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Brazil Retail Industry Forecast (2006-2010)

Published by: RNCOS

Published: Aug. 1, 2006 - 40 Pages


Table of Contents



1. Analyst View

2. Industry Overview

2.1 Global Retail Market

2.2 Brazil - Retail in Emerging Retail Market Context

3. Brazil Retail Industry

3.1 Food Retail Market

3.2 Non Food Retail Market

3.3 Brazilian Retail Industry Forecast (2006-2010)

4. Retail Stores Sales

4.1 Retail Sales (by Retail Format)

4.1.1 Hyper Supermarkets

4.1.2 Medium Size Supermarkets

4.1.3 Small Size Supermarkets

4.1.4 Small Size Food Retail

4.1.5 Bars & Drugstores

4.2 Retail Sales (by Product)

4.2.1 Perishable Food Sales

4.2.2 Groceries Sales

4.2.3 Non-Food Stuff Sales

5. Industry Analysis

5.1 Economic Indicators

5.2 Driving Forces

5.2.1 Rising Purchasing Power

5.2.2 Rapid Urbanization

5.2.3 Food Retail Chains

5.2.4 Consumer Behavior

5.3 Opportunities

5.3.1 Growing Demand of Lower Social Classes

5.3.2 Potential Markets

5.3.3 Vast Consumer Base

5.3.4 Booming Consumer Credit

5.4 Challenges

5.4.1 Changing Age Patterns

5.4.2 Saturating Market

5.4.3 Highly Volatile Performance

6. Recent News & Developments

7. Competitor Landscape

7.1 Foreign Retailers

7.1.1 Wal-Mart Stores, Inc

7.1.2 Carrefour

7.1.3 McDonald’s

7.1.4 Sonae

7.2 Joint Ventuers

7.2.1 Cia. Brasileira De Distribuicao

7.3 Domestic Retailers

7.3.1 Lojas Americanas S.A

7.3.2 Globex Utilidades




List of Figures:




Figure 2-1: World - Retail Sales by Geographical Regions, 2005

Figure 2-2: World - Share in Retail Sales by Geographical Regions (%), 2005

Figure 2-3: Emerging Retail Markets Attractiveness, 2005

Figure 3-1: Brazil - Retail Industry Segmentation (%), 2005

Figure 3-2: Brazil - Retail Industry Sales (2000-2005)

Figure 3-3: Brazil - Share of Retail Food Sales in Total Retail Sales (2000-2005)

Figure 3-4: Brazil - Non-food Retail Sales by Product (2000-2005)

Figure 3-5: Brazil - Non-food Retail Sales by Product (%), 2005

Figure 3-6: Brazil - Retail Industry Forecast Value (2006e-2010e)

Figure 4-1: Brazil - Number of Supermarkets (1990-2005)

Figure 4-2: Brazil - Retail Food Sales Share of Hyper Supermarkets (2001-2003)

Figure 4-3: Brazil - Retail Food Sales Share of Medium Size Supermarket (2001-2003)

Figure 4-4: Brazil - Retail Food Sales Share of Small Size Supermarket (2001-2003)

Figure 4-5: Brazil - Retail Food Sales Share of Small Size Food Retail (2001-2003)

Figure 4-6: Brazil - Retail Food Sales Share of Bars & Drug Stores Sales (2001-2003)

Figure 4-7: Brazil - Supermarkets Sales Share by Products (2002-2005)

Figure 4-8: Brazil - Retail Perishable Food Sales Share by Products (2002-2005)

Figure 4-9: Brazil - Retail Grocery Sales Share by Products (2002-2005)

Figure 4-10: Brazil - Retail Non-food Stuff Sales Share by Products (2002-2005)

Figure 5-1: Brazil - GDP Per Capita & Inflation (2002-2005)

Figure 5-2: Location of Household - Urban or Rural (1970, 1980, 1992, 1996 & 2000)

Figure 5-3: Brazil - % Total Population & % Buying Power

Figure 5-4: Brazil - Age Distribution (1970, 1980, 1992, 1996 & 2000)

Figure 7-1: Wal-Mart - Stock Performance

Figure 7-2: Carrefour - Stock Performance

Figure 7-3: McDonald's - Stock Performance




List of Tables:




Table 2-1: World - Top 10 Retailers, 2005

Table 2-2: Emerging Retail Markets Development Index, 2006

Table 3-1: Brazil - Changing Consumer Behavior (%), 1995 & 2003

Table 4-1: Comparison of the Countries on the basis of Percentage Share of Organized Retailing, 2005

Table 5-1: Brazil - Economic Indicators (2002-2006e)

Table 5-2: Brazil - Number of Household (1970, 1980, 1991, 1996 & 2000)

Table 5-3: Brazil - Household Income and Buying Power, 2004

Table 7-1: Wal-Mart - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2004-2006

Table 7-2: Carrefour - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2002-2004

Table 7-3: McDonald's - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2005

Abstract

RNCOS’, "Brazil Retail Industry Forecast (2006-2010)" report provides extensive research and objective analysis on Brazilian Retail sector. This report helps clients to analyze the opportunities critical to the success of future success of retail industry in Brazil. Detailed data and analysis helps potential investors navigate the evolving market opportunities in Brazil’s retail industry.

Brazilian Retail Industry

Brazil’s retail industry report provides a detailed analysis of the resurrecting Brazilian retail industry. The industry is making a comeback after recovering from economic crisis in the previous decade. With the strong economic growth Brazilian retail industry reached U.S $237.66 billion in 2005. Retail food sales accounted more than half of total retail sales. In a relatively maturing market, top 3 players accounts for more than 40% of the total market share. However, Brazilian retail industry offers opportunities due to vast consumer base and growing economy.

Key Findings

  • Retail food sales still dominate the total retail market accounting for almost 54% of the total retail sales.
  • Brazilian Retail market is consolidating with top 3 players accounting for more than 40% of total market share.
  • Rising purchasing power due to stay able macroeconomic factors & Strong middle class will fuel the growth of Brazilian retail industry.
  • Brazilian Consumer preference is changing rapidly. Preference is shifting from household to personal consumption.
Key Issues and Facts Analyzed

The research report also addresses the issues and facts that are critical to the success of Brazilian Retail Industry in general
  • Future Potential of the industry.
  • Who are the key competitors in the Brazilian retail Industry?
  • What opportunities exist in the Brazilian Retail Industry?
  • What will be the major driving forces for the industry?
  • What are the major barriers in the Brazilian Retail Industry?
Key Players Analyzed

This section covers the key facts about both domestic & international players currently operating in the Brazilian retail industry including Wal-Mart, Carrefour, Brasileira de Distribuicao Pao de Acucar, Lojas Americanas, Sonae, Makro Atacadista, McDonald's etc.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources

Information has been sourced from namely, books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, industry news and developments and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Methods

The analysis methods includes the following: Ratio Analysis, Historical Trend Analysis, Linear Regression Analysis using software tools, Judgmental Forecasting and Cause and Effect Analysis.

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