Commercial Vehicles

Table: Heavy Commercial Vehicle Sales By Type

Table: Heavy Commercial Vehicle Wholesales By Manufacturer, 2000-2005, And Market Share 2005

Table: Heavy Commercial Vehicle Production By Manufacturer, 2000-2005, And Market Share 2005

Table: Sales Of Trucks and Buses By Segment, 2004 And 2005 Actual, 2006-2010 Forecast

Table: Production Of Trucks And Buses By Segment, 2004 And 2005 Actual, 2006-2010 Forecast

Chapter 7 - Competitive Landscape

Market Overview

Table: Mexico Vehicle Production 2005

Table: Mexico Vehicle Sales 2005

Manufacturers - Passenger & Commercial Vehicles

Suppliers

Industry Developments

Chapter 8 - Company Monitor

GM Regional Overview

Table: General Motors Regional Car Sales, In CBUs

General Motors Regional Production, In CBUS

General Motors Regional SWOT

Company Profiles

General Motors

Nissan

Volkswagen

DaimlerChrysler

Toyota

BMI Forecast Modelling

Automobile Industry

Sources

Appendix: Regional Demographic Data

Table: Wages (ave. per annum), US$

Table: Population

Table: Household Spending Per Capita, US$

Table: Private Consumption Per Capita, US$ PPP

Table: Market Size, GDP, US$bn

Abstract

Bumper sales in August and strong production figures for the year so far. This is the scenario in Mexico's automotive sector, which has led industry experts to predict full-year sales for 2006 of 1.2mn units. According to the Mexican Automobile Industry Association AMIA, domestic sales totalled 90,036 units in August, representing a 0.5% increase on the same month a year before, and the highest amount ever reported by the car industry for the month of August. Accumulated sales for the period January-August totalled 707,559 units, a 0.6% increase on the prior-year period. BMI expects continued growth during the forecast period up to 2010 and forecasts sales of 1.175mn units for 2006 in the Mexico Automotives Report for Q306.

Mexican auto trade has cheered industry observers by registering a 35.8% increase in production in the first half of 2006. According to SISAM, the Mexican body that provides news on the automotive industry, output exceeded 270,300 units in H106 against the same period a year before. The upturn means Mexico has hauled itself up one spot on the global ranking of vehicle producers, and achieved the feat of surpassing Chinese production for the year to May, which was up by 31.8%. SISAM attributes the surge in output to a period of recovery following a slump in growth that was particularly acute during the period 2001 to 2004. Carmakers who are focusing on new models are also credited for the surge. BMI reiterates its expectation of 8% growth in output for 2006 to 1.736mn completely built units (CBUs).

Volkswagen (VW) has confirmed its commitment to the country by earmarking investment of US$400mn to finish updating its facilities in Puebla. Earlier this summer the carmaker was hit by industrial action at the plant when workers forced its hand to concede a 5.5% pay increase. VW remains decidedly upbeat about its future in the country, however, and has praised Mexico as a strategic base for its forthcoming endeavours.

In fact, the carmaker is bidding to strengthen its position in the country's bus and truck segment. VW's Mexican truck and bus subsidiary, VW Camiones y Autobuses, has announced plans to make a new bus with a capacity of 17 tonnes, which will be able to seat up to 40 passengers.

VW continues to be one of the leading manufacturers in Mexico. Local press reports reveal that the most popular vehicles are the NissanTsuru (41,470 units sold), the VW Jetta (23,579) and the FordEcoSport (16,133). General Motors(GM) is currently the biggest carmaker in the country with accumulated sales for the period January-August of 154,583 units. The dominance of industry heavyweights in the market, and the subsequent challenge to newcomers trying to crack the market, has contributed to the country's position in BMI's business environment ranking, which sees Mexico retain fifth place.

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