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Complete RFID Analysis and Forecasts 2007-2017

Published by: IDTechEx Ltd

Published: Feb. 1, 2007 - 224 Pages


Table of Contents





1. Introduction

1.1. Definitions

1.1.1. RFID

1.1.2. Chipless

1.1.3. Passive and active RFID

1.2. Tags have different shapes

1.3. The RFID value chain

1.4. Where tags are placed

1.5. The show so far - 1945 to 2007

1.5.1. Cumulative sales by applicational category

1.5.2. Cumulative sales active vs passive

1.5.3. Cumulative sales chip vs chipless

1.5.4. Dominant suppliers

1.6. Progress in 2005

1.7. Progress in 2006

1.8. Ultimate potential

1.8.1. Potential for different applications

1.8.2. Tag price sensitivity at highest volumes

1.8.3. Price sensitivity curve for RFID (adoption curve)

1.9. Electronic Product Code (EPC)

1.10. Legal push

1.11. Demand pull

1.12. Constraints on market growth

1.12.1. Impediments to highest volume RFID


2. Market for EPC RFID

2.1. EPCglobal

2.2. Progress with EPC adoption so far

2.3. Forecasting EPC adoption

2.4. Choice of tagging package or product

2.5. EPC successes

2.6. EPC versus Non EPC


3. Markets by country

3.1. Number of RFID projects by country

3.2. Ongoing importance of the US market

3.3. RFID across four continents

3.4. Projected sales of RFID tags by territory

3.5. Increasing importance of the East Asian market


4. Markets for passive RFID

4.1. Passive vs active

4.2. Sub categories of passive tag

4.3. Project cost, size and payback

4.4. Passive market by applicational sector

4.5. The main things that are passive tagged

4.6. Passive RFID market by range

4.7. New passive technologies create new markets

4.7.1. Forecast for chip vs chipless tags

4.7.2. Price advantage the main driver of market gain


5. Markets for Active RFID

5.1. Sub categories of active tag

5.2. Project cost, size and payback

5.3. Active market by applicational sector

5.4. The main things that are active tagged

5.5. Active RFID market by range

5.6. Active RFID market by battery type

5.7. New active technologies create new markets

5.7.1. Hand-held homing devices

5.7.2. New markets - Smart Active Labels

5.7.3. An example of massive 'niches'

5.8. Technologies facilitating growth

5.9. Forecasts for active RFID tags

5.10. Forecasts for systems

5.10.1. The spend on active RFID systems

5.10.2. Active RFID players


6. Market for RFID interrogators


7. Markets by frequency

7.1. Spread of tag sales

7.2. Passive frequencies

7.3. Active frequencies


8. Market value by position in value chain: interrogators, software, services etc.

8.1. Market split by position

8.2. Markets for labels, cards and tickets

8.3. Forecasts by tag structures

8.4. Smart card projections

8.5. Markets by location of tag - item, pallet / case, etc

8.5.1. Item, pallet / case tagging vs smart cards

8.6. Forecasts 2007-2017

8.6.2. Rationale behind each forecast

8.6.3. Ubiquitous Sensor Networks and other possibilities - Malaysia and Korea timelines to 2010


9. Market by applicational sector

9.1. Prevalence of RFID projects for each applicational sector

9.2. Future trend of projects for each applicational sector

9.3. Current and future forms of payback by applicational sector

9.4. Healthcare

9.5. Postal and courier services

9.6. Retail and Consumer Packaged Goods

9.7. Military and federal

9.8. Airlines and Airports

9.9. Libraries

9.10. Financial cards

9.11. China National ID Card

9.12. Secure access


10. Largest orders, products, players and oversupply/ undersupply: milestones in future

10.1. Dynamics of the RFID value chain

10.2. Largest orders, best selling products, dominant suppliers in future

10.2.1. Largest suppliers of chips

10.2.2. Largest suppliers of tags, inlets, straps and detailed value chain for high volume

10.2.3. Largest suppliers of software and services

10.3. Sectors potentially oversupplied or undersupplied

10.3.1. Production capacity for tags

10.3.2. Over and undersupply along the value chain 2007-2017

10.4. Milestones and timelines 2000-2020

10.4.1. Milestones 2007-2017

10.4.2. Report on RFID personnel requirements

10.5. To learn more

Appendix 1: RFID Solution Providers

Appendix 2: EPCglobal and The Internet of Things

Appendix 3: IDTechEx Publications

Appendix 4: Glossary




TABLES




1.1. Largest suppliers to date

1.2. Where RFID tags are placed - categories used

1.3. Cumulative global sales of RFID tags by applicational category by the end of 2006 in millions

1.4. The cumulative global sales of RFID tags active vs passive in millions

1.5. Cumulative global sales of RFID tags chip vs chipless to end of 2005 in millions

1.6. Deliveries of chipless tags to date by company

1.7. The dominant RFID tag and chip suppliers to start of 2007

1.8. Value of RFID tag market in 2005

1.9. Value Chain 2005

1.10. Value of RFID tag market in 2006

1.11. Value Chain 2006

1.12. Ultimate potential annual global sales by 2020 of some of the most promising tagged things that have potential for up to one billion tags used yearly.

1.13. Ultimate potential annual global sales by 2020 for some of the most promising tagged things with potential of over one billion tags yearly.

1.14. Examples of laws and mandates encouraging RFID

1.15. Costs per annum for barcodes

1.16. The main impediments to highest volume RFID




2.1. Reasons why an organization may want to use EPC

2.2. Reasons why an organization may wish not to use EPC

2.3. When industries may adopt EPC RFID in at least hundreds of millions yearly. Estimates by IDTechEx




2.4. Market for EPC related RFID only - tags, readers, middleware, services etc, in US dollars billions




3.1. Largest number of RFID case studies by application and continent

3.2. Largest number of RFID case studies by tag format and continent

3.3. Largest number of RFID case studies by tag location and continent

3.4. Largest number of RFID case studies by frequency and continent

3.5. Number of tags in billions by territory 2007, 2012, 2017

3.6. Percentage share of numbers of tags by territory 2007, 2012, 2017

3.7. Value, in billions of dollars, of systems/ services/ tags by territory 2006, 2011, 2016

3.8. Percentage share of value of systems/ services/ tags by territory 2007, 2012, 2017

3.9. Value $ billions of total RFID market excluding cards 2007, 2012, 2017

3.10. Percentage value $ billions of total RFID market excluding cards 2007, 2012, 2017




4.1. Global market for active vs passive RFID tags by number billions

4.2. Global market for active vs passive RFID tags by average tag price in cents

4.3. Global market for active vs passive RFID tags in billions of dollars

4.4. Projected tag assembly costs according to The Auto ID Center

4.5. Historical sales of chipless RFID tags

4.6. Chipless percentage share of the overall RFID market by numbers 2007 to 2017. Projection by IDTechEx

4.7. Chipless share of the overall RFID market by numbers 2007 to 2017. Projection by IDTechEx




5.1. Comparison of some of the typical features of passive vs active RFID

5.2. Unit price of expensive vs low cost tags for active RFID 2007

5.3. Examples of overall spend vs tag spend for some large RFID projects so far

5.4. Main things tagged with active RFID tags in terms of number of projects in the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase or numbers used

5.5. Active RFID in the prison and parole service

5.6. Global potential annually for active RFID systems plus tags in the prison and parole service

5.7. Forecasts for the number, unit price and value of the global market for vehicle clickers (remote locking), Smart Active Label (SAL) RFID and other types of active RFID tag from 2007-2017 in millions of units and millions of dollars

5.8. Forecast for the value of global sales of RFID systems excluding tags, for vehicle clickers, SALs and other applications 2007-2017 in millions of dollars

5.9. Forecast for the value of global sales of RFID systems including tags, for vehicle clickers, SALs and other applications 2007-2017 in millions of dollars

5.10. Forecast for the value of global sales of RFID systems including tags, for vehicle clickers, SALs and other applications 2007-2017 in millions of dollars




6.1. RFID enabled cellphones worldwide - 2007, 2012, 2017

6.2. Market for RFID interrogators by application, number millions

6.3. Market for RFID interrogators by application, reader price US dollars

6.4. Market for RFID interrogators by application, US dollars billions




7.1. The spread of tag numbers by frequency to the start of 2007

7.2. The spread of tag numbers by frequency forecast for 2007

7.3. The spread of tag numbers by frequency forecast for 2012

7.4. The spread of tag sales % by frequency forecast for 2017

7.5. Future favourite frequencies by format and application




8.1. The split of the market by position in the value chain by percentage share

8.2. The split of the market by position in the value chain by value

8.3. Breakdown of the tag market by number of tags in millions

8.4. Breakdown of the tag market percentage of tags by numbers

8.5. Breakdown of the tag market value of tags by form ($ billion)

8.6. Breakdown of the tag market percentage of tags by value

8.7. Total RFID market value ($ billion)

8.8. Total RFID market percentage of tags by value

8.9. Contactless cards market by applicational sector 2007-2017, number millions

8.10. Volume sales of tags by application 2007-2017

8.11. Average tag price per application in US cents 2007-2017

8.12. Volume sales of tags by application 2007-2017

8.13. Rationale behind item and pallet / case forecasts

8.14. Some possibly substantial new locations for RFID tags




9.1. IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase January 2007 -number of cases by applicational sector

9.2. Future trends for the applicational sectors with the most projects

9.3. Benefits most commonly sought and payback most commonly claimed by sector.




10.1. Examples of some of the larger RFID suppliers and their estimated sales and profit status

10.2. Cumulative RFID tag sales by number to beginning of 2007

10.3. Examples of dominant companies in the chip to label value chain in 2006

10.4. Examples of companies dominating in the chip to label value chain in 2010

10.5. The trend for RFID software and services 2005/ 2016

10.6. Some of the companies offering and preparing to offer RFID tags in very high volumes and their current status.

10.7. Global production capacity for RFID tags suitable for the highest volume demand 2005 - 2006

10.8. Over and undersupply that existed in the RFID value chain in 2005/6

10.9. Parts of the RFID value chain that may be over or undersupplied 2007-2017

10.10. Milestones 2007-2020




FIGURES




1.1. The RFID value chain

1.2. An AstraZeneca syringe with chipless RFID tag

1.3. Technologies appropriate to the different levels of tag cost and volume.

1.4. The adoption curve 2004-2016

1.5. Distribution in value of item level RFID tag sales

1.6. The overall price-volume sensitivity envelope

1.7. RFID from cradle to grave

1.8. Marks & Spencer reusable plastic trays for food

1.9. Marks & Spencer paybacks

1.10. Costs per annum for RF Tags




2.1. Procter & Gamble forecast for EPC CPG tagging at pallet, case and item level 2003 to 2010




3.1. Top ten countries by number of case studies on the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase Q1 2007




4.1. Passive RFID applications in packaging and containers by range




5.1. Passive RFID compared with the various types of active RFID

5.2. Printed batteries from Infinite Power Solutions and the concept by the Smart Active Labels Consortium of using RFID smart labels with similar batteries to boost range in warehouse environments.

5.3. RFID protecting keys against theft or misuse.

5.4. Wristwatch transmitters worn by inmates

5.5. Three phases in the evolution of active RFID

5.6. Systems, devices and interfaces that are now used by active RFID, or combined with it, in small portable devices.




7.1. Active only in 2007

7.2. Active only in 2017




8.1. A traditional bullet-like LF tag, left, as used in the shoes of marathon runners for timing and in animals. This is compared with, centre, a label at HF, and right one at UHF, both being the size of a credit card but thinner.

8.2. Projections for global sales of RFID cards with a smoothing of the China ID card program

8.3. Malaysian project for Ubiquitous Sensor Networks etc

8.4. What is USN in Korea?

8.5. Korean program towards ubiquitous sensor enabled RFID 2004 to 2010 as presented at the IDTechEx conference Smart Labels Asia in Tokyo November 2004




9.1. Principle of automatic mail registrations with RFID

9.2. Mobile AMQM - equipment and practical use

9.3. US Navy program for the ship of the future based on RFID and allied technologies




10.1. Today's RFID value chain

10.2. Detailed value chain and dynamics

10.3. Detailed value chain for materials aspects

10.4. How most mergers and acquisitions take companies towards total system supply and system integration/ facilities management to chase the big orders.

10.5. High volume item level RFID tagging

10.6. The market for add-on printed RFID

10.7. Competing value chains for tags

Abstract

Your complete guide to RFID markets, trends, players and opportunities. Using new, unique information researched globally by IDTechEx technical experts, we analyse the RFID market in many different ways, with over 120 tables and figures. They include detailed ten year projections for EPC vs non-EPC, high value niche markets, active vs passive, readers, markets by frequency, markets by geographical region, label vs non label, chip vs chipless, markets by application, tag format and tag location. Cumulative sales of RFID is analyzed as are the major players and unmet opportunities. It covers the emergence of new products, legal and demand pressures and impediments for the years to come.

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