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Pharmaceutical Project And Portfolio Management: Effective Organization And Decision-Making For Long-term Growth

Published by: Business Insights

Published: Jun. 1, 2005 - 162 Pages


Table of Contents


Table of Contents Executive summary 10

The portfolio management challenge 10

Portfolio management processes 11

Project evaluations 12

Portfolio management in practice 13

Project management in practice 14

Portfolio management in context 15

Chapter 1 The portfolio management

challenge 18

Summary 18

Introduction 19

Pharmaceutical business environment 19

The rising cost of drug development 19

R&D productivity shortfall 21

Key drug patent expirations 22

Intensive regulatory processes 23

Healthcare cost containment 24

Investor confidence in the pharmaceutical sector reduced 25

Portfolio management - driving growth and shareholder value 25

Defining portfolio management 26

Key drivers of portfolio management 27

Corporate strategy and portfolio management 28

A dynamic feedback process 28

Portfolio management, corporate strategy and shareholder

expectations 30

Portfolio management as a growth vehicle 31

Managing shareholder expectations through portfolio management 33

Enhancing corporate communications 34

Chapter 2 Portfolio management processes 38

Summary 38

Introduction 39

Integrated portfolio management 39

The R&D portfolio 41

The marketed portfolio 42

The portfolio management system 44

Organizational processes 44

Periodic portfolio reviews 45

Milestone reviews 47

Reactionary reviews 50

Combined review processes 51

Project evaluations 54

Analysis and decision-making 54

Efficiency measures 55

A balanced portfolio 58

Aligning portfolios and strategy 60

Top-down model 60

Bottom-up model 63

Top-down and bottom-up 64

Budgeting and resource management 65

Portfolio management best practices 69

Chapter 3 Project evaluations 72

Summary 72

Introduction 73

The project management discipline 73

The project evaluation process 76

Project identification 76

Project evaluation 77

Scoring methods 78

Project value and risk profile 81

Measuring value 82

Risk assessments 82

Financial evaluation techniques 86

Net present value 87

NPV - a worked example 88

Decision tree analysis 90

Expected NPV - a worked example 92

Monte Carlo simulations 95

Real options 100

Real options valuation 102

Portfolio evaluation best practices 106

Establishing a ‘level playing field’ for project evaluations 106

Improving risk assessment 106

Increasing the sophistication of financial evaluations 107

Chapter 4 Portfolio management in practice 110

Summary 110

Introduction 111

Case study: Portfolio management-led growth at Novartis 111

Case study: Prioritization in portfolio development at Genentech 114

Case study: Portfolio and resource management at Bristol-Myers Squibb 117

Case study: Small company portfolio management at PowderJect 119

Case study: Portfolio planning, strategy and risk management at Aventis 121

Chapter 5 Project management in practice 124

Summary 124

Introduction 125

Case study: Integrated project planning and budgeting at Roche 125

Case study: The mid-tier company approach to project management at

Schering AG 126

Case study: Project management in new product development at

GlaxoSmithKline 128

Case study: Project management support at AstraZeneca 130

Case study: Project manager development at Amgen 131

Chapter 6 Portfolio management in context 134

Summary 134

Introduction 135

Managing a portfolio of external assets 135

Portfolio management through licensing contracts 137

Globalizing the portfolio management process 141

Post-merger integration of portfolio management approaches 143

Industry best practice: An interview with Richard Bayney, Vice

President, Portfolio Planning, J&J Pharmaceutical Research &

Development 144

Interview transcript 147

Aligning the portfolio with top-level strategy… 148

Project versus portfolio management… 149

Sophisticated portfolio evaluation tools… 150

Strategic versus financial evaluations… 152

Adapting portfolio management to industry trends… 153

Integrating internal and external portfolio management… 154

Critical success factors… 155

Chapter 7 Appendix 160

Glossary 160

Sources 162



List of Figures

Figure 1.1: R&D expenditure for PhRMA members, 1980-2004 20

Figure 1.2: Increasing cost of drug development, 1975-2000 21

Figure 1.3: R&D productivity trends, 1990-2004 22

Figure 1.4: US patent expirations for top-10 leading drugs, 2004 23

Figure 1.5: Portfolio management enables both the implementation and development of corporate

strategy 30

Figure 1.6: Portfolio management as a driver of shareholder value 32

Figure 2.7: A “portfolio of portfolios” - integrated portfolio management 40

Figure 2.8: Integrated internal and external portfolio management 41

Figure 2.9: Milestone review process 48

Figure 2.10: The portfolio management process 52

Figure 2.11: Project utilization based on efficiency measures 57

Figure 2.12: Portfolio optimization over time 58

Figure 2.13: Portfolio balance - risk versus return 59

Figure 2.14: Top-down approach to resource allocation 61

Figure 2.15: Managing resources over time 67

Figure 3.16: Project rankings by attractiveness scores 81

Figure 3.17: Risk assessments - a distribution of potential outcomes 83

Figure 3.18: Risk assessment in project evaluations 84

Figure 3.19: Risk assessment in practice 86

Figure 3.20: Net present value of an R&D project 89

Figure 3.21: Decision tree analysis for pharmaceutical projects 91

Figure 3.22: Expected NPV of an R&D project 93

Figure 3.23: Expected NPV versus Monte Carlo simulation 96

Figure 3.24: Decision tree analysis and Monte Carlo simulations 97

Figure 3.25: Monte Carlo simulation outcomes 98

Figure 3.26: Expected NPV of an R&D project incorporating an abandonment option 101

Figure 4.27: An example of the decision-making process found at Novartis 113

Figure 4.28: An example of the cross-option comparison charts used at Genentech 115

Figure 4.29: An example of the multi-value measure rankings used at Genentech 116

Figure 4.30: An example of the aggregate demand charts used at BMS 118

Figure 4.31: An example of the R&D portfolio management process employed at PowderJect 120

Figure 4.32: An example of the management of risk with respect to near-term value at Aventis 121

Figure 5.33: An example of the decision-making structure at Schering AG 127

Figure 5.34: An example of project management commissioning at Schering AG 128

Figure 5.35: An example of key project management objectives at GlaxoSmithKline 129

Figure 5.36: An example of the initial PMSO organization at AstraZeneca 131

Figure 5.37: An example of project organization in a large biotechnology company such as Amgen

132

Figure 6.38: Clinical survival rates for internally developed and licensed compounds 136

Figure 6.39: The value of option 1 in GSK’s Theravance agreement 138

Figure 6.40: The value of option 2 in GSK’s Theravance agreement 140

Figure 6.41: A global development study for Iressa 142

Figure 6.42: J&J’s sales and earnings, 1994-2004 145

Figure 6.43: J&J’s portfolio of potential new filings, 2005-2011 146

Figure 6.44: J&J’s portfolio of potential new filings, 2005-2011 (cont’d) 147



List of Tables

Table 2.1: Investment efficiency 56

Table 3.2: Project scoring model 79

Table 3.3: Expected NPV of an R&D project 94

Abstract

Pharmaceutical companies operate in multi-project, multi-product environments: the challenge facing pharmaceutical executives is to determine which projects - each potentially having a strong value proposition and being championed by different business units - should receive investment. Portfolio management aims to meet the challenges of operating in a multi-project/product environment by determining the optimal mix of projects and products within a portfolio. Pharmaceutical Project and Portfolio Management: Effective organization and decision-making for long-term growth, is a strategic management report which provides expert analysis on budget and resource allocation decision-making, enabling you to convert promising product portfolios into highly profitable revenue streams. Recent trends in increased R&D spend and falling productivity levels have put increased pressure on managing the portfolio in order to maximize returns. Effective portfolio management will steer pharmaceutical companies through periods of slow growth and deliver shareholder confidence in future growth.


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