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The Growth of the Internet - Worldwide, Regional and Country Forecasts of Penetration, Hosts and Usage Through 2010

Published by: Accuture Telecom Research

Published: Jun. 1, 2004 - 230 Pages


Table of Contents


1.0 Executive Summary

1.1 Introduction

1.2 Overview of Report

1.3 Summary of Major Findings

1.4 Conclusions

1.5 Implications for Telecom Equipment Manufacturers

1.6 Implications for Telecom Service Providers




2.0 Overview of Report

2.1 Introduction

2.2 Purpose

2.3 Scope of Report

2.4 Definitions

2.5 Report Structure3.0 Methodology




3.0 Methodology

3.1 Overview of Methodology

3.2 Data Sources and Data Normalization

3.3 Forecast Methodologies

3.3.1 Gompertz Curves

3.3.2 Linear and Exponential Regression

3.3.3 Behavioral Models of Internet Traffic

3.4 Other Methodological Notes




4.0 A Brief Introduction to the Internet

4.1 The Role of the Internet

4.2 How Was the Internet Formed?

4.3 Why Is the Internet Growing and Why Is It Expected To Grow Still Further?

4.4 Why Is an Understanding of Internet Growth Important to Telecommunications Equipment Vendors and Service Providers?




5.0 Internet Forecasts - Users and Penetration

5.1 Introduction

5.1.1 Internet Users and Penetration

5.1.2 Methodology

5.2 World Summary - Forecast Results

5.3 North America - Forecast Results

5.4 Asia Pacific - Forecast Results

5.5 Europe - Forecast Results

5.6 Central and South America - Forecast Results

5.7 Rest of the World (Row) - Forecast Results

5.7.1 Africa - Forecast Results

5.7.2 Caribbean - Forecast Results

5.7.3 Middle East - Forecast Results

5.8 Internet Users and Penetration: Individual Countries

5.9 Summary of Findings




6.0 Internet Forecasts - Hosts

6.1 Introduction

6.1.1 Internet Hosts

6.1.2 Methodology

6.2 World Summary - Forecast Results

6.3 North America - Forecast Results

6.4 Asia Pacific - Forecast Results

6.5 Europe- Forecast Results

6.6 Central and South America - Forecast Results

6.7 Rest of the World (Row) - Forecast Results

6.7.1 Africa - Forecast Results

6.7.2 Caribbean - Forecast Results

6.7.3 Middle East - Forecast Results

6.8 Internet Hosts: Individual Countries

6.9 Summary of Findings




7.0 Internet Forecasts - Traffic

7.1 Introduction

7.1.1 Internet Traffic

7.1.1.1 Characteristics of Internet Traffic and User Behavior

7.1.1.2 Measuring Internet Traffic

7.1.2 Internet Traffic Growth

7.1.2.1 Methodology

7.2 World Summary - Forecast Results

7.3 North America - Forecast Results

7.4 Asia Pacific - Forecast Results

7.5 Europe- Forecast Results

7.6 Central and South America - Forecast Results

7.7 Rest of the World (Row) - Forecast Results

7.7.1 Africa - Forecast Results

7.7.2 Caribbean - Forecast Results

7.7.3 Middle East - Forecast Results

7.8 Internet Traffic Growth: Individual Countries

7.9 Internet versus Voice Traffic Growth

7.10 Summary of Findings




8.0 Summary and Conclusions

8.1 Introduction

8.2 Summary of Major Findings

8.2.1 Global Internet Growth

8.2.2 North American Internet Growth

8.2.3 Asia Pacific Internet Growth

8.2.4 European Internet Growth

8.2.5 Central and South American Internet Growth

8.2.6 African Internet Growth

8.2.7 Caribbean Internet Growth

8.2.8 Middle Eastern Internet Growth

8.2.9 Leading Internet Countries

8.3 Conclusions

8.4 Implications for Telecom Equipment Manufacturers

8.5 Implications for Telecom Service Providers




Appendix




List of Exhibits




Exhibit 1.1: Regional Comparison of Compound Annual Growth Rates (CAGRs)

Exhibit 1.2: Logarithmic Plot of Worldwide Internet Users, Hosts, and Traffic

Exhibit 1.3: Average Regional Portions of World Totals of Internet Users, Hosts, and Traffic

Exhibit 1.4: Worldwide Voice Traffic Versus Internet Traffic Volumes Plotted




Exhibit 4.1 Conceptual Model of Internet Growth

Exhibit 4.2: Conceptual Model of Internet Growth as a Demand Driver for Equipment and Services




Exhibit 5.1: Total World Internet Users in Thousands

Exhibit 5.2: Total World Internet Users Plotted Over Time

Exhibit 5.3: Internet Users by Major Region

Exhibit 5.4: Relative Portions of Internet Users by Region

Exhibit 5.5: Total World Internet Penetration Rates (Percentages)

Exhibit 5.6: Total World Internet Penetration Rates (Percentages) Plotted Over Time

Exhibit 5.7: Total World Internet Penetration Rates by Region Plotted Over Time

Exhibit 5.8: North American Internet Users in Thousands

Exhibit 5.9: North American Internet Users Plotted Over Time

Exhibit 5.10: North American Internet Users by Country Plotted Over Time

Exhibit 5.11: Relative Portions of North American Internet Users

Exhibit 5.12: North American Internet Penetration Rates (Percentages)

Exhibit 5.13: North American Internet Penetration Rates Plotted Over Time

Exhibit 5.14: North American Internet Penetration Rates by Country Plotted Over Time

Exhibit 5.15: Asia Pacific Internet Users in Thousands

Exhibit 5.16: Asia Pacific Internet Users Plotted

Abstract

Is the Internet really growing as fast as believed or at a reduced rate, as some have claimed? Will it generate the traffic volumes necessary to spur continued growth in telecommunications networks? In this unique, data rich report, the Internet is examined in terms of its expanding role and formation. In-depth forecasts by individual country, geographic region and for the world as a whole are then presented graphically and in tabular display for the number of Internet users, penetration rates, number of hosts and traffic volumes. This report is essential for anyone seeking to understand where, when and to what extent worldwide opportunities for telecom equipment will arise. No other report provides a more accurate, insightful and comprehensive view of the growth of the worldwide Internet. Number of Pages: 230. Number of Exhibits: 165.

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