1394 in 2004: The Market for 1394 Products

Published by: In-Stat

Published: Jul. 16, 2004 - 49 Pages

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

Methodology

Introduction

1394a

1394b

The Markets for 1394b

1394c

Wireless 1394

1394 Chip ASP Forecasts

1394 Regional Notes

1394 Market Barriers & Enablers

Content Protection

Interface Alternatives

USB

USB 2.0

Wireless USB

DVI/HDMI

External SATA

PCI Express External

Residential Technology Survey – 1394 Responses

Do any of your home PCs have a FireWire or 1394 port?

Do you connect any of the following devices to your home PC FireWire port?

Applications & Forecast

PCs

Desktops

Notebooks

Aftermarket Cards

PC Forecast Summary

PC Peripherals

External Storage

External Hard Disk Drives

External Optical Writers

DVD Writers

CD Writers

Ink Jet & Laser Printers

Scanners

PC Cameras

Hubs & Flash Card Readers

PC Peripheral Forecast Summary

Consumer Electronics

Digital TVs

Set Top Boxes

Digital Cable Set Top Boxes

DBS Set Top Boxes

Digital Terrestrial Set Top Boxes

Digital Camcorders

DVD Recorders

Video Game Consoles

Standalone PVRs

Portable Digital Music Players

DVD Audio/Super Audio CD Players

Digital VCRs

Digital Still Cameras

Residential Gateways

Audio/Video Receivers

Consumer Electronics Forecast Summary

Automotive

Home Networking as a 1394 Market Driver

Forecast Summary

1394 Silicon & IP Competitors

Agere

Fujitsu

Initio

NEC

NVIDIA

Oxford Semiconductor

Philips

Silicon Integrated Systems (SiS)

Texas Instruments

Wipro

List of Tables

Table 1. 1394-enabled Device Forecast by Product Segment (Units in Thousands)

Table 2. 1394a Phy ASP Forecast

Table 3. 1394a Link ASP Forecast for PC

Table 4. 1394a Link ASP Forecast for CE

Table 5. 1394 Penetration of Consumer Desktop PC Market (Units in Thousands)

Table 6. 1394 Penetration of Corporate Desktop PC Market (Units in Thousands)

Table 7. 1394 Penetration of Notebook PC Market (Units in Thousands)

Table 8. 1394 Aftermarket Card Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 9. 1394 Penetration of Total PC Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 10. 1394 Penetration of External Hard Disk Drive Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 11. 1394 Penetration of External DVD Writer Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 12. 1394 Penetration of External CD Writer Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 13. 1394 Penetration of Ink Jet Printer Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 14. 1394 Penetration of Laser Printer Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 15. 1394 Penetration of Scanner Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 16. 1394 Penetration of PC Camera Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 17. 1394 Hub & Flash Card Reader Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 18. 1394 PC Peripheral Forecast Summary (Units in Thousands)

Table 19. 1394 Penetration of Digital Television Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 20. 1394 Penetration of Digital Cable Set Top Box Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 21. 1394 Penetration of DBS Set Top Box Market (Units in Thousands)

Table 22. 1394 Penetration of Digital Terrestrial Set Top Box Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 23. 1394 Penetration of Digital Camcorder Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 24. 1394 Penetration of DVD Recorder Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 25. 1394 Penetration of Video Game Console Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 26. 1394 Penetration of Stand-alone PVR Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 27. 1394 Penetration of Portable Digital Music Player Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 28. 1394 Penetration of DVD-Audio/SACD Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 29. 1394 Penetration of Digital VCR Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 30. 1394 Penetration of Digital Still Camera Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 31. 1394 Penetration of Residential Gateways Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 32. 1394 Penetration of Audio/Video Receiver Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 33. 1394 Consumer Electronics Forecast Summary (Units in Thousands)

Table 34. 1394 Automotive Network Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)

Table 35. 1394-enabled Device Forecast by Product Segment (Units in Thousands)

List of Figures

Figure 1. 1394-enabled Device Forecast by Product Segment (Units in Thousands)

Figure 2. Do any of your home PCs have a FireWire or 1394 port? (N = 641)

Figure 3. Do you connect any of the following devices to your home PC FireWire port?(select all that apply) (N=103)

Figure 4. 1394-enabled Device Forecast by Product Segment (Units in Thousands)

Abstract

IEEE 1394 (1394), also called FireWire or i.Link, is a high speed serial bus specification found in four primary markets: PCs, PC peripherals, Consumer Electronics (CE) and Automotive.

Over the last year, CE devices have continued to be a solid market for 1394, led by digital televisions, digital camcorders, and DVD recorders. 1394 is growing steadily in the PC space, with the consumer desktop and notebook segments leading the way. PC peripherals constitute a shrinking market for 1394, due primarily to the success of USB. The first 1394 automotive networks will not be seen in factory-installed cars until the second half of 2006.

The past year has seen two new 1394 specifications announced. 1394c combines 1394b and Ethernet onto a common Physical layer. It promises to have an impact in the home networking space, where both technologies compete. The other major 1394 announcement concerns Wireless 1394, a specification to transmit 1394 wirelessly over Ultra Wideband (UWB), also referred to as 802.15.3. Wireless 1394 will be optimized for in-room cluster connectivity, including ad-hoc connections, between a portable device and tabletop device, such as a digital camcorder and DVD recorder.

This report contains analysis and five-year forecasts for all 1394-enabled products. Responses on 1394 from In-Stat/MDR's annual Residential Technology Survey are also included in the report. Brief profiles of major 1394 silicon and IP suppliers are also provided.

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