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Security Industry - Market ReviewPublished by: Key Note Publications Ltd Published: Sep. 1, 2004 - 208 Pages Table of ContentsExecutive Summary 1. Industry Overview REPORT COVERAGE REPORT BACKGROUND ECONOMIC TRENDS Gross Domestic Product Table 1.1: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current Prices and Annual Prices (£m), 1999-2003 Inflation Table 1.2: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003 Unemployment Table 1.3: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 1999-2003 Household Disposable Income Table 1.4: Household Disposable Income per Head (£), 1998-2002 MARKET SIZE Table 1.5: The UK Market for Private Security and Fire Protection by Sector at Current End-User Prices (£m), 1999-2003 MARKET SEGMENTATION Manned Security Services Electronic Security Systems Physical Security Equipment Vehicle Security Fire-Protection Equipment INDUSTRY STRUCTURE Concentration Number of UK Businesses Employment Distribution MARKET POSITION KEY TRENDS LEGISLATION Licensing of Security Staff Other Legislation KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS AND INDUSTRY ORGANISATIONS Association of Police and Public Security Suppliers British Fire Protection Systems Association British Security Industry Association International Professional Security Association Loss Prevention Certification Board National Security Inspectorate Security Industry Authority Security Industry Training Organisation (SITO Ltd) Security Systems and Alarms Inspection Board 2. PEST Analysis INTRODUCTION POLITICAL FACTORS The Terrorist Threat Airport Security Regulation of the Security Industry The Expanded EU EU Legislation on Services Congestion Charging Neighbourhood Wardens and Street Wardens Minimum Wage and Working Time Legislation Outsourcing of Police and Public-Sector Security Work Illegal Immigrants Public-Sector Campaigns Transport Policy Alarm Response Policies Data Protection Reform of the Fire Service ECONOMIC FACTORS World Events and Business Confidence Tourism Construction Output Table 2.1: Construction Output by Type of Work at Constant 2000 Prices (£m), 2000-2003 Insurance Claims Table 2.2: Gross Incurred Theft and Fire Claims on Domestic and Commercial Property Insurance (£m), 1999-2003 The Influence of Insurance Companies Currency Exchange Rates SOCIAL FACTORS The Crime Level Table 2.3: Number of Notifiable Criminal Offences Recorded by the Police in England and Wales (000 and number), Years Ending March 1998/1999-2002/2003 Table 2.4: Number of Notifiable Criminal Offences Recorded by the Police in Scotland (000), 1998-2002 Retail Crime Table 2.5: Cost of Crime to Retailers (£bn), 1998-2002 Fire Statistics Table 2.6: Number of Fires Attended by Fire Brigades and Number of Fires in Buildings in the UK (000), 1998-2002 Ageing Population Public Attitudes to Privacy and Protection The Environmental Impact of Security Products TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS Keeping Ahead of the Criminals The Environmental Impact of Fire-Fighting Chemicals Data Transmission 3. Key Note Primary Research INTRODUCTION HOUSEHOLD PENETRATION OF SELECTED SECURITY AND FIRE-PROTECTION MEASURES Table 3.1: Penetration of Selected Security and Fire-Protection Measures (% of adults), 1997-2004 Smoke Alarm Table 3.2: Penetration of Smoke Alarm by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Housing Tenure (% of adults), 2004 Security Locks on the Windows Table 3.3: Penetration of Security Locks on the Windows by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Housing Tenure (% of adults), 2004 Mortise Lock/Deadlock on the Front Door Table 3.4: Penetration of Mortise Lock/Deadlock on the Front Door by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Housing Tenure (% of adults), 2004 Outside Security Lights Table 3.5: Penetration of Outside Security Lights by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Housing Tenure (% of adults), 2004 Front-Door Chain Table 3.6: Penetration of Front-Door Chain by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Housing Tenure (% of adults), 2004 Professionally Installed Burglar Alarm Table 3.7: Penetration of Professionally Installed Burglar Alarm by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Housing Tenure (% of adults), 2004 Fire Extinguisher Table 3.8: Penetration of Fire Extinguisher by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Housing Tenure (% of adults), 2004 Time/Light-Sensitive Indoor Lights Table 3.9: Penetration of Time/Light-Sensitive Indoor Lights by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Housing Tenure (% of adults), 2004 Personal Alarm Table 3.10: Penetration of Personal Alarm by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Housing Tenure (% of adults), 2004 Spyhole Table 3.11: Penetration of Spyhole by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Housing Tenure (% of adults), 2004 Fire Blanket Table 3.12: Penetration of Fire Blanket by Sex, Age, Social Grade, Region and Housing Tenure (% of adults), 2004 PRODUCTS PURCHASED IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS Table 3.13: Security and Fire-Protection Measures Purchased in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), November 2000, August 2002 and March 2004 Smoke Alarm Table 3.14: Purchasers of a Smoke Alarm in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), March 2004 Door Locks Table 3.15: Purchasers of Door Locks in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), March 2004 Padlocks Table 3.16: Purchasers of Padlocks in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), March 2004 Window Locks Table 3.17: Purchasers of Window Locks in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), March 2004 Car Immobiliser Table 3.18: Purchasers of a Car Immobiliser in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), March 2004 Vehicle Locks Table 3.19: Purchasers of Vehicle Locks in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), March 2004 Car Alarm Table 3.20: Purchasers of a Car Alarm in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), March 2004 Fire Extinguisher Table 3.21: Purchasers of a Fire Extinguisher in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), March 2004 Professionally Fitted Burglar Alarm Table 3.22: Purchasers of a Professionally Fitted Burglar Alarm in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), March 2004 Personal Alarm Table 3.23: Purchasers of a Personal Alarm in the Last 12 Months (% of adults), March 2004 4. Competitive Structure THE MARKETPLACE Table 4.1: Selected Leading Competitors in the UK Market for Private Security and Fire Protection by Turnover in this Market (£m), 2002/2003 MARKET LEADERS Tyco Fire & Security Securitas AB Group 4 Falck A/S Assa Abloy AB Chubb Ltd Securicor PLC Kidde PLC Rentokil Initial PLC Reliance Security Group PLC OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS MARKETING ACTIVITY Main Media Advertising Exhibitions and Conferences 5. Manned Security Services DEFINITION Manned Guarding Cash/Valuables Handling Police/Public Services KEY TRENDS MARKET SIZE Table 5.1: The UK Market for Manned Security Services by Sector at Current End-User Prices (£m and %), 1999-2003 MARKET SEGMENTATION Manned Guarding Cash/Valuables Handling Police/Public Services SUPPLY STRUCTURE Number of Companies Employment Table 5.2: Estimated Number of Employees in the Manned Security Industry by Sector, 1999-2003 Distribution Trade Associations and Industry Organisations British Security Industry Association National Security Inspectorate Security Industry Association Security Systems and Alarms Inspection Board MAJOR PLAYERS Market Shares Manned Guarding Table 5.3: The Leading Competitors in the UK Market for Manned Guarding by Estimated Market Share by Value (%), 2002 Cash/Valuables Handling Table 5.4: The Leading Competitors in the UK Market for Cash/Valuables Handling by Estimated Market Share by Value (%), 2002 Police/Public Services Company Profiles Brinks (UK) Ltd Cash Logistics & Security (Post Office Ltd) Chubb Security Personnel Ltd First Security (Guards) Ltd Group 4 Falck A/S Initial Security Ltd Legion Security PLC OCS Security Services (OCS Ltd) Reliance Security Group PLC Securicor PLC Securiplan PLC Securitas UK Ltd ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION BUYING BEHAVIOUR Airports Banks and Building Societies Retailing Table 5.5: The Retail Sector - Division of Security-Staff Budget Between Company Staff and Contract Staff (%), 1998-2002 Special Events FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008 Table 5.6: The Forecast UK Market for Manned Security Services by Sector at Constant End-User Prices (£m), 2004-2008 6. Electronic Security Systems DEFINITION Intruder Alarms Closed-Circuit Television Cameras Dome Cameras Lenses Ancillary Equipment Video Recorders Monitors Multiplexers Quad Splitters Telemetry Controllers and Receivers Cabling Printers Lighting Access Control Entryphones and Video Entryphones Keypads Card Systems Proximity Systems Long-Range/Hands-Free Systems Systems to Control Vehicle Access Biometric Systems Electronic Article Surveillance Radio Frequency Acoustomagnetic Electromagnetic Other Electronic Security Systems and Devices KEY TRENDS General Developments Intruder Alarms Closed-Circuit Television Access Control Electronic Article Surveillance MARKET SIZE Market Value Table 6.1: The UK Market for Electronic Security Systems by Sector at Current End-User Prices (£m and %), 1999-2003 Number of Installations Table 6.2: Number of Installations by NSI-Approved Installers by Type of Security System, 1999-2003 Foreign Trade Table 6.3: UK Balance of Trade in Burglar and Fire Alarms for Use Within Buildings by Value (£m), 1999-2003 MARKET SEGMENTATION Intruder Alarms Table 6.4: The Apparent UK Market for Burglar and Fire Alarms, Excluding Alarms for Motor Vehicles, by Value (£m at msp), 1999-2003 Table 6.5: Breakdown of NSI Installations of Alarm Systems by Type of Signal (%), 1999-2003 Closed-Circuit Television Access Control Electronic Article Surveillance Other Electronic Security Systems and Devices SUPPLY STRUCTURE Number of Companies Intruder Alarms Closed-Circuit Television Access Control Electronic Article Surveillance Other Electronic Security Systems and Devices Employment Distribution Trade Associations and Industry Organisations CCTV Manufacturers' and Distributors' Association Euralarm MAJOR PLAYERS Intruder Alarms Cooper Security Ltd Closed-Circuit Television Dedicated Microcomputers Group Ltd Honeywell Video Systems UK Ltd JVC Professional Europe Ltd Upperpoint Manufacturing Ltd Access Control Assa Abloy AB Bewator Ltd CEM Systems (Controlled Electronic Management Systems Ltd) Group 4 Technology Ltd Kaba (UK) Ltd Newmark Security PLC PAC International Ltd Electronic Article Surveillance Other Electronic Security Systems and Devices Installers of Electronic Security Systems ADT Fire and Security PLC Bell Group PLC Chubb Electronic Security Ltd Initial Electronic Security Systems Ltd Secom PLC ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION Table 6.6: Main Media Advertising Expenditure for Household Security Products (£000), Years Ending March 2003 and 2004 BUYING BEHAVIOUR Banks and Building Societies Hospitals Households Prisons Public Sector Retailers Schools Town Centres Transport Universities FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008 Table 6.7: The Forecast UK Market for Electronic Security by Sector at Constant End-User Prices (£m), 2004-2008 Intruder Alarms Closed-Circuit Television Access Control Electronic Article Surveillance Other Electronic Security Systems and Devices 7. Physical Security Equipment DEFINITION Locks Safes Other Physical Security Products KEY TRENDS New Housebuilding Table 7.1: Number of Housing Starts and Completions in the UK (000), 1999-2003 Number of Property Transactions Table 7.2: Number of Property Transactions in England, Wales and Northern Ireland (000), 1999-2003 MARKET SIZE Market Value Table 7.3: The UK Market for Physical Security Equipment by Sector at Current End-User Prices (£m and %), 1999-2003 Foreign Trade Table 7.4: UK Balance of Trade in Locks Other Than Vehicle Locks by Value (£m), 1999-2003 Table 7.5: UK Balance of Trade in Safes, Strongboxes, Armoured or Reinforced Doors, Safe-Deposit Lockers for Strongrooms, and Cash and Deed Boxes (£m), 1999-2003 MARKET SEGMENTATION Locks Table 7.6: The Apparent UK Market for Locks Other Than Vehicle Locks by Sector by Value (£m at msp), 1999-2003 Safes Table 7.7: The Apparent UK Market for Safes, Strongboxes, Armoured or Reinforced Doors, Safe-Deposit Lockers for Strongrooms, and Cash and Deed Boxes by Sector by Value (£m at msp), 1999-2003 Other Physical Security Products SUPPLY STRUCTURE Number of Companies Employment Distribution Trade Associations and Industry Organisations British Security Industry Association Master Locksmiths Association MAJOR PLAYERS Locks Assa Abloy AB Banhams Patent Locks Ltd ERA Products Ltd Kaba Group Lowe and Fletcher Ltd Henry Squire & Sons Ltd Other Companies Safes Gunnebo Industrier AB SMP Security Ltd Other Physical Security Products ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION BUYING BEHAVIOUR Locks Safes Other Physical Security Products FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008 Table 7.8: The Forecast UK Market for Physical Security Equipment by Sector at Constant End-User Prices (£m), 2004-2008 8. Vehicle Security DEFINITION Locks Other Mechanical Devices Security Marking Tracking Systems Other Electronic Devices KEY TRENDS Vehicle Production and Registrations Table 8.1: Number of Passenger Cars and Commercial Vehicles Produced in Great Britain (000), 1999-2003 Table 8.2: Number of New Vehicle Registrations and Total Number of Vehicles Licensed in Great Britain (000), 1999-2003 Vehicle Crime Levels and Costs Table 8.3: Number of Motor-Vehicle Thefts Reported to the Police in England and Wales (000 and number), Years Ending March 1998/1999-2002/2003 Table 8.4: Number of Motor-Vehicle Thefts Reported to the Police in Scotland (000), 1998-2002 Table 8.5: Number and Cost of Settled Insurance Claims for Motor-Vehicle Theft in the UK by Type of Vehicle (000 and £m), 1999-2003 MARKET SIZE Market Value Table 8.6: The UK Market for Vehicle Security at Current End-User Prices (£m and %), 1999-2003 Foreign Trade Table 8.7: UK Balance of Trade in Motor-Vehicle Locks by Value (£m), 1999-2003 Table 8.8: UK Balance of Trade in Vehicle Alarms by Value (£m), 1999-2003 MARKET SEGMENTATION Table 8.9: The UK Market for Vehicle Security by Sector at Current Prices (£m at msp), 1999-2003 SUPPLY STRUCTURE Number of Companies Employment Distribution Trade Associations and Industry Organisations Electronic Vehicle Security Association Mobile Electronics and Security Federation Motor Insurance Repair Research Centre Sold Secure MAJOR PLAYERS Autolok Security Products Ltd CE Marshall Ltd Directed Electronics Inc HUF UK Ltd MetaSystem UK Ltd Retainagroup Ltd Scorpion Vehicle Security Systems Ltd Toad Group PLC Tracker Network (UK) Ltd Trackstar Ltd Weston Body Hardware Ltd Other Companies ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION Table 8.10: Main Media Advertising Expenditure for Motor Security Equipment (£000), Years Ending March 2003 and 2004 BUYING BEHAVIOUR The New-Vehicle Market The Aftermarket Table 8.11: Ownership and Purchasing of Car Alarms (% of households), 1998-2003 Table 8.12: Sum Spent on Car Alarms in the Last 12 Months (% of households purchasing), 2003 Table 8.13: Purchasers of Car Alarms in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Region (% of households), 2003 FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008 Table 8.14: The Forecast UK Market for Vehicle Security at Constant End-User Prices (£m), 2004-2008 By Sector Table 8.15: The Forecast UK Market for Vehicle Security by Sector at Constant Prices (£m at msp), 2004-2008 9. Fire-Protection Equipment DEFINITION Detection and Alarm Systems Fire-Extinguishing Equipment and Materials KEY TRENDS Incidence of Fires and Fire Casualties Table 9.1: Number of Fatal and Non-Fatal Casualties from Fires in the UK, 1998-2002 Table 9.2: Number of Fires in Buildings in the UK by Type of Premises (000), 2002 Deliberate Fires Effect of Fire Detectors Table 9.3: Effect of Fire Detectors on the Death Rate for Fires in Buildings in the UK, 2002 Failure of Fire Alarms Table 9.4: Reasons Why Fire Alarms Did Not Operate (% of incidents), 1998-2002 MARKET SIZE Market Value Table 9.5: The UK Market for Fire-Protection Equipment by Sector at Current End-User Prices (£m and %), 1999-2003 Foreign Trade Table 9.6: UK Balance of Trade in Charged and Uncharged Fire Extinguishers by Value (£m), 1999-2003 Table 9.7: UK Balance of Trade in Fire-Extinguishing Preparations and Charges, and in Charged Extinguishing Grenades, by Value (£m), 1999-2003 SUPPLY STRUCTURE Number of Companies Employment Distribution Trade Associations and Industry Organisations British Approval for Fire Equipment British Automatic Sprinkler Association British Fire Protection Systems Association Euralarm Eurofeu Fire Extinguishing Trades Association Fire Protection Association National Security Inspectorate Residential Sprinkler Association MAJOR PLAYERS Apollo Fire Detectors Ltd Chubb Ltd Cooper Menvier Novar Systems Ltd Kidde PLC Protec Fire Detection PLC Siemens Building Technologies Ltd Fire Safety Tyco Fire and Security ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION BUYING BEHAVIOUR Households The Non-Residential Sector FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008 Table 9.8: The Forecast UK Market for Fire-Protection Equipment at Constant End-User Prices (£m), 2004-2008 10. A Global Perspective THE TOTAL MARKET MANNED SECURITY SERVICES ELECTRONIC SECURITY SYSTEMS PHYSICAL SECURITY EQUIPMENT North America Western Europe Eastern Europe Asia Rest of the World VEHICLE SECURITY FIRE-PROTECTION EQUIPMENT 11. The Future INTRODUCTION The Economy Gross Domestic Product Table 11.1: Forecast Growth in UK Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2004-2008 Inflation Table 11.2: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2004-2008 Unemployment Table 11.3: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2004-2008 Construction Car Production FORECASTS 2004 TO 2008 At Constant Prices Table 11.4: The Forecast UK Market for Private Security and Fire Protection by Sector at Constant End-User Prices (£m), 2004-2008 At Current Prices FUTURE TRENDS 12. Further Sources Associations General Sources Government Sources Other Sources Bonnier Information Sources Key Note Research The Key Note Range of Reports AbstractThe UK market for private security and fire protection grew by an estimated 9.5% in 2003, to a value of £6.48bn at end-user prices. The market has grown consistently each year since 1999, by a total of 31.2% at current prices. This report divides the market into five broad sectors. Manned security services includes manned guarding and related activities, handling of cash and valuables, and services that have been outsourced to private security companies by police forces and the prison service. Electronic security systems covers intruder alarms, closed-circuit television (CCTV), access control, electronic article surveillance (EAS) and other electronic security systems and devices. Physical security equipment includes locks, safes and other physical barriers, such as shutters and turnstiles. Vehicle security covers vehicle locks, other mechanical devices, security marking, tracking systems and other electronic devices (immobilisers, alarms, etc.) Finally, fire-protection equipment is concerned with active fire protection - that is, detection and alarm systems and fire-extinguishing equipment and materials. After a temporary improvement in 2000/2001, the level of recorded crime in Great Britain has continued its upward trend, with increases in both violent and property crime. This has maintained the pressure on all customer sectors to spend on security measures. There are some signs of improvement with regard to fires: there was a reduction in the incidence of fires within buildings in 2002, the latest year for which statistics exist, and the number of deaths from fires fell between 1998 and 2002. The background to the security and fire-protection market remains favourable, with real growth in the economy, growth in construction output, growth in the number of households, and a recovery in vehicle production after a fall in 2001. The immediate effect of the terrorist attacks of 11th September 2001 was a postponement of investment in the industrial and commercial sectors as business confidence plummeted. As a result, the security market showed slower growth in that year. Since then, the industry has benefited from a heightened awareness of the need for security, particularly in the public sector, and business confidence appears to be improving. Compulsory regulation of the security industry began to be introduced in 2004. This should result in improved confidence in the industry. The costs of manned security are rising for several reasons, including increased spending on recruitment and training in anticipation of regulation. The shortage of suitable staff in the South East and the Minimum Wage are also factors, and the expected tightening up of the Working Time Regulations will increase costs considerably for the industry. This inflationary trend affects activities such as CCTV monitoring, as well as manned guarding. Key Note forecasts that growth in the market at constant prices will exceed real growth in UK gross domestic product (GDP) betweeen 2004 and 2008. The increasing costs in the manned-security sector are likely to outweigh the effect of falling prices for some types of electronic equipment, and overall market growth is likely to be around 7% at current prices in 2004 and 2005. Key Note Market Reviews
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