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Commercial Insight: Antihypertensives - Two Years to Shape the Market?

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Dec. 21, 2005 - 200 Pages


Table of Contents


TABLE OF CONTENTS

CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3

Objective of the analysis 3

Datamonitor insight into the hypertension market 4

CHAPTER 2 MARKET DEFINITION AND OVERVIEW 11

Market definition and overview for this report 11

Hypertension 12

Disease overview 12

Epidemiology 13

Treatment options; the antihypertensive drug classes 15

Drugs that inhibit the renin-angiotensin system (RAS) 16

Drugs that do not inhibit the renin-angiotensin system (RAS) 31

Other classes of antihypertensive drugs 33

CHAPTER 3 COUNTRY MARKET ASSESSMENTS 35

Current and future opportunities and threats in the antihypertensives market 35

The global market: overview, opportunities and threats 35

Overview 35

National markets 41

The global movers and shakers 43

Global opportunities 44

Global threats 54

US market: overview, opportunities and threats 54

Overview 54

US market issues 56

Japan: overview, opportunities and threats 67

Overview 67

Japanese market issues 69

European Union: overview, opportunities and threats 79

Overview 79

EU market issues 82

CHAPTER 4 FORECAST ANALYSIS 88

Assumptions and events 88

Ongoing trends 88

Increasing market size 88

Increasing use of fixed-dose combinations 88

Trial results 88

New product launches 91

S-amlodipine 91

SPP100 (aliskiren) 92

Caduet 92

Patent issues 93

ARB patent expiries 94

CCB patent expiries 95

Beta-blocker patent expiries 96

ACE inhibitor patent expiries 96

Other patent expiries 96

Additional indications 97

Irbesartan gains congestive heart failure indication 98

Valsartan gains additional diabetes indication 99

Methodology 99

Forecasts 99

CHAPTER 5 COMMERCIAL IMPACT AND LIFECYCLE MANAGEMENT: CASE STUDIES 100

Introduction 100

Case study 1 100

Novartis and the “renin revolution” 100

Case study 2 113

Clinical trial data and the potential to change prescribing habits 113

Case study 3 122

EU healthcare reforms: a tale of two countries 122

APPENDIX A - MARKET DATA AND MAJOR BRAND KEY FACTS 134

Global hypertension market data 134

Major brand facts 134

C7 BBs 134

C8 CCBs 136

C9 ACEIs 138

C9 ARBs 140

Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) classification 143

APPENDIX B 145

Bibliography 145

Hypertension management guidelines 145

JNC 7 145

ESH/ESC 145

WHO/ISH 145

BHS-IV 145

References 146

Report methodology 148

General 148

Japan sales data 148

Key opinion leaders 148

About Datamonitor 149

About Datamonitor Healthcare 149

About the Cardiovascular Disease analysis team 150

Disclaimer 151

Glossary 152

APPENDIX C - MARKET FORECAST DATA 153

US forecasts 153

Japan forecasts 158

France forecasts 162

Germany forecasts 167

Italy forecasts 172

Spain forecasts 177

UK forecasts 182

M5EU forecasts 187

Global forecasts 194

Abstract

Introduction
Datamonitor expects the antihypertensive market to exceed $50bn by 2014 across the seven major markets, with novel treatments and the market-leading ARBs delivering much of this value. However, significant hurdles exist, and pharmaceutical companies need to be savvy regarding marketing and pricing structures for their products, as only the most cunning and aggressive companies look set to survive.

Scope
Event-driven sales forecasts, for the period 2005-14, for the US, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK, along with a global overview
Discussion of individual products in four main classes; beta blockers (BBs), CCBs, ACE inhibitors and the ARBs
Profiles of the country and market specific issues which will impact future sales in the market including generic erosion and new product launches
Commercial impact case studies on R&D innovation, clinical trial data and European healthcare reform
Highlights
The ARBs are now the most prescribed class of antihypertensives, as aggressive marketing and premium-pricing enables manufacturers to deliver strong growth in a highly genericized market. Post-2009, however, the value of the ARB class is set to flatten on the back of generic erosion and indication expansion for the ARBs as a class.

In order for companies to achieve and maintain growth in this sector, companies need to be savvy regarding the impact of healthcare reform across the globe, particularly in Europe, with marketers who are charged with selling drugs across the EU needing to challenge the attitude that Europe is one, uniform, market like the US and Japan.

Novartis' SPP100 (aliskiren) looks set to become the first innovative treatment for hypertension in over a decade. However, due to concerns regarding premium-pricing and similar efficacy compared to the ARBs, market penetration is expected to be slow in the short-term until strong cardiovascular outcome data for the class becomes available.

Reasons to Purchase
Access independent, event-driven forecasts for key antihypertensive products and classes across the seven major markets
Assess the potential impact of clinical trial results, EU healthcare reform and new product launches on the antihypertensive market
Gain insight into the antihypertensive market via up-to-date thought-leader opinions and gold-standard IMS Health sales data


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