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Published by: Frost & Sullivan
Published: Dec. 14, 2005
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary
1. Executive Summary
1. Executive Summary 2. North American In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols
1. Market Overview
1. Introduction
2. Definition and Scope
3. Lifecycle Analysis
4. Vehicle Segmentation and Sales Forecast
2. Drivers and Restraints
1. Market Drivers
a. Increasing Electronic Content in Light Vehicles Underlines the Need for Advanced Network Technologies
b. Salient Attributes of Key Emerging Protocols Generate Penetration Potential for Multiple Protocols in the Same Vehicle Space
c. High Degree of Cooperation among Automakers, Suppliers, Developers and Other Market Participants Catalyzes Market Growth
d. The Need for Greater System-Level Integration Stokes Demand for Advanced Network Technologies
e. Intelligent Devices and Advanced Software Fuel the Indispensability of Automotive Network Technologies and Protocols
f. The Cost-Saving Proposition Offered by Emerging Protocols Attracts North American Automakers
g. Decreasing Cost per Node through Implementation in High-Volume Vehicles Ensures Wider Penetration
2. Market Restraints
a. Lack of Standardization of Emerging Protocols Delays Implementation in Volume Vehicle Segments
b. Increasing Complexity of Emerging Protocols Poses Integration Hurdles for Automakers
c. Lack of Systems Engineering Approach Hinders Faster Convergence of Electronics and Network Protocols to Vehicle Platforms
d. Lack of Consumer Awareness Regarding the Value of In-Vehicle Network Technologies Is a Marketing Hurdle
e. Knowledge Sharing Problems Slow the Pace of Standardization
f. Rapid Technology Advances Result in Limited Adoption
g. Rising Fuel Prices Curb Consumer Spending on Advanced Vehicle Electronic Systems
h. High Software and Physical Layer Costs Occlude Desired Price Decline Rates
3. Roadmap and Installation Rate Forecasts
1. Roadmap for In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols
2. Installation Rates of In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols
4. Strategic Analysis
1. Strategic Analysis
2. Strategic Recommendations -- Automakers
3. Strategic Recommendations -- Suppliers
5. Market and Technology Trends
1. Market Trends
2. Technology Trends
6. Frost & Sullivan Awards
1. Frost & Sullivan Award for Technology Leadership
2. Frost & Sullivan Award for Product Innovation Leadership
3. Frost & Sullivan Award for Customer Value Leadership 3. Controller Area Network Technology and Protocol
1. Introduction
1. Introduction
2. Technology Analysis
1. Technology Overview
2. Operating Principle and Data Transmission
3. Automotive Application Potential and Installation Rate Forecasts
1. Automotive Applications
2. Installation Rate Forecasts 4. Local Interconnect Network Technology and Protocol
1. Introduction
1. Introduction
2. Technology Analysis
1. Technology Overview
2. Operating Principle and Data Transmission
3. Automotive Application Potential and Installation Rate Forecasts
1. Automotive Applications
2. Installation Rate Forecasts 5. Media Oriented Systems Transport Technology and Protocol
1. Introduction
1. Introduction
2. Technology Analysis
1. Technology Overview
2. Operating Principle and Data Transmission
3. Automotive Application Potential and Installation Rate Forecasts
1. Automotive Applications
2. Installation Rate Forecasts 6. FlexRay Technology and Protocol
1. Introduction
1. Introduction
2. Technology Analysis
1. Technology Overview
2. Operating Principle and Data Transmission
3. Automotive Application Potential and Installation Rate Forecasts
1. Automotive Applications
2. Installation Rate Forecasts 7. Other Key In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols
1. Other Key In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols
1. Introduction
2. J1850
3. Byteflight
4. J1939
5. Time-Triggered Protocol
6. Time-Triggered CAN
7. IDB 1394
8. Universal Serial Bus
9. D2B SMARTwireX 8. Appendix
1. Appendix
1. Abbreviations
2. Glossary
3. Compound Annual Growth Rate
4. Conversion Equations
5. Exchange Rates 9. Decision Support Database
1. Decision Support Database
1. Average Household Expenditure
2. Average Household Income
3. Nominal GDP
4. Light Vehicle Sales
List of Figures
Chapter 2
- In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Light Vehicle Segmentation (North America), 2005
- In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Light Vehicle Sales Forecasts by Segment (North America), 2005
- In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (North America), 2006-2012
- In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (North America), 2006-2012
- In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: OE Penetration Forecasts for the CAN, LIN, MOST, and FlexRay Protocols (North America), 2002-2012
- In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Strategic Recommendations for Vehicle Makers (North America), 2006-2012
- In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Strategic Recommendations for Suppliers (North America), 2006-2012
Chapter 3
- In-Vehicle CAN Technologies and Protocols: Comparison of BasicCAN and FullCAN (North America), 2005
- In-Vehicle CAN Technologies and Protocols: OE Installation Rate Forecasts for the CAN Protocol by Light Vehicle Category (North America), 2002-2012
Chapter 4
- In-Vehicle LIN Technologies and Protocols: Comparison of Technical Attributes -- LIN vs. CAN (North America), 2005
- In-Vehicle LIN Technologies and Protocols: OE Installation Rate Forecasts for the LIN Protocol by Light Vehicle Category (North America), 2002-2012
Chapter 5
- In-Vehicle MOST Technologies and Protocols: Members of the MOST Cooperation -- Automakers (North America), 2005
- In-Vehicle MOST Technologies and Protocols: Vehicle Platforms Incorporating the MOST Protocol (North America), 2005
- In-Vehicle MOST Technologies and Protocols: OE Installation Rate Forecasts for the MOST Protocol by Light Vehicle Category (North America), 2002-2012
Chapter 6
- In-Vehicle FlexRay Technologies and Protocols: Network Topology Alternatives Offered by FlexRay (North America), 2005
- In-Vehicle FlexRay Technologies and Protocols: Benefits of FlexRay Services (North America), 2005
- In-Vehicle FlexRay Technologies and Protocols: Members of the FlexRay Consortium -- Automakers (North America), 2005
- In-Vehicle FlexRay Technologies and Protocols: OE Installation Rate Forecasts for the FlexRay Protocol by Light Vehicle Category (North America), 2002-2012
Chapter 7
- Other In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Comparison of Technical Attributes of Byteflight, J1939, TTP, TTCAN, IDB 1394, and D2B SMARTwireX with J 1850, CAN, LIN, FlexRay, and MOST (North America), 2005
Chapter 8
- Total In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Exchange Rate (Canada:U.S.), 2003-2005
- Total In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Exchange Rate (Europe:U.S.), 2003-2005
- Total In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Exchange Rate (Japan:U.S.), 2003-2005
- Total In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Exchange Rate (Korea:U.S.), 2003-2005
- Total In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Exchange Rate (Mexico:U.S.), 2003-2005
- Total In-Vehicle Network Technologies and Protocols: Exchange Rate (UK:U.S.), 2003-2005
AbstractIncorporation of Various Advanced In-car Applications Triggers Development of Innovative Network Technologies and Protocols Automakers in North America are increasingly differentiating their vehicles by providing sophisticated and inventive features such as safety, stability, control, comfort, convenience, and infotainment. However, the incorporation of these applications requires a range of advanced and reliable network technologies and protocols that enable the efficient and effective networking of distributed electronic systems in a vehicle. This is aiding the development, standardization, and introduction of several application-specific network protocols such as controller area network (CAN), local interconnect network (LIN), media oriented systems transport (MOST), and FlexRay. This Frost & Sullivan strategic analysis service provides a comprehensive state-of-the-art and analysis of the emerging in-car network technologies and protocols that hold the potential of supporting a multitude of advanced and innovative applications in the next generation of light vehicles in North America. The study covers network protocols including CAN, LIN, MOST, FlexRay, and other key in-vehicle network technologies and protocols. It also provides a comprehensive discussion of market drivers and restraints. The research service enables companies to align their positioning strategies to benefit from the changing market conditions and obtain maximum return on investment. Application-specific Network Technologies and Protocols Required to Support New Features Automakers are rapidly adopting generalized protocols, such as CAN, which are experiencing high implementation rates in the light vehicles market. However, to support the several new and advanced control, telematics, and infotainment applications that are fast emerging in the automotive market, there is a rising demand for application-specific networks including FlexRay, MOST, and LIN that are developed for supporting a select set of applications. In the next generation of automobiles, multiple network technologies and protocols are expected to co-exist, supporting several advanced and futuristic features and applications. "With the convergence of electronics with automotive technologies, the average number of electronic control units in typical North American light vehicles ranges from 30 in low-end vehicles to almost 70 in high-end luxury vehicles," says the analyst of this study. "The increasing electronic content in light vehicles is expected to strongly drive the market for in-vehicle network protocols from 2006 to 2012." Declining Implementation Costs of Protocol Nodes in High-volume Vehicles Accelerate their Adoption The early introduction and the quasi-standardization phase of most emerging in-car network technologies and protocols are the cause for the high per node and implementation costs associated with these protocols. This is limiting their rapid adoption in the high-end vehicle segment and restraining their market penetration in volume driving vehicle segments. "As buyers of volume vehicles are increasingly demanding greater convergence of electronics with automobiles to support innovative infotainment, safety, comfort and convenience, and control applications, these protocols are expected to be steadily introduced in high-volume vehicles, helping to achieve economies of scale," notes the analyst. "This will consequently lower prices and thereby, catalyze wider adoption in future."
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