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Global Market Review of Diesel Technology and Markets - Forecasts to 2011 - 2006 Edition

Published by: just-auto

Published: Jun. 30, 2006 - 58 Pages


Table of Contents


Chapter 1 Introduction


Chapter 2 Emissions standards

Europe emissions regulations

United States emissions regulations

California

Japan emissions regulations

Other markets


Chapter 3 Emissions control technologies

Hydrogen enhanced combustion

Diesel engine plasma research


Chapter 4 Diesel motorsport

Audi R10

Peugeot

BMW


Chapter 5 Diesel/electric hybrids

PSA Peugeot Citroën Hybride HDi

Available elements of hybrid technology - what can be done in the short term?


Chapter 6 Fuel injection technology

Bosch

Delphi

Denso

Siemens VDO


Chapter 7 Global diesel markets

Europe

How high can it go?

Emerging diesel markets

United States

Japan and Asia-Pacific

Japan

China

Chinese exports for Japan?


Chapter 8 Manufacturing

BMW

DaimlerChrysler

Fiat/GM/Isuzu/Saab/Suzuki

Ford/PSA Peugeot Citroën

Honda

Hyundai/Kia

Renault/Nissan

Toyota/Lexus

VW


Chapter 9 Conclusion


List of tables

Table 1: Europe emissions regulations

Table 2: US tier 2 emissions standards

Table 3: California emissions standards

Table 4: Japan exhaust emissions limits

Table 5: European Union diesel car registrations 2005-2011, actual and forecast units

Table 6: US diesel car registrations 2005-2011, actual and forecast units

Table 7: Japan diesel car registrations 2005-2011, actual and forecast units

Table 8: Diesel share (%) of BMW registrations, 2002-2011

Table 9: Diesel share (%) of Mercedes-Benz registrations, 2002-2011

Table 10: Diesel share (%) of Chrysler registrations, 2002-2011

Table 11: Diesel share (%) of Ford registrations, 2002-2011

Table 12: Diesel share (%) of PSA registrations, 2002-2011

Table 13: Diesel share (%) of Renault/Nissan registrations, 2002-2011

Abstract

It's very rare that you will hear the US referred to as an emerging market, but as you will discover from the latest edition of just-auto's diesels report, the US is following Europe's lead, although it remains to be seen whether the US passenger car market will reach the diesel adoption rates seen in Europe.

Until recently, diesel cars were largely confined to Western European markets, since these were not traditionally oil-producing nations. Now global oil stocks are in decline and nations such as the US, that have been oil producers find that they are now net oil importers. Given these factors, coupled with emissions legislation, we will see the spread of diesel cars beyond Western Europe, where in 2005 some 49% of new cars registered were diesel powered.

This new report boasts a 4,000 word increase on the previous edition. It will tell you about emissions standards; how they differ in Europe, California, Japan and the technologies that have been developed to control emissions and meet legislation. We have dedicated a section to diesel motorsport, as since our last edition we have seen the first prototype diesel hybrid car and the emergence of serious diesel motor sport activity, by Audi, Peugeot and BMW. We consider how diesels are progressing in emerging markets, which, by definition, must include the US. This 'emerging market' where the diesel engine has been the preserve of commercial vehicles, is analysed in depth, along with Japan/Asia-Pacific. You will also find chapters on diesel/electric hybrids, fuel injection technology, the global diesels market, and manufacturing.

Alongside the manufacturer forecasts you will have found in the previous report, this latest edition also includes key market forecasts to 2011.

Chapter 1 - Introduction

Chapter 2 - Emissions standards: This chapter outlines the emissions agenda, which is effectively set by the regulations in force and planned for Europe, The US and Japan.

Chapter 3 - Emissions control technologies: In order to comply with Euro IV emissions regulations and its equivalent in the US, engine designers are faced with the choice of reducing particulate matter or nitrogen oxide emissions, as when one is reduced the other increases. In general terms, truck manufacturers have chosen the former route and car/light CV manufacturers have chosen the latter. Use this chapter to find out the reasons behind this and how it has affected diesel engine design.

Chapter 4 - Diesel motorsport: Find out how BMW, Peugeot and Audi have developed diesel engines to be used in motorsport.

Chapter 5 - Diesel/electric hybrids: Full hybrid technology may be expensive in the short term, but it is suggested that an element of it could be introduced to current models with internal combustion engines. This chapter explores the different possibilities available, their limitations and advantages, and the approach taken by PSA, who have recently unveiled two hybrid prototypes.

Chapter 6 - Fuel injection technologies: In our original report two years ago, we outlined a range of high pressure fuel injection technologies needed to reduce future emissions. We now look at how these have evolved and the approaches adopted by Bosch, Delphi, Denso, and Siemens VDO.

Chapter 7 - Global diesel markets: Western Europe remains at the global centre of diesel production and consumption, where diesel's share of new car registrations in the 15 EU states has increased by over 5% from 2003 to 2005. This chapter looks at the level of potential in each of the major European markets and the factors influencing diesel penetration. Japan/Asia Pacific and The US and markets are discussed in terms of emerging regions, where until now the gasoline engine has been favoured by consumers, particularly in the US, where the current penetration of diesels sits at around just 3.6% of the passenger car market.

Chapter 8 - Manufacturing: This chapter reviews the major diesel car and engine manufacturers, plus alliances and regional innovations, giving market shares and forecasts per manufacturer and market.

Chapter 9 - Provides a conclusion.

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