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Emerging Opportunities in the Russian and Ukrainian Electric Motors Markets

Published by: Frost & Sullivan

Published: Apr. 5, 2006 - 155 Pages



Table of Contents


1. Introduction
        1. Research Methodology
                1. Aims of the Research
                2. Scope and Coverage
                3. Research Methodology

2. Market Context
        1. Overview of the Economic Scenario in Russia and Ukraine
                1. Russian Economic Scenario
                2. Ukrainian Economic Scenario
        2. Industrial Drivers and Restraints
                1. Industrial Drivers
                2. Industrial Restraints

3. Total Forecasts for the Electric Motors Market in Russia and Ukraine
        1. Market Drivers and Restraints
                1. Market Drivers for the Russian Market
                a. Modernisation of Outdated Equipment
                b. Increasing Global Oil and Gas Demand
                c. Strong Growth in Transportation
                d. Diminishing Presence of the Second-hand Market
                e. Broadening of Electric Motors Offerings
                2. Market Drivers for the Ukrainian Market
                a. Heavy Obsolescence of Equipment
                b. Strong Growth in Metal and Mining Sector
                c. Increased Demand for Air-conditioning
                3. Market Restraints for the Russian Market
                a. Lack of Investments
                b. Low Competitiveness of the Russian Machinery Industry
                c. Relocated Equipment from Europe
                d. Longer Life Span of Russian Motors
                4. Market Restraints for the Ukrainian Market
                a. Lack of Investments
                b. Strong Position of the Second-hand Market
                c. Trading Barriers
        2. Market Revenue Forecasts
                1. Revenue Trends by Product Type
                2. Revenue Trends by End-user Sector
        3. End-user Analysis
                1. Russian End-user Analysis
                2. Ukrainian End-user Analysis
                3. Future Outlook by End-user Sector in Russia
                4. Future Outlook by End-user Sector in Ukraine
                5. Competitive Structure by End-user Sector in Russia
                6. Competitive Structure by End-user Sector in Ukraine

4. The Market for Integral Horsepower Motors in the Russian and Ukrainian OEM Sector
        1. Sector Overview
                1. Key Sector Characteristics
                2. Prospects for the OEM Sector
        2. Market Drivers and Restraints
                1. Market Drivers
                2. Market Restraints
        3. Market Forecasts
                1. Total Sector Revenue Forecasts
                2. Revenue Forecasts by Product Type

5. The Market for Integral Horsepower Motors in the Russian and Ukrainian HVAC Sector
        1. Sector Overview
                1. Key Sector Characteristics
                2. Prospects for the HVAC Sector
        2. Market Drivers and Restraints
                1. Market Drivers
                2. Market Restraints
        3. Market Forecasts
                1. Total Sector Revenue Forecasts
                2. Revenue Forecasts by Product Type

6. The Market for Integral Horsepower Motors in the Russian and Ukrainian Household Appliances Sector
        1. Sector Overview
                1. Key Sector Characteristics
                2. Prospects for the Household Appliances Sector
        2. Market Drivers and Restraints
                1. Market Drivers
                2. Market Restraints
        3. Market Forecasts
                1. Total Sector Revenue Forecasts
                2. Revenue Forecasts by Product Type

7. The Market for Integral Horsepower Motors in the Russian and Ukrainian Process Industries Sector
        1. Sector Overview
                1. Key Sector Characteristics
                2. Prospects for the Process Industries Sector
        2. Market Drivers and Restraints
                1. Market Drivers
                2. Market Restraints
        3. Market Forecasts
                1. Total Sector Revenue Forecasts
                2. Revenue Forecasts by Product Type

8. The Market for Integral Horsepower Motors in the Russian and Ukrainian Automotive and Transport Sector
        1. Sector Overview
                1. Key Sector Characteristics
                2. Prospects for the Automotive and Transport Sector
        2. Market Drivers and Restraints
                1. Market Drivers
                2. Market Restraints
        3. Market Forecasts
                1. Total Sector Revenue Forecasts
                2. Revenue Forecasts by Product Type

9. The Market for Integral Horsepower Motors in the Russian and Ukrainian Metals and Mining Sector
        1. Sector Overview
                1. Key Sector Characteristics
                2. Prospects for the Metal and Mining Sector
        2. Market Drivers and Restraints
                1. Market Drivers
                2. Market Restraints
        3. Market Forecasts
                1. Total Sector Revenue Forecasts
                2. Revenue Forecasts by Product Type

10. Market Engineering Strategy
        1. Strategic Review and Recommendations
                1. Strategic Review
                2. Strategic Recommendations

Abstract

Research Overview

This Frost & Sullivan research service titled Emerging Opportunities in the Russian and Ukrainian Electric Motors Markets provides an analysis of key trends as well as market drivers and restraints in the Russian and Ukrainian electric motors market. It further evaluates the potential opportunities within the different sectors in Russia and Ukraine and provides comprehensive forecasts with multiple measures for fast comparison, and a thorough opportunity assessment with discussion of specific customer issues and competitor information. Data is provided for the period 2002-2012 covering AC motors and DC motors and forecasts are segmented based on main application areas.

Market Sectors

Expert Frost & Sullivan analysts thoroughly examine the following market sectors in this research:

By application:
  • Original equipment manufacturers (OEM)
  • Heating, ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC)
  • Household appliances
  • Process industries
  • Automotive and transport
  • Metals and mining
By Technologies:
  • Alternating current integral horse power (AC IHP) electric motors
  • Direct current integral horse power (DC IHP) electric motors
  • Servo electric motors
By geographic region:
  • Russia
  • Ukraine
Technologies

The following technologies are covered in this research:
  • AC motors
  • DC motors
Market Overview

General Economic Growth Increases Demand for Motors

After a decade of industrial decline and stagnation caused by the transition from a centrally planned economy to a market economy, Russian industrial production began showing growth in 1999. During 2004-2005, oil prices, which contribute to a majority of Russian exports, increased almost three times, largely boosting the overall economic growth in the country. Likewise, the Ukrainian economy, during the same period benefited immensely from rising global metal prices, increase in exports and low oil and gas prices due to the country's unique relationship with Russia. This strong economic growth is consequently driving the demand for electric motors in the two countries, as new production lines, new infrastructure, increase in transportation of goods and growing travel all require electric motors.

While foreign electric motors remain too expensive for a majority of Russian and Ukrainian end users, frequency converters present excellent opportunities to enter the Russian and Ukrainian electric motors market. In doing so, participants will need to build sufficient product and brand awareness and establish operations in Russia or Ukraine. "The Russian and Ukrainian market for frequency converters is dominated by foreign manufacturers as domestic companies do not possess the necessary technologies to manufacture them in conformance with modern standards," says the analyst of this research service. "In the case of electric motors, however, the Russian and Ukrainian markets remain the stronghold of local and CIS manufacturers."

Replacement of Obsolete Equipment likely to Drive Growth

As a result of the transition from a centrally planned economy inherited from the Soviet Union to a market economy, most Russian companies had deferred capital investments for more than a decade. Consequently, a large majority of Russian production companies currently work with obsolete equipment that are seriously undermining their competitiveness. Considering this as well as the improving financial positions of these companies, most of the Russian manufacturers of electric motors expect the replacement cycle to intensify in the next few years. With a similar trend being witnessed across Ukraine, the demand for new motors has significantly increased during the last few years and is expected to continue to grow during 2006-2012.

Among the end-user sectors, the requirements of the transport sector in Russia and the Ukrainian metal and mining sector are emerging as major market drivers in their respective countries. "While the metal and mining sector provides up to 40.0 per cent of all demand for electric motors in Ukraine, production of trolleybuses in Russia rose from just over a 100 machines in 2001 to 700 machines by 2005," says the analyst. "Growth has also been profound in respect to underground and light railway networks and all these factors are contributing to the strong growth of the tractive motors market in Russia, which is expected to continue to show the double digit growth it witnessed in 2005 for the next five to seven years."

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