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Bakery & Cereals in the UK to 2009

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Jan. 31, 2006 - 165 Pages


Table of Contents


TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABOUT DATAMONITOR 2

TABLE OF CONTENTS 3

LIST OF TABLES 8

LIST OF FIGURES 15

CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 17

What is this report about? 17

How to use this report 17

Definitions 17

UK BAKERY & CEREALS 21

1.1 Value 21

1.2 Volume 29

1.3 Market Share 33

1.4 Distribution 37

1.5 Expenditure & consumption per head 38

CHAPTER 2 UK BREAD & ROLLS 42

2.1 Value 42

2.2 Volume 47

2.3 Market Share 50

2.4 Distribution 51

2.5 Expenditure & consumption per head 52

2.6 ConsumerGraphics 55

CHAPTER 3 UK BREAKFAST CEREALS 58

3.1 Value 58

3.2 Volume 63

3.3 Market Share 66

3.4 Distribution 69

3.5 Expenditure & consumption per head 70

3.6 ConsumerGraphics 73

CHAPTER 4 UK CAKES & PASTRIES 76

4.1 Value 76

4.2 Volume 81

4.3 Market Share 84

4.4 Distribution 85

4.5 Expenditure & consumption per head 86

4.6 ConsumerGraphics 89

CHAPTER 5 UK COOKIES (SWEET BISCUITS) 92

5.1 Value 92

5.2 Volume 100

5.3 Market Share 104

5.4 Distribution 105

5.5 Expenditure & consumption per head 106

5.6 ConsumerGraphics 112

CHAPTER 6 UK CRACKERS (SAVORY BISCUITS) 115

6.1 Value 115

6.2 Volume 120

6.3 Market Share 123

6.4 Distribution 124

6.5 Expenditure & consumption per head 125

6.6 ConsumerGraphics 128

CHAPTER 7 UK MORNING GOODS 131

7.1 Value 131

7.2 Volume 136

7.3 Market Share 139

7.4 Distribution 140

7.5 Expenditure & consumption per head 141

7.6 ConsumerGraphics 144

CHAPTER 8 UK SOCIOECONOMIC PROFILE 147

8.1 Country Overview 147

8.2 Key Facts 148

8.3 Political Overview 150

8.4 UK Economic Overview 151

CHAPTER 9 UK MACROECONOMIC PROFILE 152

Macroeconomic Indicators 152

CHAPTER 10 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 158

10.1 Methodology overview 158

10.2 Secondary research 159

10.3 Market modelling 160

10.4 Primary research 161

10.5 Data finalisation 162

10.6 Ongoing research 162

CHAPTER 11 APPENDIX 163

11.1 Future readings 163

11.2 Research team 163

CAROL RATCLIFFE CRATCLIFFE@DATAMONITOR.COM 163

SENIOR ANALYST, CONSUMER MARKETS +44 161 238 4072 163

11.3 How to contact experts in your industry 163

GARTH STIRLING CMMARKETING@DATAMONITOR.COM 163

MARKETING MANAGER, CONSUMER BUSINESS UNIT - EUROPE +44 20 7675 7000 163

GILES WATTS GWATTS@DATAMONITOR.COM 163

SALES DIRECTOR, CONSUMER BUSINESS UNIT - EUROPE +44 20 7675 7000 163

SARAH PERSON SPERSON@DATAMONITOR.COM 163

PRODUCT MANAGER, CONSUMER BUSINESS UNIT - US +1 212 686 7400 163

CHET REVINSKI CREVINSKI@DATAMONITOR.COM 163



LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Bakery & Cereals category definitions 20

Table 2: Bakery & Cereals distribution channels 22

Table 3: UK Bakery & Cereals value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 23

Table 4: UK Bakery & Cereals value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 24

Table 5: UK Bakery & Cereals value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 26

Table 6: UK Bakery & Cereals value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 27

Table 7: UK Bakery & Cereals value, 1999-2004 (US$ m nominal prices) 28

Table 8: UK Bakery & Cereals value forecast, 2004-2009 (US$ m nominal prices) 29

Table 9: UK Bakery & Cereals volume, 1999-2004 (kg m) 31

Table 10: UK Bakery & Cereals volume forecast, 2004-2009 (kg m) 32

Table 11: UK Bakery & Cereals brand share, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 35

Table 12: UK Bakery & Cereals value, by brand, 2003-2004 (GBP m) nominal prices 36

Table 13: UK Bakery & Cereals company share, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 37

Table 14: UK Bakery & Cereals value, by company, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 38

Table 15: UK Bakery & Cereals off-trade distribution channels, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 39

Table 16: UK Bakery & Cereals off-trade value, by distribution channel, 2003-2004 (GBP m) nominal prices 39

Table 17: UK Bakery & Cereals expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (GBP, 2004 Prices) 40

Table 18: UK Bakery & Cereals forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (GBP, 2004 Prices) 41

Table 19: UK Bakery & Cereals expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (US$) nominal prices 42

Table 20: UK Bakery & Cereals forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (US$) nominal prices 42

Table 21: UK Bakery & Cereals consumption per head, 1999-2004 (kg) 43

Table 22: UK Bakery & Cereals forecast consumption per head, 2004-2009 (kg) 43

Table 23: UK Bread & rolls value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 44

Table 24: UK Bread & rolls value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 44

Table 25: UK Bread & rolls value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 46

Table 26: UK Bread & rolls value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 46

Table 27: UK Bread & rolls value, 1999-2004 (US$ m nominal prices) 47

Table 28: UK Bread & rolls value forecast, 2004-2009 (US$ m nominal prices) 47

Table 29: UK Bread & rolls volume, 1999-2004 (kg m) 49

Table 30: UK Bread & rolls volume forecast, 2004-2009 (kg m) 49

Table 31: UK Bread & rolls company share, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 52

Table 32: UK Bread & rolls value, by company, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 52

Table 33: UK Bread & rolls off-trade distribution channels, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 53

Table 34: UK Bread & rolls off-trade value, by distribution channel, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 53

Table 35: UK Bread & rolls expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (GBP, nominal Prices) 54

Table 36: UK Bread & rolls forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (GBP, nominal Prices) 54

Table 37: UK Bread & rolls expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (US$) 55

Table 38: UK Bread & rolls forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (US$) 55

Table 39: UK Bread & rollsconsumption per head, 1999-2004 (kg) 56

Table 40: UK Bread & rollsforecast consumption per head, 2004-2009 (kg) 56

Table 41: UK Bread & rolls value, by age group, 2004 57

Table 42: UK Bread & rolls value, by income group, 2004 57

Table 43: UK Bread & rolls value, by gender, 2004 57

Table 44: UK Bread & rolls value, by marital status, 2004 58

Table 45: UK Bread & rolls value, by size of household, 2004 58

Table 46: UK Bread & rolls value, by region, 2004 59

Table 47: UK Bread & rolls value, by urban/rural residence, 2004 59

Table 48: UK Breakfast cereals value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 60

Table 49: UK Breakfast cereals value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 60

Table 50: UK Breakfast cereals value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 62

Table 51: UK Breakfast cereals value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 62

Table 52: UK Breakfast cereals value, 1999-2004 (US$ m nominal prices) 63

Table 53: UK Breakfast cereals value forecast, 2004-2009 (US$ m nominal prices) 63

Table 54: UK Breakfast cereals volume, 1999-2004 (kg m) 65

Table 55: UK Breakfast cereals volume forecast, 2004-2009 (kg m) 65

Table 56: UK Breakfast cereals brand share, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 68

Table 57: UK Breakfast cereals value, by brand, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 69

Table 58: UK Breakfast cereals company share, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 70

Table 59: UK Breakfast cereals value, by company, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 70

Table 60: UK Breakfast cereals off-trade distribution channels, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 71

Table 61: UK Breakfast cereals off-trade value, by distribution channel, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 71

Table 62: UK Breakfast cereals expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (GBP, nominal Prices) 72

Table 63: UK Breakfast cereals forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (GBP, nominal Prices) 72

Table 64: UK Breakfast cereals expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (US$) 73

Table 65: UK Breakfast cereals forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (US$) 73

Table 66: UK Breakfast cereals consumption per head, 1999-2004 (kg) 74

Table 67: UK Breakfast cereals forecast consumption per head, 2004-2009 (kg) 74

Table 68: UK Breakfast cereals value, by age group, 2004 75

Table 69: UK Breakfast cereals value, by income group, 2004 75

Table 70: UK Breakfast cereals value, by gender, 2004 75

Table 71: UK Breakfast cereals value, by marital status, 2004 76

Table 72: UK Breakfast cereals value, by size of household, 2004 76

Table 73: UK Breakfast cereals value, by region, 2004 77

Table 74: UK Breakfast cereals value, by urban/rural residence, 2004 77

Table 75: UK Cakes & pastries value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 78

Table 76: UK Cakes & pastries value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 78

Table 77: UK Cakes & pastries value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 80

Table 78: UK Cakes & pastries value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 80

Table 79: UK Cakes & pastries value, 1999-2004 (US$ m nominal prices) 81

Table 80: UK Cakes & pastries value forecast, 2004-2009 (US$ m nominal prices) 81

Table 81: UK Cakes & pastries volume, 1999-2004 (kg m) 83

Table 82: UK Cakes & pastries volume forecast, 2004-2009 (kg m) 83

Table 83: UK Cakes & pastries company share, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 86

Table 84: UK Cakes & pastries value, by company, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 86

Table 85: UK Cakes & pastries off-trade distribution channels, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 87

Table 86: UK Cakes & pastries off-trade value, by distribution channel, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 87

Table 87: UK Cakes & pastries expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (GBP, nominal Prices) 88

Table 88: UK Cakes & pastries forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (GBP, nominal Prices) 88

Table 89: UK Cakes & pastries expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (US$) 89

Table 90: UK Cakes & pastries forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (US$) 89

Table 91: UK Cakes & pastries consumption per head, 1999-2004 (kg) 90

Table 92: UK Cakes & pastries forecast consumption per head, 2004-2009 (kg) 90

Table 93: UK Cakes & Pastries value, by age group, 2004 91

Table 94: UK Cakes & Pastries value, by income group, 2004 91

Table 95: UK Cakes & Pastries value, by gender, 2004 91

Table 96: UK Cakes & Pastries value, by marital status, 2004 92

Table 97: UK Cakes & Pastries value, by size of household, 2004 92

Table 98: UK Cakes & Pastries value, by region, 2004 93

Table 99: UK Cakes & Pastries value, by urban/rural residence, 2004 93

Table 100: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 94

Table 101: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 95

Table 102: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 97

Table 103: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 98

Table 104: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value, 1999-2004 (US$ m nominal prices) 99

Table 105: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value forecast, 2004-2009 (US$ m nominal prices) 100

Table 106: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) volume, 1999-2004 (kg m) 102

Table 107: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) volume forecast, 2004-2009 (kg m) 103

Table 108: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) company share, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 106

Table 109: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value, by company, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 106

Table 110: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) off-trade distribution channels, by value, 2003-2004(%) 107

Table 111: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) off-trade value, by distribution channel, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 107

Table 112: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (GBP, nominal Prices) 108

Table 113: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (GBP, nominal Prices) 109

Table 114: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (US$) 110

Table 115: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (US$) 111

Table 116: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) consumption per head, 1999-2004 (kg) 112

Table 117: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) forecast consumption per head, 2004-2009 (kg) 113

Table 118: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value, by age group, 2004 114

Table 119: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value, by income group, 2004 114

Table 120: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value, by gender, 2004 114

Table 121: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value, by marital status, 2004 115

Table 122: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value, by size of household, 2004 115

Table 123: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value, by region, 2004 116

Table 124: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value, by urban/rural residence, 2004 116

Table 125: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 117

Table 126: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 117

Table 127: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 119

Table 128: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 119

Table 129: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) value, 1999-2004 (US$ m nominal prices) 120

Table 130: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) value forecast, 2004-2009 (US$ m nominal prices) 120

Table 131: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) volume, 1999-2004 (kg m) 122

Table 132: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) volume forecast, 2004-2009 (kg m) 122

Table 133: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) company share, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 125

Table 134: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) value, by company, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 125

Table 135: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) off-trade distribution channels, by value, 2003-2004(%) 126

Table 136: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) off-trade value, by distribution channel, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 126

Table 137: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (GBP, nominal Prices) 127

Table 138: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (GBP, nominal Prices) 127

Table 139: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (US$) 128

Table 140: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (US$) 128

Table 141: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) consumption per head, 1999-2004 (kg) 129

Table 142: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) forecast consumption per head, 2004-2009 (kg) 129

Table 143: UK Cracker (savory biscuits) value, by age group, 2004 130

Table 144: UK Cracker (savory biscuits) value, by income group, 2004 130

Table 145: UK Cracker (savory biscuits) value, by gender, 2004 130

Table 146: UK Cracker (savory biscuits) value, by marital status, 2004 131

Table 147: UK Cracker (savory biscuits) value, by size of household, 2004 131

Table 148: UK Cracker (savory biscuits) value, by region, 2004 132

Table 149: UK Cracker (savory biscuits) value, by urban/rural residence, 2004 132

Table 150: UK Morning goods value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, nominal prices) 133

Table 151: UK Morning goods value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, nominal prices) 133

Table 152: UK Morning goods value, 1999-2004 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 135

Table 153: UK Morning goods value forecast, 2004-2009 (GBP m, 2004 Prices) 135

Table 154: UK Morning goods value, 1999-2004 (US$ m nominal prices) 136

Table 155: UK Morning goods value forecast, 2004-2009 (US$ m nominal prices) 136

Table 156: UK Morning goods volume, 1999-2004 (kg m) 138

Table 157: UK Morning goods volume forecast, 2004-2009 (kg m) 138

Table 158: UK Morning goods company share, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 141

Table 159: UK Morning goods value, by company, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 141

Table 160: UK Morning goods off-trade distribution channels, by value, 2003-2004 (%) 142

Table 161: UK Morning goods off-trade value, by distribution channel, 2003-2004 (GBP m) 142

Table 162: UK Morning goods expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (GBP, nominal prices 143

Table 163: UK Morning goods forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (GBP, nominal prices) 143

Table 164: UK Morning goods expenditure per head, 1999-2004 (US$) 144

Table 165: UK Morning goods forecast expenditure per head, 2004-2009 (US$) 144

Table 166: UK Morning goods consumption per head, 1999-2004 (kg) 145

Table 167: UK Morning goods forecast consumption per head, 2004-2009 (kg) 145

Table 168: UK Morning Goods value, by age group, 2004 146

Table 169: UK Morning Goods value, by income group, 2004 146

Table 170: UK Morning Goods value, by gender, 2004 146

Table 171: UK Morning Goods value, by marital status, 2004 147

Table 172: UK Morning Goods value, by size of household, 2004 147

Table 173: UK Morning Goods value, by region, 2004 148

Table 174: UK Morning Goods value, by urban/rural residence, 2004 148

Table 175: UK Key Facts 150

Table 176: UK population, by age group, 1999-2004 (millions) 154

Table 177: UK population forecast, by age group, 2004-2009(millions) 155

Table 178: UK population, by gender, 1999-2004 (millions) 156

Table 179: UK population forecast, by gender, 2004-2009(millions) 156

Table 180: UK real GDP, 1999-2004 (base year=2003) (US$ bn, 2004 prices) 157

Table 181: UK real GDP forecast, 2004-2009(base year=2003) (US$ bn, 2004 prices) 157

Table 182: UK nominal GDP, 1999-2004 (base year = 2004) (US$ bn, nominal prices) 158

Table 183: UK nominal GDP forecast, 2004-2009(base year=2004) (US$ bn, nominal prices) 158

Table 184: UK consumer price index, 1999-2004 (2004=100) 159

Table 185: UK consumer price index, 2004-2009(2004=100) 159

Table 186: UK exchange rate, 1999-2004 159





LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: UK Bakery & Cereals value & value forecast, 1999-2009 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 25

Figure 2: UK Bakery & Cereals category growth comparison, by value, 1999-2009 30

Figure 3: UK Bakery & Cereals volume & volume forecast, 1999-2009 (kg m) 33

Figure 4: UK Bakery & Cereals category growth comparison, by volume, 1999-2009 34

Figure 5: UK Bread & rolls value & value forecast, 1999-2009 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 45

Figure 6: UK Bread & rolls segment growth comparison, by value, 1999-2009 48

Figure 7: UK Bread & rolls volume & volume forecast, 1999-2009 (kg m) 50

Figure 8: UK Bread & rolls category growth comparison, by volume, 1999-2009 51

Figure 9: UK Breakfast cereals value & value forecast, 1999-2009 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 61

Figure 10: UK Breakfast cereals segment growth comparison, by value, 1999-2009 64

Figure 11: UK Breakfast cereals volume & volume forecast, 1999-2009 (kg m) 66

Figure 12: UK Breakfast cereals category growth comparison, by volume, 1999-2009 67

Figure 13: UK Cakes & pastries value & value forecast, 1999-2009 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 79

Figure 14: UK Cakes & pastries segment growth comparison, by value, 1999-2009 82

Figure 15: UK Cakes & pastries volume & volume forecast, 1999-2009 (kg m) 84

Figure 16: UK Cakes & pastries category growth comparison, by volume, 1999-2009 85

Figure 17: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) value & value forecast, 1999-2009 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 96

Figure 18: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) segment growth comparison, by value, 1999-2009 101

Figure 19: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) volume & volume forecast, 1999-2009 (kg m) 104

Figure 20: UK Cookies (sweet biscuits) category growth comparison, by volume, 1999-2009 105

Figure 21: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) value & value forecast, 1999-2009 (GBP m, nominal Prices) 118

Figure 22: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) segment growth comparison, by value, 1999-2009 121

Figure 23: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) volume & volume forecast, 1999-2009 (kg m) 123

Figure 24: UK Crackers (savory biscuits) category growth comparison, by volume, 1999-2009 124

Figure 25: UK Morning goods value & value forecast, 1999-2009 (GBP m, nominal prices) 134

Figure 26: UK Morning goods segment growth comparison, by value, 1999-2009 137

Figure 27: UK Morning goods volume & volume forecast, 1999-2009 (kg m) 139

Figure 28: UK Morning goods category growth comparison, by volume, 1999-2009 140

Figure 29: Map of the UK 151

Figure 30: Annual data review process 161





Abstract

Introduction
This databook is a detailed information resource covering all the key data points on Bakery & Cereals in the UK. It includes comprehensive value, volume, segmentation and market share data. The databook supplies actual data to 2004 and full forecasts to 2009.

Scope
Contains information on six categories: bread & rolls, breakfast cereals, cakes & pastries, cookies (sweet biscuits), crackers and morning goods.
Provides market value, volume, expenditure and consumption data by market, segment and subsegment.
Includes company and brand share data by category, as well as distribution channel data.
Contains market value segmentation by demographic and socioeconomic group.
Highlights
The market for Bakery & Cereals in UK increased between 1999-2004, growing at an average annual rate of 1.7%.

The leading company in the market in 2004 was United Biscuits (Holdings) Plc . The second-largest player was RHM (formerly Ranks Hovis McDougall Limited), with Kellogg Company in third place.

Reasons to Purchase
Discover the major quantitative trends affecting the bakery & cereals markets.
Understand consumers' consumption and expenditure patterns.
Understand the future direction of the market with reliable historical data and full five year forecasting.



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