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Stakeholder Opinions: Melanoma - Lucrative commercial opportunities persist

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Dec. 21, 2006 - 155 Pages


Table of Contents


TABLE OF CONTENTS

About the Oncology pharmaceutical analysis team 2

CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3

Datamonitor insight into the melanoma market 3

CHAPTER 2 DISEASE OVERVIEW 17

Melanoma comprises just 5% of all skin cancers, but it is the most deadly 17

The skin has a role of functions, including protection against solar ultraviolet damage 17

Melanoma: a disease of melanocytes which have accumulated genetic defects 19

Four major subtypes of melanoma exist although they do not affect treatment decisions 19

Lentigo maligna melanoma (LMM) is associated with the elderly 20

Superficial spreading melanoma (SSM) is the commonest subtype of melanoma 20

Nodular melanoma (NM) is characterised by rapid growth 21

Acral-lentiginous melanoma (ALM) may be related to delayed diagnosis 21

The pathogenesis of melanoma is believed to involve defective cell cycle regulation 21

The incidence of melanoma continues to rise 22

A range of risk factors are associated with the development of melanoma 25

Excessive exposure to sunlight and severe sunburn is thought to be a major contributing factor for cutaneous melanoma 25

Although evidence finds that sun-beds emit harmful UV radiation, their use is increasing in the young 26

More research is required to determine a safe method to obtain the protective effects of vitamin D 26

The presence of nevi (moles) is associated with increased risk of developing melanoma 27

Individuals with fair hair, a pale complexion and freckling are at the greatest risk of developing melanoma 27

Melanocortin-1 receptor (MC1R) alleles may be linked with melanoma 27

Hereditary factors and family history accounts for 10% of all melanomas 28

Half of all melanomas are found in those aged over 50 years 28

Due to increased sun exposure, males are twice as likely to develop melanoma than women 29

Xeroderma pigmentosum is an inherited autosomal recessive disorder which renders individuals more susceptible to UV radiation 29

A melanoma risk model is available for US patients that could aid clinical trial recruitment 29

Symptoms of melanoma are typically linked with changes in the apperance of nevi 30

The use of sunscreen is inadequate 31

Screening is low among high-risk patients 33

As diagnosis of melanoma is usually made histologically, it is vital that the thickness of the tumor is accurately determined 33

Melanoma biomakers could improve screening, diagnosis and treatment of the disease 34

A number of staging systems exist for melanoma 35

The prognosis of stage IV melanoma is poor 38

Relapse among melanoma patients is common 39

CHAPTER 3 CURRENT TREATMENT CONTROVERSIES 41

Melanoma treatment paradigms are tailored to suit individual patient needs 41

NCCN guidelines recommened clinical trials as a systemic therapy 41

Surgery forms the cornerstone of therapy for stage I-III melanoma 42

Narrow versus wide excision margins: debate still continues as to which should be employed 42

Mohs’s micrographic surgery is suitable for facial in situ melanomas 43

Lymph node dissection is only appropriate for stage III melanoma patients 44

The use of surgery at stage IV disease is extremely limited and serves only pallitative purposes 45

Radiotherapy is generally ineffective for melanoma 46

Radiotherapy resistance may be linked with DOPAchrome tautomerase (DCT) enzyme expression 46

Chemotherapeutic agents have limited activity in metastatic melanoma 47

Dacarbazine (Bayer’s DTIC-Dome, now genericized) was FDA approved over thirty years ago, but it is still the most active agent within metastatic melanoma 48

Schering Plough’s Temodar (temozolomide) is used off-label for melanoma that has metastasized to the brain 53

Isolated limb perfusion may be used to deliver chemotherapy to a specific extremity 58

Immunotherapy plays a significant role in the treatment of melanoma in the US market 59

Schering-Plough’s Intron-A (interferon alpha-2b) is currently the only FDA-approved treatment for adjuvant melanoma 59

Pegylated INF-alpha monotherapy appears not to improve upon standard INF-alpha’s efficacy or toxicity profile… 65

…however, pegylated INF-alpha in combination with Temodar shows promise 66

Chiron’s Proleukin (aldesleukin) was the last agent to gain FDA approval for metastatic melanoma in 1998 68

Combinational systemic therapy has been intensively investigated 71

The future role of biochemotherapy within melanoma is unclear 73

Use of systemic therapeutics across the five major European markets finds interferon dominates early-stage melanoma, while dacarbazine is favored for stage IV patients 74

CHAPTER 4 UNMET NEEDS IN MELANOMA 83

Melanoma patients represent a hugely underserved patient population 83

Current melanoma therapeutics have a high risk to benefit ratio 83

Over the past three decades there have been few significant advances in pharmacotherapy for metastatic disease 84

Early diagnosis is the key to curative treatment 84

Gene profiling will help individualize treatment approaches 85

CHAPTER 5 PIPELINE ANALYSIS 86

Genta’s Genasense (oblimersen) remains in development despite termination of agreement with Sanofi-Aventis 93

Genasense is under review with the EMEA despite failure to gain FDA approval for melanoma in 2004 93

Two-year follow-up data used for Genasense’s MAA finds the trial missed its overall survival primary endpoint 94

Normal serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels may be associated with improved overall survival 94

The combination of Genasense and dacarbazine is associated with increased toxicity 96

Approval of Genasense in combination with dacarbazine viewed as unlikely 97

Phase I study initiated to investigate Genasense in combination with Schering-Plough’s Temodar (temozolomide) and Abraxis Oncology’s Abraxane 98

Termination of agreement with Sanofi-Aventis is a major setback for Genta 99

Bayer/Onyx’s Nexavar (sorafenib): an orally active multi-kinase inhibitor stimulates stakeholder interest 99

Initial results from a Phase III melanoma study are disappointing 100

Phase II study shows Nexavar monotherapy has poor activity 102

The addition of carboplatin and paclitaxel to Nexavar improves progression-free survival over Nexavar monotherapy 103

Preliminary results from a randomized Phase II study of a Temodar and Nexavar combination shows promise 105

Nexavar with dacarbazine is well tolerated and is currently in Phase II development 107

The future of Nexavar in advanced melanoma looks uncertain following failure of the Phase III PRISM trial 107

Anti-cytotoxic T-lymphocyte antigen-4 (CTLA-4) monoclonal antibodies show promise in the management of melanoma 107

Medarex/Bristol-Myers Squibb’s ipilimumab (MDX-010, BMS-734016) has been awarded Fast Track status in melanoma 108

Pfizer hopes to file ticilimumab (CP-675,206) with the FDA in 2007 for melanoma 113

Distinguishing between ipilimumab and ticilimumab proves challenging 116

Melanoma vaccines: augmenting anti-tumor immunity 118

AVAX Technologies’ M-Vax is an autologous vaccine that has been launched in Switzerland 119

Financial constraints trouble M-Vax’s initial approval in Australia 120

M-Vax re-enters Phase III development in October 2006 121

Multiple hurdles challenge M-Vax’s future success 122

Improved second-generation formulation facilitates use in early-stage disease 124

Oncophage’s Phase III results prompt further investigation 124

Personalized nature could work in Oncophage’s favor 126

Lack of cost-effectiveness, clinical benefit and marketing experience will pose significant strategic challenges for Antigenics 126

If encouraging, results from an ongoing Phase III clinical trial will support a BLA 127

Phase II results demonstrate complete or partial responses for the MDX-1379 and ipilimumab combination in melanoma 127

Partnership with Bristol-Myers Squibb will put Medarex at a significant advantage 129

Vical/AnGes’s Allovectin-7: a gene transfer product involving a DNA plasmid/lipid complex 130

Phase III melanoma development continues despite suffering a major setback 130

Phase II data shows Allovectin-7 leads to durable responses lasting over six months 131

A further Phase II Allovectin-7 study demonstrates median overall survival of over 21 months 132

The market impact of Allovectin-7 still looks doubtful 132

CHAPTER 6 APPENDIX 134

Contributing experts 134

Opinion leader interview transcripts 134

Bibliography 135

List of tables 148

List of figures 151

About Datamonitor 152

About Datamonitor Healthcare 152

Datamonitor Healthcare’s research and analysis methodologies 153

Datamonitor Healthcare’s therapy area capabilities 153

About the Oncology analysis team 154

Disclaimer 155





Abstract

Introduction
Melanoma comprises just 5% of all skin cancers but it is the most deadly. In 2006, more than 100,000 cases of the disease are expected to be diagnosed in the seven major pharmaceutical markets. High unmet needs still persist for this tumor type and despite three decades of extensive R&D, five-year survival of advanced patients remains below 20%.

Scope
Review of current treatment controversies and physician opinion of existing and future treatment strategies
Examination of unmet needs in melanoma treatment and market opportunities for drug developers
Insight and commercial potential of late-stage melanoma pipeline therapeutics
Stakeholder opinions based on qualitative interviews with five opinion leaders from the US and Europe
Highlights
Although the late-stage melanoma pipeline is diverse, five of the nine agents have had a turbulent development history. As a result of these developmental problems, stakeholders hold a generally pessimistic view of a significant proportion of the late-stage pipeline candidates.

As Bayer/Onyx's Nexavar (sorafenib) failed to meet its Phase III primary endpoint of improving progression-free survival in relapsed advanced melanoma patients, Nexavar's future is now dependent on a second Phase III trial. As this trial involves chemotherapy-naive patients, Nexavar may have an increased chance of demonstrating improved survival.

Phase III clinical data is needed to distinguish between Pfizer's ticilimumab and Medarex/Bristol-Myers Squibb's ipilimumab. Given the presence of two Big Pharma players, the melanoma arena could become increasingly competitive, with each company vying for first-to-market status and product supremacy.

Reasons to Purchase
Understand current epidemiological trends in melanoma and ongoing treatment controversies
Identify the limitations of current treatment and the potential of future pharmacotherapy
Enhance your commercial positioning through an increased understanding of melanoma market dynamics


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