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Breakfast Foods: The Market - US

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Oct. 1, 2006


Table of Contents


SCOPE AND THEMES

What you need to know

Definition

Abbreviations and terms


Abbreviations

Terms




EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The bottom line: an important meal; foodservice competition

A $296 billion industry

Reasons to eat breakfast

Weekday vs weekend breakfasts

Major competition is from foodservice

Convenience and portability essential for weekday breakfasts

A complex market comprising nine segments

Top nine players account for only 28% of the total market

Advertising and promotion as varied as the segments

Supermarkets account for 75% of sales

Getting everyone to eat a good breakfast

Breakfast for healthy dieting

Breakfast: it’s the new lunch…or dinner

Market forecast to grow to $312 billion by 2011




MARKET DRIVERS

Medical research—and publicity from it—encourages eating breakfast

Time still a major factor in the morning routine


The most important meal of the day?

Bigger breakfasts often left for the weekends only


Figure 1: Whether eat breakfast and when, September 2006

Figure 2: Tendency to “only cook breakfast meats on weekends” among those who use breakfast meats, August 2005


Foodservice giving packaged foods more competition


Figure 3: Breakfast items at restaurants, June 2006



Market addresses the need for convenience and portability


Figure 4: Average commuting times in select major US cities, October 2006




MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS

MARKET SIZE



Figure 5: US sales of breakfast foods, at current and constant prices, 2001-06


Estimating Wal-Mart


MARKET TRENDS


Health trends


Figure 6: New breakfast cereal launches, by health claim, 2001-06

Figure 7: New breakfast cereal launches with wholegrain claim, 2001-06

Figure 8: New breakfast cereal launches with all-natural/organic claims, 2001-06


Flavor trends


Figure 9: Television spot for Kellogg’s Cinnamon Mini Swirlz, 2006

Figure 10: Television spot for Kellogg’s Peanut Mini Swirlz, 2006

Figure 11: Television spot for Quaker’s Life Cereal in Vanilla Yogurt Crunch, 2006


Trends in “for kids” breakfast products


Figure 12: Television spot for Kellogg’s Frosted Mini Wheats, Spelling Bee, 2006





MARKET SEGMENTATION

Overview


Figure 13: FDM sales of breakfast food market, segmented by type of food, 2004 and 2006


Cereal


Figure 14: FDM sales of cereal, at current and constant prices, 2001-06


Breakfast breads


Figure 15: FDM sales of breakfast breads, at current and constant prices, 2001-06


Sweet breakfast breads and pastries


Figure 16: FDM sales of sweet breakfast breads and pastries, at current and constant prices, 2001-06


Breakfast meats


Figure 17: FDM sales of breakfast meats, at current and constant prices, 2001-06


Yogurt


Figure 18: FDM sales of yogurt, at current and constant prices, 2001-06


Eggs


Figure 19: FDM sales of eggs, at current and constant prices, 2001-06


Breakfast entrées


Figure 20: FDM sales of breakfast entrées, at current and constant prices, 2001-06


Breakfast bars


Figure 21: FDM sales of breakfast bars, at current and constant prices, 2001-06


Breakfast replacement drinks


Figure 22: FDM sales of breakfast replacement drinks, at current and constant prices, 2001-06




SUPPLY STRUCTURE

COMPANY AND BRAND SALES


Overview


Figure 23: Manufacturer FDM sales of breakfast foods in the US, 2005 and 2006


Breakfast cereal


Figure 24: Manufacturer brand FDM sales of breakfast cereal, 2005 and 2006


Breakfast breads


Figure 25: Manufacturer brand FDM sales of breakfast breads, 2005 and 2006


Sweet breakfast breads and pastries


Figure 26: Manufacturer brand FDM sales of sweet breakfast breads, 2005 and 2006


Breakfast meats


Figure 27: Manufacturer brand FDM sales of breakfast meats, 2005 and 2006


Yogurt


Figure 28: Manufacturer brand FDM sales of yogurt, 2005 and 2006


Eggs


Figure 29: Manufacturer brand FDM sales of eggs, 2005 and 2006


Breakfast entrées


Figure 30: Manufacturer brand FDM sales of breakfast entrées, 2005 and 2006


Breakfast cereal bars


Figure 31: Manufacturer brand FDM sales of breakfast cereal bars, 2005 and 2006


Breakfast replacement drinks


Figure 32: Manufacturer brand FDM sales of breakfast replacement drinks, 2005 and 2006



MAJOR MANUFACTURER PROFILES


Kellogg Company

General Mills (GM)

The Dannon Company, Inc

George Weston Bakeries

Quaker Oats (PepsiCo)

Kraft Foods, Inc

Sara Lee Food and Beverage

Pinnacle Foods

Hormel Foods Inc




ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION


Introduction


CEREAL


General Mills


Figure 33: Television spot for General Mills’ Oatmeal Crisp, 2006


Quaker


Figure 34: Television spot for Quaker Weight Control, 2006


Post


Figure 35: Television spot for Post cereals, Wake-up Call, 2006

Figure 36: Television spot for Post Honey Bunches of Oats, 2006



BREADS


George Weston Bakeries

Interstate Bakeries Corporation

Sara Lee

General Mills

Bimbo Bakeries

Pepperidge Farm


MEATS


Johnsonville


Figure 37: Television spot for Johnsonville Sausages, 2006



YOGURT


General Mills (Yoplait)

Dannon


EGGS


American Egg Board (AEB)

Cal-Maine

ConAgra (Egg Beaters)


BREAKFAST ENTRÉES


Sara Lee/Jimmy Dean


Figure 38: Television spot for Jimmy Dean Sausage Biscuits, 2006





RETAIL DISTRIBUTION

Overview


Figure 39: US retail sales of breakfast foods, by channel, 2004 and 2006




FUTURE AND FORECAST

FUTURE TRENDS


Building a nation of “good” breakfast eaters Monday through Friday

A focus on satiation for dieters

Breakfast foods may go beyond “breakfast time”


MARKET FORECAST


Breakfast food


Figure 40: Forecast of total US sales of breakfast food, at current and constant prices, 2006-11


Cereal


Figure 41: Forecast of US FDM sales of cereal, at current and constant prices, 2006-11


Breakfast bread


Figure 42: Forecast of US FDM sales of breakfast bread, at current and constant prices, 2006-11


Sweet breakfast bread and pastries


Figure 43: Forecast of US FDM sales of sweet breakfast bread and pastries, at current and constant prices, 2006-11


Breakfast meat


Figure 44: Forecast of US FDM sales of breakfast meat, at current and constant prices, 2006-11


Yogurt


Figure 45: Forecast of US FDM sales of yogurt, at current and constant prices, 2006-11


Eggs


Figure 46: Forecast of US FDM sales of eggs, at current and constant prices, 2006-11


Forecast factors




APPENDIX: TRADE ASSOCIATIONS




APPENDIX: NEW PRODUCT BRIEFS

Target Corporation: Market Pantry Vanilla Flavored Belgian Waffles

Albertsons: Jewel Lower Sugar Instant Oatmeal

Quaker Oats: Organic Quaker Instant Oatmeal

Kellogg: Kellogg’s Smart Start with Antioxidants

Continental Mills: Krusteaz Wheat & Honey Pancake Mix

Bob Evans Farm: Bob Evans Breakfast Breads

Sava-A-Lot Foods: Hickory Springs Breakfast Originals Pancakes & Sausage

Advance Brands: Fast Fixin’ Breakfast Burritos

Otter Valley Foods: Breakfast PizzOmelette

SB Thomas: Thomas’ Light Plain Bagels

Wegmans: Wegmans Organic Fruit Hoops

Sara Lee: Jimmy Dean Frozen Breakfast Skillets

General Mills: Fruity Cheerios Cereal

Abstract

This report details the six-year history of the breakfast foods market and addresses the most and least successful category segments and suppliers. It also reveals market drivers that work for and against sales, as well as the market trends demonstrated by product innovation and marketing initiatives. Consumer trends, including consumption patterns and attitudes towards a number of breakfast-related topics, are addressed.

The breakfast foods market contains segments that have seen ups and downs over the past few years. High-protein segments, such as eggs and breakfast meats, saw sales increase significantly during the low-carb diet fad. Other segments, such as breakfast breads and cereals, had marked sales declines during that same period, but have come into favor again as new eating guidelines stress the importance of high-fiber and wholegrain foods.

The biggest challenge to the breakfast foods industry comes from outside. Foodservice breakfasts, especially those that can be purchased on the run through QSR restaurants, have seen their sales increase significantly and more operators are offering a greater variety of takeout breakfast foods including premium coffee, steak and eggs, and breakfast burritos. Manufacturers of packaged breakfast foods need to have a solid understanding of how--and how quickly--foodservice is expanding their breakfast options. Also, these players should know when consumers are most apt to use these choices in the morning. This report features these details, as well as the insights about what the future of the market will hold-from "all-day breakfasts" to a greater focus on satiation and hunger control.

This report covers all types of foods typically eaten for breakfast, which include the following:
  • hot and cold cereal, including wheat germ
  • breakfast meats, including bacon and breakfast sausage
  • breakfast breads, including shelf-stable, frozen, and refrigerated bagels, English muffins, croissants, and breakfast bread dough
  • sweet breakfast breads and pastries, including shelf-stable, fresh, refrigerated, and frozen waffles, pancakes, donuts, pastries, muffins, refrigerated and frozen pancakes and waffles, and mixes to make such products.
  • yogurt, excluding yogurt drinks
  • eggs, including fresh eggs and refrigerated and frozen egg substitutes
  • breakfast entres, including refrigerated and frozen breakfast burritos, omelets, and handheld breakfast entres such as breakfast pockets
  • cereal bars
  • drinkable breakfast foods such as powdered breakfast drink powder, but excluding liquid, pre-mixed breakfast beverages
This report does not include any beverages typically drunk with breakfast, like milk or juice.

The focus of this report is foods for breakfast consumed at home, therefore sales from restaurants, convenience stores, and other "food on the go" channels are not included.

This report contains US IRI InfoScan data.

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