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The Future of Food Retailing in the U.S.

Published by: Packaged Facts

Published: Mar. 1, 2006 - 262 Pages


Table of Contents








Chapter 1: Executive Summary

  • Scope and Methodology
    • Scope of Report
    • Report Methodology


  • Retail Channels
    • Overview: The Competitive Landscape
    • Total Grocery Sales Approach $818 Billion in 2005
    • Supermarkets Account for 56% of Food and Beverage Sales
    • Merging vs. Emerging Channels


  • Consumer Demographics, Lifestyle Trends,
    and Shopping Behavior
    • Shifting Demographics Reshape American Shopping and Eating Patterns
    • Specialty Food Consumers
    • Rising Mainstream Interest in Ethnic Foods
    • Tapping into America’s Cultural Diversity
    • Changing Eating Patterns: At-Home Cooking Losing Ground
    • Competition from Foodservice Grows
    • Convenience as a Market Driver
    • The Wellness Factor
    • Natural/Organic Products Go Mainstream
    • Channel Surfing


  • Retail Strategies
    • Location, Location, Location
    • Dominate—Or Get Out
    • Is Downsizing the Future of Supermarkets?
    • Pricing Strategies: Hi-Lo vs. EDLP
    • Self-Service vs. More Service
    • Private Label Ripe with Opportunities
    • Organic/Natural Foods Another Huge Area of Opportunity
    • Targeting Ethnic Shoppers
    • No “One Size Fits All”
    • Turning Grocery Stores into Restaurants


  • Technology
    • Technology a Priority
    • The METRO Future Store
    • The Food Lion Model: High-Tech Stores Bloom in North Carolina
    • Emerging Technologies


  • Looking Ahead
    • Trends and Opportunities
    • Futuristic Technologies



Chapter 2: Retail Channels

  • Overview: The Competitive Landscape
  • Definition of Retail Channels
  • FMI Definitions of Store Formats
    • Traditional Grocery Stores
    • Non-Traditional Grocery Stores


  • Total Grocery Sales Approach $818 Billion in 2005
  • Market Share Shifts from Traditional Grocery Channels to Value Channels
  • Total Grocery Sales to Grow 12.5% by 2009, to $909 Billion
  • Food and Beverages Account for Half of Grocery Sales
  • Supermarkets Account for 56% of Food and Beverage Sales
  • Table 2-1: Competitive Profiles of Retail Food and Beverage Channels, 2005
  • Merging vs. Emerging Channels
  • Recent Mergers and Acquisitions
    • Albertson's Sold
    • Winn-Dixie in Reorganization
    • European Investors Eye American Food Retailers


  • Traditional Grocery Channels
    • Supermarkets on the Defensive
    • Table 2-2: Top 10 U.S. Supermarket Chains by Retail Dollar Sales, 2004 (in millions)
      • Conventional Supermarket Chains Are Regional Players
      • Traditional Supermarkets Caught in the Middle
      • Ways to Compete Effectively Against Supercenters
      • Playing Both Ends Against the Middle
      • Oil Crunch Could Benefit Supermarkets


    • Ethnic Food Markets Evolving
    • Limited Assortment Chains Making Waves
    • Natural Foods Stores Challenge Conventional Supermarkets
    • Gourmet/Specialty Stores
    • Value Channels
      • Supercenters Gaining Ground
        • Wal-Mart Is the Nation’s Largest Food Retailer
        • Moving on Target
        • Meijer the Regional Supercenter Pioneer
        • Kmart Becoming an Also-Ran in Food
        • Supercenters Face Community Opposition


      • Warehouse Clubs Proliferating
      • Dollar Stores Adding More Food to Their Product Mix
      • Convenience Channels
        • C-stores Seek to Broaden Their Appeal
        • Drugstores Also Compete on Convenience Front


      • Alternative Channels
        • Vending Machines Offer Convenience 24/7


        • Other Alternative Channels Target Impulse Sales
        • Home Depot to Open Convenience Stores
        • Online Shopping: A Renaissance for Online Grocers


Chapter 3: Consumer Demographics, Lifestyle Trends,
and Shopping Behavior


  • Consumer Demographics
    • Shifting Demographics Reshape American Shopping and Eating Patterns
    • Baby Boomers
    • Table 3-1: Projected Population of the United States by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2010 (in thousands)
    • Echo Boomers
    • Generation X
    • Kids and Teenagers
    • Yoga Mamas
    • The Role of Gender
    • Specialty Food Consumers


  • The Multicultural Marketplace
    • Rising Mainstream Interest in Ethnic Foods
    • Tapping into America’s Cultural Diversity
    • Hispanics
      • How to Not Get Lost in Translation


    • African Americans
    • Asian Americans
    • Consumers of Kosher and Halal Foods


  • Lifestyle Trends
    • Changing Eating Patterns: At-Home Cooking Losing Ground
    • Consumers Spend Less Time in the Kitchen
    • Competition from Foodservice Grows
    • More Eat In with Takeout
    • Desktop Dining the New Way of Life
    • Convenience as a Market Driver
    • The Wellness Factor
    • Variations in Consumer Attitudes About Eating by Retail Channel
    • Natural/Organic Products Go Mainstream
    • Ethical Shopping
    • “Premiumization”: A Taste for Luxury
    • Quality of Shopping Experience


  • Consumer Shopping Behavior
    • Channel Surfing
    • Table 3-2: % of Households Buying by Channel: 52 Weeks Ending April 3, 2005 vs. 2003




    • Shopping Frequency
    • Figure 3-1: Average Trips Per Shopper Per Month by Channel: 52 Weeks Ending April 3, 2005 vs. 2003
    • Shopping Trip Patterns
    • What Consumers Want
    • Shopper Demographics by Channel
      • Simmons Analysis
      • Supermarket Shoppers
      • Mass Merchandiser/Supercenter Shoppers
      • Convenience Store Shoppers
      • Drugstore Shoppers


    • Consumer Attitudes Toward Cooking and Food Shopping
    • The Impact of In-Store Advertising
    • Table 3-3: Supermarket/Food Store Shopper Demographics, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-4: Mass Merchandiser/Supercenter Shopper Demographics, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-5: Convenience Store Shopper Demographics, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-6: Drugstore Shopper Demographics, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-7: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Really Enjoy Cooking, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-8: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Like to Try New Recipes, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-9: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Kitchen Is the Most Important Room in My Home, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-10: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Like to Try Out New Food Products, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-11: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Usually First to Try New Food Products, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-12: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Enjoy Eating Foreign Foods, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-13: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Try to Eat Gourmet Food Whenever I Can, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-14: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Look for the Freshest Ingredients, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-15: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Easy to Prepare Foods Are My Favorite, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-16: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Often Eat Store-Made, Pre-Cooked Meals, 2005 (U.S. adults)




    • Table 3-17: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Prefer Fast Food to Home Cooking, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-18: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Shopping for Groceries Is a Bore, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-19: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Shop for Specials or Bargains, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-20: Shopper Indexes by Retail Channel for Agreement with Statement: Always Look Out for Special Offers, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-21: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Advertising on the Floor, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-22: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Messages/Offers at the Shelf, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-23: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Overhead Aisle Markers, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-24: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Advertising on Shopping Cart, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-25: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: In-Store Demonstrations, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-26: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: In-Store Samples, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-27: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Computerized Information/Coupon Center, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-28: Shopper Indexes by Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: On the Internet, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-29: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Announcements In Store, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-30: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Radio/Public Address Announcements, 2005 (U.S. adults)
    • Table 3-31: Shopper Indexes by In-Store Advertising Impact by Retail Channel: Video Monitor Displays, 2005 (U.S. adults)


Chapter 4: Retail Strategies

  • Location, Location, Location
  • Dominate—Or Get Out
  • When Smaller Is Better and Less Is More
    • Is Downsizing the Future of Supermarkets?
    • In Europe, Hypermarkets Losing Ground


  • Pricing Strategies: Hi-Lo vs. EDLP
  • Razor-Thin Margins Are Standard Operating Procedure
  • Supermarket Slotting Fees: Will They Go by the Wayside?
  • Loyalty Programs
  • Category Management Roles Shifting
  • Self-Service vs. More Service


  • Self-Service Checkout
  • Home Delivery


  • Merchandise Solutions
    • Private Label Ripe with Opportunities
    • Organic/Natural Foods Another Huge Area of Opportunity
    • Merchandising Health
    • Targeting Ethnic Shoppers


  • Lifestyle Stores & Other New Formats
    • No “One Size Fits All”
    • Lifestyle Stores
    • Unusual Layouts
    • Focusing on the Perimeter
    • Building Up Takeout
    • Re-Centering on the Center Store
    • Turning Grocery Stores into Restaurants
    • Samples and Demos Becoming More Widespread


  • Long-Term Solutions
    • Retail Strategies That Work


    Chapter 5: Technology

    • The Store of the Future
      • Technology a Priority
      • The METRO Future Store
        • Personal Shopping Assistants (PSAs)
        • Self-Checkout
        • Smart Loyalty Card
        • Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)
        • Smart Tags
        • Intelligent Scales
        • Interactive Information Terminals
        • Everywhere Display
        • Electronic Advertising Displays
        • Electronic Shelf Labels
        • Never-Empty Smart Shelves
        • Employee Personal Digital Assistants (PDAs)
        • Wireless Local Area Network (WLAN)
        • Test Results


      • The Food Lion Model: High-Tech Stores Bloom in North Carolina


    • Emerging Technologies
      • Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)
      • Thumbs Up for Biometrics
        • Personal Shopping Assistants/Smart Carts
          Hand-Held Registers
          Interactive Kiosks


        • In-Store TV Advertising
          • Giant and Stop & Shop Offer Consumers Free WiFi


    Chapter 6: Retailer Profiles

    • Trend Profile: 7-Eleven, Inc.
    • World’s Largest Convenience Store Chain


  • Trend Profile: 99 Ranch Market
    • Asian Foods Specialist


  • Trend Profile: Amazon.com
    • The Online Bookseller Goes Gourmet


  • Trend Profile: Bloom, A Food Lion Market
    • The High-Tech Store to Watch
    • Another Food Lion Concept: Bottom Dollar


  • Trend Profile: Costco Wholesale Corp.
    • Overview
    • Fast Turn, Low Markup Create Competitive Edge
    • Focus Is Marketing, Not Advertising
    • How Far Can Costco Grow?


  • Trend Profile: Dollar General Corp.
    • The Dollar Store Leader—7,800 Stores and Growing
    • Growth Strategy


  • Trend Profile: FreshDirect, Inc.
    • Online Player Has Drive


  • Trend Profile: Publix Sabor
    • Targeting Florida’s Latino Population


  • Trend Profile: Safeway, Inc.
    • New Lifestyle Positioning
    • New Lifestyle Format Stores
    • Extensive Private-Label Program
    • Safeway.com
    • Safeway’s Wellness Initiatives


  • Trend Profile: Sam’s Club
    • No. 2 and Trying Harder


  • Trend Profile: Sheetz, Inc.
    • Convenience Stores Go Upscale


  • Trend Profile: Target
    • Off-Base in Food?


  • Trend Profile: Trader Joe’s Co., Inc.
    • The Offbeat Grocery Chain




  • Trend Profile: Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.
    • Overview
    • Success…
    • …and Controversy
    • Supercenters
    • Neighborhood Market Stores
    • Private Label and More
    • Tailoring Merchandise Mix to Local Tastes
    • Aggressive Growth Strategy: Wal-Mart Plans to Get Even Bigger
    • Pioneering Technological Advancements


  • Trend Profile: Wegmans Food Markets, Inc.
    • The Quintessential Upscale Supermarket


  • Trend Profile: Whole Foods Market, Inc.
    • Overview
    • Product Selection and Private Label
    • Growth Strategy
    • Looking Ahead


    Chapter 7: Looking Ahead

    • Meal Preparation Stores: Cooking Out-Eating In
    • Gunning for Whole Foods
    • X06: A New Gourmet Store Prototype
    • Drive-Thru Shopping
    • Store Swapping as a Retail Strategy
    • Futuristic Technologies
    • Wafer-Thin Color Displays for Packaging
    • Robots for Blind Shoppers
    • Recipes on Your iPod
    • Prototype Appliances Will Change the Way Consumers Cook


    APPENDIX: Addresses of Selected Industry
    Associations and Retailers


    Abstract

    Competition for the food dollar has never been greater, with more than a dozen types of retailers now vying for share of a retail market that is estimated to be worth anywhere between $450 billion and $612 billion. Traditional supermarkets are increasingly facing an identity crisis as they find themselves pressured by price/value players like Wal-Mart Supercenters and warehouse clubs like Costco and Sam’s Club on one side, and natural foods chains like Whole Foods on the other. Although the nation’s 34,000 supermarkets are still a dominant force in food shopping, their share of this business has rapidly declined, as has the frequency and extent of consumer shopping trips made to these outlets. Major demographic, lifestyle, and technological changes are creating a fertile environment for new concepts to entice shoppers, capture market share, and indeed re-invent the grocery industry.

    The Future of Food Retailing in the United States, an all-new Packaged Facts report, examines the entire food retailing milieu, probing trends for growth and projecting sales by channel through 2010. It analyzes consumer demographics, lifestyle trends, and shopping behavior for their current and projected impact on retail sales. It provides up-to-date profiles of trendsetting retailers—including Safeway, Food Lion’s Bloom stores, Publix Sabor, Whole Foods, Wal-Mart, Costco, Dollar General, and many others; and discusses retail strategies such as Hi-Lo vs. Every Day Low Pricing (EDLP), private label, and “lifestyle stores.” The report also spotlights new technologies including RFID, biometrics, and smart carts, and identifies new marketing opportunities within the retail food business, such as meal-preparation businesses.

    Report Methodology
    The information in The Future of Food Retailing is based on both primary and secondary research. Primary research involved on-site examination of the retail milieu, interviews with marketing, public relations and industry analysts within the food market and consultants to the industry. Market size data was derived from Information Resources, Inc. Secondary research entailed data-gathering from relevant trade, business, and government sources, including company literature. New product information is gathered via literature research, personal interviews and data compiled by ProductScan, a service of Datamonitor. Consumer behavior patterns and data were derived from Simmons Market Research Bureau’s National Consumer Survey for Spring 2005.

    What You’ll Get in this Report
    The Future of Food Retailing makes important predictions and recommendations regarding the future of this market, and pinpoints ways current and prospective marketers can capitalize on current trends and spearhead new ones. No other market research report provides both the comprehensive analysis and extensive data that The Future of Food Retailing offers. The report addresses the following segments:

    • Retail Channels and Trends
    • Consumer Demographic, Lifestyle, and Shopping Trends
    • Retailer Strategies and Trends
    • Technology Trends
    • Retailer Profiles

    Plus, you’ll benefit from extensive data, presented in easy-to-read and practical charts, tables and graphs.

    How You Will Benefit from this Report
    If your company is already competing in the food industry, or is considering making the leap, you will find this report invaluable, as it provides a comprehensive package of information and insight not offered in any other single source. You will gain a thorough understanding of the current food retail environment, and how demographic, food and technological changes will affect how retailers and manufacturers make and sell food and beverages in the future. Contributing to that understanding will be a complete analysis of sales data, and a detailed discussion of the consumer based on Simmons data.

    This report will help:

    • Marketing Managers identify market opportunities and develop targeted promotion plans in the new food retailing environment.
    • Research and development professionals stay on top of competitor initiatives.
    • Advertising agencies working with clients in the food marketing and retail industries to develop messages and images that fit with the future of the industry.
    • Business development executives understand the dynamics of the market and identify possible partnerships.
    • Information and research center librarians provide market researchers, brand and product managers and other colleagues with the vital information they need to do their jobs more effectively.



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