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Future Trends in Cards and Payments: Key Issues, Innovation and Competition in Europe and the US

Published by: Business Insights

Published: Sep. 1, 2005 - 111 Pages


Table of Contents


Table of Contents

Future Trends In Cards And Payments

Executive summary 10

Consumer payment tools 10

Key issues in payment cards 11

Competition in the cards market 13

The future of cards and payments 14

Chapter 1 Consumer payment tools 18

Summary 18

Introduction 19

Overview 19

The cards and payments landscape 19

Cashless payments are moving away from cheques and credit

transfers 20

Cards are gaining ground in all countries 21

Payment cards 23

Overview 23

Classification of payment cards 23

Key players and transaction processes 24

Some issuers work on a closed loop basis 25

The role of Payment Service Providers 25

Growth of payment cards in Europe 27

Greece and Turkey are outgrowing the rest of Europe 27

High number of cards per person in the US results in low usage

figures per card 30

Card usage is strongest in the Nordic region 31

Pay now cards dominate in more than half of Europe 33

Pay now cards 35

Germany and the UK hold 50% of European pay now cards 35

Germany tops the league in terms of pay now card penetration 37

In Belgium and the US, the number of transactions per pay now card

has more than doubled since 1999 38

Consumers in some European countries show an increasing

readiness to pay by debit card 39

iv

Pay later cards 41

The European pay later cards market is still tiny compared to the US 41

The UK is by far the biggest pay later cards market in Europe 41

Pay later card penetration in Europe is generally still low 43

Finland has the highest number of transactions per pay later card 44

The European average value of transactions for pay later cards lies

below the US average 45

Chapter 2 Key issues in payment cards 48

Summary 48

Introduction 49

Card fraud 50

Types of card fraud 50

Card-not-present fraud (CNP) 50

Counterfeit fraud 52

Lost and stolen card fraud 54

Mail non-receipt fraud 54

Fraud following identity theft 55

Cross-border fraud 56

Fraud at cash machines 56

Prevalent fraud types 57

Combating card fraud - EMV is expected to reduce counterfeit fraud 59

Migration to EMV in Europe 60

Migration to EMV in the US 61

Combating other types of card fraud 63

3-D Secure to curb card-not-present fraud online 63

Preventing identity theft fraud 65

Information-based anti-fraud solutions are critical 67

Sharing fraud-related information and educating players 68

Growth strategies in payment cards 69

Pay now card issuers benefit from greater POS usage 70

Do loyalty programs provide the answer? 71

Pay later cards 72

Converting cash acquisition to POS transactions 72

Expanding into other areas of payments 74

Boost revolving balances rather than total transaction volumes 77

Chapter 3 Competition in the cards market 82

Summary 82

Introduction 83

Competition in the pay now card segment 83

Maestro dominates the pay now segment 83

v

Market concentration on issuance 84

Competition in the pay later card segment 86

Across Europe, Visa has a market share of more than 50% 86

Concentration of pay later card issuance 86

Chapter 4 The future of cards and payments 90

Summary 90

Introduction 91

Outlook for the pay later card segment 91

High growth in the number of pay later cards in Turkey 91

Turkey - the third largest pay later card market in Europe by 2008 92

Pay later card use in Finland is set to increase even further 93

Changes in average transaction value 95

Data tables 96

Glossary 103

Index 109

vi

List of Figures

Figure 1: The use of cashless payment instruments, 1999-2002 22

Figure 2: Consumer cards by way of bill settlement 24

Figure 3: Payment card transaction processes and flows 25

Figure 4: Total number of cards in Europe and the US, 1999-2003 27

Figure 5: Payment cards issued in Europe, 2003 28

Figure 6: Card penetration in Europe is still low, but most countries show solid growth in the

number of payment cards, 2003 29

Figure 7: Average number and value of transactions per payment card in Europe and the US,

1999-2003 30

Figure 8: Transactions per card by country, 1999-2003 32

Figure 9: Growth in average card usage in Europe and the US, 1999 - 2003 33

Figure 10: Pay now and pay later cards by country, 2003 34

Figure 11: Card usage is much higher for pay now than for pay later cards, 2003 35

Figure 12: The dominance of the two largest markets for pay now cards in Europe, 1999-2003 36

Figure 13: Pay now card penetration in Europe and the US, 2003 38

Figure 14: Debit card transactions in Europe and the US, 2003 39

Figure 15: Average transaction values for pay now cards, 2003 40

Figure 16: The number of pay later cards in Europe and the US, 1999-2003 41

Figure 17: The UK has a share of 31% of pay later cards in Europe, 1999-2003 42

Figure 18: Pay later card penetration in Europe, 2003 43

Figure 19: Use of pay later cards in Europe and the US, 2003 45

Figure 20: Average value of transactions for pay later cards, 2003 46

Figure 21: Types of fraud and losses to fraud in Europe and the US, 2003 58

Figure 22: Pay now cards in Europe by scheme, 2003 83

Figure 23: Combined market shares of the Top 3 pay now card issuers in each country, 2003 84

Figure 24: Market shares of pay later cards by schemes, 2003 86

Figure 25: Combined market shares of the Top 3 Pay Later card issuers in each country, 2003 87

Figure 26: Increase of the number of pay later cards, 2004e-2008f 92

Figure 27: Pay later cards per person in Europe, 2008f 93

Figure 28: Transactions per pay later card in Europe, 2008f 94

Figure 29: Average transaction value for pay later cards in Europe, 2008f 95

vii

List of Tables

Table 1: Average transaction values in Europe, 1999-2003 31

Table 2: Issuer shares in the European pay now card markets, 2003 85

Table 3: Issuer shares in the European pay later card markets, 2003 88

Table 4: Cashless payment tools in Europe and the US, 1999-2002 96

Table 5: Number of payment cards in Europe and the US, 1999-2003 97

Table 6: Payment cards per person in Europe and the US, 1999-2003 97

Table 7: Average number of transaction for payment cards in Europe and the US, 1999-200398

Table 8: Number of pay now cards in Europe and the US, 1999-2003 98

Table 9: Number of pay now cards per person in Europe and the US, 1999-2003 99

Table 10: Number of transactions per pay now card in Europe and the US, 1999-2003 99

Table 11: Average value of pay now card transactions in Europe and the US, 1999-2003 100

Table 12: Number of pay later cards in Europe and the US, 1999-2003 100

Table 13: Number of pay later cards per person in Europe and the US, 1999-2003 101

Table 14: Average value of pay later card transactions in Europe and the US, 1999-2003 101

Table 15: Number of transactions per pay later card in Europe and the US, 1999-2003 102

Abstract

The US and most European countries have seen significant change in the use of non-cash payment instruments in recent years, card issuers and merchants have been successful in capturing a slice of the profitable consumer payments market; but, what challenges are they facing in the development of widespread card usage? What can issuers do to grow their share of consumer payments? Find out, in a new management report by Business Insights. Future Trends in Cards and Payments: Key issues, innovation and competition in Europe and the US assesses the changing consumer payments landscape, analyzes the development of payment cards and provides country-by-country data on card penetration and usage in the US and 16 European markets. The report examines the types of card fraud, their importance in Europe and the US and the combat initiatives undertaken by the leading players in the cards payments sector.


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