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Non-conforming Mortgage Lending in Australia 2004

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Nov. 23, 2004 - 83 Pages


Table of Contents


TABLE OF CONTENTS

CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 6

Scope 6

Who is the target reader? 7

How to use this briefing 7

Related reports 8

CHAPTER 2 MARKET CONTEXT 9

The growth of the Australian mortgage market 9

Lending commitments for housing amounted to AUS$197.6 billion in 2003 9

Lending commitments for refinancing amounted to AUS$30.8 billion in 2003 13

Low interest rates have been the catalyst for housing market growth 15

Evidence that the property market is slowing 17

Non-conforming lending explained 19

The nature of non-conforming lending 20

The history of non-conforming mortgage lending in Australia 24

The non-conforming population 27

Self-employed individuals in Australia numbered almost 1.3 million at the end of 2003 27

In the 2003/2004 financial year there were more than 20,000 Part VI and XI bankruptcies in Australia 33

There were 138,446 temporary residents in Australia in June 2004 38

Older borrowers represent an additional market segment for non-conforming lenders 40

Quantifying the non-conforming population 40

Sizing the non-conforming mortgage market 44

CHAPTER 3 COMPETITIVE DYNAMICS 47

Bluestone Mortgages 47

Liberty Financial 49

Pepper Home Loans 51

GE 53

Other non-conforming players 56

CHAPTER 4 FUTURE DECODED 58

Forecasting lending commitments in the non-conforming mortgage market 58

The growth of the non-conforming mortgage market will outstrip that recorded in the mortgage market as a whole 59

The future of non-conforming lending in Australia 61

Further competitive entry into the non-conforming market 61

Going beyond mortgages 63

CHAPTER 5 APPENDIX 67

Definitions 67

Research methodology 68

Datamonitor’s methodology used to size the non-conforming population 68

Datamonitor’s methodology used to size the non-conforming mortgage market 78

Future readings 79

Relevant links 80

Datamonitor’s custom research capabilities 80

SPP writing team 82

How to contact experts in your industry 83





Abstract

Introduction
The non-conforming mortgage market in Australia remains small. However, Datamonitor's opinion is that the market has considerable growth potential if mainstream lenders recognize the opportunities in the market and existing players continue to grow their market presence. How can opportunities in the non-conforming market be exploited? How large is the market and by how much can the market grow?

Scope
Covers non-conforming mortgage lending in Australia with comparison to the non-conforming mortgage market in the UK
Includes an estimate of the size of the non-conforming mortgage market and a forecast of lending commitments to 2008
Based on in-depth interviews with executives working within the non-conforming mortgage market
Highlights
The roots of non-conforming lending in Australia can be found among solicitors, accountants and property companies. These players were the first to lend to individuals in the non-conforming population doing so in a largely unregulated manner and in modest volumes.

It is estimated that around eight per cent of the 13 million credit eligible Australians have a default listing against their name. Assuming this estimate is correct around one million Australians have a default listed in their credit file.

Non-conforming lenders interviewed for this briefing stated that between six and 25 per cent of loan applications are rejected by mainstream lenders and between 25 and 35 per cent of these applications are then underwritten by lenders in the non-conforming market.

Reasons to Purchase
Quantify the non-conforming population and lending commitments to individuals in the non-conforming population
Examine the potential for competitive entry into the non-conforming market by players in the mainstream market and parties from overseas
Benchmark non-conforming mortgage lenders



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