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World Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicles

Published by: Freedonia Group Inc

Published: Oct. 1, 2006


Table of Contents


INTRODUCTION

I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT

General

World Economic Overview

World Population Overview

Personal Income & Expenditure Trends

Households

World Light Vehicle Overview

Light Vehicle Production

Light Vehicle Sales

Automotive Components Industry Trends

Environmental & Regulatory Factors

Pricing Trends

III. TECHNOLOGY

General

Transition to Fuel Cells

Well-to-Wheels Efficiency & Pollution Comparisons

Hybrid-Electric ICE Powerplants

Series Hybrid

Parallel Hybrid

Mild Hybrid

Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles

Advantages of the Hybrid-Electric ICE Powertrain

Hybrid-Electric ICE Commercialization Issues

Heat Management

Power Control Systems

Battery Life

Internal Combustion Engines

Spark Ignition Internal Combustion Engines

Diesel Internal Combustion Engines

Fuel Cells

Energy Storage Technologies

IV. COMPETITIVE & MARKET ASSESSMENTS

General

Competitive Assessment

Technology Readiness

S-Curve Headroom

Internal Combustion Engines

Hybrid-Electric ICEs

Fuel Cells

Electric Vehicles

Regulatory Compliance

Emissions Compliance

Fuel Efficiency Compliance

Safety Compliance

Infrastructure Readiness

Fueling Infrastructure

Service Infrastructure

Consumer Price/Benefits

Industry Focus

Technology Penetration Profiles

Market Pull

Regulatory Push

Rapid Penetration

Niche

Market Assessment

Automatic Transmissions

Power Steering

Air Conditioning

Antilock Brake Systems

Penetration Summary

Penetration Analysis for HEVs

V. WORLD OVERVIEW

General

Supply & Demand Trends

Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by Region

Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply by Region

Hybrid-Electric Components Demand by Region

Foreign Trade

VI. NORTH AMERICA

North America: General

North America: Light HEV Demand by Segment & Type

North America: Light HEV Supply by Country

North America: Light HEV Component Demand

United States

Canada

Mexico

VII. WESTERN EUROPE

Western Europe: General

Western Europe: Light HEV Demand by Segment & Type

Western Europe: Light HEV Supply by Country

Western Europe: Light HEV Component Demand

Germany

France

United Kingdom

Italy

Sweden

Other Western Europe

VIII. ASIA/PACIFIC

Asia/Pacific: General

Asia/Pacific: Light HEV Demand by Segment & Type

Asia/Pacific: Light HEV Supply by Country

Asia/Pacific: Light HEV Component Demand

Japan

China

South Korea

Australia

Other Asia/Pacific

3IX. OTHER REGIONS

Other Regions: General

Other Regions: Light HEV Demand by Segment & Type

Other Regions: Light HEV Supply by Region

Other Regions: Light HEV Component Demand

Latin America

Eastern Europe

Africa/Mideast

X. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

General

Industry Composition & Market Share

Mergers, Acquisitions & Industry Restructuring

Research & Product Development

Manufacturing

Marketing

Distribution

Financial Issues & Requirements

Strategic Partnerships

OEM & Supplier Strategic Powertrain Options

Company Profiles

AC Propulsion Incorporated

ADVICS Company Limited, see Aisin Seiki

Company Limited

AeroVironment Incorporated

Aisin Seiki Company Limited

Bayerische Motoren Werke AG

Bosch (Robert) GmbH

Cobasys LLC, see Energy Conversion Devices Incorporated

Continental AG

DaimlerChrysler AG

Delphi Corporation

DENSO Corporation

Eaton Corporation

EnerDel Incorporated, see Delphi Corporation

Energy Conversion Devices Incorporated

Exide Technologies

Ford Motor Company

Freescale Semiconductor Incorporated

Fuji Electric Holdings Company Limited

General Motors Corporation

Global Hybrid Cooperation, see Bayerische Motoren

Werke AG, DaimlerChrysler AG and General

Motors Corporation

GS Yuasa Corporation

Hitachi Limited

Honda Motor Company Limited

Hyundai Motor Company

JATCO Limited

Johnson Controls Incorporated

Johnson Controls-Saft Advanced Power

Solutions LLC, see Johnson Controls Incorporated

and Saft Groupe SA

Keihin Corporation

Matsushita Electric Industrial Company Limited

NEC Corporation

Nissan Motor Company Limited

Ovonic Battery Company Incorporated, see

Energy Conversion Devices Incorporated

Panasonic EV Energy Company Limited, see Matsushita

Electric Industrial Company Limited and

Toyota Motor Corporation

Peugeot SA

Saft Groupe SA

SANYO Electric Company Limited

Siemens AG

Texaco Ovonic Battery Systems LLC, see

Energy Conversion Devices Incorporated

Toshiba Corporation

Toyota Motor Corporation

Valeo SA

Visteon Corporation

Volkswagen AG

ZF Friedrichshafen AG

LIST OF TABLES

SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Summary Table

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT

1 World Gross Domestic Product by Region

2 World Population by Region

3 World per Capita GDP by Region

4 World Households by Region

5 World Light Vehicle Production

6 World Light Vehicle Sales

SECTION V -- WORLD OVERVIEW

1 World Light Hybrid-electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

2 World Light Hybrid-electric Vehicle Demand by Region

3 World Light Hybrid-electric Vehicle Supply by Region

4 World Hybrid-electric Components Demand by Region

SECTION VI -- NORTH AMERICA

1 North America Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

2 North America Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by Segment & Type

3 North America Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Production by Country

4 North America Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Component Demand

5 United States Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

6 Canada Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

7 Mexico Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

SECTION VII -- WESTERN EUROPE

1 Western Europe Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

2 Western Europe Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by Segment & Type

3 Western Europe Light Hybrid-electric Vehicle Supply by Country

4 Western Europe Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Component Demand

5 Germany Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

6 France Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

7 United Kingdom Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

8 Italy Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

9 Sweden Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

10 Other Western Europe Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

SECTION VIII -- ASIA/PACIFIC

1 Asia/Pacific Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

2 Asia/Pacific Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by Segment & Type

3 Asia/Pacific Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply by Country

4 Asia/Pacific Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Component Demand

5 Japan Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

6 China Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

7 South Korea Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

8 Australia Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

9 Other Asia/Pacific Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

SECTION IX -- OTHER REGIONS

1 Other Regions Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

2 Other Regions Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Demand by Segment & Type

3 Other Regions Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply by Region

4 Other Regions Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Component Demand

5 Latin America Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

6 Eastern Europe Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

7 Africa/Mideast Macroeconomic Indicators & Light Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Supply & Demand

SECTION X -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

1 Selected Cooperative Agreements

LIST OF CHARTS

SECTION III -- TECHNOLOGY

1 Conceptual Technology Migration Profile: ICE to Fuel Cell

2 Comparison of Hybrid-electric Powertrain Types

SECTION IV -- COMPETITIVE & MARKET ASSESSMENTS

1 Options for Improving Light Vehicle Fuel Efficiency

2 Honda Civic Hybrid Breakeven Versus Civic ICE Model US Market Example, 2004 & 2006 Data

3 Retail Fuel Prices, Selected Countries, 2005

4 Probable HEV Market Penetration Profile

5 Alternative Powerplant Forces at Work

6 Light Vehicle Powerplant Technology Assessment

7 Price/Benefits Analysis -- 2006-2007 Model Years

8 Price/Benefits Analysis on HEV Segments-- 2006-2007 Model Years

9 Categorizing Technology Penetration Curves -- US Market Example

10 Framework for Assessing Automotive Technology Penetration

11 Automatic Transmission Penetration at Retail Price Analysis -- US Passenger Car Example

12 Power Steering Penetration at Retail Price Analysis -- US Passenger Car Example

13 Air Conditioning Penetration at Retail Price Analysis -- US Passenger Car Example

14 Antilock Brake System Penetration at Retail Price Analysis -- US Passenger Car Example

15 Summary of Technology Penetration Profiles -- US Example

16 Estimated Full Hybrid-electric Vehicle Option Pricing Trend -- Worldwide Example

SECTION VI -- NORTH AMERICA

1 Historical & Potential Light HEV Introductions, North America Through 2010

SECTION VII -- WESTERN EUROPE

1 Historical & Potential Light HEV Introductions, Western Europe Through 2010

SECTION VIII -- ASIA/PACIFIC

1 Historical & Potential Light HEV Introductions, Asia/Pacific Through 2010

SECTION X -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

1 World Hybrid-electric Vehicle Market Share, 2005

2 Trigger Technology Definition -- Antilock Brake System Example

3 Hybrid Vehicle Technologies with Multiple Possible Applications

4 OEM Strategic Powerplant Options

5 Supplier Strategic Powerplant Supply Options

Abstract

Global HEV demand to be at 4 million units in 2015
Worldwide demand for hybrid-electric vehicles (HEVs) will advance rapidly to 4.0 million units in 2015. HEVs are expected to quickly penetrate the world light vehicle market in response to rising energy costs and increased emissions regulations worldwide. Cost disparities between HEVs and conventional light vehicles -- currently estimated at between $2,000 and $4,000 dollars -- are expected to decline as production volumes increase. The primary markets for HEVs will be within Triad countries (i.e., the US, Western Europe and Japan), although the rapidly-growing Chinese market is also expected to experience relatively strong demand for these fuel efficient and environmentally friendly vehicles.

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