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Peru Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Q4 2006

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Oct. 1, 2006 - 59 Pages


Table of Contents


Chapter 1 - Executive Summary

Peru: Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Industry SWOT

Peru Political SWOT Analysis

Peru Economic SWOT Analysis

Peru Business Environment SWOT Analysis

Chapter 2 - Peru: Business Environment Ranking

Business Environment Ranking

Economics - Long-term Risk

Politics - Long-term Risk

Regulatory Barriers

Domestic Sector Threat

Market Growth Potential

Market Size Ranking

Chapter 3 - Peru: Market Summary

Chapter 4 - Regulatory Regime

Intellectual Property Regime

Pricing & Reimbursement Issues

Other Regulatory Issues

Chapter 5 - Industry Developments

Healthcare Sector

Pharmaceutical Sector

Chapter 6 - Industry Forecast Scenario

Overall Market Forecast

Table: Peru Drug Market Indicators

Key Growth Factors - Industry

Table: Health Expenditure Indicators

Key Growth Factors - Macroeconomic

Table: Colombia - Economic Activity

Prescription Market Forecast

Table: Prescription Market Indicators

OTC Market Forecast

Table: OTC Market Indicators

Generics Market Forecast

Table: Generic Market Indicators

Export/Import Forecasts

Table: Import/Export Trends

Other Healthcare Data Forecasts

Table: Other Healthcare Data Forecasts

Key Risks to CHAPTER - BMI’s Forecast Scenario

Chapter 7 - Competitive Landscape

Profiles: Leading Multinationals

Sanofi-Aventis

Merck & Co

GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)

Novartis

Pfizer

Chapter 8 - Company Monitor

Indigenous Manufacturer Profiles

Farmaindustria

Unimed

Chapter 9 - BMI Forecast Modelling

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Technical Process

Pharmaceutical Industry

Sources

Chapter 10 - Latin America: Regional Market Overview

Appendix: Regional Demographic Data

Wages (ave. per annum), US$

Population

Household Spending Per Capita, US$

Private Consumption Per Capita, US$ PPP

Market Size, GDP, US$bn

Chapter 11 - Country Snapshot: Colombia Demographic Data

Section 1: Population:

Table: Demographic Indicators (2005)

Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown

Section 2: Education & Healthcare

Table: Education

Table: Healthcare: Vital Statistics

Table: Healthcare: Expenditure

Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power

Table: Employment Indicators

Table: Consumption and Stratification

Table: Wages per year

Abstract

The Peruvian pharmaceutical market is currently approaching its value of 1997, at around US$495mn, making the market one of the smallest in Latin America. Until very recently, regulatory conditions were considered unacceptable by international standards, and although there has been significant reform in terms of intellectual property, other areas of market regulation are poorly conceived and enforced.

The Peruvian Congress has endorsed to a free-trade agreement with the US. The treaty introduces significant new terms relating to the protection of confidential data submitted to regulatory authorities. Meanwhile, the government has also created tougher requirements for generic products regarding clinical proof of therapeutic equivalence, as well as safety and efficacy, in relation to original products. Despite this positive progress, so-called 'similar' drugs - branded, non-equivalent copies of local origin - account for as much as 40% of the market in value terms. There is little evidence that the new measures will force the withdrawal of inferior quality products in the short term.

In terms of the breakdown of the market, the formal prescription market accounts for approximately 85% of sales, although it should be noted that some 55% of Peruvians routinely self-medicate with pharmaceuticals that are designated as prescription-only. Partly due to a thriving retail market in the major urban centres, the over-the-counter sector accounts for the remainder of sales. BMI's valuation for the generics sector - comprising equivalent, off-patent medicines - is some US$24mn for 2005, although this total is expected to more than double by the end of the forecast period.

The small size of the Peruvian pharmaceutical market and its poor regulatory environment have prompted BMI to rank the market seventh out of eight leading Latin American markets surveyed. Although the US FTA is a positive signal for the future, the more sophisticated markets of Mexico and Brazil are expected to attract the majority share of pharmaceutical sector investment in the region over the forecast period. At the same time, there appears to be little hope of a significant increase in healthcare sector investment, however badly such an increase may be required. Accordingly, BMI believes that market expansion will remain dependent upon the country's continued solid macroeconomic performance.

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