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Commercial Insight: Antidyslipidemics - Statins Hit the Brakes on Market Growth

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Dec. 23, 2005 - 181 Pages


Table of Contents


TABLE OF CONTENTS

About the Cardiovascular pharmaceutical analysis team 3

CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 4

Objective of the analysis 4

Datamonitor insight into the dyslipidemia market 5

CHAPTER 2 MARKET DEFINITION AND OVERVIEW 12

Market definition for this report 12

Current market situation 12

National markets 14

The statin market 17

Lipitor - the global market leader 19

Crestor - fastest-growing statin 19

Combination therapy 22

Vytorin 23

The fibrate market 25

TriCor/Lypanthyl (fenofibrate) 27

The cholesterol uptake inhibitor market 28

Zetia 28

The nicotinic acid derivatives 30

Niaspan 31

The ion exchange resins 32

The other antidyslipidemics market 32

Omega-3 oils 33

Probucol, Benflourex and Colesevelam 33

CHAPTER 3 COUNTRY MARKET ASSESSMENTS 34

Current and future opportunities and threats in the antidyslipidemic market 34

Global opportunities and threats 34

Threats 42

US: opportunities and threats 49

Market overview 49

Japan: opportunities and threats 59

Market overview 59

France: opportunities and threats 71

Market overview 71

Germany: opportunities and threats 77

Market overview 77

Italy: opportunities and threats 84

Market overview 84

Spain: opportunities and threats 90

Market overview 90

UK: opportunities and threats 96

Market overview 96

Summary of environmental issues affecting the antidyslipidemic market size 102

CHAPTER 4 FORECAST ANALYSIS 103

Assumptions and events 103

Trial results 104

New product launches 105

Atorvastatin + torcetrapib 105

Livalo 105

Forecasts 106

CHAPTER 5 COMMERCIAL IMPACT AND LIFECYCLE MANAGEMENT: CASE STUDIES 107

Pfizer’s franchise rotation strategies: a means of protecting brand revenue 107

Lipitor: Pfizer’s biggest success 107

Lipitor: sales are forecast to plummet in the next decade 108

Atorvastatin + torcetrapib: will this FDC be Pfizer’s next blockbuster? 109

Caduet (atorvastatin + amlodipine): a winning combination? 111

Implications of two recent trials 115

IDEAL TRIAL: implications 115

Japanese MEGA trial 116

APPENDIX A - MARKET DATA AND MAJOR BRAND KEY FACTS 119

Statin market data 119

Lipitor 119

Zocor 120

Pravachol 121

Crestor 122

Vytorin 123

Fibrate market data 124

Lipanthyl/Tricor 124

Cedur/Bezatol 125

Cholesterol uptake inhibitors 126

Zetia 126

Nicotinic acid derivatives 127

Niaspan 127

Ion exchange resins 128

Questran 128

Other antidyslipidemics 129

WelChol 129

APPENDIX B 130

Bibliography 130

Epidemiology 130

Clinical trial data 131

Datamonitor 133

Other research articles 133

Press releases 133

Websites 134

Report methodology 134

Japan sales data 134

Key opinion leaders 134

APPENDIX C - MARKET FORECAST DATA 136

US forecasts 136

Japan forecasts 139

France forecasts 142

Germany forecasts 145

Italy forecasts 148

Spain forecasts 151

UK forecasts 154

M5EU forecasts 157

Global forecasts 160

About Datamonitor 165

About Datamonitor Healthcare 165

About the Cardiovascular analysis team 166

Disclaimer 167





Abstract

Introduction
The antidyslipidemics market is driven by the statins, which account for 87% of it. However, as many statins are expected to face patent expiry in the coming decade their role is expected to change from a driver to that of almost a resistor. Manufacturers are looking to novel products to protect their franchise, such as Pfizer's atorvastatin/torcetrapib.

Scope
Country specific event-driven sales forecasts for the period 2005-14 for the US, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK and Global overview
Patient potential and prescribing trends overview in the antidyslipidemics market, based on historical sales data and future key events
Profiles of the country and market-specific issues which will impact future sales, including generic erosion and class switching
Case studies presenting Pfizer's strategy with atorvastatin/torcetrapib to maintain the Lipitor franchise, and the impact of key clinical trials
Highlights
Increased knowledge of the metabolic syndrome, fears of statin side effects, and the increasing data on the importance of HDL have all served to drive growth of the adjunctive anti-dyslipidemic agent market, by creating an opportunity for novel as well as combination therapies.

Pfizer's atorvastatin + torcetrapib combination is expected to have a major impact on the dyslipidemia market and is expected to compete with both atorvastatin and Vytorin (simvastatin + ezetimibe). While AstraZeneca's Crestor is set to significantly increase in sales due to new safety data.

The expiration of key statin patents could lead to the shrinking of the market value. The situation will be salvaged by the growing classes of cholesterol uptake inhibitors and single pill combinations.

Reasons to Purchase
View independent, event-driven forecasts for key anti-dyslipidemic products and classes across the seven major markets
Obtain key opinion leader comments on various topics including prescribing trends and opinions on currently marketed and late stage development drugs
Identify the potential impact of clinical trial results, EU healthcare reform and new product launches on the antidyslipidemic market


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